TransDigm Group Croissance future
Future contrôle des critères 1/6
TransDigm Group devrait augmenter ses bénéfices et son chiffre d'affaires de 15.9% et de 8.4% par an respectivement. Le BPA devrait croître de de 12% par an. Le rendement des capitaux propres devrait être 9.3% dans 3 ans.
Informations clés
15.9%
Taux de croissance des bénéfices
12.00%
Taux de croissance du BPA
| Aerospace & Defense croissance des bénéfices | 18.9% |
| Taux de croissance des recettes | 8.4% |
| Rendement futur des capitaux propres | 9.32% |
| Couverture par les analystes | Good |
| Dernière mise à jour | 15 May 2026 |
Mises à jour récentes de la croissance future
Recent updates
Article d’analyse • May 07
Results: TransDigm Group Incorporated Exceeded Expectations And The Consensus Has Updated Its Estimates
TransDigm Group Incorporated ( NYSE:TDG ) investors will be delighted, with the company turning in some strong numbers...
Mise à jour du récit • Apr 29
TDG: Aftermarket Cash Flows And M&A Discipline Will Support Future Upside
Narrative Update The updated analyst price target for TransDigm edges lower by about $15, as analysts factor in higher required returns and slightly softer margin assumptions while keeping revenue growth and P/E expectations broadly in line. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around TransDigm highlights a mix of caution and support, with several firms adjusting ratings and price targets in response to updated assumptions on required returns, margins, and execution risk after the latest quarterly report.Seeking Alpha • Apr 24
TransDigm: Commercial Exposure Drives Sell-Off, But Valuation Now Attractive
Summary TransDigm (TDG) shares have declined over 10%, but I maintain a buy rating with a $1,537 price target, implying 32% upside. Commercial aftermarket exposure presents risk from geopolitical tensions and cost inflation, but earnings estimates have held up relatively well. TDG is expected to deliver 10.5% annual sales growth and nearly 20% annual free cash flow growth through 2028, with margins dipping slightly before recovering. Despite demand risks, current valuation is oversold versus historical and peer multiples, and M&A opportunities could further enhance value. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaMise à jour du récit • Apr 10
TDG: Aftermarket Cash Flows And M&A Discipline Will Drive Future Returns
Analysts have trimmed the fair value estimate for TransDigm Group to about $1,552 from roughly $1,591, reflecting a mix of reduced price targets following recent downgrades and initiations, alongside some upward revisions from firms that remain constructive on the stock. Analyst Commentary Recent research shows a split field, with some firms trimming price targets or downgrading, while others are still raising their valuation work for TransDigm Group.Mise à jour du récit • Mar 27
TDG: Aftermarket Cash Flows And Buybacks Will Drive Future Returns
TransDigm Group's analyst price target has been adjusted slightly higher to $1,591.25, as analysts factor in updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E multiples following a mix of recent target hikes and cuts across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around TransDigm Group shows a split between bullish analysts lifting price targets and more cautious voices lowering targets or moving to neutral stances.Mise à jour du récit • Dec 27
TDG: Future Returns Will Be Driven By Aftermarket Cash Flows And Buyback Capacity
The analyst derived fair value estimate for TransDigm Group has inched higher to approximately $1,586 from about $1,581, as analysts modestly raise price targets on the back of Q3 and Q4 earnings beats, resilient aftermarket profitability, and expectations for continued 20% multi year EPS growth, despite some deceleration in aftermarket growth rates and conservative forward guidance. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts remain broadly constructive on TransDigm, highlighting continued earnings outperformance, resilient margins, and a compelling relative valuation profile even as growth normalizes from post pandemic highs.Mise à jour du récit • Dec 13
TDG: Future Returns Will Be Driven By Aftermarket Margins And M&A Optionality
Our revised fair value estimate for TransDigm Group edges up to $1,581 from $1,578, reflecting analysts' slightly higher price targets supported by continued earnings outperformance, resilient aftermarket fundamentals, and the optionality from future large scale M&A. Analyst Commentary Street research remains broadly constructive on TransDigm, with most recent actions involving higher price targets and reaffirmed positive ratings, even where those targets have been modestly trimmed.Mise à jour du récit • Nov 27
