Fastenal Croissance future
Future contrôle des critères 2/6
Fastenal devrait augmenter ses bénéfices et son chiffre d'affaires de 9% et de 8% par an respectivement. Le BPA devrait croître de de 9% par an. Le rendement des capitaux propres devrait être 35.6% dans 3 ans.
Informations clés
9.0%
Taux de croissance des bénéfices
9.01%
Taux de croissance du BPA
| Trade Distributors croissance des bénéfices | 13.9% |
| Taux de croissance des recettes | 8.0% |
| Rendement futur des capitaux propres | 35.57% |
| Couverture par les analystes | Good |
| Dernière mise à jour | 22 May 2026 |
Mises à jour récentes de la croissance future
Recent updates
Mise à jour du récit • May 06
FAST: Future Returns Will Hinge On Execution Resilience And Carrollton Expansion
Analysts have adjusted Fastenal's price target modestly higher to $46.49. This reflects updated discount rate and P/E assumptions alongside recent mixed target changes from Barclays, Bernstein, Baird, and BofA.Mise à jour du récit • Apr 21
FAST: Future Returns Will Depend On Execution Resilience And Distribution Expansion
Fastenal's updated analyst price target edges higher to about $46.49 from $45.24, with analysts pointing to refreshed models that incorporate Street research adjustments to revenue growth, profit margins, and long term P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Fastenal reflects a mix of optimism and caution, with several firms revisiting their models and making targeted changes to price targets and assumptions.Seeking Alpha • Apr 20
Fastenal Company: Tariff Concerns On Top Of An Expensive Valuation
Summary Fastenal Company remains a hold as strong demand and broad-based revenue growth are offset by persistent pricing and margin pressures. Q1 2026 saw 12.4% y/y revenue growth and double-digit EPS gains, but gross margin declined 47 bps due to unfavorable price/cost dynamics and transportation headwinds. Section 232 tariff changes increase cost pressure risk, likely prolonging margin challenges and complicating price realization efforts. Valuation remains elevated at ~36x forward PE, well above historical averages and peers, limiting upside despite improved demand signals. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaMise à jour du récit • Apr 07
FAST: Future Returns Will Rely On Sales Resilience And Execution Consistency
Fastenal's analyst price targets have edged higher, with recent moves such as Baird lifting its target to $52 from $51 and Barclays moving to $44 from $43, as analysts update their models following stronger than expected February average daily sales. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates offer a mixed picture, with some analysts highlighting support from stronger than expected February average daily sales and others taking a more measured stance on how much upside is already reflected in the shares.
Mise à jour du récit • Mar 24
FAST: Modest February Sales Strength Will Still Drive Further Multiple Compression
Analysts have nudged Street price targets on Fastenal modestly higher, with moves such as Baird's lift to $52 and Barclays' to $44. These changes reflect updated models that factor in recent data points like stronger than expected February average daily sales.Mise à jour du récit • Mar 10
FAST: Future Returns Will Depend On Margin Resilience And Execution Consistency
We are nudging our Fastenal fair value estimate up to $44.92 from $43.46, reflecting analysts' slightly higher price targets and updated assumptions around discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Fastenal reflects a mix of optimism and caution, with several price target revisions feeding into our refreshed fair value estimate.Mise à jour du récit • Feb 24
FAST: Tighter Margin Outlook Will Drive Further Multiple Compression
Narrative Update The analyst price target for Fastenal has been adjusted by a net $1, as some analysts lifted their targets by $2 while others reduced theirs by $1, reflecting updated views on revenue, margins, and P/E expectations. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Fastenal reflects a mix of optimism and caution, with some analysts lifting price targets and others trimming them.Mise à jour du récit • Feb 09
FAST: Decelerating Sales And Inflation Pressures Will Drive Further Multiple Compression
Narrative Update on Fastenal The updated analyst price target for Fastenal reflects a mixed set of recent Street views, with small model adjustments around revenue growth, profit margins, and long-term P/E assumptions as analysts factor in both higher and lower target revisions following recent research updates. Analyst Commentary Recent Street commentary around Fastenal has tilted more cautious, with several bearish analysts trimming price targets or ratings as they reassess the balance between growth, margins, and valuation.Mise à jour du récit • Jan 25
