BAE Systems plc

LSE:BA. Rapport sur les actions

Capitalisation boursière : UK£56.6b

BAE Systems Croissance future

Future contrôle des critères 4/6

BAE Systems devrait augmenter ses bénéfices et son chiffre d'affaires de 12% et de 9.4% par an respectivement. Le BPA devrait croître de de 11.8% par an. Le rendement des capitaux propres devrait être 22% dans 3 ans.

Informations clés

12.0%

Taux de croissance des bénéfices

11.81%

Taux de croissance du BPA

Aerospace & Defense croissance des bénéfices3.5%
Taux de croissance des recettes9.4%
Rendement futur des capitaux propres21.96%
Couverture par les analystes

Good

Dernière mise à jour22 May 2026

Mises à jour récentes de la croissance future

Recent updates

Mise à jour du récit • May 19

BA.: Firmer Defence Backdrop Will Offset Softer 2026 Guidance Risks

Analysts have lifted BAE Systems' blended price target to £2,438, reflecting slightly firmer revenue growth and margin assumptions, along with recent target increases from several research houses. Analyst Commentary Recent research activity around BAE Systems has clustered around incremental price target moves, with some analysts highlighting execution and growth questions even as headline targets sit above current levels.
Mise à jour du récit • May 03

BA.: US Defense Contracts And NATO Demand Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have nudged the fair value estimate for BAE Systems to £23.23 per share, a modest move supported by recent price target increases at several banks that cite slightly ahead of expectation 2025 results, a softer 2026 outlook, and updated P/E assumptions around £2,150 to £2,438 price targets. Analyst Commentary Recent research shows a mixed but generally constructive tone around BAE Systems, with several price target updates clustered around the £21.50 to £24.38 range and differing views on how much upside is left after the latest results and outlook.
Mise à jour du récit • Apr 18

BA.: Softer 2026 Outlook Will Cap Upside Despite Recent Contract Momentum

Narrative Update The updated analyst price target for BAE Systems has moved slightly higher to £2,438. This is supported by recent target increases from multiple banks and analyst comments that reference fiscal 2025 results coming in slightly ahead of expectations, even as the 2026 outlook is described as slightly soft.
Mise à jour du récit • Apr 03

BA.: Sector Caution Around Softer 2026 Outlook Will Restrain Overheated Expectations

BAE Systems' analyst fair value has moved from £15.83 to £18.76 per share, with the change supported by higher Street price targets clustered around £19.50 to £24.38 and analyst commentary referencing recent results that were slightly ahead of expectations and updated outlooks. Analyst Commentary Recent research points to a mixed tone around BAE Systems, with several price target increases sitting alongside rating downgrades and more cautious framing of future results.
Mise à jour du récit • Mar 20

BA.: Raising Defence Exposure Should Support Earnings Repricing Beyond 2026

Narrative Update The analyst price target for BAE Systems has moved higher into a £1,860 to £2,438 range, reflecting analysts' updated views that supportive revenue growth assumptions, slightly softer margin expectations, and modestly adjusted future P/E multiples together justify a higher valuation. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research points to generally constructive sentiment on BAE Systems, with several bullish analysts moving price targets higher into the upper half of the current £1,860 to £2,438 range.
Mise à jour du récit • Mar 06

BA.: NATO Rearmament And US Contracts Will Support Measured Future Demand

Narrative Update on BAE Systems The analyst price target for BAE Systems has been raised from £21.49 to £22.90, reflecting higher Street targets, including recent increases from £19.50 to £24.00 per share, supported by updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins and a slightly adjusted P/E outlook. Analyst Commentary Street research on BAE Systems over recent months shows a mix of optimism on the earnings outlook and valuation support, alongside some caution on future share performance and relative appeal versus peers.
Mise à jour du récit • Feb 20

BA.: Defence Order Momentum And 2026 Visibility Will Support Earnings Repricing

The updated analyst price target for BAE Systems edges up from £25.51 to £26.00. This change reflects analysts' mixed but generally constructive research in recent weeks, including higher price targets after slightly ahead of expectation fiscal 2025 results and revised outlooks into 2026.
Mise à jour du récit • Feb 06

BA.: NATO Rearmament And New US Contracts Will Support Sustained Demand

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for BAE Systems higher to £21.49 from £21.01, reflecting modest tweaks to assumptions on growth, margins and future P/E. The revision incorporates a mix of recent price target hikes from JPMorgan, Berenberg and Kepler Cheuvreux, alongside downgrades from Jefferies and Bernstein.
Mise à jour du récit • Jan 23

BA.: Higher Defence Orders And Guidance Will Support Earnings Repricing

We are nudging our BAE Systems fair value estimate higher to £25.51 from £25.00. This reflects analysts' higher price targets in the £1,860 to £2,400 range, supported by updated assumptions on revenue growth and P/E multiples, even as margin expectations are slightly lower.
Mise à jour du récit • Jan 08

