Toll Brothers Croissance future
Future contrôle des critères 1/6
Toll Brothers devrait augmenter ses bénéfices et son chiffre d'affaires de 5.7% et de 5.3% par an respectivement. Le BPA devrait croître de de 9.4% par an. Le rendement des capitaux propres devrait être 15% dans 3 ans.
Informations clés
5.7%
Taux de croissance des bénéfices
9.36%
Taux de croissance du BPA
| Consumer Durables croissance des bénéfices | 8.3% |
| Taux de croissance des recettes | 5.3% |
| Rendement futur des capitaux propres | 14.98% |
| Couverture par les analystes | Good |
| Dernière mise à jour | 30 Jun 2026 |
Mises à jour récentes de la croissance future
Recent updates
Toll Brothers: Challenges May Take Their Toll On Valuation (Rating Downgrade)
Summary Toll Brothers, Inc. has delivered a 20% return in two months, validating my buy rating, but the current valuation now warrants a hold downgrade. TOL's business model is not fully shielded from inflation and interest rate uncertainty, but its strategic inventory management and land options ensure high margin preservation. Its geographical diversification and robust balance sheet guarantee longevity. Technicals show that TOL is trading at overbought conditions, suggesting a dip. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
TOL: Luxury Expansion And Resilient Affluent Demand Will Shape Future Returns
The analyst price target for Toll Brothers has been revised in a tight range, with recent moves such as Keefe Bruyette lifting its target to $161 from $158 and Argus raising its target to $170 from $165. Analysts point to resilient luxury demand, margin support from affluent buyer segments, and company specific factors like long land positions and post earnings fundamentals in a challenging housing market.Toll Brothers (TOL) Stock Could Be 11% Undervalued After Earnings And Raised Guidance
Toll Brothers (TOL) stock has been in focus after a strong earnings report, raised guidance, and a series of upbeat analyst updates that coincided with a shift away from high profile technology stocks. See our latest analysis for Toll Brothers. Toll Brothers' share price has pulled back by 2.36% over the last day to $149.66, but that comes after a strong run, with a 30 day share price return of 17.87% and a 1 year total shareholder return of 43.02%. This suggests momentum has recently been...
TOL: Luxury Demand Strength Will Face Pressure From Sector Multiple Compression
Toll Brothers' analyst price target has shifted modestly, with the fair value estimate moving about $3 lower to roughly $126.90 as analysts factor in a slightly lower discount rate, higher expected revenue growth and margins, and a reduced future P/E multiple, supported by recent research highlighting resilient luxury demand, margin defense, and mixed but generally constructive updates to Street price targets. Analyst Commentary Recent Street commentary on Toll Brothers centers on how the luxury focus, order trends, and peer comparisons feed into valuation and execution risks.
TOL: Luxury Buyer Resilience And Cash Returns Will Support Future Upside
The analyst price target for Toll Brothers has been revised down by $11 to $187 from $198, as analysts factor in updated views on peer multiples, margins, and the luxury housing backdrop. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Toll Brothers show a mix of reduced targets and selective increases, as analysts recalibrate their views around peer valuations, margins, and the luxury housing backdrop.Results: Toll Brothers, Inc. Exceeded Expectations And The Consensus Has Updated Its Estimates
Toll Brothers, Inc. ( NYSE:TOL ) just released its latest quarterly results and things are looking bullish. The company...TOL: Luxury Demand And Capital Returns Will Support Future Upside Potential
