Carvana Crecimiento futuro
Future controles de criterios 4/6
Se prevé un crecimiento anual de los beneficios y los ingresos de Carvana de 17.5% y 18.3% por año respectivamente. Se prevé que el BPA crezca en un 10.9% al año. Se espera que la rentabilidad financiera sea de 33% en 3 años.
Información clave
17.5%
Tasa de crecimiento de los beneficios
10.92%
Tasa de crecimiento del BPA
| Crecimiento de los beneficios de Specialty Retail | 9.7% |
| Tasa de crecimiento de los ingresos | 18.3% |
| Rentabilidad financiera futura | 33.02% |
| Cobertura de analistas | Good |
| Última actualización | 13 May 2026 |
Actualizaciones recientes sobre el crecimiento futuro
Recent updates
Actualización de narrativa • May 04
CVNA: Higher Multiple Expectations Will Confront Ongoing Margin And Execution Risks
Carvana's analyst price target has been updated from $307.90 to $351.40. Analysts generally point to recent broad based target increases and a willingness to assign a higher future P/E multiple, despite more cautious assumptions on revenue growth and profit margins.Seeking Alpha • Apr 30
Carvana: In A Class Of Its Own With Furious Growth Rates
Summary Carvana is delivering rapid growth, outpacing the used car industry with ~40% unit sales growth and strong Q1 results. CVNA's reconditioning capacity and completed capex support scaling to 1.5 million units annually, with further real estate available for expansion to 3 million units (vs. ~750k run rate today). Despite a premium valuation—31.3x EV/FY26 EBITDA—the company's secular growth and margin expansion targets support a 'growth at a reasonable price' thesis. I reiterate a 'Buy' rating, citing the aggressive long-term targets: 3 million units sold annually at a 13.5% adjusted EBITDA margin by 2030-2035. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Actualización de narrativa • Apr 20
CVNA: Retail Unit Expansion And Vertically Integrated Model Will Drive Future Upside
Carvana's updated analyst price target of $519, down from $600, reflects analysts factoring in recent Q4 profitability shortfalls and softer near term unit guidance, while still crediting the company's share gains, vertically integrated model, and defended position against AI disintermediation. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates show a cluster of price target trims after Carvana's Q4 report, but the tone across much of the Street still leans constructive.Actualización de narrativa • Apr 06
CVNA: Retail Unit Expansion And AI Resilience Will Drive Future Upside
Analysts now place Carvana's price target at $519, reflecting a recalibration that weighs recent target cuts tied to Q4 margin pressure and softer near term guidance, while also considering views that AI disintermediation risks are limited and that unit growth and market share gains remain central to the long term story. Analyst Commentary Recent research paints a mixed but generally constructive picture around Carvana, with price targets reset to reflect Q4 margin pressure and softer near term guidance, while still leaning on the long term growth story.
Actualización de narrativa • Mar 23
CVNA: TAM Expansion And Defensible E Commerce Model Will Drive Future Execution Risk
Carvana's updated analyst price target has moved from about $481 to roughly $429 as analysts factor in ongoing retail unit and EBITDA headwinds, while still highlighting the company's defensible e commerce model and share gains in a fragmented used vehicle market as key supports to the long term story. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Carvana clusters around a common theme, with analysts trimming price targets while still pointing to a resilient e commerce model, share gains in used vehicles and potential upside from newer growth areas like new car sales.Actualización de narrativa • Mar 08
CVNA: Expanding New Car Footprint And AI Resilience Will Drive Future Upside
Carvana's analyst fair value estimate has been reset from $600 to $519, as analysts balance recent Q4 margin and EBITDA pressures against still supportive views on unit growth, share gains in used cars, and reduced concerns around AI driven disintermediation. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research highlights a mix of valuation resets and continued confidence in Carvana's ability to grow units and defend its business model, even as Q4 EBITDA and margin pressures weigh on near term sentiment.Actualización de narrativa • Feb 22
CVNA: Margin Pressures And Short Report Risks Will Confront Index Inclusion Benefits
Analysts have reduced our Carvana fair value estimate by about $22 to $307.90. This reflects recent target cuts that account for near-term margin pressure after Q4 misses, alongside ongoing expectations for scale, share gains in used vehicles, and improved profitability over time.