BA.: Sector Caution And U.S. Shutdown Risk Will Restrain Overheated Expectations

Narrative Update The updated analyst price targets for BAE Systems now center around £19.50 to £18.60 per share. This reflects a modestly lower fair value estimate and slightly adjusted growth, discount rate and P/E assumptions, as analysts balance sector wide caution with valuation driven support.
Mise à jour du récit • Dec 24

BA.: NATO-Fueled Demand Will Face Execution And Budget Uncertainty

Analysts have raised their price target on BAE Systems by approximately 12 percent to reflect stronger expected revenue growth, slightly higher margins, and robust, geographically diversified demand from NATO countries. This demand is anticipated to support a higher future valuation multiple.
Mise à jour du récit • Dec 10

BA.: NATO Rearmament Cycle Will Drive Sustained Demand Despite Political Risks

Analysts have marginally trimmed their price target for BAE Systems by approximately £0.20 per share, citing slightly higher discount rate assumptions and a modestly lower revenue growth outlook. They still expect robust, NATO-driven demand and continue to favor the company within a selectively valued European defense sector.
Mise à jour du récit • Nov 26

BA.: Global Defense Demand Will Drive Sustained Momentum Despite Sector Selectivity

Analysts have slightly lowered their price target for BAE Systems from £21.35 to £21.21, citing strong ongoing demand and sector tailwinds, which are balanced by high market valuations. Analyst Commentary Recent street research highlights both the optimism and caution among analysts regarding BAE Systems’ prospects.
Mise à jour du récit • Nov 10

BA.: Robust NATO Demand Will Sustain Sector Momentum Amid High Valuations

Analysts have modestly revised their price target for BAE Systems, maintaining fair value at £21.35. They cite robust demand from NATO countries and continued sector strength, despite high valuations.
Article d’analyse • Nov 05

Calculating The Intrinsic Value Of BAE Systems plc (LON:BA.)

Key Insights The projected fair value for BAE Systems is UK£22.07 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity With...
Mise à jour du récit • Oct 27

Diversified Defense Demand And Global Tensions Will Drive New Order Expansion

Analysts have raised their price target for BAE Systems from £20.75 to £21.35. They cite the company's strong defense demand and diversified portfolio as key factors supporting the updated outlook.
Article d’analyse • Oct 16

BAE Systems' (LON:BA.) Dividend Will Be £0.135

The board of BAE Systems plc ( LON:BA. ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of £0.135 per share on the 3rd of...
Article d’analyse • Oct 03

Risks To Shareholder Returns Are Elevated At These Prices For BAE Systems plc (LON:BA.)

With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 31.1x BAE Systems plc ( LON:BA. ) may be sending very bearish signals at...
Article d’analyse • Sep 19

BAE Systems (LON:BA.) Has Announced A Dividend Of £0.135

BAE Systems plc's ( LON:BA. ) investors are due to receive a payment of £0.135 per share on 3rd of December. This makes...
Article d’analyse • Sep 05

BAE Systems' (LON:BA.) Dividend Will Be £0.135

The board of BAE Systems plc ( LON:BA. ) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 3rd of December, with...
Article d’analyse • Aug 26

BAE Systems (LON:BA.) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...
Article d’analyse • Aug 14

BAE Systems (LON:BA.) Will Pay A Dividend Of £0.135

BAE Systems plc ( LON:BA. ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of £0.135 per share on the 3rd of December. This...
Article d’analyse • Aug 13

The Returns At BAE Systems (LON:BA.) Aren't Growing

LSE:BA. 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore BAE Systems's Fair Values from the Community and select yours To find...
Article d’analyse • Jul 27

Does BAE Systems (LON:BA.) Deserve A Spot On Your Watchlist?

The excitement of investing in a company that can reverse its fortunes is a big draw for some speculators, so even...
Article d’analyse • Jun 17

BAE Systems plc's (LON:BA.) Share Price Not Quite Adding Up

BAE Systems plc's ( LON:BA. ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 29.5x might make it look like a strong sell right...
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Nouveau récit • Feb 23

Investments In Space, AI, And Drones Will Secure Future Leadership In Defense Technologies

Record order backlog and alignment with global defense spending will drive revenue growth and margin expansion through strategic national defense alignments.

