Birkenstock Holding Croissance future
Future contrôle des critères 2/6
Birkenstock Holding devrait augmenter ses bénéfices et son chiffre d'affaires de 16.8% et de 11.4% par an respectivement. Le BPA devrait croître de de 17.1% par an. Le rendement des capitaux propres devrait être 13.6% dans 3 ans.
Informations clés
16.8%
Taux de croissance des bénéfices
17.09%
Taux de croissance du BPA
| Luxury croissance des bénéfices | 17.9% |
| Taux de croissance des recettes | 11.4% |
| Rendement futur des capitaux propres | 13.59% |
| Couverture par les analystes | Good |
| Dernière mise à jour | 21 May 2026 |
Mises à jour récentes de la croissance future
Article d’analyse • Feb 15
Birkenstock Holding plc Beat Analyst Estimates: See What The Consensus Is Forecasting For This Year
It's been a good week for Birkenstock Holding plc ( NYSE:BIRK ) shareholders, because the company has just released its...Article d’analyse • Aug 18
Results: Birkenstock Holding plc Beat Earnings Expectations And Analysts Now Have New Forecasts
NYSE:BIRK 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore Birkenstock Holding's Fair Values from the Community and select...Recent updates
Seeking Alpha • May 13
Birkenstock: Concerning Sales Slowdown And Inventory Buildup (Downgrade)
Summary Birkenstock faces decelerating growth, weak Q2 results, and rising inventories, prompting my downgrade to neutral. BIRK demonstrates resilience with double-digit growth and gross margin improvement from increased capacity absorption, despite macroeconomic headwinds. Risks include a more promotional retail environment, B2B order pullbacks, and intensified competition from brands like CROX. I recommend moving to the sidelines on BIRK, as recent trends skew the risk/reward balance to the downside. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaArticle d’analyse • Feb 15
Birkenstock Holding plc Beat Analyst Estimates: See What The Consensus Is Forecasting For This Year
It's been a good week for Birkenstock Holding plc ( NYSE:BIRK ) shareholders, because the company has just released its...Article d’analyse • Dec 11
Is There An Opportunity With Birkenstock Holding plc's (NYSE:BIRK) 21% Undervaluation?
Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Birkenstock Holding fair value estimate is US$56.74 Current...Article d’analyse • Nov 05
Is Birkenstock Holding plc (NYSE:BIRK) Potentially Undervalued?
While Birkenstock Holding plc ( NYSE:BIRK ) might not have the largest market cap around , it saw significant share...
Mise à jour du récit • Sep 26
APAC And China Trends Will Unlock Future Potential
Birkenstock Holding’s modestly lower consensus price target reflects a significant rise in its future P/E multiple, while profit margins remained stable, resulting in a revised fair value of $69.17. What's in the News Birkenstock raised its fiscal 2025 revenue guidance to at least €2.09 billion, reflecting 15.9% reported growth and 17.5% growth in constant currency, above previous guidance.Article d’analyse • Sep 12
Here's Why We Think Birkenstock Holding (NYSE:BIRK) Is Well Worth Watching
It's common for many investors, especially those who are inexperienced, to buy shares in companies with a good story...Article d’analyse • Aug 18
Results: Birkenstock Holding plc Beat Earnings Expectations And Analysts Now Have New Forecasts
NYSE:BIRK 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore Birkenstock Holding's Fair Values from the Community and select...Article d’analyse • Jul 09
Calculating The Fair Value Of Birkenstock Holding plc (NYSE:BIRK)
Key Insights Birkenstock Holding's estimated fair value is US$44.94 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity With...Seeking Alpha • Apr 13
Birkenstock: Upgrade To Buy On Cheaper Valuation
Summary I upgrade Birkenstock to a buy rating as the stock now trades at ~22x forward P/E, making it more attractive. BIRK shows resilient top-line growth across all regions and channels, with 1Q25 revenue up 19% y/y, exceeding management’s FY25 guidance. The DTC strategy is gaining momentum, with plans to increase store count by ~40% and a growing membership base driving higher transaction values. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Feb 21
Birkenstock Adds Winter Assortment, But The Stock Remains Too Expensive
Summary Birkenstock Holding plc reported 19% YOY revenue growth, but the market reacted negatively due to maintained full-year guidance of 15%-17%, indicating potential deceleration from last year's 20%. Wholesale growth outperformed at 30%, but 90% came from existing doors, raising saturation concerns; DTC growth slowed to 10% from 30% last year. Product diversification is promising, with closed-toe silhouettes making up 50% of revenue; Asia grew 47% YoY, now 13% of sales. BIRK stock valuation remains high at 27x NTM earnings, requiring flawless execution and sustained growth; maintain a Hold rating due to high fashion risk and revenue deceleration signs. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jan 03
