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Avadel Pharmaceuticals Crecimiento futuro
Future controles de criterios 5/6
Se prevé un crecimiento anual de los beneficios y los ingresos de Avadel Pharmaceuticals de 52.5% y 15.7% por año respectivamente. Se prevé que el BPA crezca en un 39.9% al año. Se espera que la rentabilidad financiera sea de 92% en 3 años.
Información clave
52.5%
Tasa de crecimiento de los beneficios
39.89%
Tasa de crecimiento del BPA
| Crecimiento de los beneficios de Pharmaceuticals | 14.4% |
| Tasa de crecimiento de los ingresos | 15.7% |
| Rentabilidad financiera futura | 92.01% |
| Cobertura de analistas | Good |
| Última actualización | 13 Feb 2026 |
Actualizaciones recientes sobre el crecimiento futuro
Recent updates
Actualización de narrativa • Feb 03
AVDL: Revised Acquisition Terms And CVR Structure Will Shape Future Risk Balance
Analysts lifted their price target on Avadel Pharmaceuticals to $22.50 from $20, citing improved acquisition terms and updated deal expectations as the key reasons for the change. Analyst Commentary Recent research highlights how the evolving acquisition proposals around Avadel Pharmaceuticals are shaping valuation views and risk assessments for investors following the stock.
Actualización de narrativa • Jan 20
AVDL: Alkermes Cash Deal And CVR Structure Will Define Limited Upside
Analysts lifted their fair value estimate for Avadel Pharmaceuticals to $18.50 from $16.00, citing updated acquisition terms, improved contingent value right economics, and revised assumptions around margins and future P/E multiples following recent Street research. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Avadel Pharmaceuticals has shifted toward a more balanced and, in several cases, more cautious stance as the Alkermes acquisition framework has taken shape.
Actualización de narrativa • Jan 06
AVDL: Cash Deal Terms And CVR Outcome Will Shape Future Returns
Analysts kept their fair value estimate for Avadel Pharmaceuticals at $23.00 per share while adjusting key assumptions, citing the updated Alkermes and Lundbeck proposals and evolving views on Lumryz royalties and contingent value right terms as the main drivers of the new target range around recent Street marks near $20.00 to $22.50. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Avadel Pharmaceuticals has centered on the competing acquisition proposals from Alkermes and Lundbeck, as well as the value of Lumryz royalties and the contingent value right, or CVR, tied to potential future approvals.Actualización de narrativa • Dec 19
AVDL: Cash Deal And Contingent Payout Will Shape Future Returns
Analysts have trimmed their price target on Avadel Pharmaceuticals to $23.00 from about $31.47, reflecting updated assumptions for slightly higher risk, stronger revenue growth, and sharply improved profitability metrics in light of the evolving Alkermes acquisition dynamics and Lumryz-driven cash flow profile. Analyst Commentary Across recent research notes, bullish analysts acknowledge that headline price targets for Avadel are now clustered in the high teens to low twenties, reflecting the proposed acquisition by Alkermes and the embedded value of the contingent value right tied to Lumryz milestones.Actualización de narrativa • Dec 05
AVDL: Acquisition And CVR Milestones Will Define Balanced Risk Reward Profile
Analysts have nudged our fair value estimate for Avadel Pharmaceuticals slightly lower, from $21.06 to $20.94 per share, as they balance modestly reduced long term multiple assumptions with the evolving acquisition landscape and contingent value right dynamics highlighted in recent research. Analyst Commentary Street research reflects a more balanced, wait and see stance on Avadel as the Alkermes transaction and competing interest from Lundbeck reshape the risk reward profile.Actualización de narrativa • Nov 21
AVDL: Competing Acquisition Proposals Will Shape Outcomes Amid Industry Uncertainty
Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Avadel Pharmaceuticals from $19.13 to $21.06 per share. They cite improving profit margins and stronger near-term acquisition prospects as key factors behind the upward revision.Actualización de narrativa • Nov 05
AVDL: Future Acquisition to Reshape Sleep Disorder Market Amid Shifting Competitive Risks