FAST: Decelerating Sales And Inflationary Pressures Will Drive Further Multiple Compression
Narrative update on Fastenal Analysts have reset their price expectations for Fastenal, with our fair value estimate moving from US$33.39 to US$38.00 as they factor in slower revenue growth, slightly softer profit margins, and a higher assumed future P/E multiple, in line with new Underperform ratings and lower price targets from recent research updates. Analyst Commentary Recent research has tilted more cautious on Fastenal, with a series of Underperform ratings and trimmed price targets pointing to concerns around growth, margins, and valuation.Article d’analyse • Jan 22
Analyst Estimates: Here's What Brokers Think Of Fastenal Company (NASDAQ:FAST) After Its Annual Report
It's been a good week for Fastenal Company ( NASDAQ:FAST ) shareholders, because the company has just released its...Mise à jour du récit • Jan 11
FAST: Slowing Sales And Inflationary Margin Pressure Will Drive Further Multiple Compression
Analysts have trimmed their Fastenal price targets by a few dollars to the low to mid US$40s, citing slowing sales trends, pressure on gross margins, and the view that the current valuation and P/E multiple leave room for further compression. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Fastenal have leaned cautious, with several bearish analysts trimming price targets and rethinking their stance after the latest Q3 results and sales trends.Article d’analyse • Jan 06
Pinning Down Fastenal Company's (NASDAQ:FAST) P/E Is Difficult Right Now
Fastenal Company's ( NASDAQ:FAST ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 38.5x might make it look like a strong sell...Mise à jour du récit • Dec 26
FAST: Inflation And Slowing Sales Will Pressure Margins And Share Performance
Analysts modestly raised their fair value estimate for Fastenal by about $1.22 to approximately $33.39 per share. This reflects slightly stronger long term revenue growth expectations despite mounting concerns over decelerating sales, margin pressure from inflation, and the potential for further valuation multiple compression highlighted in recent target cuts and Underperform ratings.Mise à jour du récit • Dec 11
FAST: Future Returns Will Hinge On Margin Resilience Amid Slowing Sales
The analyst price target for Fastenal has been nudged lower by $0.04 to $43.46, as analysts factor in decelerating sales, emerging inflationary pressure on gross margins, and the risk of further multiple compression, even as long term growth prospects remain solid. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates reflect a more cautious stance on Fastenal, with multiple price target reductions and a tilt toward Underperform ratings as analysts reassess the balance between the company’s structural strengths and near term execution risks.Mise à jour du récit • Nov 27
FAST: Future Returns Will Depend On Margin Defense Amid Inflationary Pressures
Analysts have slightly reduced their fair value estimate for Fastenal to approximately $43.46 per share from $43.58. They cite pressures on revenue growth and profit margins, as recent research highlights slowing sales, margin headwinds, and a more challenging valuation environment.Mise à jour du récit • Nov 13
FAST: Future Performance Will Rely On Overcoming Margin Pressures And Execution Risks
Fastenal's analyst price target has edged down from $44.35 to $43.58, as analysts cite increased caution around future growth, margin pressures, and lower revised earnings estimates following recent coverage and earnings misses. Analyst Commentary Recent research coverage on Fastenal reflects a diverse range of perspectives regarding the company's outlook and valuation.Mise à jour du récit • Aug 27
Managed Inventory Expansion And Digital Footprint Will Transform Supply Chains
Fastenal’s consensus price target was raised to $44.05 on the back of strong Q2 results, improving sales trends, and continued margin outperformance, with analysts expecting double-digit sales growth and justifying a premium valuation despite an already elevated multiple. Analyst Commentary Strong Q2 performance, with Fastenal beating consensus on sales, gross margin, and operating margin.Article d’analyse • May 25
Is Now The Time To Look At Buying Fastenal Company (NASDAQ:FAST)?
