THK Croissance future
Future contrôle des critères 3/6
THK devrait augmenter ses bénéfices et son chiffre d'affaires de 17.9% et de 5.9% par an respectivement. Le BPA devrait croître de de 20.4% par an. Le rendement des capitaux propres devrait être 13.2% dans 3 ans.
Informations clés
17.9%
Taux de croissance des bénéfices
20.41%
Taux de croissance du BPA
| Machinery croissance des bénéfices | 9.7% |
| Taux de croissance des recettes | 5.9% |
| Rendement futur des capitaux propres | 13.16% |
| Couverture par les analystes | Good |
| Dernière mise à jour | 28 May 2026 |
Mises à jour récentes de la croissance future
Recent updates
Mise à jour du récit • May 26
6481: Upgraded Margin Outlook And Higher P/E Assumptions Will Support Stronger Earnings Base
Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for THK from ¥6,020 to ¥9,550, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, and a higher future P/E multiple as key drivers of the new price target. What's in the News THK revised consolidated guidance for the six months ending June 30, 2026, now expecting revenue of ¥138,000 million, operating income of ¥15,400 million, and profit attributable to owners of the parent of ¥10,500 million, compared with prior guidance of ¥127,000 million, ¥10,200 million, and ¥8,300 million respectively (Key Developments).
Mise à jour du récit • May 06
6481: Higher Assumed P/E Will Likely Limit Future Equity Returns
Analysts have raised their price target on THK to ¥3,787 from ¥2,999, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, and an increased future P/E multiple. What's in the News Board meeting scheduled for March 20, 2026 to consider disposing of treasury stock, which could affect share count and capital structure if approved (Board Meeting).
Mise à jour du récit • Apr 21
6481: Stable Assumptions And Governance Moves Will Shape Balanced Future Outlook
Analysts have kept their ¥5,376 price target on THK steady, with only small adjustments to assumptions such as discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E that fine tune rather than reset their view on the stock. What's in the News Board meeting scheduled for March 20, 2026, with an agenda item to consider disposal of treasury stock, which could affect share count and capital structure if approved (Key Developments).Mise à jour du récit • Apr 07
6481: Higher Profitability Assumptions And Capital Moves Will Shape Balanced Outlook
Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for THK from about ¥4,400 to roughly ¥5,400, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, and a higher future P/E multiple as key drivers behind the higher price target. What's in the News Board meeting scheduled for March 20, 2026 to consider disposal of treasury stock, which could affect share count and capital structure if approved (company board meeting) Resolution passed on February 19, 2026 to change THK's accounting auditor from Grant Thornton Taiyo LLC, with a proposal for a new auditor to be submitted at the 56th general shareholders meeting on March 20, 2026 (Audit & Supervisory Committee meeting) Board meeting held on February 12, 2026 to consider and approve Special Measures for the Next Career Support Program for employees, indicating ongoing adjustments in workforce and human capital policies (company board meeting) Board meeting on February 2, 2026 to review transfer of shares of consolidated subsidiaries and assignment of receivables, indicating changes in group structure and internal financing arrangements (company board meeting) Valuation Changes Fair Value: raised from about ¥4,441 to roughly ¥5,376, reflecting higher assumptions in the model.Mise à jour du récit • Mar 24
6481: Higher Margin Outlook And Governance Changes Will Set Up A Stronger Earnings Base
Analysts have raised their price target for THK to ¥6,020 from ¥5,310, citing updated assumptions for higher revenue growth, a stronger profit margin outlook, a slightly lower discount rate, and a revised future P/E expectation. What's in the News A board meeting is scheduled for March 20, 2026, to consider the disposal of treasury stock, which could affect share count and capital structure if approved (Key Developments).Mise à jour du récit • Mar 09
6481: Lower Profit Margin Outlook Will Pressure Future Equity Returns
Analysts have lifted their price target on THK from about ¥2,857 to roughly ¥2,999, reflecting updated assumptions for fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and a higher expected future P/E multiple. What's in the News THK resolved at its Audit & Supervisory Committee meeting on February 19, 2026, to change its accounting auditor from Grant Thornton Taiyo LLC and plans to submit the appointment of a new accounting auditor to the 56th general shareholders meeting on March 20, 2026 (Key Developments).Mise à jour du récit • Feb 23
6481: Lower Future P/E Assumptions Will Pressure Equity Returns
Analysts have reduced their price target on THK to ¥2,856.81 from ¥3,034.68 after revising their assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins, the discount rate and the future P/E, which has changed their view of fair value. What's in the News A board meeting is scheduled for February 12, 2026 to consider and approve Special Measures for the Next Career Support Program for employees, highlighting a focus on workforce related policies (Key Developments).Article d’analyse • Feb 13
Need To Know: This Analyst Just Made A Substantial Cut To Their THK Co., Ltd. (TSE:6481) Estimates
The analyst covering THK Co., Ltd. ( TSE:6481 ) delivered a dose of negativity to shareholders today, by making a...Article d’analyse • Feb 09