Birkenstock: There's Still Room To Rise As ASP Expansion And China Growth Power Earnings
Summary I favor "growth at a reasonable price" stocks like Birkenstock, which has seen a ~20% rise and strong Q4 results. Birkenstock's gross margins fell in FY24 due to facility expansion but are expected to improve in FY25, moving closer to long-term targets. Increased production efficiency and an 8% ASP increase are boosting Birkenstock's margins, forecasting up to 50bps y/y expansion in adjusted EBITDA. Birkenstock shows strong growth potential in underpenetrated markets like Asia, making it a solid investment for continued success in 2025. The stock trades at a reasonable ~18x forward adjusted EBITDA multiple. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Nouveau récit • Dec 22
APAC Expansion And Closed-Toe Product Surge To Propel Revenue And Margins
Aggressive expansion in APAC and increased DTC sales boost revenue, with new store openings enhancing global retail presence.Seeking Alpha • Dec 22
Birkenstock: Upside Is Not Attractive At The Current Valuation
Summary I assign a hold rating to Birkenstock due to limited upside potential despite strong fundamentals and positive outlook. BIRK's recent performance is impressive, with 22% y/y growth in 4Q24 and strong demand across all regions and channels. Management's conservative FY25 guidance of 15-17% y/y growth suggests potential for a "beat and raise" motion, but valuation limits upside. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Oct 23
Birkenstock Holding: Undervalued, With Tailwinds Ahead
Summary Birkenstock is expanding into untapped Asian markets and emphasizing sustainability, creating strong growth potential and differentiation from competitors. Financial performance has been robust, with significant revenue and EBITDA growth, demonstrating resilience in a challenging economic environment. My DCF analysis indicates the stock is undervalued, with a potential 67.1% upside, supporting a "BUY" recommendation. Despite competition, Birkenstock's unique product features and sustainable practices mitigate risks, reinforcing its market position. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Sep 05
Birkenstock: Stock Is Still Not Attractive After Price Drop
Summary Birkenstock's Q3 2024 showed an impressive 19% YoY revenue growth, but the stock price dropped 20% due to a revenue and earnings miss. Despite strong performance, high valuations and fashion risk make Birkenstock's stock inherently risky, leading me to maintain a Hold rating. The company's shift from DTC to B2B impacted gross margins, but management's guidance of 20% topline growth and 30% EBITDA margins remains intact. Birkenstock's current valuation requires excessive growth to justify its price, making future returns uncertain and supporting my Hold recommendation. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Aug 30
Birkenstock: Decelerating Growth And Inflated Valuations Do Not Mix Well
Summary Birkenstock's shares trade at a very high valuation despite decelerating revenue growth, contracting gross profit margins, and insiders selling. The company's third-quarter results missed revenue and profit expectations, and forward guidance was weak. Birkenstock's strategy of creating artificial scarcity is risky and could backfire, giving competitors an opportunity to capture unmet demand. Despite generating significant cash flow and reducing net debt, the high valuation, and potential governance issues remain major concerns. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jul 30
Birkenstock Has A Great Brand And Potential, But The Stock Is Overvalued
Summary Birkenstock IPOed last year with a frothy valuation based on significant growth that has continued in FY24. The company has several interesting characteristics, including great brand equity, pricing power, and a relatively loyal customer base. The company is also growing tremendously in FY23 and FY24, which is more impressive in comparison with the generally bad performance of most discretionary companies during this period. Despite these positive aspects, Birkenstock's stock price already discounts most future positive developments, and exposes investors to significant risks. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jun 11
Birkenstock: Stellar Growth In Asia And Closed-Toe Shoes
Summary Birkenstock stock remains a long-term hold despite a 20%+ run-up year to date. The company's Q2 earnings release showed slightly accelerating revenue growth, with continued performance in Asia and strong sell-through results in Europe. The company is also noting that closed-toe shoes, in particular clogs, are making up a larger share of its revenue. Gross margins are suffering a current headwind from a manufacturing capacity expansion, but this is a signal that the company is preparing for operating at a much larger scale. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Mar 30
Birkenstock: Aggressive Growth Trajectory Continues
