This company has been acquired
STORE Capital (STOR) Aperçu de l'action
STORE Capital Corporation is an internally managed net-lease real estate investment trust, or REIT, that is the leader in the acquisition, investment and management of Single Tenant Operational Real Estate, which is its target market and the inspiration for its name. Plus de détails
| Score flocon de neige | |
|---|---|
| Évaluation | 4/6 |
| Croissance future | 2/6 |
| Performances passées | 4/6 |
| Santé financière | 1/6 |
| Dividendes | 4/6 |
Récompenses
Analyse des risques
STOR Community Fair Values
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STORE Capital Corporation Concurrents
Historique des prix et performances
| Historique des cours de bourse | |
|---|---|
| Prix actuel de l'action | US$32.21 |
| Plus haut sur 52 semaines | US$32.36 |
| Plus bas sur 52 semaines | US$24.48 |
| Bêta | 0.97 |
| Variation sur 1 mois | 0.41% |
| Variation sur 3 mois | 1.71% |
| Variation sur 1 an | 5.68% |
| Variation sur 3 ans | -19.15% |
| Variation sur 5 ans | 38.96% |
| Évolution depuis l'introduction en bourse | 65.18% |
Nouvelles et mises à jour récentes
STORE Capital: A Bittersweet Last Bite At A ~15% Annualized 'Yield'
Summary STORE Capital Corporation is being acquired by a consortium of real estate giants. The deal likely closes within a week or two but possibly later. The spread is a big deal if the deal closes as soon as I expect it will. The STORE Capital Corporation deal is unlikely to fail, but downside of ~16% - 20% seems realistic. STORE Capital Corporation (STOR) is an internally managed net-lease real estate investment trust, or REIT. It is focused on Single Tenant Operational Real Estate. It operates a large, well-diversified portfolio (across the U.S.), with over 2,500 locations across the United States. I'm interested in this name because it is being acquired by real estate giants GIC and Blue Owl's Oak Street. They are paying $32.25 in cash. They also let STORE continue paying some dividends, but that's over now. The slide below shows its top customers and its diversification across industries. Top customers STORE capital (STORE Capital) I'm not a U.S. citizen, so I'm unfamiliar with some of these store brands. Most don't seem overly worrisome, although AMC Entertainment Holdings, Inc. (AMC) is probably not the best in your top 10. Having said that, even if AMC went through a bankruptcy process (which isn't entirely unimaginable), the new set of owners would likely still want to operate its movie theatres. Second, even this top 10 tenant is only 1.2% of base rents. What makes this merger very interesting is that the merger agreement says that the merger won't close until February 1, 2023 (except if the Parent agrees). It has an outside date of March 31, 2023. The transaction, which was unanimously approved by the STORE Capital Board of Directors, is expected to close in the first quarter of 2023, subject to approval by STORE Capitals stockholders and the satisfaction of certain other customary closing conditions. The closing of the transaction is not subject to any financing conditions. CFIUS hasn't objected to the deal, as might be expected. The shareholders didn't seem to love the deal (see comments), but it did pass a shareholder vote. I think this deal could close on February 1, but it is possible it could close even sooner than that. The options chain is very illiquid and barely traded, but the prices I see do imply and confirm it is extremely likely to close soon. Meanwhile, shares are trading at $31.80 (Seeking Alpha pre-market price), and through my broker, I'm seeing prices between $32.06 and $32.16. Depending on the entry, it could be quite an attractive deal. The annualized return is also very sensitive to the ultimate closing date. Here's a table showing the percentage return at 3 different price levels and two extreme closing dates.STORE Capital stockholders approve acquisition by GIC and Oak Street
STORE Capital (NYSE:STOR) stockholders approved the acquisition of the company by affiliates of GIC, a global institutional investor, and funds managed by Oak Street, a Division of Blue Owl. The transaction is expected to close in Q1 2023. Under the terms of the merger agreement announced on September 15, 2022, among other things, the company’s stockholders will receive $32.25 per share in cash. Upon closing of the transaction, the company’s common stock will no longer be listed on any public market.STORE Capital Q3 Results: Major Highlights
STORE Capital (NYSE:STOR) is scheduled to announce Q3 earnings results on Thursday, November 3rd, before market open. The consensus FFO estimate is $0.55 and consensus revenue estimate is $226.37M. Over the last 2 years, STOR has beaten FFO estimates 75% of the time and revenue estimates 63% of the time. Peer performance: Empire State Realty Trust Q3 beats, American Assets Trust Q3 beats, Alpine Income Property Trust Q3 beats, Essential Properties Realty Trust Q3 FFO in-line, revenue misses. Major developments during Q3: Real estate giants GIC and Blue Owl's Oak Street agreed to acquire Store Capital for $14B in all-cash transaction. Seeking Alpha's Quant Rating: Strong Buy Sell-side analysts rating: Hold Year-to-date stock performance:STORE Capital: 3 Replacement REITs With Yields Between 7% To 10%
