Meritage Homes Croissance future
Future contrôle des critères 1/6
Meritage Homes devrait augmenter ses bénéfices et son chiffre d'affaires de 7.2% et de 4.6% par an respectivement. Le BPA devrait croître de de 13.2% par an. Le rendement des capitaux propres devrait être 8.5% dans 3 ans.
Informations clés
7.2%
Taux de croissance des bénéfices
13.16%
Taux de croissance du BPA
| Consumer Durables croissance des bénéfices | 8.0% |
| Taux de croissance des recettes | 4.6% |
| Rendement futur des capitaux propres | 8.51% |
| Couverture par les analystes | Good |
| Dernière mise à jour | 22 Jun 2026 |
Mises à jour récentes de la croissance future
Recent updates
Mise à jour du récit • Jun 22
MTH: Buybacks And Consolidation Floor Will Shape Balanced Future Return Potential
The updated analyst fair value estimate for Meritage Homes has shifted from $77.78 to $80.25 as analysts factor in slightly adjusted assumptions for the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E, along with readthroughs from recent sector consolidation and price target revisions across homebuilders. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Meritage Homes reflects a mix of optimism and caution, with multiple firms revisiting their price targets and using consolidation among homebuilders as a reference point for valuation.Article d’analyse • Jun 19
Meritage Homes (MTH) Stock Could Be 2.6% Undervalued After Institutional Buying Picks Up
Recent filings show major institutions have lifted their positions in Meritage Homes (MTH), raising its institutional shareholding rank to first in the Homebuilding & Construction Supplies industry and drawing attention to its financial health metrics. See our latest analysis for Meritage Homes. Meritage Homes shares have picked up clear momentum recently, with a 24.41% 1 month share price return and a 28.88% 3 month share price return, contributing to a 24.47% 1 year total shareholder return...Mise à jour du récit • Jun 05
MTH: Buybacks And Consolidation Potential Will Support Future Earnings Power
Analysts have trimmed their average price target on Meritage Homes by a few dollars, reflecting slightly lower P/E assumptions and discount rates, while still pointing to interest in the stock as a potential acquisition candidate following recent sector consolidation headlines. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Meritage Homes has focused on valuation reset, consolidation potential in the homebuilding sector, and how its trading multiples compare with peers following the Taylor Morrison sale agreement.Mise à jour du récit • May 20
MTH: Share Buybacks And Spec Model Will Support Future Earnings Power
Analysts have lowered their average price target on Meritage Homes by about $5 to roughly $78, citing updated assumptions for fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E multiples following a series of recent target reductions across major firms. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Meritage Homes reflects a more cautious stance on valuation after a period of prior optimism, including an earlier Buy initiation with a US$90 price target tied to the company's 100% spec strategy.
Mise à jour du récit • Apr 29
MTH: Margin Pressures And Lower Sector Multiples Will Constrain Future Upside
Analysts have trimmed their average price target on Meritage Homes by several dollars, reflecting updated views on profit margins, future P/E assumptions and recent sector research that has generally lowered price objectives across homebuilders. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Meritage Homes has centered on a series of price target reductions, even as some firms had previously been constructive on the company and the broader U.S. homebuilding group.Mise à jour du récit • Apr 14
MTH: Spec Model And Dividend Yield Will Shape Future Margin Resilience
Analysts have trimmed their average price targets on Meritage Homes by single-digit dollar amounts, with updates such as $8, $6, and $2 cuts. They continue to highlight efficiencies from the company's 100% spec approach as a key support for long-term volume potential and margins.Mise à jour du récit • Mar 31
MTH: Spec Model And Dividend Yield Will Frame Future Margin Trade Off
Analysts have adjusted their average price targets on Meritage Homes toward the $90 range. This reflects mixed views that balance concerns about margin pressure with interest in the company's 100% spec strategy and current dividend yield.Mise à jour du récit • Mar 17
MTH: Spec Build Model And Incentives Will Shape Future Margin Resilience
Analysts have kept their average price target for Meritage Homes broadly in line with prior levels, with recent changes centered around the $90 to $104 range as they weigh the company's 100% spec build approach, comments on margin risk and housing demand, and views on its dividend yield and valuation. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Meritage Homes reflects a mix of supportive and cautious views, with attention fixed on how the 100% spec build model, pricing incentives, and margin trends could affect the stock's risk and reward profile.Mise à jour du récit • Mar 02
MTH: Elevated Incentives And Margin Pressure Will Constrain Future Share Returns
Analysts have trimmed their blended price target on Meritage Homes by a few dollars, citing a mix of lower targets tied to margin and demand concerns, along with higher targets around $90 to $104 that reflect views of relatively inexpensive valuation and potential for steadier longer term housing conditions. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Meritage Homes shows a split view, with some firms lifting targets into the $90 to $104 range while several bearish analysts trim expectations on margins, demand, and earnings power.Mise à jour du récit • Feb 16
MTH: Margin Pressures And Incentives Will Limit Future Upside Potential
