Applied Optoelectronics Crecimiento futuro
Future controles de criterios 5/6
Se prevé un crecimiento anual de los beneficios y los ingresos de Applied Optoelectronics de 123.9% y 62.9% respectivamente, mientras que el BPA crecerá en un 123.9% al año.
Información clave
123.9%
Tasa de crecimiento de los beneficios
123.85%
Tasa de crecimiento del BPA
| Crecimiento de los beneficios de Communications | 21.4% |
| Tasa de crecimiento de los ingresos | 62.9% |
| Rentabilidad financiera futura | n/a |
| Cobertura de analistas | Low |
| Última actualización | 21 Apr 2026 |
Actualizaciones recientes sobre el crecimiento futuro
Recent updates
Applied Optoelectronics Has A Vision Of Success, And So Do I
Apr 21
AAOI: Large Hyperscale Transceiver Orders Will Ultimately Struggle To Justify Current Expectations
Analysts lifted their price target framework for Applied Optoelectronics sharply, with fair value rising from $50.00 to $140.00. They point to the new over $200m 1.6T transceiver order from a long term customer, expected strength in 400G, and anticipated 800G demand starting in Q2 as key supports for higher projected revenue growth, margins, and future P/E multiples.
AAOI: Concentrated Hyperscale Orders Will Likely Cap Future Share Returns
Analysts have raised their price targets on Applied Optoelectronics, supported by a higher fair value estimate of $90.30 and recent research that reflects a more constructive view on large 1.6T, 400G, and 800G transceiver orders from cloud customers. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts highlight the over US$200m 1.6T transceiver order from a long term customer as a meaningful proof point that large cloud buyers are committing real dollars to Applied Optoelectronics' higher speed products.
The Company Powering AI’s Data Traffic, Not Its Headlines
Rating: Speculative Buy / High Risk Style: AI infrastructure “picks-and-shovels” growth name Core debate: Is AAOI a genuine bottleneck asset in AI networking, or a cyclical optics supplier temporarily enjoying peak demand and peak multiples? Executive view Applied Optoelectronics is no longer just a small-cap optical component company.
AAOI: Heavy Reliance On One Hyperscale Order Will Limit Future Upside
Analysts lifted their price target on Applied Optoelectronics from $15 to $54, reflecting updated views that stronger 400G and 800G demand, large 1.6T transceiver orders, and higher projected revenue growth and profit margins could justify a higher fair value and future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Applied Optoelectronics highlights both strong interest in high speed optical products and a wide range of opinions on what that might mean for the stock.AAOI: Amazon Reliance And Unproven 800G Ramp Will Restrain Future Returns
Analysts have sharply raised their price targets on Applied Optoelectronics, with one increase from $15 to $54. They cite continued strength in 400G products and the expectation that 800G will begin contributing incremental growth from Q2, particularly supported by firm demand from a key customer such as Amazon.AAOI: New Facility And AI Transceiver Demand Will Support Balanced Future Outlook
Analysts have slightly raised their price target on Applied Optoelectronics to $50.00, reflecting updated assumptions for revenue growth of 82.48%, profit margins of 16.73%, and a future P/E of 12.31x. What's in the News Held a groundbreaking ceremony for a new 210,000 square foot manufacturing facility at 1111 Gillingham St. in Sugar Land, Texas, expanding its physical footprint for future production capacity (Key Developments).AAOI: Houston Automation Strength And Amazon Expectations Will Shape A Measured Outlook
Narrative Update on Applied Optoelectronics Analysts now frame Applied Optoelectronics' outlook around a split view, with one firm lifting its price target to $35 after a site visit that highlighted manufacturing capabilities, while another reiterates a $15 target and a Sell rating based on valuation concerns and what it calls ambitious 2026 revenue expectations tied to the Amazon opportunity. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Applied Optoelectronics splits into two camps, with some analysts highlighting upside linked to manufacturing strength and others questioning how much of the potential growth story is already reflected in the share price.AAOI: InP Lasers And Automation Will Support Future AI Transceiver Leadership
Analysts have lifted their blended price target range for Applied Optoelectronics toward the mid teens to mid $30s, reflecting mixed views that balance concerns about valuation and ambitious revenue assumptions with confidence in the company's InP laser capabilities and highly automated transceiver production. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Applied Optoelectronics shows a clear split between bullish analysts who see upside from the company’s technology and production capabilities and more cautious voices focused on valuation and execution risk.Revenues Tell The Story For Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. (NASDAQ:AAOI) As Its Stock Soars 25%
Jan 21
AAOI: Texas Expansion And Amazon Contract Expectations Will Shape A Balanced Outlook
Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Applied Optoelectronics from $30.60 to $36.60, reflecting updated assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E after recent research visits and valuation checks that highlighted both the company’s manufacturing capabilities and differing views on how much of the Amazon opportunity is already priced in. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Applied Optoelectronics presents a split view, with some analysts focusing on the company’s operational strengths and others pointing to valuation risks and ambitious revenue assumptions tied to the Amazon opportunity.AAOI: InP Laser And Transceiver Automation Will Support Structurally Stronger Margins