Prévisions de croissance des bénéfices et des revenus

LSE:BA. - Estimations futures des analystes et données financières antérieures (GBP Millions )
DateRecettesLes revenusFlux de trésorerie disponibleCash from OpMoy. Nombre d'analystes
12/31/202838,7082,9732,9274,51513
12/31/202735,9402,6752,5464,17315
12/31/202633,2672,3142,1513,59216
12/31/202528,3362,0622,3293,432N/A
9/30/202527,8712,0202,2043,337N/A
6/30/202527,4061,9772,0793,242N/A
3/31/202526,8591,9672,4213,584N/A
12/31/202426,3121,9562,7623,925N/A
9/30/202425,4351,8982,3783,479N/A
6/30/202424,5581,8401,9943,033N/A
3/31/202423,8181,8492,3993,397N/A
12/31/202323,0781,8572,8033,760N/A
9/30/202322,7971,8992,9173,795N/A
6/30/202322,5161,9413,0313,830N/A
3/31/202321,8871,7662,5893,335N/A
12/31/202221,2581,5912,1462,839N/A
9/30/202220,5901,4821,8802,578N/A
6/30/202219,9211,3731,6142,317N/A
3/31/202219,7211,5661,7252,382N/A
12/31/202119,5211,7581,8352,447N/A
9/30/202119,4791,7631,9462,482N/A
6/30/202119,4361,7672,0562,516N/A
3/31/202119,3571,5331,3731,841N/A
12/31/202019,2771,2996891,166N/A
9/30/202019,0441,2566611,134N/A
6/30/202018,8111,2136321,102N/A
3/31/202018,5581,3458801,350N/A
12/31/201918,3051,4761,1281,597N/A
9/30/201917,8201,400N/A1,481N/A
6/30/201917,3341,324N/A1,365N/A
3/31/201917,0781,162N/A1,283N/A
12/31/201816,8211,000N/A1,200N/A
9/30/201816,646865N/A1,180N/A
6/30/201816,470729N/A1,159N/A
3/31/201816,847778N/A1,528N/A
12/31/201717,224827N/A1,897N/A
9/30/201717,826951N/A1,695N/A
6/30/201718,4271,074N/A1,493N/A
3/31/201718,109994N/A1,361N/A
12/31/201617,790913N/A1,229N/A
9/30/201617,427925N/A1,265N/A
6/30/201617,064936N/A1,300N/A
3/31/201616,926927N/A1,054N/A
12/31/201516,787918N/A808N/A
9/30/201516,548810N/A619N/A
6/30/201516,309701N/A430N/A

Prévisions de croissance des analystes

Taux de revenus par rapport au taux d'épargne: La croissance des bénéfices prévue de BA. ( 12% par an) est supérieure au taux d'épargne ( 3.4% ).

Bénéfices vs marché: Les bénéfices de BA. ( 12% par an) devraient croître plus rapidement que le marché UK ( 11.5% par an).

Croissance élevée des bénéfices: Les bénéfices de BA. devraient augmenter, mais pas de manière significative.

Chiffre d'affaires vs marché: Le chiffre d'affaires de BA. ( 9.4% par an) devrait croître plus rapidement que le marché UK ( 4.5% par an).

Croissance élevée des revenus: Le chiffre d'affaires de BA. ( 9.4% par an) devrait croître plus lentement que 20% par an.

Prévisions de croissance du bénéfice par action

Rendement futur des capitaux propres

ROE futur: Le retour sur capitaux propres de BA. devrait être élevé dans 3 ans ( 22 %)

Découvrir les entreprises en croissance

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Analyse de l'entreprise et données financières

DonnéesDernière mise à jour (heure UTC)
Analyse de l'entreprise2026/05/22 18:03
Cours de l'action en fin de journée2026/05/22 00:00
Les revenus2025/12/31
Revenus annuels2025/12/31

Sources de données

Les données utilisées dans notre analyse de l'entreprise proviennent de S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Les données suivantes sont utilisées dans notre modèle d'analyse pour générer ce rapport. Les données sont normalisées, ce qui peut entraîner un délai avant que la source ne soit disponible.

PaquetDonnéesCadre temporelExemple de source américaine *
Finances de l'entreprise10 ans
  • Compte de résultat
  • Tableau des flux de trésorerie
  • Bilan
Estimations consensuelles des analystes+3 ans
  • Prévisions financières
  • Objectifs de prix des analystes
Prix du marché30 ans
  • Cours des actions
  • Dividendes, scissions et actions
Propriété10 ans
  • Actionnaires principaux
  • Délits d'initiés
Gestion10 ans
  • L'équipe dirigeante
  • Conseil d'administration
Principaux développements10 ans
  • Annonces de l'entreprise

* Exemple pour les titres américains ; pour les titres non américains, des formulaires réglementaires et des sources équivalentes sont utilisés.

Sauf indication contraire, toutes les données financières sont basées sur une période annuelle mais mises à jour trimestriellement. C'est ce qu'on appelle les données des douze derniers mois (TTM) ou des douze derniers mois (LTM). En savoir plus.

Modèle d'analyse et flocon de neige

Les détails du modèle d’analyse utilisé pour générer ce rapport sont disponibles sur notre page Github; nous proposons également des guides expliquant comment utiliser nos rapports et des tutoriels sur Youtube.

Découvrez l'équipe de classe mondiale qui a conçu et construit le modèle d'analyse Simply Wall St.

Indicateurs de l'industrie et du secteur

Nos indicateurs de secteur et de section sont calculés toutes les 6 heures par Simply Wall St. Les détails de notre processus sont disponibles sur Github.

Sources des analystes

BAE Systems plc est couverte par 33 analystes. 16 de ces analystes ont soumis les estimations de revenus ou de bénéfices utilisées comme données d'entrée dans notre rapport. Les soumissions des analystes sont mises à jour tout au long de la journée.

AnalysteInstitution
Joseph CampbellBarclays
George McwhirterBerenberg
Adrien RabierBernstein