Analysts have reduced their fair value estimate for Meritage Homes from $74.00 to $62.00, citing recent cuts to Street price targets and concerns around margin risk, even as some still point to relatively low P/E assumptions and income support from the dividend. Analyst Commentary Recent research has highlighted a mix of caution and support around Meritage Homes, with several bearish analysts trimming price targets or cutting ratings while others still point to income and valuation support.Seeking Alpha • Feb 11
Meritage Homes Corporation: Demand Is Still The Problem
Summary Meritage Homes remains a hold as management guides for flat FY2026 revenue and home closing volume, with no near-term recovery in demand. Community count hit an all-time high, and inventory management improved, reducing downside risk and limiting forced discounting pressures. MTH is shifting to a more disciplined incentive strategy, prioritizing margin protection over chasing volume in weaker markets. Despite operational positives, weak absorption, low backlog visibility, and a 12x forward earnings multiple make upside difficult to justify. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Mise à jour du récit • Feb 02
MTH: Buybacks And Dividend Yield Will Support Future Housing Upside
Analysts have trimmed their implied fair value estimate for Meritage Homes to US$95.00 from about US$103.57. This reflects more cautious assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E, even as recent research shows a mix of lower and higher price targets alongside differing views on housing demand and builder profitability.Mise à jour du récit • Jan 19
MTH: Share Repurchases And Dividend Yield Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have modestly raised their implied fair value estimate for Meritage Homes to about $104 from roughly $100, reflecting slightly higher assumed revenue growth and P/E multiples, partially offset by more cautious profit margin expectations following recent research highlighting pressure on builder incentives and gross margins. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Meritage Homes has been mixed, but there are clear pockets of optimism that support the modestly higher fair value estimate.Mise à jour du récit • Jan 05
MTH: Share Repurchases And EPS Outlook Will Support Upside Potential
Analysts have trimmed their price target for Meritage Homes from US$107.00 to about US$99.88, reflecting updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, discount rate, and future P/E expectations. What's in the News From July 1, 2025 to September 30, 2025, Meritage Homes repurchased 772,010 shares for US$55 million, equal to 1.08% of its shares.Mise à jour du récit • Dec 21
MTH: Higher Margins And Buybacks Will Drive Stronger Future Upside
Analysts have raised their price target on Meritage Homes from approximately $60.00 to $74.00 per share, citing expectations for stronger profit margins and a modestly higher future earnings multiple, despite slightly slower projected revenue growth and a marginally higher discount rate. What's in the News Meritage Homes completed a share repurchase tranche between July 1, 2025 and September 30, 2025, buying back 772,010 shares, or 1.08% of outstanding shares, for $55 million under its ongoing authorization (company filing).Mise à jour du récit • Dec 07
MTH: Fed Cut And Share Buybacks Will Support Earnings Strength Ahead
Analysts have nudged their price target on Meritage Homes slightly higher, from about $82.63 to roughly $83.13, citing updated homebuilder valuations and the view that the recent Fed cut will not significantly alter the near term housing market trajectory. Analyst Commentary Recent commentary from bullish analysts highlights a constructive view on Meritage Homes, reflected in modestly higher price targets and a continued positive stance on the company’s execution and positioning within the housing cycle.Mise à jour du récit • Nov 23
MTH: Recent Market Supply Dynamics Will Support Earnings Strength Ahead
Analysts have increased their price target for Meritage Homes from $79 to $85, citing expectations that a recent Fed rate cut will have a limited immediate impact on the housing market's trajectory. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts point to several factors driving optimism about Meritage Homes' prospects following the price target adjustment.Mise à jour du récit • Nov 08
MTH: Future Profit Margins Will Drive Positive Sentiment Among Market Participants
Analysts have increased their price target for Meritage Homes from $79 to $85, citing improved revenue growth and profit margins, even though there was only a modest adjustment to fair value estimates. Analyst Commentary Recent updates from Street research provide insights into the revised outlook for Meritage Homes.Mise à jour du récit • Oct 25
Sun Belt Homebuilders Will See Continued Demand Amid Rate and Margin Pressures
Analyst Price Target Update for Meritage Homes Analysts have slightly increased their price target for Meritage Homes from $79 to $85. They cite updated sector coverage and note that recent shifts in interest rates are not expected to significantly affect the housing market outlook in the near term.Mise à jour du récit • Oct 10
Sun Belt Demand Will Spur Homebuilding Growth Despite Margin Risks
Narrative Update on Meritage Homes Analysts have modestly increased their price target for Meritage Homes from $79 to $85, supported by updates to industry expectations and the view that recent macroeconomic shifts are unlikely to significantly alter housing market trends in the short term. Analyst Commentary Bullish and bearish analyst perspectives highlight key factors affecting Meritage Homes' valuation and near-term outlook.Article d’analyse • Sep 24
Slowing Rates Of Return At Meritage Homes (NYSE:MTH) Leave Little Room For Excitement
Finding a business that has the potential to grow substantially is not easy, but it is possible if we look at a few key...Article d’analyse • Jul 12
When Should You Buy Meritage Homes Corporation (NYSE:MTH)?
