Gerdau Croissance future
Future contrôle des critères 3/6
Gerdau devrait augmenter ses bénéfices et son chiffre d'affaires de 31.4% et de 4% par an respectivement. Le BPA devrait croître de de 27.2% par an. Le rendement des capitaux propres devrait être 10% dans 3 ans.
Informations clés
31.4%
Taux de croissance des bénéfices
27.19%
Taux de croissance du BPA
| Metals and Mining croissance des bénéfices | 20.9% |
| Taux de croissance des recettes | 4.0% |
| Rendement futur des capitaux propres | 10.05% |
| Couverture par les analystes | Good |
| Dernière mise à jour | 07 May 2026 |
Mises à jour récentes de la croissance future
Recent updates
GGBR4: Share Repurchases And Higher Margin Assumptions Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have nudged their price target for Gerdau higher to R$29.95 from R$29.52, citing updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E, following a series of recent upgrades and target increases across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research has leaned more constructive on Gerdau, with several bullish analysts adjusting their views and price targets in quick succession.
GGBR4: Share Buybacks And Higher P/E Framework Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have inched their average price target on Gerdau higher to about R$24.64 from roughly R$24.57, citing updated assumptions on discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E. These changes reflect the latest rounds of target increases and rating changes across the Street.GGBR4: Share Buybacks And Refined Margin Assumptions Will Support Future Upside
Gerdau's updated R$29.52 analyst price target edges slightly below the prior R$29.66, with analysts citing refined assumptions for discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E following a mix of recent upgrades and downgrades across major firms. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Gerdau shows a mix of upgrades, downgrades and price target tweaks, with several bullish analysts focusing on refined expectations for execution and earnings power rather than wholesale changes to the underlying story.
GGBR4: Buyback Plan And Firmer Margins Will Likely Unlock Upside
Analysts raised the fair value estimate for Gerdau to R$21.00 from R$20.00, citing updated assumptions on discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E that reflect the latest mix of upgrades and downgrades in recent research. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Gerdau presents a mixed picture, with some firms turning more constructive while others are taking a step back and reassessing risk.GGBR4: Share Buybacks Will Shape More Optimistic Future Earnings Profile
Analysts have trimmed their stance on Gerdau and now see fair value at about R$24.57 per share, a change of roughly R$0.44. This reflects expectations for lower revenue growth, a higher profit margin and a lower future P/E multiple.GGBR4: Share Buybacks And Higher Margins Will Support Future Upside Potential
Analysts have made only a slight upward adjustment to their R$ price target for Gerdau, reflecting more cautious views following recent downgrades that point to tempered expectations, despite updated assumptions for profit margins and future P/E levels. Analyst Commentary Recent research has turned more cautious on Gerdau, with downgrades reflecting a preference to wait for clearer visibility on earnings and valuation.GGBR4: Share Buybacks And Higher Future P/E Will Support Upside Potential
Analysts have nudged their price target on Gerdau to R$29.60 from R$27.96, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins and a higher future P/E multiple, even as some recent research, such as BTG Pactual turning more cautious, reflects a more mixed stance on the shares. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts highlight the updated price target of R$29.60 as a sign that they see room for the shares to better reflect their assumptions on revenue, margins and a higher future P/E multiple.GGBR4: Share Buybacks And Refined Earnings Assumptions Will Shape Balanced Outlook
Analysts now set their fair value estimate for Gerdau at US$24.13 per share, up from US$23.08. This reflects updated views on discount rates, long term profit margins and future P/E assumptions, even as some recent research has turned more cautious on the stock.GGBR4: Share Cancellations And Rich P/E Will Likely Restrain Returns
Analysts have lifted their price target on Gerdau from US$17.00 to US$20.00, citing revised assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, the discount rate, and the future P/E they apply to the shares. What's in the News Between July 1, 2025 and September 30, 2025, Gerdau repurchased 293,000 shares for BRL 4.59 million under its buyback program announced on January 20, 2025, bringing total repurchases under the program to 1,033,500 shares for BRL 16.17 million (company filing).GGBR4: Share Cancellations And Dividend Payout Will Support Bullish Outlook
Analysts have nudged their price target for Gerdau higher from US$22.61 to about US$23.08, reflecting updated views that factor in slightly adjusted forecasts for discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E assumptions. What's in the News From October 1, 2025 to December 19, 2025, Gerdau repurchased 466,500 shares for BRL 7.3 million, completing the 1,500,000 share buyback program announced on January 20, 2025 for a total of BRL 23.48 million (company filing).GGBR4: Share Cancellations And Dividend Policy Will Support Future Upside Potential
