Luckin Coffee Croissance future
Future contrôle des critères 5/6
Luckin Coffee devrait augmenter ses bénéfices et son chiffre d'affaires de 22.4% et de 13.2% par an respectivement. Le BPA devrait croître de de 21.6% par an. Le rendement des capitaux propres devrait être 23.6% dans 3 ans.
Informations clés
22.4%
Taux de croissance des bénéfices
21.56%
Taux de croissance du BPA
| Hospitality croissance des bénéfices | 18.0% |
| Taux de croissance des recettes | 13.2% |
| Rendement futur des capitaux propres | 23.57% |
| Couverture par les analystes | Good |
| Dernière mise à jour | 06 May 2026 |
Mises à jour récentes de la croissance future
Pas de mise à jour
Recent updates
Mise à jour du récit • May 10
LKNC.Y: Roasting Network Expansion And Share Repurchases Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Luckin Coffee to $45.98 from $45.54, attributing the change to updated assumptions for the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E levels. What's in the News Luckin Coffee announced a share repurchase program of up to US$300 million of Class A shares in the form of American Depository Shares, funded with existing cash, with a planned duration of 12 months.Mise à jour du récit • Apr 24
LKNC.Y: Smart Roasting Network And Origin Flagship Expansion Will Support Upside
Analysts have made a modest adjustment to their $45.54 price target on Luckin Coffee, reflecting slightly updated views on discount rate, revenue growth assumptions, profit margins and future P/E multiples, while keeping their overall fair value estimate effectively unchanged. What's in the News Luckin Coffee began operating an advanced smart roasting center in Qingdao, Shandong Province, with a total investment of about RMB 3,000 million and annual roasting capacity of over 55,000 tons.Mise à jour du récit • Apr 10
LKNC.Y: Origin Flagship Expansion And Green Retail Concept Will Support Upside
Analysts have maintained their $45.54 price target for Luckin Coffee, noting that updated model inputs, including a slightly higher discount rate and a revised future P/E assumption, offset one another in their valuation analysis. What's in the News Luckin Coffee opened its 30,000th store in Shenzhen, described as its first Origin Flagship location with a focus on Global Origins and a larger brand evolution theme (Key Developments).Mise à jour du récit • Mar 26
LKNC.Y: Origin Flagship And Green Retail Concept Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have modestly raised their $45.54 price target for Luckin Coffee, reflecting slightly revised assumptions for the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E. Together, these changes indicate a fine-tuning of their view rather than a major reset.Mise à jour du récit • Mar 10
LKNC.Y: Origin Flagship And Green Retail Expansion Will Drive Future Upside
Analysts have reduced their fair value estimate for Luckin Coffee to about $45.54 from around $48.76 as they incorporate more cautious assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins and the future P/E multiple. What's in the News Luckin Coffee marked the opening of its 30,000th store, the first Origin Flagship in Shenzhen, highlighting its large-scale retail footprint across more than 300 cities in China and overseas markets including Singapore, Malaysia and the United States.Mise à jour du récit • Feb 24
LKNC.Y: Origin Flagship And Green Retail Expansion Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have nudged their price target on Luckin Coffee slightly higher to $48.76 from $48.60, reflecting updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, discount rate, and future P/E. What's in the News Luckin Coffee opened its 30,000th store, its first Origin Flagship, in Shenzhen, tying the launch to a Global Origins theme and highlighting a shift toward greater focus on professionalism, quality, and sustainable development.Mise à jour du récit • Feb 09
LKNC.Y: Overweight Rating And Origin Flagship Expansion Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Luckin Coffee to about US$48.60 from roughly US$50.10, reflecting slightly adjusted assumptions on discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E, even as fresh Street research highlights renewed interest in the stock within China's "bubble & brew" sector and cites a US$55 price target on new coverage. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts highlight the new US$55 price target as support for the view that Luckin Coffee still has upside potential relative to the revised fair value estimate of about US$48.60, pointing to room for the share price to converge toward their assumptions on earnings and P/E.Mise à jour du récit • Jan 25
LKNC.Y: Bubble And Brew Leadership And Overweight Rating Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have nudged their price target for Luckin Coffee slightly higher to about US$50.10 from about US$49.83, citing recent positive Street research, including a new Overweight initiation, as support for the updated view. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research, including a fresh Overweight initiation and US$55 price target from JPMorgan, adds more color around how the market is thinking about Luckin Coffee at current levels.Mise à jour du récit • Jan 11
LKNC.Y: Bubble And Brew Leadership And Margin Strength Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Luckin Coffee slightly higher to about US$49.83 per share from roughly US$49.63, citing recent positive Street research, including a new US$55 target and Overweight initiation that support modestly stronger profit margin and P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research, including a new Overweight initiation and US$55 price target from JPMorgan, gives more color on how analysts are thinking about Luckin Coffee's risk and reward profile.Mise à jour du récit • Dec 14