Summary STORE Capital has offered a fine ride for investors, but that journey is ending. The stock offers only 2% potential upside to the takeout price - and peers offer compelling relative value. Spirit Realty offers a comparable portfolio and leverage ratio but trades at a 7.6% dividend yield. I am most bullish on cannabis REITs, which offer yields as high as 10%. STORE Capital (STOR) is set to be taken private, raising the question of whether the stock is worth holding until the close of that transaction, and which stocks can fill the void. While STOR remains a well-run company, it may not make sense to continue owning the stock given its relative premium to peers. I discuss three worthy candidates to replace STOR in a dividend portfolio with yields ranging from 7% to 10%. The rising interest rate environment has led to great volatility and high pessimism, but dividend investors likely welcome the high yield opportunities. STOR Stock Price STOR has seen its stock shoot close to the $32.25 per share takeout price. Data by YCharts I last covered STOR in May where I rated it a buy - STOR has since returned 15%. But is the stock still worth holding at current levels? STOR Stock Key Metrics STOR ended the latest quarter with 3,012 investment property locations with 94% subject to master leases. 2022 STOR Q2 Presentation The credit quality has been improving in recent quarters as evidenced by the 4.7x weighted average 4-wall FCCR. That said, it’s worth noting that 8% of the portfolio has unit-level FCCR below 1x and another 8% between 1.01x and 1.5x. That may suggest some tenants are struggling to pay rent. 2022 STOR Q2 Presentation Like peers, STOR has been quite active on the acquisition front, investing $392 million in the quarter at a 7.2% cap rate. That cap rate has compressed from the 7.8%-8% range of the past, but the annual lease escalator remained strong at 2%. The cap rate compression is worthy note considering that one would have otherwise expected the opposite considering the rising interest rate environment. 2022 STOR Q2 Presentation STOR did dispose of $65 million of properties in the quarter, making up 17% of acquisitions. That percentage has been high over the past two years. I view a lower disposition percentage of acquisition to be an indication of stronger credit underwriting as a good chunk of dispositions typically tend to be nonperforming assets. 2022 STOR Q2 Presentation STOR grew AFFO per share by16% to $0.58 and increased its full-year guidance from $2.23 to up to $2.27. The company ended the quarter with a leverage ratio of 5.7x debt to EBITDA, rather full though perhaps suggesting some debt capacity. What To Buy Instead The stock is trading with only 2% upside to the acquisition price - the company is not allowed to pay dividends until then. With the transaction expected to close in the first quarter of next year, that represents an annualized return of around 4% to 5%. The stock is currently trading at 14x FFO and a 5.2% dividend yield. In my view, that potential upside is not high enough considering that many net lease peers trade at far more compelling valuations. One candidate worthy of attention is Spirit Realty (SRC), a close peer. I covered SRC in September - the company has a comparable portfolio with solid investment grade exposure. 2022 SRC Q2 Presentation Leverage stood at 5.5x debt to EBITDA, comparable with STOR, but the stock trades at only 9.6x FFO and a 7.6% dividend yield. If the STOR transaction were to fall apart, then I would not be surprised to see STOR and SRC trade at similar valuations. If one is willing to look deeper in the net lease sector, cannabis REITs represent in my opinion the most compelling opportunity. The most well known operator is Innovative Industrial Properties (IIPR), which is the largest publicly traded cannabis REIT. I last covered IIPR in August. As a landlord of cannabis real estate, IIPR primarily owns cultivation facilities (where tenants grow cannabis) leased to licensed operators in states that have legalized the plant for either medical or recreational use. 2022 IIPRQ2 Presentation If you are unfamiliar with cannabis REITs, there’s a couple of things to know. First, cannabis can be considered to be a hyper-growth sector - largely because the plant has and remains federally illegal, but is rapidly being legalized at the state level. Consumers are embracing the plant for its recreational and medical applications. Yours truly has found the plant to be a life saver for occasional anxiety and insomnia. Second, because cannabis is federally illegal, it is very lucrative to be a landlord. IIPR is able to charge elevated cap rates at around 13% with annual lease escalators around 3%. In comparison, traditional NNN REITs like STOR and Realty Income (O) get cap rates around 6% to 7.5% with escalators in the 1% to 2% range. Those improved fundamentals have paid off, as dividends have increased by more than 10x since 2017. Seeking Alpha IIPR also has far less leverage than conventional NNN REITs, with debt to EBITDA at only 1x. IIPR recently traded hands at 12x FFO and a 7.7% dividend yield. IIPR is by far the most well known cannabis REIT, but there’s another pick worth mentioning. NewLake Capital (NLCP) is just like IIPR in that it is an internally managed landlord of cannabis real estate, but it is far smaller at just $330 million in market cap and is listed Over the Counter (‘OTC’). I consider NLCP as having a higher quality portfolio than IIPR due to its focus on limited license states. Some states limit the number of licensed operators, which helps improve profit margins.Recent updates
Rendement pour les actionnaires
| STOR | US REITs | US Marché | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | 0.03% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
| 1Y | 5.7% | 10.9% | 19.9% |
Rendement vs Industrie: STOR a dépassé le secteur US REITs qui a rapporté 10.9 % au cours de l'année écoulée.
