United Parcel Service Croissance future
Future contrôle des critères 2/6
United Parcel Service devrait augmenter ses bénéfices et son chiffre d'affaires de 14.3% et de 3.4% par an respectivement. Le BPA devrait croître de de 15.2% par an. Le rendement des capitaux propres devrait être 43.5% dans 3 ans.
Informations clés
14.3%
Taux de croissance des bénéfices
15.24%
Taux de croissance du BPA
| Logistics croissance des bénéfices | 10.6% |
| Taux de croissance des recettes | 3.4% |
| Rendement futur des capitaux propres | 43.48% |
| Couverture par les analystes | Good |
| Dernière mise à jour | 01 Sep 2026 |
Mises à jour récentes de la croissance future
Recent updates
Seeking Alpha • Aug 11
UPS: Buy This High Yield While It's Still Undervalued
Summary UPS remains a compelling value and income play, offering a 6.3% yield and trading at a forward P/E of 14.5. A strategic shift away from low-margin Amazon volume has improved operating margin, with Q2 2026 revenue up 7.6% and profit up 12% YoY. Automation and healthcare logistics expansion are driving higher margins, with 68.5% of U.S. volume now automated and healthcare revenue exceeding $3 billion for two quarters. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Mise à jour du récit • Jul 29
UPS: Amazon Volume Reductions And Parcel Cycle Risks Will Pressure Margins
The updated analyst price target for United Parcel Service reflects a modest fair value shift to about $85, supported by recent research citing better than expected Q2 results, progress on margin improvements in U.S. Domestic operations, and cost savings from the Amazon volume reduction initiative, which analysts expect to support profitability. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on United Parcel Service points to a mixed set of views.
Mise à jour du récit • Jun 22
UPS: Transformation Efforts And AI Adoption Will Drive Earnings Recovery
Analysts have made only a modest adjustment to the consensus price target for United Parcel Service, with a net change of $1. This reflects a mix of recent raises and cuts as research teams reassess revenue growth, profitability assumptions and future P/E expectations.Article d’analyse • Jun 16
United Parcel Service (UPS) Stock Valuation After Customer Focused US$500m Tariff Refund Plan
United Parcel Service (UPS) is in focus after seeking a US$500 million tariff refund and publicly committing to return those funds to customers within approximately one to three months once received. See our latest analysis for United Parcel Service. UPS shares have picked up momentum recently, with a 10.0% 1 month share price return and 11.3% 3 month share price return supporting a 15.1% 1 year total shareholder return, despite a weaker 3 and 5 year total shareholder record. Recent headlines...Mise à jour du récit • Jun 06
UPS: Margin Headwinds And Facility Closures Will Pressure Earnings Trajectory
Analysts trimmed the UPS fair value estimate by about $1.88 to $82.69. This reflects a mix of recent target cuts and raises as they factor in revised growth, margin expectations, and a slightly lower assumed future P/E multiple.