Summary Birkenstock, the shoemaker that went public last year, has failed to rally beyond its IPO price, despite incredible financials. The company has shown strong Q4 results, with aggressive growth in direct-channel sales and a reduction in debt leverage. Birkenstock has an incredible growth trajectory, a broad product portfolio, efficient marketing strategies, and a stellar margin profile, making it a promising investment. It's growing >50% y/y in Asia, which is a largely underpenetrated market for the company. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Feb 27
Birkenstock's Valuation Conundrum: Lofty Market Expectations Vs. Real Growth Hurdles
Summary Birkenstock's is trading at 6.5x NTM EV/Sales and 21.4x NTM EV/EBITDA respectively, with the current valuation implying a 17.7% annual growth rateover the next decade, while maintaining 30% EBITDA margin. The company is facing hurdles such as low/stagnant unit sales growth, rising costs, limited room for further price increases and hence a potential margin decline. With inventories levels at 40% of revenues, exceeding 30 million units, and a modest 5.5% unit growth in FY2023, signs point to potential low consumer demand. Given the free float is under 10%, skewing the current valuation from the market's true sentiment, our outlook on the stock is bearish. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jan 30
Birkenstock: Right Time To Buy
Summary Birkenstock, the German shoemaker, is experiencing incredible growth with a multi-year trajectory above 20% y/y. Future growth drivers include relatively low penetration in Asian markets as well as retail/DTC expansion. The company boasts a stellar margin profile with a gross margin in the low 60s (versus mid-40s for competitors). Though not cheap at ~18x forward adjusted EBITDA, Birkenstock's premium growth and margin profile justify a premium valuation. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jan 19
Birkenstock: Landing On Its Feet
Summary Birkenstock, a German-based global brand, went public in October 2023 at a premium valuation. The company saw strong growth in sales and profits, with revenues up 20% in 2023. Despite a slowdown in growth in the fourth quarter, Birkenstock's revenue guidance for 2024 is promising, with sales expected to reach EUR 1.75 billion. While there is much to like about the business and its growth prospects, valuations are too stretched to get involved. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Dec 06
Birkenstock: Walking On Overvalued Ground
Summary Birkenstock, controlled by L Catterton, has seen significant growth in the past decade, but its valuation may be too high. The company's strategy of expanding in markets like China and India and focusing on direct-to-consumer sales appears to be successful. While Birkenstock has a strong brand and potential for growth, its current valuation is demanding and may not be sustainable long term. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Oct 12
Birkenstock Is Walking On Air
Summary Birkenstock, a German footwear maker, went public Wednesday. The company's guiding principle is "Walking Naturally", and its footwear is designed for comfort and foot health. BIRK has experienced significant growth, but its profitability is weak, and 76% of the offer price is based on assumptions about future growth. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaPrévisions de croissance des bénéfices et des revenus
| Date | Recettes | Les revenus | Flux de trésorerie disponible | Cash from Op | Moy. Nombre d'analystes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/30/2028 | 3,021 | 529 | 503 | 691 | 12 |
| 9/30/2027 | 2,659 | 441 | 441 | 583 | 21 |
| 9/30/2026 | 2,334 | 360 | 381 | 530 | 21 |
| 3/31/2026 | 2,182 | 356 | 310 | 415 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 2,138 | 379 | 263 | 368 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 2,097 | 348 | 299 | 384 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 2,027 | 307 | 293 | 373 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 1,957 | 252 | 318 | 394 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 1,863 | 219 | 388 | 462 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 1,805 | 192 | 355 | 429 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 1,723 | 111 | 326 | 404 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 1,632 | 99 | 270 | 359 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 1,546 | 77 | 271 | 366 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 1,492 | 75 | 256 | 359 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 1,439 | 161 | 251 | 367 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 1,344 | 154 | 153 | 264 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 1,220 | 141 | 102 | 194 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 1,243 | 187 | 162 | 234 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 1,110 | -41 | 236 | 255 | N/A |
Prévisions de croissance des analystes
Taux de revenus par rapport au taux d'épargne: La croissance des bénéfices prévue de BIRK ( 16.8% par an) est supérieure au taux d'épargne ( 3.5% ).