LKNC.Y: Store Expansion And Digital Platform Will Drive Future Market Leadership
Analysts have nudged their price target for Luckin Coffee slightly lower to $49.63 from about $49.95, reflecting modestly softer long term growth and margin assumptions, even as they continue to highlight the company as a preferred name within China's "bubble and brew" sector. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts highlight Luckin Coffee's positioning as a top pick within China's rapidly expanding "bubble and brew" category, supporting a premium valuation relative to slower growing domestic peers.Mise à jour du récit • Nov 30
LKNC.Y: Market Leadership Will Support Store Expansion Across China
The analyst consensus price target for Luckin Coffee has risen from $48.24 to $49.95, as analysts cite strong store growth and continued profitability in a rapidly expanding Chinese coffee market. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts highlight Luckin Coffee's consistent outperformance within China's rapidly growing coffee sector, noting that it is now the largest coffee chain in the country by store count.Mise à jour du récit • Nov 16
LKNC.Y: Market Leadership Will Drive Store Expansion Momentum In China
Analysts have revised their fair value estimate for Luckin Coffee upward from $46.89 to $48.24. They cite strong growth prospects and continued optimism for China's expanding coffee market.Mise à jour du récit • Sep 06
Chinese Urbanization And Digital Transformation Will Unlock Market Potential
The consensus analyst price target for Luckin Coffee has increased modestly as a sharp decline in its future P/E ratio offset a slight reduction in revenue growth forecasts, lifting the fair value estimate from $45.61 to $46.89. What's in the News Luckin Coffee (LKNCY), now China's largest coffee chain, has opened its first store in New York City less than 200 feet from a Starbucks location, signaling its entry into the U.S. market (WSJ).Mise à jour du récit • Aug 07
Chinese Urbanization And Digital Transformation Will Unlock Market Potential
Luckin Coffee’s future P/E ratio has dropped sharply from 21.27x to 2.96x while its net profit margin remains stable at 9.4%, leading to the consensus analyst price target holding steady at $45.61. Valuation Changes Summary of Valuation Changes for Luckin Coffee The Consensus Analyst Price Target remained effectively unchanged, at $45.61.
Nouveau récit • Dec 03
Aggressive Store Expansion And Light Milk Tea Innovations Will Drive Revenue Growth And Profitability
Aggressive store expansion and new product lines are boosting market share, diversifying offerings, and enhancing customer engagement, driving revenue growth.Prévisions de croissance des bénéfices et des revenus
| Date | Recettes | Les revenus | Flux de trésorerie disponible | Cash from Op | Moy. Nombre d'analystes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 75,894 | 6,723 | 6,074 | 8,372 | 7 |
| 12/31/2027 | 67,534 | 5,418 | 3,832 | 7,147 | 10 |
| 12/31/2026 | 59,756 | 4,357 | 3,417 | 5,709 | 10 |
| 3/31/2026 | 52,418 | 3,583 | 3,362 | 5,985 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 49,288 | 3,600 | 3,467 | 6,091 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 46,125 | 3,931 | 4,736 | 7,155 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 41,018 | 3,967 | 3,983 | 6,402 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 37,062 | 3,562 | 2,972 | 5,390 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 34,475 | 2,956 | 1,811 | 4,229 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 31,927 | 2,401 | -1,083 | 1,674 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 28,946 | 2,075 | -1,089 | 1,668 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 26,745 | 2,200 | -1,193 | 1,563 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 24,903 | 2,844 | 144 | 2,900 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 21,533 | 2,606 | 3,074 | 3,875 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 18,228 | 2,147 | 2,181 | 2,982 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 15,325 | 1,033 | 184 | 985 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 13,293 | 488 | -781 | 20 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 12,031 | 1,355 | -216 | -43 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 10,486 | 803 | -625 | -452 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 9,101 | 831 | 291 | 464 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 7,965 | 579 | -50 | 123 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 6,879 | -2,665 | -816 | 6 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 5,671 | -4,353 | -1,097 | -274 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 4,530 | -5,044 | -2,446 | -1,624 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 4,033 | -5,589 | -3,199 | -2,377 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 2,783 | -4,661 | -4,065 | -3,286 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 3,182 | -3,481 | -4,751 | -3,137 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 3,319 | -3,918 | -3,940 | -2,526 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 3,025 | -3,713 | N/A | -2,167 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 3,395 | -3,765 | N/A | -1,397 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 2,094 | -3,718 | N/A | -1,994 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 1,306 | -3,631 | N/A | -1,815 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 841 | -3,190 | N/A | -1,311 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 1 | -113 | N/A | -190 | N/A |
Prévisions de croissance des analystes
Taux de revenus par rapport au taux d'épargne: La croissance des bénéfices prévue de LKNC.Y ( 22.4% par an) est supérieure au taux d'épargne ( 3.5% ).