Mise à jour du récit • May 23
UPS: Heavy Asset Network Will Support 2026 Outlook Despite Near Term Earnings Pressure
Narrative Update The analyst price target for United Parcel Service has been adjusted slightly lower to reflect a modest $0.26 reduction in fair value, as analysts balance recent target cuts tied to near term earnings pressure with higher targets that emphasize the long lived value of the company's global delivery network and physical infrastructure. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on United Parcel Service reflects a split view, with some firms trimming price targets on near term earnings pressure and others marking targets higher on the value of the physical network and long term positioning.Article d’analyse • May 05
There May Be Reason For Hope In United Parcel Service's (NYSE:UPS) Disappointing Earnings
The market for United Parcel Service, Inc.'s ( NYSE:UPS ) shares didn't move much after it posted weak earnings...Mise à jour du récit • May 03
UPS: Heavy Asset Network And 2026 Framework Balance Long Term Potential
Analysts made a modest upward adjustment to the UPS fair value estimate to about $113.15, reflecting a mix of recent price target increases and trims as they factor in updated revenue growth, margin expectations, and slightly lower assumed future P/E levels. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on United Parcel Service shows a mix of modest target cuts and small upward revisions, which largely offset each other and line up with the fair value estimate adjustment to about $113.15.Mise à jour du récit • Apr 18
UPS: Physical Network Strength Will Support Earnings Recovery Beyond Near Term Pressure
Analysts have adjusted the fair value estimate for United Parcel Service to $135 from $122, reflecting updated views on the company as research commentary highlights both increased optimism around its physical network assets and ongoing caution about near term earnings pressure. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on United Parcel Service shows a mix of caution on near term earnings and growing interest in the company’s long term asset base and execution plans.Mise à jour du récit • Apr 04
UPS: Heavy Asset Network And 2026 Inflection Will Drive Upside Potential
Analysts have made only modest tweaks to their UPS outlook, trimming the average price target by a few dollars to about $113. Near term earnings pressure, highlighted by more cautious firms, is balanced by others who see long term value in UPS's heavy asset network and multi year earnings potential.Mise à jour du récit • Mar 21
UPS: Union Pushback And Job Cuts Will Pressure Earnings Trajectory
Analysts have trimmed the UPS fair value estimate by about $0.50, while modestly adjusting assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E. This reflects mixed Street signals that include a recent $6 cut to a $112 price target at BofA, alongside a series of upward revisions from other firms citing the resilience of physical transport networks.Mise à jour du récit • Mar 07
UPS: Network Assets And 2026 Framework Will Shape Risk Reward Balance
Our updated UPS narrative reflects a slight trim in the fair value estimate to about $113 per share, as analysts weigh a mix of new price targets that range from BofA's cut to $112 on softer near term expectations to multiple upward revisions tied to UPS's physical network assets and its commentary on the 2026 outlook. Analyst Commentary Recent research on United Parcel Service shows a split tape, with some analysts trimming near term expectations while others are leaning into the long term value of the network and management's 2026 framework.Mise à jour du récit • Feb 20
UPS: Labor Disputes And Fleet Disruptions Will Pressure Margins And Sentiment
The analyst fair value estimate for United Parcel Service has been lifted from about $80.28 to roughly $85.08 as analysts factor in higher revenue growth assumptions, slightly stronger profit margins, and a higher future P/E multiple supported by a wave of recent price target increases and upgrades across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent research on United Parcel Service shows a mix of optimism and caution, with several firms adjusting price targets and ratings as they refine outlooks for earnings, margins, and sector conditions through 2026.Article d’analyse • Feb 09
United Parcel Service (NYSE:UPS) Has Affirmed Its Dividend Of $1.64
United Parcel Service, Inc. ( NYSE:UPS ) will pay a dividend of $1.64 on the 5th of March. This makes the dividend...Mise à jour du récit • Feb 06
UPS: MD-11 Grounding And Margin Execution Will Shape Medium-Term Outlook
Analysts have lifted their UPS fair value estimate from US$100.50 to about US$113.18. This reflects updated expectations for revenue growth, margin trends, and future P/E multiples, as seen in a wave of recent price target increases across the Street.Mise à jour du récit • Jan 23
UPS: Rising Cost And Safety Pressures Will Challenge Recent Margin Optimism
Narrative Update: United Parcel Service (UPS) The analyst price target for UPS has been revised slightly higher to reflect an updated fair value estimate of about $80 per share. Analysts point to recent price target increases across several firms, improving margin expectations and cost initiatives, while also factoring in more conservative revenue growth and a higher future P/E assumption.Mise à jour du récit • Jan 09