TDG: Multi-Year Earnings Expansion Will Rely On Margin Strength And M&A Capacity
TransDigm Group's fair value estimate has been increased by analysts to $1,577.65 from $1,557.89. This change reflects continued conviction in strong organic growth, robust earnings performance, and expectations for future margin resilience despite a mixed outlook for certain market segments.Mise à jour du récit • Nov 05
TDG: Aftermarket Demand And Acquisition Capacity Will Drive Shares Higher
Analysts have reduced their price targets for TransDigm Group. Recent estimates have moved from a range of about $1,730 to $1,385 per share, citing factors including compressed valuation multiples, shifting after-market demand, and a more uncertain outlook for large acquisitions.Mise à jour du récit • Oct 22
Analysts Adjust TransDigm Group Outlook Amid Aftermarket Strength and Softer OEM Demand
Analysts have revised TransDigm Group's price target lower, reducing the fair value from $1,586 to $1,558. This adjustment is attributed to factors such as softening commercial OEM demand, compressed EBITDA multiples, and a more cautious outlook on large acquisitions.Mise à jour du récit • Oct 08
Air Travel Demand And OEM Backlogs Will Sustain Future Upside
TransDigm Group's analyst price target has been lowered slightly from approximately $1,608 to $1,586. Analysts cite concerns around compressed EBITDA multiples and reduced Commercial OEM expectations, despite ongoing acquisition capacity and robust after-market fundamentals.Article d’analyse • Sep 21
TransDigm Group (NYSE:TDG) Is Investing Its Capital With Increasing Efficiency
What trends should we look for it we want to identify stocks that can multiply in value over the long term? Firstly...Mise à jour du récit • Sep 04
Air Travel Demand And OEM Backlogs Will Sustain Future Upside
TransDigm Group’s price target remains steady at $1621 as weaker commercial OEM sales expectations are offset by bullish confidence in ongoing aerospace and defense strength, sector tailwinds, and the company’s resilient fundamentals. Analyst Commentary Recent reduction in price target reflects lowered sales guidance due to weaker Commercial OEM end-market expectations, driven by slower build rates and inventory destocking in the supply chain.Article d’analyse • Jun 29
Why TransDigm Group Incorporated (NYSE:TDG) Could Be Worth Watching
Let's talk about the popular TransDigm Group Incorporated ( NYSE:TDG ). The company's shares received a lot of...Article d’analyse • Jun 11
Does TransDigm Group (NYSE:TDG) Deserve A Spot On Your Watchlist?
The excitement of investing in a company that can reverse its fortunes is a big draw for some speculators, so even...Article d’analyse • May 24
Investors Should Be Encouraged By TransDigm Group's (NYSE:TDG) Returns On Capital
What are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term...Seeking Alpha • Mar 14
TransDigm: Still A Buy Despite The Leverage And The Premium Valuation
Summary TransDigm holds a dominant market position, leveraging its pricing power to maintain high FCF margins and return capital to shareholders despite potential 2025 headwinds. 90% of its revenue comes from selling proprietary parts, ensuring FAA-certified exclusivity and pricing power. During the Q1 2025 earnings, the company showed commitment to returning capital to its shareholders with special dividend payments and share repurchases. Even though we are seeing growth in the commercial OEM segment of the business, that will be circumvented by the growth in defense spending. DOGE fears are exaggerated due to the fact that the DoD contributes less than 1% of TransDigm's revenue. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jan 21
TransDigm Group: Balanced Growth Outlook But Negative Near-Term Sentiment (Rating Downgrade)
Summary I recommend a hold rating for TransDigm stock due to near-term sentiment headwinds, despite strong structural tailwinds from aftermarket demand and increasing defense budgets. TDG benefits from robust air travel demand and supply chain disruptions, driving high demand for maintenance, repair, and overhaul services. TDG's defense segment is growing, supported by rising global defense spending, but regulatory scrutiny and growth deceleration pose risks. TDG trades at a premium multiple, making it less attractive now; investors should revisit once uncertainties subside or valuation improves. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Nov 18
TransDigm: Expect Muted Upside With Balance Sheet And Regulatory Headwinds