We raise our fair value estimate for Applied Optoelectronics to $50 from $34, reflecting analysts' higher confidence in the company's laser and transceiver capabilities and structurally stronger margins, even as some caution that the current share price already embeds aggressive growth expectations. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts point to Applied Optoelectronics' differentiated position in indium phosphide, or InP, laser epitaxy and advanced transceiver manufacturing as key reasons for raising price targets and assigning favorable ratings.AAOI: Texas Expansion And Amazon Opportunity Will Shape A Measured Future Outlook
Analysts have slightly increased their price target for Applied Optoelectronics, with the blended target edging higher by about $5 to approximately $35. They highlight the company’s strengthened InP laser and automated transceiver manufacturing capabilities while still cautioning that valuation already reflects much of the anticipated Amazon-driven upside.AAOI: Expanded Manufacturing in Texas Will Drive Future Industry Leadership
Applied Optoelectronics' analyst price target has increased from $28.40 to $30.60. This change reflects analysts' recognition of stronger operational capabilities and advanced production efficiencies amid ongoing debates over growth prospects and valuation.Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. (NASDAQ:AAOI) Stocks Pounded By 27% But Not Lagging Industry On Growth Or Pricing
Nov 14AAOI: Future Market Share Gains Will Depend On Successful Capacity Expansions
Analysts have raised their price target for Applied Optoelectronics from $18 to $25. This change reflects expectations for increased datacenter optical market share and further sales growth resulting from new awards, capacity expansions, and favorable industry dynamics.Analysts Raise Targets for Applied Optoelectronics Amid Growth Optimism and Valuation Adjustments
Analysts have increased their price target for Applied Optoelectronics, raising it by $1.20. This change reflects growing optimism driven by expectations of expanded market share and a stronger sales outlook.Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. (NASDAQ:AAOI) Stocks Shoot Up 32% But Its P/S Still Looks Reasonable
Sep 16US And Taiwan Manufacturing Will Fuel Optical Market Expansion
Despite optimism around Applied Optoelectronics’ long-term market share gains, upcoming sales growth, and favorable geopolitical tailwinds, the consensus analyst price target has been reduced from $29.50 to $27.20. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts see strong potential for 2026 sales growth driven by new customer awards.US And Taiwan Manufacturing Will Fuel Optical Market Expansion
Despite a substantial improvement in net profit margin and a sharp decline in future P/E, the consensus analyst price target for Applied Optoelectronics has been revised downward from $31.33 to $29.50. What's in the News Provided Q3 2025 revenue guidance of $115 million to $127 million.Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. (NASDAQ:AAOI) Looks Just Right With A 75% Price Jump
Jul 18After Leaping 38% Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. (NASDAQ:AAOI) Shares Are Not Flying Under The Radar
May 09
Texas Expansion And New Transceivers Will Fuel Next-Generation Networks
Ramp-up of high-capacity transceiver products and capital investments signal potential revenue growth through increased sales volume in AI-focused datacenter architectures.Applied Optoelectronics: Sell The Rally
Mar 14Applied Optoelectronics Q4: Top-Line Growth Overshadowed By Decline In Margins
Mar 04Applied Optoelectronics Rises On Strong Q4-2024 Outlook And Future Data Center Growth
Dec 24Applied Optoelectronics: Risk/Reward Increasingly Unfavorable After Epic Rally (Rating Downgrade)
Dec 11Applied Optoelectronics' Bright Prospects Dimmed By Valuation Concerns
Nov 11Applied Optoelectronics: Mixed Results But Improved Outlook - Hold
Aug 27Applied Optoelectronics: The Bottom Is Not Likely In
Jul 07Applied Optoelectronics: A Turnaround Could Be Around The Corner
May 17Applied Optoelectronics Tanks On Q1 2024 Outlook: Buy The Dip
Feb 27Applied Optoelectronics: A Risky Play At A Premium
Jan 30Previsiones de crecimiento de beneficios e ingresos
| Fecha | Ingresos | Beneficios | Flujo de caja libre | Flujo de caja operativo | Núm. de analistas medio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2027 | 1,876 | 302 | 171 | N/A | 3 |
| 12/31/2026 | 962 | 72 | -143 | N/A | 5 |
| 12/31/2025 | 456 | -38 | -385 | -174 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 422 | -156 | -324 | -169 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 368 | -156 | -269 | -155 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 309 | -173 | -171 | -92 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 249 | -187 | -120 | -70 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 210 | -81 | -74 | -43 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 207 | -72 | -69 | -44 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 205 | -63 | -49 | -27 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 218 | -56 | -23 | -8 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 219 | -62 | -19 | -13 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 213 | -69 | -11 | -7 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 224 | -67 | -24 | -20 