The analyst price target for Toll Brothers has been trimmed by $4.38 to $168.38, as analysts weigh expectations for stronger revenue growth and slightly higher profit margins against a higher discount rate and a lower future P/E multiple, following recent mixed rating and target changes across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Toll Brothers reflects a mix of optimism on earnings power and concerns about where the stock is currently trading, which helps explain the modest trim to the blended price target.TOL: Luxury Demand Resilience And 2027 Recovery Expectations Will Shape Balanced Outlook
The updated analyst price target for Toll Brothers reflects a modest trim of fair value to about $130, as analysts factor in softer revenue growth assumptions and slightly lower profit margins, while still recognizing differentiated positioning in higher end housing and a range of recent target increases from firms across the Street. Analyst Commentary Street research on Toll Brothers over the past few months has centered on how much earnings power to ascribe to the higher end housing segment and what valuation multiple is appropriate after a strong run in homebuilder shares.TOL: Luxury Buyer Strength And Cash Returns Will Drive Future Upside
The analyst fair value estimate for Toll Brothers has increased to $198 from $181. Analysts are balancing slightly softer growth and margin assumptions with a higher future P/E and a series of recent target increases tied to Q1 results, relative valuation, and expectations for the luxury buyer.TOL: Luxury Demand And 2027 Recovery Expectations Will Support Cautious Fair Value View
Analysts have lifted their average price targets on Toll Brothers into a higher $160 to $190 range, citing updated models after Q1 results, a view that the stock screens as undervalued versus its return on equity potential, and expectations that the company could be well positioned if luxury housing demand firms into 2027. Analyst Commentary Across Wall Street coverage, the latest research on Toll Brothers reflects a mix of confidence in the business model and caution around housing demand, margins, and valuation.TOL: Luxury Resilience And 2027 Recovery Expectations Will Offset Near Term Margin Headwinds
Analysts have lifted the fair value estimate for Toll Brothers to $132.97 from $119.55 as they update models for higher long term P/E assumptions, a slightly stronger margin outlook in what several firms describe as a resilient luxury segment, and a series of higher Street price targets ranging from about $116 to $198. Analyst Commentary Street research on Toll Brothers has become more active, with several firms adjusting price targets and framing expectations around margins, demand, and the luxury segment.Prévisions de croissance des bénéfices et des revenus
| Date | Recettes | Les revenus | Flux de trésorerie disponible | Cash from Op | Moy. Nombre d'analystes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/31/2028 | 12,087 | 1,404 | 1,460 | 1,486 | 5 |
| 10/31/2027 | 11,066 | 1,287 | 1,675 | 1,163 | 14 |
| 10/31/2026 | 10,722 | 1,209 | 1,464 | 834 | 14 |
| 4/30/2026 | 11,045 | 1,288 | 1,215 | 1,312 | N/A |
| 1/31/2026 | 11,253 | 1,380 | 1,453 | 1,540 | N/A |
| 10/31/2025 | 10,967 | 1,346 | 1,026 | 1,112 | N/A |
| 7/31/2025 | 10,877 | 1,375 | 918 | 995 | N/A |
| 4/30/2025 | 10,660 | 1,380 | 723 | 800 | N/A |
| 1/31/2025 | 10,758 | 1,509 | 819 | 896 | N/A |
| 10/31/2024 | 10,847 | 1,571 | 937 | 1,010 | N/A |
| 7/31/2024 | 10,533 | 1,541 | 845 | 919 | N/A |
| 4/30/2024 | 10,493 | 1,582 | 1,210 | 1,273 | N/A |
| 1/31/2024 | 10,163 | 1,420 | 1,250 | 1,317 | N/A |
| 10/31/2023 | 9,995 | 1,372 | 1,193 | 1,266 | N/A |
| 7/31/2023 | 10,687 | 1,567 | 1,839 | 1,908 | N/A |
| 4/30/2023 | 10,494 | 1,426 | 1,265 | 1,337 | N/A |
| 1/31/2023 | 10,265 | 1,326 | 837 | 910 | N/A |
| 10/31/2022 | 10,276 | 1,287 | 915 | 987 | N/A |
| 7/31/2022 | 9,605 | 1,020 | 530 | 608 | N/A |
| 4/30/2022 | 9,365 | 982 | 994 | 1,071 | N/A |
| 1/31/2022 | 9,018 | 889 | 896 | 967 | N/A |
| 10/31/2021 | 8,790 | 834 | 1,236 | 1,303 | N/A |
| 7/31/2021 | 8,295 | 659 | 1,235 | 1,315 | N/A |
| 4/30/2021 | 7,691 | 538 | 1,138 | 1,227 | N/A |
| 1/31/2021 | 7,310 | 486 | 1,333 | 1,430 | N/A |
| 10/31/2020 | 7,078 | 447 | 899 | 1,008 | N/A |
| 7/31/2020 | 6,911 | 450 | 456 | 557 | N/A |
| 4/30/2020 | 7,025 | 481 | 239 | 332 | N/A |