Analysts have lowered their price target for Avadel Pharmaceuticals from $20.90 to $19.13 per share. This change reflects recent acquisition agreements and shifting perspectives on the company’s long-term growth prospects.Seeking Alpha • Oct 23
Avadel Settles With Jazz Pharmaceuticals, Gets Acquired By Alkermes
Summary Avadel Pharmaceuticals plc settled all disputes with Jazz Pharmaceuticals plc, paving the way for its acquisition by Alkermes plc for up to $20/share. The settlement grants AVDL $90 million in cash, freedom to operate globally with Lumryz, and eliminates a significant legal overhang. ALKS benefits from immediate earnings accretion, revenue diversification, and a strengthened position in sleep disorder treatments with Lumryz. JAZZ avoids billion-dollar-plus damages, secures modest royalties on Lumryz, and delays competition in idiopathic hypersomnia until 2028. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaActualización de narrativa • Oct 22
Analysts Adjust Avadel Pharmaceuticals Price Target Amid Acquisition and Ongoing Market Developments
Analysts have lowered their price target for Avadel Pharmaceuticals to $20 from previous higher levels. They cite the pending acquisition by Alkermes at $18.50 per share, plus a potential $1.50 contingent cash right, as the primary driver behind the adjustment.Actualización de narrativa • Oct 08
Rising Awareness Of Sleep Disorders Will Drive Future Demand
Analysts have raised their price target for Avadel Pharmaceuticals from $20.30 to $20.90, citing continued commercial momentum for Lumryz. However, they note this optimism is tempered by competitive and market uncertainties.Actualización de narrativa • Sep 23
Rising Awareness Of Sleep Disorders Will Drive Future Demand
Analysts marginally raised Avadel Pharmaceuticals’ price target to $20.30, citing strong commercial execution and growing Lumryz adoption, while noting competitive risks may limit upside. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts highlight that commercial investments are delivering tangible benefits, evidenced by improved persistency and an expanding number of reimbursed Lumryz patients.Actualización de narrativa • Sep 08
Rising Awareness Of Sleep Disorders Will Drive Future Demand
Analysts have raised Avadel Pharmaceuticals' fair value target from $19.00 to $20.20, citing improved commercial execution for Lumryz and pipeline expansion opportunities, though some caution over competition and valuation is noted. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts highlight commercial execution gains, with improved persistency trends and increasing reimbursed Lumryz patient counts driving revenue upside.Actualización de narrativa • Aug 24
Rising Awareness Of Sleep Disorders Will Drive Future Demand
The upward revision in Avadel Pharmaceuticals' consensus price target reflects improved revenue growth expectations and a modest increase in future P/E, resulting in a new fair value estimate of $19.12. What's in the News Avadel Pharmaceuticals raised full-year 2025 revenue guidance to $265–$275 million and projected Q3 2025 net product revenue of $71–$75 million.Artículo de análisis • Aug 10
Results: Avadel Pharmaceuticals plc Exceeded Expectations And The Consensus Has Updated Its Estimates
NasdaqGM:AVDL 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore Avadel Pharmaceuticals's Fair Values from the Community and...Actualización de narrativa • Aug 09
Rising Awareness Of Sleep Disorders Will Drive Future Demand
Despite a notable reduction in consensus revenue growth forecasts, the analyst price target for Avadel Pharmaceuticals has increased slightly to $18.00. What's in the News Avadel Pharmaceuticals raised full-year 2025 revenue guidance to $265–$275 million and expects Q3 net product revenue of $71–$75 million.Artículo de análisis • Aug 02
A Piece Of The Puzzle Missing From Avadel Pharmaceuticals plc's (NASDAQ:AVDL) 26% Share Price Climb
Avadel Pharmaceuticals plc ( NASDAQ:AVDL ) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 26% share price jump in...Artículo de análisis • Jun 10
Is Avadel Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ:AVDL) Using Debt In A Risky Way?
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...