UPS: Rally Risks Ahead As Amazon Volume Decline And Cost Execution Concerns Build
Analysts have nudged our fair value estimate for United Parcel Service higher to align with recent Street price target increases in the US$105 to US$126 range, citing updated views on revenue growth, margins, and 2026 sector conditions. Analyst Commentary Recent research on United Parcel Service reflects a mixed tone, with several firms lifting price targets into a tighter US$105 to US$126 band while at least one is stepping back on rating and others highlighting execution and growth risks into 2026.Mise à jour du récit • Dec 26
UPS: Cost Efficiencies And Yield Improvements Will Support Earnings Recovery Ahead
Analysts nudged their average price target for United Parcel Service modestly higher to about $119, reflecting confidence that solid Q3 execution, ongoing cost takeouts, and improved domestic yield performance can support resilient margins and a cyclical earnings trough in 2025. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts framed the Q3 beat and reinstated guidance as an important inflection point, arguing that the combination of structural cost reductions and better pricing power is starting to flow more visibly into earnings.Mise à jour du récit • Dec 12
UPS: Margin And Cost Efficiencies Will Drive Earnings Recovery Ahead
The updated fair value estimate for United Parcel Service has been reduced by about $10 to $122 per share, as analysts temper revenue growth and valuation multiples, despite acknowledging improving margins, cost efficiencies, and a more credible transformation outlook following a solid Q3 earnings beat and higher Street price targets. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts have responded positively to the latest Q3 results, citing a solid earnings beat, reinstated guidance, and meaningful progress on cost initiatives as support for higher valuation.Article d’analyse • Oct 31
United Parcel Service, Inc. Just Beat EPS By 21%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next
United Parcel Service, Inc. ( NYSE:UPS ) just released its quarterly report and things are looking bullish. It was...Article d’analyse • Oct 21
Weekly Picks: 💻 A Hedge Against US Government Shutdown And 2 More Picks
This week’s picks cover: How UPS plans to cut costs and automate its way back to profitability, why Paradigm Biopharma could soar if its osteoarthritis drug wins FDA approval, and how Barrick Mining offers a hedge against U.S. fiscal chaosMise à jour du récit • Oct 18
Amazon Shipments Will Decline And Automation Will Secure Future Efficiency
Analysts have lowered their price target for United Parcel Service, reducing it from approximately $101.43 to $100.50 per share. They cited persistent cost pressures and a cautious outlook for freight demand stabilization.
Nouveau récit • Oct 17
Finding The True Value Of A Logistics Powerhouse
Our initial price target for United Parcel Service is set at $95.21. We believe in a cautious approach in our analysis as UPS has been clouded with sustainability issues, higher costs, and internal headwinds.Mise à jour du récit • Oct 04
Amazon Shipments Will Decline And Automation Will Secure Future Efficiency
The analyst price target for United Parcel Service was reduced to approximately $101.43 from $103.30, as analysts cited sustained cost pressures, weaker volume trends, and ongoing macroeconomic and regulatory challenges. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates reflect a broad reassessment of United Parcel Service's outlook as analysts evaluate both the company's near-term challenges and longer-term positioning.Mise à jour du récit • Sep 19
Amazon Shipments Will Decline And Automation Will Secure Future Efficiency
Analysts have modestly reduced United Parcel Service’s price target to $103.30 due to immediate volume declines from new import restrictions, persistent cost headwinds, and weak small-business and Amazon volumes, partially offset by longer-term confidence in its core franchise. Analyst Commentary Recent executive orders suspending de minimis access for U.S. imports have caused an immediate fall in shipment volumes, leading to near-term volume and cost pressures.Seeking Alpha • Apr 22
UPS: Recession Risk Might Already Be Reflected In The Stock Price
Summary UPS is currently undervalued, trading below its intrinsic value, making it a "Buy" despite potential short-term declines due to recession risks. Fourth-quarter results showed growth, but full-year 2024 results were disappointing, with a slight revenue increase and declines in operating profit and EPS. UPS's dividend yield is attractive at nearly 7%, but the high payout ratio raises concerns about its sustainability in the long term. Long-term growth potential exists through international expansion and healthcare logistics, but near-term economic uncertainties may impact performance. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaNouveau récit • Apr 08
Network Reconfiguration And Healthcare Expansion Will Drive Efficiency
UPS's efficiency initiatives and network reconfiguration are expected to drive significant cost savings, expanding margins and improving earnings.Seeking Alpha • Mar 11
UPS: The Company Is Being Hit From Multiple Angles