Nueva narrativa • Feb 16
The Vending Machine’s Paradox: Efficiency vs. Gravity
The February 18th Reckoning Carvana reports on Wednesday, February 18, 2026 , into a market that has treated it like a high-flying tech stock rather than a car dealer. The narrative for this quarter is "Peak Leverage." After a 2025 where CVNA was one of the top performers in the S&P 500, analysts are looking for more than just a "beat." They are looking for proof that Carvana can maintain its $7,000+ Gross Profit per Unit (GPU) while aggressively scaling volume.Artículo de análisis • Feb 13
Carvana Co. (NYSE:CVNA) Shares Slammed 27% But Getting In Cheap Might Be Difficult Regardless
The Carvana Co. ( NYSE:CVNA ) share price has softened a substantial 27% over the previous 30 days, handing back much...Actualización de narrativa • Feb 08
CVNA: Expanding Market Reach Into New Car Sales Will Drive Future Upside
Analysts nudged their price target for Carvana higher to $600 from $550, citing a mix of refined growth and profitability assumptions, modestly lower discount rates, and a higher future P/E multiple supported by recent research that highlights both expanding total addressable market opportunities and pushback against short seller claims. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Carvana has been active, with a mix of higher and lower price targets, rating changes, and fresh views on how the business model and total addressable market could influence valuation.Actualización de narrativa • Jan 25
CVNA: TAM Expansion And S&P 500 Inclusion Will Shape Future Execution Risk
Analysts have lifted their implied fair value for Carvana by about $62 per share to roughly $481, citing a higher assumed future P/E multiple and an improved profit margin outlook, supported by recent price target increases and total addressable market expansion themes across several research notes. Analyst Commentary Bullish and cautious views on Carvana are both coming through in recent research, and they often tie back to how much value analysts see in the company’s expansion efforts and its ability to execute against that opportunity.Actualización de narrativa • Jan 11
CVNA: Expanding Market Reach And Credit Improvements Will Drive Future Upside
Analysts maintained their Carvana fair value estimate at $550.00 and made slight adjustments to the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E assumptions in response to higher price targets, expanding TAM expectations, and continued Buy and Overweight ratings across major firms. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are broadly constructive on Carvana, with a cluster of Buy and Overweight ratings paired with price targets that sit well above the current fair value estimate.Actualización de narrativa • Dec 27
CVNA: Improving Credit Performance Will Drive Future Upside In Shares
Analysts have raised their Carvana fair value estimate to $550 from $532.59, citing stronger expected revenue growth, modestly higher long term profit margins, and a premium future earnings multiple. This change is driven by growing conviction in the company’s competitive position and potential upside to current unit forecasts.Artículo de análisis • Dec 20
After Leaping 37% Carvana Co. (NYSE:CVNA) Shares Are Not Flying Under The Radar
Carvana Co. ( NYSE:CVNA ) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 37% after a shaky period beforehand. The...Actualización de narrativa • Dec 13
CVNA: Unit Growth And Credit Performance Will Drive Shares Higher
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Carvana higher to about $533 from $500, citing a series of recent price target hikes and upgrades that emphasize sustained unit growth, an improving competitive position in used autos, and what they view as an attractive risk or reward profile despite macro and credit concerns. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts continue to frame the recent pullback in Carvana shares as a temporary pause in a longer growth trajectory, emphasizing that valuation still screens attractive relative to the company’s execution record and unit growth outlook.Actualización de narrativa • Nov 29
CVNA: Market Share Will Expand As Operational Execution Drives Consistent Outperformance
Carvana's analyst fair value target has been slightly reduced by less than $1 to $419.45, as analysts balance consistent growth and operational improvements with ongoing macroeconomic uncertainties and evolving industry dynamics. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research provides a diverse range of perspectives on Carvana, highlighting both optimism around the company's growth prospects and concerns linked to macroeconomic factors and credit exposure.Actualización de narrativa • Nov 15
CVNA: Operational Momentum And Credit Flexibility Will Support Market Share Gains
The analyst average price target for Carvana has been modestly reduced from $423.90 to $419.67. Analysts are weighing strong operational momentum and robust e-commerce platform performance against persistent macro and credit headwinds in the used vehicle market.Actualización de narrativa • Oct 31
CVNA: Operational Momentum And Market Share Gains Will Sustain Strong Outperformance
Carvana's analyst price target has been raised slightly to $423.90 from $423.60. Analysts cite sustained strong unit sales and resilience in consumer auto credit trends as supporting rationale.Actualización de narrativa • Oct 17
Online Vehicle Retail And AI Integration Will Redefine Future Markets