Analysts have modestly trimmed their price target on Gerdau to approximately $27.96 from $28.00, citing a combination of slower expected revenue growth, a slightly higher discount rate, and improved profit margin and future valuation assumptions. What's in the News A board meeting is scheduled for October 30, 2025, to evaluate the cancellation of 283,900 common shares (GGBR3) and 12,650,000 preferred shares (GGBR4) without reducing capital stock (company filing).GGBR4: Upcoming Dividend Payment and Share Buybacks Will Drive Market Optimism
Analysts have raised Gerdau's fair value estimate from $22.19 to $22.61, citing recent adjustments to growth and profitability expectations as key factors in the revised price target. What's in the News The Board of Directors approved the cancellation of 283,900 common shares (GGBR3) and 12,650,000 preferred shares (GGBR4) with no reduction in capital stock (Key Developments).
Strategic Shifts And Efficiency Enhancements Set The Stage For Growth Amid Global Challenges
Cost reduction efforts and a strategic product mix are set to improve margins and efficiency, enhancing Gerdau's financial performance.Prévisions de croissance des bénéfices et des revenus
| Date | Recettes | Les revenus | Flux de trésorerie disponible | Cash from Op | Moy. Nombre d'analystes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 75,943 | 5,505 | 4,603 | 8,641 | 11 |
| 12/31/2027 | 73,071 | 5,397 | 4,495 | 7,886 | 13 |
| 12/31/2026 | 70,276 | 5,360 | 3,901 | 7,849 | 11 |
| 3/31/2026 | 69,199 | 1,640 | 2,410 | 8,596 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 69,859 | 1,387 | 1,135 | 7,987 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 69,707 | 3,001 | 380 | 7,627 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 69,102 | 3,269 | 3,346 | 10,530 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 68,192 | 3,272 | 4,742 | 11,451 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 67,027 | 4,566 | 5,435 | 11,381 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 64,920 | 4,828 | 6,596 | 12,208 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 64,605 | 5,063 | 3,296 | 8,725 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 66,254 | 6,339 | 4,542 | 10,006 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 68,916 | 7,502 | 5,802 | 11,139 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 72,165 | 8,131 | 3,745 | 9,250 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 76,251 | 9,560 | 5,056 | 10,153 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 80,954 | 11,707 | 5,960 | 10,794 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 82,412 | 11,426 | 6,669 | 11,150 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 86,003 | 13,713 | 13,238 | 17,248 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 86,171 | 16,296 | 12,840 | 16,575 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 82,333 | 15,968 | 9,919 | 13,268 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 78,345 | 15,494 | 9,325 | 12,517 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 70,410 | 13,047 | 4,751 | 7,290 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 61,315 | 8,239 | 5,116 | 7,199 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 50,930 | 4,600 | 5,047 | 6,815 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 43,815 | 2,366 | 4,603 | 6,408 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 39,728 | 1,417 | 1,946 | 3,653 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 37,437 | 917 | 895 | 2,783 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 38,846 | 971 | 1,118 | 3,161 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 39,644 | 1,204 | N/A | 1,643 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 41,010 | 1,488 | N/A | 3,520 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 43,915 | 1,987 | N/A | 1,938 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 45,796 | 2,312 | N/A | 1,847 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 46,159 | 2,304 | N/A | 2,000 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 45,077 | 536 | N/A | 2,573 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 41,717 | -114 | N/A | 2,308 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 38,848 | -734 | N/A | 1,836 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 36,918 | -359 | N/A | 2,076 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 35,720 | -2,039 | N/A | 1,465 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 34,943 | -2,082 | N/A | 2,060 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 36,026 | -2,084 | N/A | 2,624 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 37,652 | -2,891 | N/A | 3,516 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 39,481 | -2,984 | N/A | 3,791 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 42,708 | -5,018 | N/A | 6,409 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 43,218 | -4,836 | N/A | 7,147 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 43,581 | -4,551 | N/A | 7,162 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 43,976 | -997 | N/A | 5,827 | N/A |
| 6/30/2015 | 42,757 | 1,198 | N/A | 3,515 | N/A |
Prévisions de croissance des analystes
Taux de revenus par rapport au taux d'épargne: La croissance des bénéfices prévue de GGBR4 ( 31.4% par an) est supérieure au taux d'épargne ( 12.4% ).