Rendement vs marché: STOR a dépassé le marché US qui a rapporté 19.9 % au cours de l'année écoulée.
Volatilité des prix
| STOR volatility | |
|---|---|
| STOR Average Weekly Movement | 0.3% |
| REITs Industry Average Movement | 3.1% |
| Market Average Movement | 7.3% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in US Market | 16.8% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in US Market | 3.1% |
Cours de l'action stable: STOR n'a pas connu de volatilité de prix significative au cours des 3 derniers mois par rapport au marché US.
Volatilité au fil du temps: La volatilité hebdomadaire de STOR ( 0% ) est restée stable au cours de l'année écoulée.
À propos de l'entreprise
| Fondée | Salariés | PDG | Site web |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | 117 | Mary Fedewa | www.storecapital.com |
STORE Capital Corporation Résumé des fondamentaux
| STOR statistiques fondamentales | |
|---|---|
| Capitalisation boursière | US$9.09b |
| Bénéfices(TTM) | US$321.37m |
| Recettes(TTM) | US$880.69m |
Le site STOR est-il surévalué ?
Voir Juste valeur et analyse de l'évaluationBénéfices et recettes
| STOR compte de résultat (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| Recettes | US$880.69m |
| Coût des recettes | US$16.53m |
| Marge brute | US$864.16m |
| Autres dépenses | US$542.80m |
| Les revenus | US$321.37m |
Derniers bénéfices déclarés
Sep 30, 2022
Prochaine date de publication des résultats
s/o
| Résultat par action (EPS) | 1.14 |
| Marge brute | 98.12% |
| Marge bénéficiaire nette | 36.49% |
| Ratio dettes/capitaux propres | 90.7% |
Quelles ont été les performances à long terme de STOR?
Voir les performances historiques et les comparaisonsDividendes
Analyse de l'entreprise et données financières
| Données | Dernière mise à jour (heure UTC) |
|---|---|
| Analyse de l'entreprise | 2023/02/04 06:39 |
| Cours de l'action en fin de journée | 2023/02/02 00:00 |
| Les revenus | 2022/09/30 |
| Revenus annuels | 2021/12/31 |
Sources de données
Les données utilisées dans notre analyse de l'entreprise proviennent de S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Les données suivantes sont utilisées dans notre modèle d'analyse pour générer ce rapport. Les données sont normalisées, ce qui peut entraîner un délai avant que la source ne soit disponible.
| Paquet | Données | Cadre temporel | Exemple de source américaine * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Finances de l'entreprise | 10 ans |
| |
| Estimations consensuelles des analystes | +3 ans |
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| Prix du marché | 30 ans |
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| Propriété | 10 ans |
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| Gestion | 10 ans |
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| Principaux développements | 10 ans |
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* Exemple pour les titres américains ; pour les titres non américains, des formulaires réglementaires et des sources équivalentes sont utilisés.
Sauf indication contraire, toutes les données financières sont basées sur une période annuelle mais mises à jour trimestriellement. C'est ce qu'on appelle les données des douze derniers mois (TTM) ou des douze derniers mois (LTM). En savoir plus.
Modèle d'analyse et flocon de neige
Les détails du modèle d'analyse utilisé pour générer ce rapport sont disponibles sur notre page Github, nous proposons également des guides pour apprendre à utiliser nos rapports et des tutoriels sur YouTube.
Découvrez l'équipe de classe mondiale qui a conçu et construit le modèle d'analyse Simply Wall St.
Indicateurs de l'industrie et du secteur
Nos indicateurs de secteur et de section sont calculés toutes les 6 heures par Simply Wall St. Les détails de notre processus sont disponibles sur Github.
Sources des analystes
STORE Capital Corporation est couverte par 19 analystes. 5 de ces analystes ont soumis les estimations de revenus ou de bénéfices utilisées comme données d'entrée dans notre rapport. Les soumissions des analystes sont mises à jour tout au long de la journée.
| Analyste | Institution |
|---|---|
| Wesley Golladay | Baird |
| Nathan Crossett | Berenberg |
| John Kim | BMO Capital Markets Equity Research |