Meritage Homes Corporation ( NYSE:MTH ), might not be a large cap stock, but it saw a double-digit share price rise of...Seeking Alpha • Feb 05
Meritage Homes: Strong Execution And Resilient Demand Fuel Growth
Summary Meritage Homes' strong order growth and record backlog conversion demonstrate robust demand, despite a tough macro backdrop and high mortgage rates. Management's conservative FY25 guidance sets the stage for potential outperformance, aligning with MTH's historical trend of beating expectations. MTH's quick move-in strategy and aggressive land acquisitions position it well for future growth, particularly in high-demand entry-level segments. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Dec 14
Meritage Homes: Favourable Macro Backdrop And A Right Strategy In Place
Summary I maintain a buy rating for Meritage Homes Corporation due to strong earnings growth outlook and favorable macro conditions, including tight housing supply and elevated mortgage rates. MTH's strategic focus on quick, move-in ready homes with a 60-day closing guarantee positions it well to capture demand in the current market. Risks include tighter regulations affecting home financing and supply chain pressures from increased new home construction. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Oct 13
Meritage Homes: Expect Value To Keep Building
Summary Meritage Homes has shown significant stock performance, up 29.5% since April and 79.8% since January 2022, outperforming the S&P 500. Despite a potential decline in Q3 revenue and profits, Meritage Homes remains undervalued with strong fundamentals and a favorable market outlook. Revenue and profits have increased due to higher home closures, although average home prices have dropped, reflecting reduced costs and high interest rates. The company's backlog is weak, but new home orders and lower cancellation rates indicate stability and potential for future growth. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Nouveau récit • Aug 28
Aggressive Expansion And Narrow Market Focus Risk Eroding Future Profits
Focusing on move-in ready homes and rapid community expansion may narrow market appeal and increase operational risks, impacting earnings.Prévisions de croissance des bénéfices et des revenus
| Date | Recettes | Les revenus | Flux de trésorerie disponible | Cash from Op | Moy. Nombre d'analystes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 6,419 | 484 | N/A | N/A | 3 |
| 12/31/2027 | 5,987 | 402 | N/A | 237 | 8 |
| 12/31/2026 | 5,629 | 329 | N/A | 548 | 4 |
| 3/31/2026 | 5,616 | 386 | 238 | 262 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 5,858 | 453 | 93 | 118 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 6,044 | 542 | -253 | -225 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 6,216 | 638 | -248 | -220 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 6,285 | 723 | -380 | -352 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 6,395 | 786 | -256 | -228 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 6,434 | 812 | -261 | -233 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 6,456 | 838 | -67 | -36 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 6,328 | 793 | 277 | 313 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 6,138 | 739 | 317 | 356 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 6,477 | 802 | 997 | 1,035 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 6,442 | 843 | 933 | 968 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 6,286 | 906 | 488 | 518 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 6,292 | 992 | 378 | 405 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 5,798 | 967 | -100 | -73 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 5,479 | 906 | -243 | -215 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 5,344 | 823 | -153 | -126 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 5,141 | 737 | -178 | -152 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 5,053 | 653 | -114 | -91 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 4,931 | 561 | 129 | 149 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 4,685 | 484 | 453 | 473 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 4,501 | 423 | 510 | 530 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 4,227 | 375 | 532 | 553 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 4,029 | 335 | 448 | 471 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 3,860 | 295 | 334 | 358 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 3,667 | 250 | N/A | 347 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 3,539 | 222 | N/A | 356 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 3,482 | 206 | N/A | 386 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 3,494 | 209 | N/A | 312 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 3,529 | 227 | N/A | 262 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 3,466 | 187 | N/A | 161 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 3,387 | 176 | N/A | 33 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 3,311 | 164 | N/A | -20 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 3,241 | 143 | N/A | -87 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 3,175 | 160 | N/A | -129 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 3,121 | 154 | N/A | -124 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 3,117 | 152 | N/A | -106 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 3,042 | 150 | N/A | -103 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 2,942 | 151 | N/A | -98 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 2,859 | 144 | N/A | -37 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 2,658 | 133 | N/A | -47 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 2,579 | 129 | N/A | -3 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 2,497 | 125 | N/A | -35 | N/A |
| 6/30/2015 | 2,383 | 127 | N/A | -118 | N/A |
Prévisions de croissance des analystes
Taux de revenus par rapport au taux d'épargne: La croissance des bénéfices prévue de MTH ( 7.2% par an) est supérieure au taux d'épargne ( 3.5% ).