Bénéfices vs marché: Les bénéfices de GGBR4 ( 31.4% par an) devraient croître plus rapidement que le marché BR ( 12.6% par an).
Croissance élevée des bénéfices: Les bénéfices de GGBR4 devraient augmenter de manière significative au cours des 3 prochaines années.
Chiffre d'affaires vs marché: Le chiffre d'affaires de GGBR4 ( 4% par an) devrait croître plus lentement que le marché de BR ( 6.5% par an).
Croissance élevée des revenus: Le chiffre d'affaires de GGBR4 ( 4% par an) devrait croître plus lentement que 20% par an.
Prévisions de croissance du bénéfice par action
Rendement futur des capitaux propres
ROE futur: Le retour sur capitaux propres de GGBR4 devrait être faible dans 3 ans ( 10 %).
Découvrir les entreprises en croissance
Analyse de l'entreprise et données financières
| Données | Dernière mise à jour (heure UTC) |
|---|---|
| Analyse de l'entreprise | 2026/05/21 14:38 |
| Cours de l'action en fin de journée | 2026/05/20 00:00 |
| Les revenus | 2026/03/31 |
| Revenus annuels | 2025/12/31 |
Sources de données
Les données utilisées dans notre analyse de l'entreprise proviennent de S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Les données suivantes sont utilisées dans notre modèle d'analyse pour générer ce rapport. Les données sont normalisées, ce qui peut entraîner un délai avant que la source ne soit disponible.
| Paquet | Données | Cadre temporel | Exemple de source américaine * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Finances de l'entreprise | 10 ans |
| |
| Estimations consensuelles des analystes | +3 ans |
|
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| Prix du marché | 30 ans |
| |
| Propriété | 10 ans |
| |
| Gestion | 10 ans |
| |
| Principaux développements | 10 ans |
|
* Exemple pour les titres américains ; pour les titres non américains, des formulaires réglementaires et des sources équivalentes sont utilisés.
Sauf indication contraire, toutes les données financières sont basées sur une période annuelle mais mises à jour trimestriellement. C'est ce qu'on appelle les données des douze derniers mois (TTM) ou des douze derniers mois (LTM). En savoir plus.
Modèle d'analyse et flocon de neige
Les détails du modèle d’analyse utilisé pour générer ce rapport sont disponibles sur notre page Github; nous proposons également des guides expliquant comment utiliser nos rapports et des tutoriels sur Youtube.
Découvrez l'équipe de classe mondiale qui a conçu et construit le modèle d'analyse Simply Wall St.
Indicateurs de l'industrie et du secteur
Nos indicateurs de secteur et de section sont calculés toutes les 6 heures par Simply Wall St. Les détails de notre processus sont disponibles sur Github.
Sources des analystes
Gerdau S.A. est couverte par 22 analystes. 13 de ces analystes ont soumis les estimations de revenus ou de bénéfices utilisées comme données d'entrée dans notre rapport. Les soumissions des analystes sont mises à jour tout au long de la journée.
| Analyste | Institution |
|---|---|
| Leonardo Correa | Barclays |
| Mary Cleia da Silva | BB Banco de Investimento S.A. |
| Caio Ribeiro | BofA Global Research |