Let's talk about the popular Fastenal Company ( NASDAQ:FAST ). The company's shares saw a decent share price growth of...Seeking Alpha • Apr 19
Fastenal: Expensive But Strong Growth Prospects
Summary Fastenal's shift from branch closures to expansion, creates strong growth outlook. Investments in FASTCrib and digital services enhance customer retention, increase margins, and expand Fastenal's TAM. Secular tailwinds from end markets and increasing customer bases create a GDP+ growth. Despite the current high valuation, entry exists ~5-6% below current share price. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Apr 12
Fastenal: Set To Gain Market Share In Tough Times, But There's A Caveat
Summary Fastenal's Q1-2025 results met expectations, with net sales up 3.4% YoY and EPS flat at $0.52, driving the stock up 6.4%. The company is highly profitable, with strong free cash flow and steady growth, but the current valuation is too high to recommend a Buy. Fastenal is well-positioned to handle tariffs through price hikes and diversified sourcing, potentially gaining market share during economic disruptions. Despite solid fundamentals and market outperformance, the stock's high valuation near decade highs justifies a Hold rating. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Dec 27
Fastenal: High Quality, But Valuation Concerns Apparent Amid Manufacturing Uncertainty
Summary The Materials Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLB) is the only S&P 500 sector ETF in negative territory year to date, with resource stocks under pressure. Fastenal (FAST) trades at a premium multiple despite modest earnings growth expectations, supported by strong fundamentals and market share gains. Key risks include manufacturing weakness, a strong US dollar, and heightened competition, but FAST's low debt and healthy FCF yield are positives. With a long-term uptrend but shares 10% overvalued, I maintain a hold rating on FAST, seeking double-digit EPS growth for a higher valuation. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Oct 14
High-Quality Dividend Stock Universe: Fastenal Company - In Need Of A Moderate Pullback
Summary Fastenal reported better than expected Q3 earnings, resulting in a 10% jump in stock price. Fastenal has returned more than 51,000% since inception, equating to a CAGR of almost 20%. Earlier this year, the company achieved dividend champion status, but the rising payout ratio is something investors should monitor. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Oct 06
Fastenal: Resilience Is Overshadowed By Steep Valuation
Summary Fastenal's growth has temporarily slowed down due to weak industrial activity, and a weak PMI still looks to pressure growth in Q3. Despite the weaker growth, Fastenal's margins have remained resilient, and the company looks poised to return to greater growth with an eventual improvement in manufacturing with Onsite and eBusiness growth. The FAST stock's valuation still stands too steep, likely making the stock's return weak. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Sep 12
Fastenal: Shifting From Branch To Onsite; Initiate With 'Sell' Due To High Valuation
Summary Fastenal's shift from branch to onsite locations has improved customer experience and market share, but I believe the stock is overvalued, warranting a 'Sell' rating with a $50 target price. The company's digital distribution network, including Fastenal Management Inventory, enhances its competitive advantage and supports solid revenue growth. Recent financial results show moderate revenue growth but declining operating income, impacted by weak industrial production and pricing pressures. Despite strong cash flow and potential upside risks, near-term challenges are not fully reflected in the current stock price, justifying the 'Sell' rating. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaPrévisions de croissance des bénéfices et des revenus
| Date | Recettes | Les revenus | Flux de trésorerie disponible | Cash from Op | Moy. Nombre d'analystes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 10,637 | 1,679 | 1,290 | 1,644 | 9 |
| 12/31/2027 | 9,899 | 1,557 | 1,208 | 1,514 | 14 |
| 12/31/2026 | 9,096 | 1,416 | 1,140 | 1,407 | 14 |
| 3/31/2026 | 8,443 | 1,300 | 1,164 | 1,412 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 8,201 | 1,258 | 1,051 | 1,296 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 7,998 | 1,227 | 965 | 1,211 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 7,774 | 1,189 | 876 | 1,121 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 7,610 | 1,152 | 869 | 1,100 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 7,546 | 1,151 | 947 | 1,173 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 7,480 | 1,155 | 1,042 | 1,245 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 7,416 | 1,152 | 1,146 | 1,336 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 7,383 | 1,158 | 1,190 | 1,380 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 7,347 | 1,155 | 1,260 | 1,433 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 7,284 | 1,134 | 1,201 | 1,381 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 7,240 | 1,123 | 1,070 | 1,250 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 7,136 | 1,112 | 928 | 1,100 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 6,981 | 1,087 | 767 | 941 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 6,817 | 1,073 | 623 | 796 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 6,569 | 1,031 | 533 | 705 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 6,298 | 984 | 566 | 725 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 6,011 | 925 | 614 | 770 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 5,837 | 890 | 775 | 935 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 5,696 | 868 | 911 | 1,056 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 5,697 | 867 | 984 | 1,136 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 5,647 | 859 | 934 | 1,102 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 5,566 | 842 | 848 | 1,033 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 5,532 | 834 | 788 | 1,002 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 5,391 | 799 | 638 | 879 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 5,334 | 791 | N/A | 843 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 5,288 | 781 | N/A | 768 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 5,189 | 765 | N/A | 696 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 5,089 | 772 | N/A | 719 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 4,965 | 752 | N/A | 674 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 4,822 | 736 | N/A | 626 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 4,675 | 681 | N/A | 604 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 4,529 | 619 | N/A | 535 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 4,391 | 579 | N/A | 585 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 4,250 | 541 | N/A | 589 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 4,130 | 525 | N/A | 560 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 4,023 | 507 | N/A | 564 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 3,962 | 499 | N/A | 520 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 3,937 | 497 | N/A | 532 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 3,919 | 506 | N/A | 539 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 3,903 | 515 | N/A | 533 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 3,869 | 516 | N/A | 550 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 3,873 | 523 | N/A | 568 | N/A |
| 6/30/2015 | 3,858 | 520 | N/A | 538 | N/A |
Prévisions de croissance des analystes
Taux de revenus par rapport au taux d'épargne: La croissance des bénéfices prévue de FAST ( 9% par an) est supérieure au taux d'épargne ( 3.5% ).