Summary Distinguishing between short-term trends and long-term patterns is challenging, especially post-Covid-19 as industries return to pre-pandemic growth cycles. The mail delivery industry, including UPS, saw significant revenue increases due to the e-commerce boom during the Covid-19 lockdowns. UPS plans to invest $3.5 billion this year in AI and technology to drive long-term margins down, despite higher labor costs. UPS has implemented a 5.9% price increase, raising questions about whether competitors will follow suit. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Feb 13
UPS Cuts Amazon Deal: Short-Term Pain For Long-Term Gain
Summary UPS's decision to cut Amazon's volume by 50% by mid-2026 is a strategic move to enhance profitability and focus on higher-margin business. Though short-term revenue will dip, UPS expects significant margin expansion, targeting a 12% U.S. operating margin by Q4 2026. Strategic cost reductions, including facility closures and network resizing, will align UPS's operations with its new business mix. UPS aims to grow in high-margin areas like SMBs and healthcare logistics, projecting substantial market share gains and revenue growth. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaPrévisions de croissance des bénéfices et des revenus
| Date | Recettes | Les revenus | Flux de trésorerie disponible | Cash from Op | Moy. Nombre d'analystes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 98,044 | 6,999 | 6,199 | 11,204 | 13 |
| 12/31/2027 | 94,942 | 6,712 | 6,846 | 10,238 | 24 |
| 12/31/2026 | 91,458 | 5,165 | 5,636 | 8,287 | 24 |
| 6/30/2026 | 89,930 | 4,570 | 5,457 | 8,867 | N/A |
| 3/31/2026 | 88,317 | 5,249 | 4,516 | 8,356 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 88,661 | 5,572 | 4,765 | 8,450 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 89,483 | 5,502 | 4,396 | 8,463 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 90,313 | 5,730 | 3,539 | 7,479 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 90,910 | 5,856 | 5,374 | 9,124 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 91,070 | 5,782 | 6,213 | 10,122 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 90,686 | 5,666 | 4,358 | 9,218 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 89,502 | 5,254 | 4,647 | 9,953 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 89,739 | 5,926 | 5,613 | 11,197 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 90,958 | 6,708 | 5,080 | 10,238 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 93,074 | 8,556 | 5,559 | 11,159 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 96,174 | 10,013 | 6,204 | 11,405 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 98,885 | 10,781 | 7,151 | 11,981 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 100,338 | 11,548 | 9,335 | 14,104 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 101,076 | 11,188 | 10,116 | 14,018 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 100,099 | 10,933 | 10,934 | 14,846 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 98,757 | 10,760 | 11,048 | 14,956 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 97,287 | 12,890 | 10,813 | 15,007 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 94,412 | 6,450 | 8,174 | 12,937 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 92,466 | 6,078 | 7,949 | 12,966 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 89,501 | 5,170 | 7,127 | 12,440 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 84,628 | 1,343 | 5,047 | 10,459 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 80,300 | 4,584 | 6,966 | 12,229 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 77,380 | 4,377 | 4,795 | 10,379 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 74,969 | 4,294 | N/A | 8,912 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 74,094 | 4,440 | N/A | 8,639 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 73,374 | 4,999 | N/A | 8,982 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 72,500 | 4,757 | N/A | 9,718 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 71,908 | 4,557 | N/A | 10,921 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 71,861 | 4,791 | N/A | 12,711 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 70,988 | 5,434 | N/A | 6,483 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 69,717 | 5,185 | N/A | 6,058 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 68,188 | 5,084 | N/A | 5,307 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 66,585 | 4,905 | N/A | 1,479 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 64,541 | 3,570 | N/A | 5,528 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 63,296 | 3,581 | N/A | 4,401 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 61,998 | 3,466 | N/A | 4,042 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 61,610 | 3,422 | N/A | 6,473 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 60,029 | 5,001 | N/A | 6,378 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 59,338 | 4,988 | N/A | 7,884 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 58,804 | 4,949 | N/A | 7,349 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 58,363 | 4,844 | N/A | 7,430 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 58,204 | 3,966 | N/A | 7,950 | N/A |
Prévisions de croissance des analystes
Taux de revenus par rapport au taux d'épargne: La croissance des bénéfices prévue de UPS ( 14.3% par an) est supérieure au taux d'épargne ( 3.7% ).