Nueva narrativa • May 04
LUMRYZ And REVITALYZ Trials Will Unlock Future Value
LUMRYZ's strong market penetration and $1 billion opportunity hint at future revenue growth, with competitive advantage over peers.Artículo de análisis • May 04
Market Participants Recognise Avadel Pharmaceuticals plc's (NASDAQ:AVDL) Revenues Pushing Shares 28% Higher
Avadel Pharmaceuticals plc ( NASDAQ:AVDL ) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great...Seeking Alpha • Feb 11
Avadel Pharmaceuticals: Moving To A Speculative Buy
Summary Avadel Pharmaceuticals' primary asset, LUMRYZ, treats narcolepsy and is in Phase 3 trials for Idiopathic Hypersomnia, with significant revenue growth potential. Recent news includes the resignation of the Chief Commercial Officer, strong Q4 revenue growth, and a push from ASL Strategic Value Fund for strategic alternatives. Analysts are universally positive, with multiple Buy ratings and price targets ranging from $12 to $22, despite some downward revisions. Avadel has a solid balance sheet, no long-term debt, and insiders are accumulating shares, making it a speculative buy with potential for a profitable buyout. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaArtículo de análisis • Feb 07
The Price Is Right For Avadel Pharmaceuticals plc (NASDAQ:AVDL) Even After Diving 26%
Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Avadel Pharmaceuticals plc ( NASDAQ:AVDL ) share price has dived 26% in the...Artículo de análisis • Jan 13
Is Avadel Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ:AVDL) Using Debt In A Risky Way?
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...Artículo de análisis • Dec 01
The Price Is Right For Avadel Pharmaceuticals plc (NASDAQ:AVDL) Even After Diving 27%
The Avadel Pharmaceuticals plc ( NASDAQ:AVDL ) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a...Seeking Alpha • Nov 22
Avadel Pharmaceuticals: Despite My Sympathies For The Company, Stock Looks Risky
Summary Avadel Pharmaceuticals plc's Lumryz, a superior alternative to Jazz's Xyrem, faces legal hurdles and market challenges despite winning key lawsuits and FDA approval. Financially, Avadel has a market cap of $1.04bn, $65.8mn cash, and increasing revenue, but high SG&A expenses and a weak cash position. Jazz's legal actions and the shrinking narcolepsy market limit Lumryz's revenue potential, raising concerns about Avadel's long-term viability. Despite supporting Avadel as a company, I recommend avoiding AVDL stock due to significant risks and financial challenges. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaArtículo de análisis • Oct 16
Avadel Pharmaceuticals plc's (NASDAQ:AVDL) P/S Still Appears To Be Reasonable
When you see that almost half of the companies in the Pharmaceuticals industry in the United States have price-to-sales...Artículo de análisis • Sep 10
Health Check: How Prudently Does Avadel Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ:AVDL) Use Debt?
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...Seeking Alpha • Sep 03
Avadel Pharmaceuticals: The Oxybate War With Jazz Waxes On
Summary Avadel shareholders have enjoyed impressive gains of approximately 77% since my last article, reflecting positive developments in the company's performance. The article provides a comprehensive review of Avadel's progress and how it is faring against Jazz Pharmaceuticals in the oxybate market. Despite its lack of a conventional pipeline, the peak sales potential of LUMRYZ in its approved indication supports a speculative Buy rating for Avadel stock. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jun 16
Avadel Pharmaceuticals: Inflection Point Ahead
Summary Avadel Pharmaceuticals is a small-cap biopharma company headquartered in Dublin, Ireland. The company's primary asset is LUMRYZ, which has the potential to be a 'best of breed' compound in a large market. Currently, Avadel is locked in a pivotal litigation battle with Jazz Pharmaceuticals, which it looks more and more likely to prevail. This sets up a potential key inflection point for the company and its shareholders. An updated analysis around Avadel Pharmaceuticals follows in the paragraphs below. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Apr 02
Avadel Pharmaceuticals: A Deep Dive Into Lumryz's Once-Nightly Revolution
Summary Avadel Pharmaceuticals reports strong Q4 2023 earnings for Lumryz, its once-nightly formulation of sodium oxybate for narcolepsy. Lumryz fills a significant gap in narcolepsy treatment by offering a more patient-friendly dosing schedule and improving compliance and patient outcomes. Legal developments, including a favorable jury ruling on patent litigation, reduce legal overhang and instill investor confidence in Avadel's ability to navigate challenges. We maintain a buy rating moving into 2024. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Mar 05
Avadel Pharmaceuticals: Robust Launch Of Lumryz And Eased Litigation Overhang
Summary Avadel's stock rose 51% post-buy recommendation, buoyed by Q4 earnings and a favorable royalty rate judgment versus Jazz Pharmaceuticals. Lumryz's market penetration and unique once-nightly dosing advantage are driving optimistic revenue forecasts and operational breakeven projections. A court ruling on the patent dispute awarded Avadel a manageable 3.5% royalty to Jazz, significantly less than the feared 27%. Recommends buying AVDL due to its strategic market position, financial health, and recent legal victory, despite high cash burn and ongoing litigation risks. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jan 28