Bénéfices vs marché: Les bénéfices de LKNC.Y ( 22.4% par an) devraient croître plus rapidement que le marché US ( 16.7% par an).
Croissance élevée des bénéfices: Les bénéfices de LKNC.Y devraient augmenter de manière significative au cours des 3 prochaines années.
Chiffre d'affaires vs marché: Le chiffre d'affaires de LKNC.Y ( 13.2% par an) devrait croître plus rapidement que le marché US ( 11.6% par an).
Croissance élevée des revenus: Le chiffre d'affaires de LKNC.Y ( 13.2% par an) devrait croître plus lentement que 20% par an.
Prévisions de croissance du bénéfice par action
Rendement futur des capitaux propres
ROE futur: Le retour sur capitaux propres de LKNC.Y devrait être élevé dans 3 ans ( 23.6 %)
Découvrir les entreprises en croissance
Analyse de l'entreprise et données financières
| Données | Dernière mise à jour (heure UTC) |
|---|---|
| Analyse de l'entreprise | 2026/05/14 23:57 |
| Cours de l'action en fin de journée | 2026/05/14 00:00 |
| Les revenus | 2026/03/31 |
| Revenus annuels | 2025/12/31 |
Sources de données
Les données utilisées dans notre analyse de l'entreprise proviennent de S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Les données suivantes sont utilisées dans notre modèle d'analyse pour générer ce rapport. Les données sont normalisées, ce qui peut entraîner un délai avant que la source ne soit disponible.
| Paquet | Données | Cadre temporel | Exemple de source américaine * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Finances de l'entreprise | 10 ans |
| |
| Estimations consensuelles des analystes | +3 ans |
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| Prix du marché | 30 ans |
| |
| Propriété | 10 ans |
| |
| Gestion | 10 ans |
| |
| Principaux développements | 10 ans |
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* Exemple pour les titres américains ; pour les titres non américains, des formulaires réglementaires et des sources équivalentes sont utilisés.
Sauf indication contraire, toutes les données financières sont basées sur une période annuelle mais mises à jour trimestriellement. C'est ce qu'on appelle les données des douze derniers mois (TTM) ou des douze derniers mois (LTM). En savoir plus.
Modèle d'analyse et flocon de neige
Les détails du modèle d’analyse utilisé pour générer ce rapport sont disponibles sur notre page Github; nous proposons également des guides expliquant comment utiliser nos rapports et des tutoriels sur Youtube.
Découvrez l'équipe de classe mondiale qui a conçu et construit le modèle d'analyse Simply Wall St.
Indicateurs de l'industrie et du secteur
Nos indicateurs de secteur et de section sont calculés toutes les 6 heures par Simply Wall St. Les détails de notre processus sont disponibles sur Github.
Sources des analystes
Luckin Coffee Inc. est couverte par 18 analystes. 10 de ces analystes ont soumis les estimations de revenus ou de bénéfices utilisées comme données d'entrée dans notre rapport. Les soumissions des analystes sont mises à jour tout au long de la journée.
| Analyste | Institution |
|---|---|
| Mark Yuan | BNP Paribas |
| Boyi Shi | CGS International |
| null null | China International Capital Corporation Limited |