Bénéfices vs marché: Les bénéfices de FAST ( 9% par an) devraient croître plus lentement que le marché US ( 16.8% par an).
Croissance élevée des bénéfices: Les bénéfices de FAST devraient augmenter, mais pas de manière significative.
Chiffre d'affaires vs marché: Le chiffre d'affaires de FAST ( 8% par an) devrait croître plus lentement que le marché de US ( 11.7% par an).
Croissance élevée des revenus: Le chiffre d'affaires de FAST ( 8% par an) devrait croître plus lentement que 20% par an.
Prévisions de croissance du bénéfice par action
Rendement futur des capitaux propres
ROE futur: Le retour sur capitaux propres de FAST devrait être élevé dans 3 ans ( 35.6 %)
Découvrir les entreprises en croissance
Analyse de l'entreprise et données financières
| Données | Dernière mise à jour (heure UTC) |
|---|---|
| Analyse de l'entreprise | 2026/05/25 13:01 |
| Cours de l'action en fin de journée | 2026/05/22 00:00 |
| Les revenus | 2026/03/31 |
| Revenus annuels | 2025/12/31 |
Sources de données
Les données utilisées dans notre analyse de l'entreprise proviennent de S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Les données suivantes sont utilisées dans notre modèle d'analyse pour générer ce rapport. Les données sont normalisées, ce qui peut entraîner un délai avant que la source ne soit disponible.
| Paquet | Données | Cadre temporel | Exemple de source américaine * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Finances de l'entreprise | 10 ans |
| |
| Estimations consensuelles des analystes | +3 ans |
|
|
| Prix du marché | 30 ans |
| |
| Propriété | 10 ans |
| |
| Gestion | 10 ans |
| |
| Principaux développements | 10 ans |
|
* Exemple pour les titres américains ; pour les titres non américains, des formulaires réglementaires et des sources équivalentes sont utilisés.
Sauf indication contraire, toutes les données financières sont basées sur une période annuelle mais mises à jour trimestriellement. C'est ce qu'on appelle les données des douze derniers mois (TTM) ou des douze derniers mois (LTM). En savoir plus.
Modèle d'analyse et flocon de neige
Les détails du modèle d’analyse utilisé pour générer ce rapport sont disponibles sur notre page Github; nous proposons également des guides expliquant comment utiliser nos rapports et des tutoriels sur Youtube.
Découvrez l'équipe de classe mondiale qui a conçu et construit le modèle d'analyse Simply Wall St.
Indicateurs de l'industrie et du secteur
Nos indicateurs de secteur et de section sont calculés toutes les 6 heures par Simply Wall St. Les détails de notre processus sont disponibles sur Github.
Sources des analystes
Fastenal Company est couverte par 34 analystes. 14 de ces analystes ont soumis les estimations de revenus ou de bénéfices utilisées comme données d'entrée dans notre rapport. Les soumissions des analystes sont mises à jour tout au long de la journée.
| Analyste | Institution |
|---|---|
| John Eade | Argus Research Company |
| David Manthey | Baird |
| Guy Hardwick | Barclays |