Analysts have modestly increased Carvana's fair value estimate from $421.95 to $423.60. They cite sustained fundamental strength, improved loss trends, and positive industry positioning in spite of ongoing macroeconomic headwinds.Actualización de narrativa • Oct 03
Online Vehicle Retail And AI Integration Will Redefine Future Markets
Carvana's analyst price target increased by $7.75 to $421.95, as analysts cite continued market share gains, stronger profitability, and resilient fundamentals despite evolving competitive dynamics in the digital auto retail sector. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst reports on Carvana highlight a mix of optimism regarding the company’s continued outperformance, as well as caution surrounding valuation and market challenges.Artículo de análisis • Jul 22
Is Carvana (NYSE:CVNA) Using Too Much Debt?
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...Artículo de análisis • Jul 02
Is Carvana Co. (NYSE:CVNA) Worth US$338 Based On Its Intrinsic Value?
Key Insights Carvana's estimated fair value is US$254 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Carvana's US$338 share...Seeking Alpha • Mar 25
Carvana: A Comeback Possible With Tariff Easing
Summary Carvana's stock price has declined ~6% YTD after a strong gain earlier in the year, mainly due to market concerns over tariffs and high valuations. Despite a negative market reaction, Carvana's 4Q24 earnings showed strong retail sales growth, improved efficiency, and a significant rise in adjusted EBITDA margin. Current 1Q25 trends indicate continued robust retail unit sales growth and increased inventory rising to meet more demand. Carvana's strong market position and operational infrastructure, coupled with potential easing of tariff concerns, present a compelling rebound opportunity at current valuation levels. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaPrevisiones de crecimiento de beneficios e ingresos
| Fecha | Ingresos | Beneficios | Flujo de caja libre | Flujo de caja operativo | Núm. de analistas medio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 42,499 | 2,919 | 1,651 | 2,393 | 10 |
| 12/31/2027 | 34,603 | 2,292 | 1,617 | 1,841 | 22 |
| 12/31/2026 | 27,757 | 1,752 | 711 | 1,495 | 21 |
| 3/31/2026 | 22,522 | 1,441 | 740 | 911 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 20,322 | 1,407 | 889 | 1,036 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 18,266 | 629 | 546 | 666 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 16,274 | 563 | 615 | 724 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 14,844 | 398 | 949 | 1,049 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 13,673 | 210 | 827 | 918 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 12,550 | 17 | 534 | 619 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 11,668 | 714 | 738 | 815 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 11,226 | 638 | 897 | 970 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 10,771 | 450 | 716 | 803 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 11,184 | -242 | 173 | 303 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 11,797 | -1,307 | -595 | -394 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 12,713 | -1,487 | -1,121 | -797 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 13,604 | -1,587 | -1,836 | -1,324 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 14,520 | -870 | -2,375 | -1,757 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 14,614 | -619 | -2,666 | -1,942 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 14,066 | -359 | -3,350 | -2,655 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 12,814 | -135 | -3,151 | -2,594 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 10,888 | -109 | -2,063 | -1,583 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 8,952 | -84 | -1,955 | -1,572 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 6,734 | -147 | -1,324 | -972 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 5,587 | -171 | -968 | -608 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 4,864 | -149 | -1,119 | -769 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 4,414 | -172 | -951 | -637 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 4,283 | -152 | -988 | -711 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 3,940 | -115 | N/A | -757 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 3,421 | -96 | N/A | -585 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 2,861 | -83 | N/A | -530 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 2,350 | -74 | N/A | -497 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 1,955 | -61 | N/A | -414 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 1,636 | -90 | N/A | -348 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 1,326 | -77 | N/A | -318 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 1,060 | -70 | N/A | -278 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 859 | -64 | N/A | -200 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 701 | -100 | N/A | -211 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 574 | -98 | N/A | -201 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 451 | -95 | N/A | -235 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 365 | -93 | N/A | -240 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 301 | -23 | N/A | -175 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 130 | -37 | N/A | -54 | N/A |
Previsiones de crecimiento futuro de los analistas
Ingresos vs. Tasa de ahorro: El pronóstico de crecimiento de los beneficios (17.5% al año) de CVNA es superior a la tasa de ahorro (3.5%).