Bénéfices vs marché: Les bénéfices de BIRK ( 16.8% par an) devraient croître plus rapidement que le marché US ( 16.9% par an).
Croissance élevée des bénéfices: Les bénéfices de BIRK devraient augmenter, mais pas de manière significative.
Chiffre d'affaires vs marché: Le chiffre d'affaires de BIRK ( 11.4% par an) devrait croître plus lentement que le marché de US ( 11.9% par an).
Croissance élevée des revenus: Le chiffre d'affaires de BIRK ( 11.4% par an) devrait croître plus lentement que 20% par an.
Prévisions de croissance du bénéfice par action
Rendement futur des capitaux propres
ROE futur: Le retour sur capitaux propres de BIRK devrait être faible dans 3 ans ( 13.6 %).
Découvrir les entreprises en croissance
Analyse de l'entreprise et données financières
| Données | Dernière mise à jour (heure UTC) |
|---|---|
| Analyse de l'entreprise | 2026/05/27 04:00 |
| Cours de l'action en fin de journée | 2026/05/27 00:00 |
| Les revenus | 2026/03/31 |
| Revenus annuels | 2025/09/30 |
Sources de données
Les données utilisées dans notre analyse de l'entreprise proviennent de S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Les données suivantes sont utilisées dans notre modèle d'analyse pour générer ce rapport. Les données sont normalisées, ce qui peut entraîner un délai avant que la source ne soit disponible.
| Paquet | Données | Cadre temporel | Exemple de source américaine * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Finances de l'entreprise | 10 ans |
| |
| Estimations consensuelles des analystes | +3 ans |
|
|
| Prix du marché | 30 ans |
| |
| Propriété | 10 ans |
| |
| Gestion | 10 ans |
| |
| Principaux développements | 10 ans |
|
* Exemple pour les titres américains ; pour les titres non américains, des formulaires réglementaires et des sources équivalentes sont utilisés.
Sauf indication contraire, toutes les données financières sont basées sur une période annuelle mais mises à jour trimestriellement. C'est ce qu'on appelle les données des douze derniers mois (TTM) ou des douze derniers mois (LTM). En savoir plus.
Modèle d'analyse et flocon de neige
Les détails du modèle d’analyse utilisé pour générer ce rapport sont disponibles sur notre page Github; nous proposons également des guides expliquant comment utiliser nos rapports et des tutoriels sur Youtube.
Découvrez l'équipe de classe mondiale qui a conçu et construit le modèle d'analyse Simply Wall St.
Indicateurs de l'industrie et du secteur
Nos indicateurs de secteur et de section sont calculés toutes les 6 heures par Simply Wall St. Les détails de notre processus sont disponibles sur Github.
Sources des analystes
Birkenstock Holding plc est couverte par 24 analystes. 21 de ces analystes ont soumis les estimations de revenus ou de bénéfices utilisées comme données d'entrée dans notre rapport. Les soumissions des analystes sont mises à jour tout au long de la journée.
| Analyste | Institution |
|---|---|
| Mark Altschwager | Baird |
| Luca Solca | Bernstein |
| Melania Grippo | BNP Paribas |