Summary TransDigm's Q4'24 results show strong performance with a 19% EBITDA increase, driven by robust growth in Commercial OEM and Aftermarket sales. The company continues its aggressive M&A strategy, acquiring SEI Industries, an electron device business, and Raptor Scientific, adding significant high-margin revenue streams. Elevated debt levels and potential regulatory scrutiny pose risks, potentially limiting M&A flexibility and impacting future growth. Despite high-quality operations, TransDigm's valuation appears fully priced, suggesting limited near-term upside; I remain cautious and will avoid buying for now. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Nouveau récit • Sep 24
Skyrocketing Through Challenges, A Future Of Growth And Strategic Wins In Aerospace
Strong aftermarket demand and favorable aerospace market trends suggest potential for significant revenue and earnings growth.Seeking Alpha • Sep 09
TransDigm -- A Stock Every Investor Should Know
Summary TransDigm Group Incorporated excels with proprietary products and aftermarket sales, driving high margins and consistent cash flow, benefiting from growing and aging fleets. The private-equity-style model and 92 acquisitions since 1993 have generated substantial shareholder value and positioned TransDigm Group as a key aerospace supplier. Despite a high P/E ratio of 39.3x, TransDigm Group's strong growth outlook and special dividend approach make it a compelling investment. Regulatory risks and economic cycles are concerns, but TransDigm's pricing power and strategic acquisitions ensure a bright future in the aerospace industry. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaPrévisions de croissance des bénéfices et des revenus
| Date | Recettes | Les revenus | Flux de trésorerie disponible | Cash from Op | Moy. Nombre d'analystes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/30/2028 | 12,174 | 3,016 | 3,220 | 3,582 | 16 |
| 9/30/2027 | 11,298 | 2,547 | 2,787 | 2,971 | 22 |
| 9/30/2026 | 10,373 | 2,049 | 2,335 | 2,445 | 20 |
| 3/28/2026 | 9,503 | 1,864 | 1,850 | 2,105 | N/A |
| 12/27/2025 | 9,110 | 1,808 | 1,878 | 2,118 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 8,831 | 1,866 | 1,816 | 2,038 | N/A |
| 6/28/2025 | 8,579 | 1,751 | 1,906 | 2,103 | N/A |
| 3/29/2025 | 8,388 | 1,720 | 1,901 | 2,080 | N/A |
| 12/28/2024 | 8,157 | 1,644 | 1,990 | 2,161 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 7,940 | 1,481 | 1,880 | 2,045 | N/A |
| 6/29/2024 | 7,606 | 1,560 | 1,774 | 1,935 | N/A |
| 3/30/2024 | 7,304 | 1,450 | 1,576 | 1,733 | N/A |
| 12/30/2023 | 6,977 | 1,351 | 1,490 | 1,634 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 6,585 | 1,260 | 1,236 | 1,375 | N/A |
| 7/1/2023 | 6,243 | 1,071 | 1,051 | 1,186 | N/A |
| 4/1/2023 | 5,897 | 958 | 961 | 1,089 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 5,632 | 853 | 921 | 1,046 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 5,429 | 779 | 829 | 948 | N/A |
| 7/2/2022 | 5,198 | 762 | 853 | 964 | N/A |
| 4/2/2022 | 5,018 | 841 | 805 | 907 | N/A |
| 1/1/2022 | 4,884 | 746 | 819 | 918 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 4,798 | 607 | 808 | 913 | N/A |
| 7/3/2021 | 4,692 | 499 | 723 | 846 | N/A |
| 4/3/2021 | 4,496 | 178 | 876 | 991 | N/A |
| 1/2/2021 | 4,746 | 396 | 945 | 1,054 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 5,103 | 467 | 1,108 | 1,213 | N/A |
| 6/27/2020 | 5,471 | 594 | 1,154 | 1,238 | N/A |
| 3/28/2020 | 5,970 | 726 | 1,048 | 1,156 | N/A |
| 12/28/2019 | 5,695 | 604 | N/A | 1,118 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 5,223 | 728 | N/A | 1,015 | N/A |
| 6/29/2019 | 4,731 | 730 | N/A | 1,099 | N/A |
| 3/30/2019 | 4,191 | 820 | N/A | 1,021 | N/A |
| 12/29/2018 | 3,956 | 822 | N/A | 1,059 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 3,811 | 906 | N/A | 1,022 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 3,686 | 796 | N/A | 924 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 3,603 | 748 | N/A | 852 | N/A |
| 12/30/2017 | 3,538 | 702 | N/A | 856 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 3,504 | 469 | N/A | 789 | N/A |
| 7/1/2017 | 3,456 | 503 | N/A | 756 | N/A |
| 4/1/2017 | 3,356 | 494 | N/A | 787 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 3,284 | 480 | N/A | 730 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 3,171 | 583 | N/A | 683 | N/A |
| 7/2/2016 | 3,106 | 570 | N/A | 630 | N/A |
| 4/2/2016 | 3,000 | 509 | N/A | 625 | N/A |
| 1/2/2016 | 2,822 | 478 | N/A | 511 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 2,707 | 444 | N/A | 521 | N/A |
| 6/27/2015 | 2,540 | 410 | N/A | 565 | N/A |
Prévisions de croissance des analystes
Taux de revenus par rapport au taux d'épargne: La croissance des bénéfices prévue de TDG ( 15.9% par an) est supérieure au taux d'épargne ( 3.5% ).