Beneficios vs. Mercado: Se prevé que los beneficios (17.5% al año) de CVNA crezcan más rápidamente que el mercado US (16.7% al año).
Beneficios de alto crecimiento: Se prevé que los beneficios de CVNA crezcan, pero no significativamente.
Ingresos vs. Mercado: Se prevé que los ingresos (18.3% al año) de CVNA crezcan más rápidamente que los del mercado US (11.7% al año).
Ingresos de alto crecimiento: Se prevé que los ingresos 18.3% al año) de CVNA crezcan más despacio que 20% al año.
Previsiones de crecimiento de los beneficios por acción
Rentabilidad financiera futura
ROE futura: Se prevé que la rentabilidad financiera de CVNA sea alta dentro de 3 años (33%)
Descubre empresas en crecimiento
Análisis de la empresa y estado de los datos financieros
| Datos | Última actualización (huso horario UTC) |
|---|---|
| Análisis de la empresa | 2026/05/14 04:29 |
| Precio de las acciones al final del día | 2026/05/14 00:00 |
| Beneficios | 2026/03/31 |
| Ingresos anuales | 2025/12/31 |
Fuentes de datos
Los datos utilizados en nuestro análisis de empresas proceden de S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Los siguientes datos se utilizan en nuestro modelo de análisis para generar este informe. Los datos están normalizados, lo que puede introducir un retraso desde que la fuente está disponible.
| Paquete | Datos | Marco temporal | Ejemplo Fuente EE.UU. * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Finanzas de la empresa | 10 años |
| |
| Estimaciones del consenso de analistas | +3 años |
|
|
| Precios de mercado | 30 años |
| |
| Propiedad | 10 años |
| |
| Gestión | 10 años |
| |
| Principales avances | 10 años |
|
* Ejemplo para valores de EE.UU., para no EE.UU. se utilizan formularios y fuentes normativas equivalentes.
A menos que se especifique lo contrario, todos los datos financieros se basan en un periodo anual, pero se actualizan trimestralmente. Esto se conoce como datos de los últimos doce meses (TTM) o de los últimos doce meses (LTM). Más información.
Modelo de análisis y copo de nieve
Los detalles del modelo de análisis utilizado para generar este informe están disponibles en nuestra página de Github, también tenemos guías sobre cómo utilizar nuestros informes y tutoriales en Youtube.
Conozca al equipo de talla mundial que diseñó y construyó el modelo de análisis Simply Wall St.
Métricas industriales y sectoriales
Simply Wall St calcula cada 6 horas nuestras métricas sectoriales y de sección. Los detalles de nuestro proceso están disponibles en Github.
Fuentes analistas
Carvana Co. está cubierta por 47 analistas. 22 de esos analistas presentaron las estimaciones de ingresos o ganancias utilizadas como datos para nuestro informe. Las estimaciones de los analistas se actualizan a lo largo del día.
| Analista | Institución |
|---|---|
| Craig Kennison | Baird |
| John Babcock | Barclays |
| Gary Prestopino | Barrington Research Associates, Inc. |