Bénéfices vs marché: Les bénéfices de UPS ( 14.3% par an) devraient croître plus lentement que le marché US ( 17.2% par an).
Croissance élevée des bénéfices: Les bénéfices de UPS devraient augmenter, mais pas de manière significative.
Chiffre d'affaires vs marché: Le chiffre d'affaires de UPS ( 3.4% par an) devrait croître plus lentement que le marché de US ( 13.4% par an).
Croissance élevée des revenus: Le chiffre d'affaires de UPS ( 3.4% par an) devrait croître plus lentement que 20% par an.
Prévisions de croissance du bénéfice par action
Rendement futur des capitaux propres
ROE futur: Le retour sur capitaux propres de UPS devrait être très élevé dans 3 ans ( 43.5 %).
Découvrir les entreprises en croissance
Analyse de l'entreprise et données financières
| Données | Dernière mise à jour (heure UTC) |
|---|---|
| Analyse de l'entreprise | 2026/09/13 04:07 |
| Cours de l'action en fin de journée | 2026/09/11 00:00 |
| Les revenus | 2026/06/30 |
| Revenus annuels | 2025/12/31 |
Sources de données
Les données utilisées dans notre analyse de l'entreprise proviennent de S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Les données suivantes sont utilisées dans notre modèle d'analyse pour générer ce rapport. Les données sont normalisées, ce qui peut entraîner un délai avant que la source ne soit disponible.
| Paquet | Données | Cadre temporel | Exemple de source américaine * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Finances de l'entreprise | 10 ans |
| |
| Estimations consensuelles des analystes | +3 ans |
|
|
| Prix du marché | 30 ans |
| |
| Propriété | 10 ans |
| |
| Gestion | 10 ans |
| |
| Principaux développements | 10 ans |
|
* Exemple pour les titres américains ; pour les titres non américains, des formulaires réglementaires et des sources équivalentes sont utilisés.
Sauf indication contraire, toutes les données financières sont basées sur une période annuelle mais mises à jour trimestriellement. C'est ce qu'on appelle les données des douze derniers mois (TTM) ou des douze derniers mois (LTM). En savoir plus.
Modèle d'analyse et flocon de neige
Les détails du modèle d’analyse utilisé pour générer ce rapport sont disponibles sur notre page Github ; nous proposons également des guides sur la façon d’utiliser nos rapports et des tutoriels sur YouTube.
Découvrez l' qui a conçu et construit le modèle d'analyse Simply Wall St.
Indicateurs de l'industrie et du secteur
Nos indicateurs de secteur et de section sont calculés toutes les 6 heures par Simply Wall St. Les détails de notre processus sont disponibles sur Github.
Sources des analystes
United Parcel Service, Inc. est couverte par 42 analystes. 24 de ces analystes ont soumis les estimations de revenus ou de bénéfices utilisées comme données d'entrée dans notre rapport. Les soumissions des analystes sont mises à jour tout au long de la journée.
| Analyste | Institution |
|---|---|
| Will Chien | Accountability Research Corporation |
| John Eade | Argus Research Company |
| Brandon Oglenski | Barclays |