Bénéfices vs marché: Les bénéfices de TDG ( 15.9% par an) devraient croître plus lentement que le marché US ( 16.8% par an).
Croissance élevée des bénéfices: Les bénéfices de TDG devraient augmenter, mais pas de manière significative.
Chiffre d'affaires vs marché: Le chiffre d'affaires de TDG ( 8.4% par an) devrait croître plus lentement que le marché de US ( 11.6% par an).
Croissance élevée des revenus: Le chiffre d'affaires de TDG ( 8.4% par an) devrait croître plus lentement que 20% par an.
Prévisions de croissance du bénéfice par action
Rendement futur des capitaux propres
ROE futur: Le retour sur capitaux propres de TDG devrait être faible dans 3 ans ( 9.3 %).
Découvrir les entreprises en croissance
Analyse de l'entreprise et données financières
| Données | Dernière mise à jour (heure UTC) |
|---|---|
| Analyse de l'entreprise | 2026/05/20 21:49 |
| Cours de l'action en fin de journée | 2026/05/20 00:00 |
| Les revenus | 2026/03/28 |
| Revenus annuels | 2025/09/30 |
Sources de données
Les données utilisées dans notre analyse de l'entreprise proviennent de S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Les données suivantes sont utilisées dans notre modèle d'analyse pour générer ce rapport. Les données sont normalisées, ce qui peut entraîner un délai avant que la source ne soit disponible.
| Paquet | Données | Cadre temporel | Exemple de source américaine * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Finances de l'entreprise | 10 ans |
| |
| Estimations consensuelles des analystes | +3 ans |
|
|
| Prix du marché | 30 ans |
| |
| Propriété | 10 ans |
| |
| Gestion | 10 ans |
| |
| Principaux développements | 10 ans |
|
* Exemple pour les titres américains ; pour les titres non américains, des formulaires réglementaires et des sources équivalentes sont utilisés.
Sauf indication contraire, toutes les données financières sont basées sur une période annuelle mais mises à jour trimestriellement. C'est ce qu'on appelle les données des douze derniers mois (TTM) ou des douze derniers mois (LTM). En savoir plus.
Modèle d'analyse et flocon de neige
Les détails du modèle d’analyse utilisé pour générer ce rapport sont disponibles sur notre page Github; nous proposons également des guides expliquant comment utiliser nos rapports et des tutoriels sur Youtube.
Découvrez l'équipe de classe mondiale qui a conçu et construit le modèle d'analyse Simply Wall St.
Indicateurs de l'industrie et du secteur
Nos indicateurs de secteur et de section sont calculés toutes les 6 heures par Simply Wall St. Les détails de notre processus sont disponibles sur Github.
Sources des analystes
TransDigm Group Incorporated est couverte par 39 analystes. 22 de ces analystes ont soumis les estimations de revenus ou de bénéfices utilisées comme données d'entrée dans notre rapport. Les soumissions des analystes sont mises à jour tout au long de la journée.
| Analyste | Institution |
|---|---|
| Peter Arment | Baird |
| David Strauss | Barclays |
| Carter Copeland | Barclays |