Revenues Not Telling The Story For THK Co., Ltd. (TSE:6481) After Shares Rise 25%
The THK Co., Ltd. ( TSE:6481 ) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 25...Mise à jour du récit • Feb 09
6481: Weaker Industrial Machinery Outlook And Tariff Headwinds Will Pressure Earnings
Analysts have modestly lifted their fair value estimate for THK from ¥4,322 to ¥4,442, reflecting updated assumptions for the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E multiples. What's in the News Board meeting scheduled for February 2, 2026, to discuss the transfer of shares of consolidated subsidiaries and the assignment of receivables, which could reshape parts of the group structure (Key Developments).Mise à jour du récit • Jan 26
6481: Tariff And Restructuring Headwinds Will Set Up A Stronger Earnings Base
Analysts have revised their view on THK's outlook, keeping fair value steady at ¥5,310.0 while adjusting their assumptions for discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E to reflect a more updated mix of risk and earnings. What's in the News THK revised its consolidated earnings guidance for the year ending December 31, 2025, now expecting revenue of ¥360,000 million, operating income of ¥16,000 million, and profit attributable to owners of the parent of ¥10,000 million, or earnings per share of ¥89.27, compared with prior guidance of revenue of ¥363,500 million, operating income of ¥23,500 million, and profit attributable to owners of the parent of ¥18,000 million, or earnings per share of ¥148.14 (company guidance).Mise à jour du récit • Jan 11
6481: Weaker Industrial Orders And Tariff Costs Will Pressure Earnings
Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for THK from ¥3,021.55 to ¥3,034.68, reflecting updated assumptions of higher revenue growth, slightly stronger profit margins, a modestly higher discount rate, and a lower future P/E. What's in the News THK lowered its consolidated earnings guidance for the year ending December 31, 2025, now guiding to revenue of ¥360,000 million, operating income of ¥16,000 million, and profit attributable to owners of the parent of ¥10,000 million, or earnings per share of ¥89.27, compared with its earlier outlook.Article d’analyse • Dec 22
Calculating The Intrinsic Value Of THK Co., Ltd. (TSE:6481)
Key Insights THK's estimated fair value is JP¥3,541 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity THK's JP¥4,061 share...Mise à jour du récit • Dec 14
6481: Higher Discount Rate And Weaker Orders Will Pressure Earnings
Narrative Update The analyst price target for THK has been trimmed slightly. Fair value is edging down by approximately ¥0.34 per share as analysts factor in a higher discount rate and more moderate revenue growth assumptions, partially offset by a modestly improved profit margin outlook and a marginally lower future P/E multiple.Article d’analyse • Dec 06
Does THK (TSE:6481) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...Article d’analyse • Nov 13
THK Co., Ltd. Earnings Missed Analyst Estimates: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Now
Last week, you might have seen that THK Co., Ltd. ( TSE:6481 ) released its quarterly result to the market. The early...Article d’analyse • Oct 01
THK (TSE:6481) Is Experiencing Growth In Returns On Capital
There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. Ideally, a business will show two...Article d’analyse • Sep 09
Calculating The Intrinsic Value Of THK Co., Ltd. (TSE:6481)
Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, THK fair value estimate is JP¥3,747 Current share price of...Article d’analyse • Aug 08
THK Co., Ltd. Earnings Missed Analyst Estimates: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Now
Last week, you might have seen that THK Co., Ltd. ( TSE:6481 ) released its half-year result to the market. The early...Article d’analyse • Jul 24
Investors Interested In THK Co., Ltd.'s (TSE:6481) Earnings
With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 51.2x THK Co., Ltd. ( TSE:6481 ) may be sending very bearish signals at...Article d’analyse • Jun 19
Here's Why THK (TSE:6481) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...Nouveau récit • Jun 15
Lean Reforms And Automation Will Drive Global Efficiency
Structural reforms, automation investments, and resource reallocation are aimed at improving profitability, operating margins, and revenue resilience through efficiency and market diversification.Prévisions de croissance des bénéfices et des revenus
| Date | Recettes | Les revenus | Flux de trésorerie disponible | Cash from Op | Moy. Nombre d'analystes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 315,189 | 35,356 | 29,131 | 48,475 | 9 |
| 12/31/2027 | 308,508 | 33,066 | 32,092 | 49,623 | 11 |
| 12/31/2026 | 289,789 | 29,609 | 25,984 | 48,448 | 10 |
| 3/31/2026 | 255,306 | 14,702 | 21,760 | 38,965 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 240,444 | 10,149 | 23,853 | 42,748 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 355,856 | 6,503 | 15,124 | 36,741 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 349,154 | 6,953 | 6,241 | 30,200 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 352,578 | 8,798 | 6 | 26,946 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 352,759 | 10,439 | -1,151 | 28,412 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 348,950 | 13,514 | 3,889 | 32,542 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 346,197 | 13,569 | 7,501 | 36,714 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 343,529 | 13,467 | 15,609 | 43,554 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 351,939 | 18,398 | 12,287 | 39,332 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 374,270 | 11,958 | 