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 223 | -66 | -18 | -14 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 216 | -61 | -17 | -11 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 212 | -61 | -7 | 2 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 214 | -55 | -9 | 0 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 212 | -54 | -22 | -12 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 209 | -53 | -38 | -25 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 233 | -47 | -49 | -35 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 244 | -57 | -70 | -51 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 235 | -58 | -64 | -44 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 231 | -80 | -53 | -33 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 200 | -80 | -47 | -33 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 179 | -72 | -32 | -10 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 191 | -66 | -34 | -2 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 200 | -39 | N/A | -10 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 211 | -34 | N/A | 3 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 255 | -15 | N/A | 18 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 267 | -2 | N/A | 14 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 289 | 12 | N/A | 52 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 322 | 35 | N/A | 52 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 351 | 56 | N/A | 71 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 382 | 74 | N/A | 84 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 387 | 82 | N/A | 86 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 369 | 81 | N/A | 85 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 307 | 52 | N/A | 58 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 261 | 31 | N/A | 57 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 229 | 20 | N/A | 31 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 216 | 5 | N/A | 18 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 210 | 10 | N/A | 8 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 190 | 11 | N/A | -15 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 173 | 9 | N/A | -10 | N/A |
| 6/30/2015 | 153 | 8 | N/A | -3 | N/A |
Previsiones de crecimiento futuro de los analistas
Ingresos vs. Tasa de ahorro: Se prevé que AAOI sea rentable en los próximos 3 años, lo que se considera un crecimiento más rápido que la tasa de ahorro (3.4%).
Beneficios vs. Mercado: Se prevé que AAOI sea rentable en los próximos 3 años, lo que se considera un crecimiento del mercado superior a la media.
Beneficios de alto crecimiento: Se espera que AAOI sea rentable en los próximos 3 años.
Ingresos vs. Mercado: Se prevé que los ingresos (62.9% al año) de AAOI crezcan más rápidamente que los del mercado US (11% al año).
Ingresos de alto crecimiento: Se prevé que los ingresos (62.9% al año) de AAOI crezcan más rápidamente que un 20% al año.
Previsiones de crecimiento de los beneficios por acción
Rentabilidad financiera futura
ROE futura: Datos insuficientes para determinar si la rentabilidad financiera de AAOI se prevé que sea elevada dentro de 3 años.
Descubre empresas en crecimiento
Análisis de la empresa y estado de los datos financieros
| Datos | Última actualización (huso horario UTC) |
|---|---|
| Análisis de la empresa | 2026/04/29 07:10 |
| Precio de las acciones al final del día | 2026/04/29 00:00 |
| Beneficios | 2025/12/31 |
| Ingresos anuales | 2025/12/31 |
Fuentes de datos
Los datos utilizados en nuestro análisis de empresas proceden de S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Los siguientes datos se utilizan en nuestro modelo de análisis para generar este informe. Los datos están normalizados, lo que puede introducir un retraso desde que la fuente está disponible.
| Paquete | Datos | Marco temporal | Ejemplo Fuente EE.UU. * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Finanzas de la empresa | 10 años |
| |
| Estimaciones del consenso de analistas | +3 años |
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| Precios de mercado | 30 años |
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| Propiedad | 10 años |
| |
| Gestión | 10 años |
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| Principales avances | 10 años |
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* Ejemplo para valores de EE.UU., para no EE.UU. se utilizan formularios y fuentes normativas equivalentes.
A menos que se especifique lo contrario, todos los datos financieros se basan en un periodo anual, pero se actualizan trimestralmente. Esto se conoce como datos de los últimos doce meses (TTM) o de los últimos doce meses (LTM). Más información.
Modelo de análisis y copo de nieve
Los detalles del modelo de análisis utilizado para generar este informe están disponibles en nuestra página de Github, también tenemos guías sobre cómo utilizar nuestros informes y tutoriales en Youtube.
Conozca al equipo de talla mundial que diseñó y construyó el modelo de análisis Simply Wall St.
Métricas industriales y sectoriales
Simply Wall St calcula cada 6 horas nuestras métricas sectoriales y de sección. Los detalles de nuestro proceso están disponibles en Github.
Fuentes analistas
Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. está cubierta por 14 analistas. 5 de esos analistas presentaron las estimaciones de ingresos o ganancias utilizadas como datos para nuestro informe. Las estimaciones de los analistas se actualizan a lo largo del día.
| Analista | Institución |
|---|---|
| null null | Argus Research Company |
| Ku Kang | B. Riley Securities, Inc. |
| Richard Shannon | Craig-Hallum Capital Group LLC |