| 1/31/2020 | 7,192 | 535 | N/A | 256 | N/A |
| 10/31/2019 | 7,224 | 590 | N/A | 438 | N/A |
| 7/31/2019 | 7,300 | 699 | N/A | 685 | N/A |
| 4/30/2019 | 7,448 | 746 | N/A | 829 | N/A |
| 1/31/2019 | 7,331 | 728 | N/A | 733 | N/A |
| 10/31/2018 | 7,143 | 748 | N/A | 588 | N/A |
| 7/31/2018 | 6,716 | 629 | N/A | 483 | N/A |
| 4/30/2018 | 6,305 | 584 | N/A | 396 | N/A |
| 1/31/2018 | 6,070 | 597 | N/A | 611 | N/A |
| 10/31/2017 | 5,815 | 535 | N/A | 862 | N/A |
| 7/31/2017 | 5,643 | 458 | N/A | 882 | N/A |
| 4/30/2017 | 5,410 | 415 | N/A | 408 | N/A |
| 1/31/2017 | 5,162 | 379 | N/A | 196 | N/A |
| 10/31/2016 | 5,170 | 382 | N/A | 151 | N/A |
| 7/31/2016 | 4,751 | 415 | N/A | -154 | N/A |
| 4/30/2016 | 4,509 | 376 | N/A | 82 | N/A |
| 1/31/2016 | 4,246 | 355 | N/A | 70 | N/A |
| 10/31/2015 | 4,171 | 363 | N/A | 60 | N/A |
| 7/31/2015 | 4,085 | 348 | N/A | 163 | N/A |
Prévisions de croissance des analystes
Taux de revenus par rapport au taux d'épargne: La croissance des bénéfices prévue de TOL ( 5.7% par an) est supérieure au taux d'épargne ( 3.5% ).
Bénéfices vs marché: Les bénéfices de TOL ( 5.7% par an) devraient croître plus lentement que le marché US ( 18.4% par an).
Croissance élevée des bénéfices: Les bénéfices de TOL devraient augmenter, mais pas de manière significative.
Chiffre d'affaires vs marché: Le chiffre d'affaires de TOL ( 5.3% par an) devrait croître plus lentement que le marché de US ( 12.7% par an).
Croissance élevée des revenus: Le chiffre d'affaires de TOL ( 5.3% par an) devrait croître plus lentement que 20% par an.
Prévisions de croissance du bénéfice par action
Rendement futur des capitaux propres
ROE futur: Le retour sur capitaux propres de TOL devrait être faible dans 3 ans ( 15 %).
Découvrir les entreprises en croissance
Analyse de l'entreprise et données financières
| Données | Dernière mise à jour (heure UTC) |
|---|---|
| Analyse de l'entreprise | 2026/07/06 21:16 |
| Cours de l'action en fin de journée | 2026/07/02 00:00 |
| Les revenus | 2026/04/30 |
| Revenus annuels | 2025/10/31 |
Sources de données
Les données utilisées dans notre analyse de l'entreprise proviennent de S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Les données suivantes sont utilisées dans notre modèle d'analyse pour générer ce rapport. Les données sont normalisées, ce qui peut entraîner un délai avant que la source ne soit disponible.
| Paquet | Données | Cadre temporel | Exemple de source américaine * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Finances de l'entreprise | 10 ans |
| |
| Estimations consensuelles des analystes | +3 ans |
|
|
| Prix du marché | 30 ans |
| |
| Propriété | 10 ans |
| |
| Gestion | 10 ans |
| |
| Principaux développements | 10 ans |
|
* Exemple pour les titres américains ; pour les titres non américains, des formulaires réglementaires et des sources équivalentes sont utilisés.
Sauf indication contraire, toutes les données financières sont basées sur une période annuelle mais mises à jour trimestriellement. C'est ce qu'on appelle les données des douze derniers mois (TTM) ou des douze derniers mois (LTM). En savoir plus.
Modèle d'analyse et flocon de neige
Les détails du modèle d'analyse utilisé pour générer ce rapport sont disponibles sur notre page Github, nous proposons également des guides pour apprendre à utiliser nos rapports et des tutoriels sur YouTube.
Découvrez l'équipe de classe mondiale qui a conçu et construit le modèle d'analyse Simply Wall St.
Indicateurs de l'industrie et du secteur
Nos indicateurs de secteur et de section sont calculés toutes les 6 heures par Simply Wall St. Les détails de notre processus sont disponibles sur Github.
Sources des analystes
Toll Brothers, Inc. est couverte par 34 analystes. 14 de ces analystes ont soumis les estimations de revenus ou de bénéfices utilisées comme données d'entrée dans notre rapport. Les soumissions des analystes sont mises à jour tout au long de la journée.
| Analyste | Institution |
|---|---|
| Christopher Graja | Argus Research Company |
| Stephen Kim | Barclays |
| Matthew Bouley | Barclays |