18,623 | 46,312 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 392,610 | 18,874 | 21,476 | 49,867 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 399,127 | 21,195 | 15,303 | 44,766 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 393,687 | 21,198 | 8,154 | 37,561 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 375,578 | 33,408 | -3,101 | 23,820 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 353,818 | 29,852 | -15,003 | 10,488 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 335,533 | 27,203 | -14,195 | 8,614 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 318,188 | 23,007 | -3,605 | 15,643 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 292,608 | 6,413 | 3,126 | 20,741 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 266,987 | 887 | 11,221 | 26,373 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 234,315 | -4,639 | 8,550 | 24,173 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 218,998 | -9,992 | 7,390 | 25,399 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 216,145 | -1,096 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 228,516 | -1,523 | 7,919 | 29,730 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 253,700 | 3,382 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 274,599 | 11,690 | N/A | 28,383 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 303,246 | 16,213 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 323,163 | 25,648 | N/A | 40,392 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 342,418 | 31,866 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 353,479 | 35,400 | N/A | 55,177 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 382,137 | 34,305 | N/A | 34,155 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 339,713 | 29,305 | N/A | 39,572 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 328,856 | 24,925 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 273,577 | 16,731 | N/A | 40,175 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 270,182 | 13,483 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 264,524 | 11,094 | N/A | 30,807 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 252,943 | 8,928 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 240,478 | 13,575 | N/A | 19,753 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 230,112 | 15,773 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 223,657 | 19,527 | N/A | 20,772 | N/A |
| 6/30/2015 | 221,893 | 23,218 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Prévisions de croissance des analystes
Taux de revenus par rapport au taux d'épargne: La croissance des bénéfices prévue de 6481 ( 17.9% par an) est supérieure au taux d'épargne ( 0.8% ).
Bénéfices vs marché: Les bénéfices de 6481 ( 17.9% par an) devraient croître plus rapidement que le marché JP ( 8.9% par an).
Croissance élevée des bénéfices: Les bénéfices de 6481 devraient augmenter, mais pas de manière significative.
Chiffre d'affaires vs marché: Le chiffre d'affaires de 6481 ( 5.9% par an) devrait croître plus rapidement que le marché JP ( 5.6% par an).
Croissance élevée des revenus: Le chiffre d'affaires de 6481 ( 5.9% par an) devrait croître plus lentement que 20% par an.
Prévisions de croissance du bénéfice par action
Rendement futur des capitaux propres
ROE futur: Le retour sur capitaux propres de 6481 devrait être faible dans 3 ans ( 13.2 %).
Découvrir les entreprises en croissance
Analyse de l'entreprise et données financières
| Données | Dernière mise à jour (heure UTC) |
|---|---|
| Analyse de l'entreprise | 2026/05/29 19:18 |
| Cours de l'action en fin de journée | 2026/05/29 00:00 |
| Les revenus | 2026/03/31 |
| Revenus annuels | 2025/12/31 |
Sources de données
Les données utilisées dans notre analyse de l'entreprise proviennent de S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Les données suivantes sont utilisées dans notre modèle d'analyse pour générer ce rapport. Les données sont normalisées, ce qui peut entraîner un délai avant que la source ne soit disponible.
| Paquet | Données | Cadre temporel | Exemple de source américaine * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Finances de l'entreprise | 10 ans |
| |
| Estimations consensuelles des analystes | +3 ans |
|
|
| Prix du marché | 30 ans |
| |
| Propriété | 10 ans |
| |
| Gestion | 10 ans |
| |
| Principaux développements | 10 ans |
|
* Exemple pour les titres américains ; pour les titres non américains, des formulaires réglementaires et des sources équivalentes sont utilisés.
Sauf indication contraire, toutes les données financières sont basées sur une période annuelle mais mises à jour trimestriellement. C'est ce qu'on appelle les données des douze derniers mois (TTM) ou des douze derniers mois (LTM). En savoir plus.
Modèle d'analyse et flocon de neige
Les détails du modèle d’analyse utilisé pour générer ce rapport sont disponibles sur notre page Github; nous proposons également des guides expliquant comment utiliser nos rapports et des tutoriels sur Youtube.
Découvrez l'équipe de classe mondiale qui a conçu et construit le modèle d'analyse Simply Wall St.
Indicateurs de l'industrie et du secteur
Nos indicateurs de secteur et de section sont calculés toutes les 6 heures par Simply Wall St. Les détails de notre processus sont disponibles sur Github.
Sources des analystes
THK Co., Ltd. est couverte par 23 analystes. 11 de ces analystes ont soumis les estimations de revenus ou de bénéfices utilisées comme données d'entrée dans notre rapport. Les soumissions des analystes sont mises à jour tout au long de la journée.
| Analyste | Institution |
|---|---|
| Tsutomu Kijima | Barclays |
| Kenjin Hotta | BofA Global Research |
| Graeme McDonald | Citigroup Inc |