Bénéfices vs marché: Les bénéfices de MTH ( 7.2% par an) devraient croître plus lentement que le marché US ( 18.4% par an).
Croissance élevée des bénéfices: Les bénéfices de MTH devraient augmenter, mais pas de manière significative.
Chiffre d'affaires vs marché: Le chiffre d'affaires de MTH ( 4.6% par an) devrait croître plus lentement que le marché de US ( 12.7% par an).
Croissance élevée des revenus: Le chiffre d'affaires de MTH ( 4.6% par an) devrait croître plus lentement que 20% par an.
Prévisions de croissance du bénéfice par action
Rendement futur des capitaux propres
ROE futur: Le retour sur capitaux propres de MTH devrait être faible dans 3 ans ( 8.5 %).
Découvrir les entreprises en croissance
Analyse de l'entreprise et données financières
| Données | Dernière mise à jour (heure UTC) |
|---|---|
| Analyse de l'entreprise | 2026/06/26 03:10 |
| Cours de l'action en fin de journée | 2026/06/26 00:00 |
| Les revenus | 2026/03/31 |
| Revenus annuels | 2025/12/31 |
Sources de données
Les données utilisées dans notre analyse de l'entreprise proviennent de S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Les données suivantes sont utilisées dans notre modèle d'analyse pour générer ce rapport. Les données sont normalisées, ce qui peut entraîner un délai avant que la source ne soit disponible.
| Paquet | Données | Cadre temporel | Exemple de source américaine * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Finances de l'entreprise | 10 ans |
| |
| Estimations consensuelles des analystes | +3 ans |
|
|
| Prix du marché | 30 ans |
| |
| Propriété | 10 ans |
| |
| Gestion | 10 ans |
| |
| Principaux développements | 10 ans |
|
* Exemple pour les titres américains ; pour les titres non américains, des formulaires réglementaires et des sources équivalentes sont utilisés.
Sauf indication contraire, toutes les données financières sont basées sur une période annuelle mais mises à jour trimestriellement. C'est ce qu'on appelle les données des douze derniers mois (TTM) ou des douze derniers mois (LTM). En savoir plus.
Modèle d'analyse et flocon de neige
Les détails du modèle d'analyse utilisé pour générer ce rapport sont disponibles sur notre page Github, nous proposons également des guides pour apprendre à utiliser nos rapports et des tutoriels sur YouTube.
Découvrez l'équipe de classe mondiale qui a conçu et construit le modèle d'analyse Simply Wall St.
Indicateurs de l'industrie et du secteur
Nos indicateurs de secteur et de section sont calculés toutes les 6 heures par Simply Wall St. Les détails de notre processus sont disponibles sur Github.
Sources des analystes
Meritage Homes Corporation est couverte par 20 analystes. 8 de ces analystes ont soumis les estimations de revenus ou de bénéfices utilisées comme données d'entrée dans notre rapport. Les soumissions des analystes sont mises à jour tout au long de la journée.
| Analyste | Institution |
|---|---|
| Stephen Kim | Barclays |
| Rafe Jadrosich | BofA Global Research |
| Tyler Batory | Brean Capital Historical (Janney Montgomery) |