Avadel Pharmaceuticals: Strong Launch Of Lumryz With A Legal Risk Backdrop
Summary Avadel Pharmaceuticals has made good progress with the launch of Lumryz, enrolling 1,900 patients and generating $19 million in Q4 net sales. Legal risks from competitor Jazz Pharmaceuticals remain a concern, with ongoing litigation and the potential for Lumryz to be pulled from the market. Lumryz can capture a significant portion of the narcolepsy market and expand into idiopathic hypersomnia. Risk-reward looks favorable for the long side, although the tail legal risk should not be neglected, even if Jazz's attempts look desperate. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaArtículo de análisis • Jan 16
Is Avadel Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ:AVDL) Weighed On By Its Debt Load?
Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that...Seeking Alpha • Jan 11
Avadel May Continue To Outperform With Positive Launch Momentum
Summary Avadel Pharma's launch of its product LUMRYZ is expected to drive the company's stock performance. LUMRYZ appears to have momentum and is differentiated from current narcolepsy treatments. The potential revenue for Avadel from LUMRYZ could ultimately range from $500 million to $2 billion, depending on market share and expansion into new indications. If things continue to go well, that might drive the share price beyond current levels on a multi-year view, but execution risks do remain. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaArtículo de análisis • Sep 22
Is Avadel Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ:AVDL) Using Debt Sensibly?
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...Previsiones de crecimiento de beneficios e ingresos
| Fecha | Ingresos | Beneficios | Flujo de caja libre | Flujo de caja operativo | Núm. de analistas medio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 497 | 173 | 138 | 194 | 3 |
| 12/31/2027 | 469 | 121 | 112 | 147 | 6 |
| 12/31/2026 | 360 | 81 | 80 | 95 | 8 |
| 12/31/2025 | 277 | 12 | 65 | 58 | 5 |
| 9/30/2025 | 249 | 0 | 19 | 35 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 221 | -3 | 5 | 5 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 194 | -26 | -25 | -25 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 169 | -49 | -47 | -47 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 138 | -73 | -83 | -83 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 95 | -106 | -114 | -114 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 55 | -157 | -128 | -128 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 28 | -160 | -129 | -129 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 9 | -159 | -116 | -116 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 1 | -143 | -85 | -84 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | N/A | -142 | -67 | -66 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | N/A | -137 | -71 | -70 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | N/A | -132 | -78 | -77 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | N/A | -134 | -92 | -92 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | N/A | -90 | -88 | -88 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | N/A | -77 | -77 | -77 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | N/A | -66 | -74 | -74 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | N/A | -56 | -63 | -63 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 10 | -6 | -61 | -61 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 22 | 7 | -49 | -49 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 33 | 16 | -38 | -38 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 48 | 18 | -35 | -35 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 55 | -21 | -29 | -29 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 59 | -33 | -38 | -38 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 69 | -94 | -55 | -55 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 75 | -101 | N/A | -67 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 86 | -96 | N/A | -86 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 103 | -95 | N/A | -83 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 117 | -40 | N/A | -72 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 137 | -2 | N/A | -55 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 154 | 30 | N/A | -27 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 173 | 68 | N/A | 17 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 182 | 81 | N/A | 38 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 174 | 40 | N/A | 37 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 167 | -9 | N/A | 24 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 150 | -41 | N/A | 19 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 152 | 28 | N/A | 38 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 167 | 19 | N/A | 61 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 177 | 23 | N/A | 79 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 173 | 42 | N/A | 84 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 127 | -64 | N/A | 52 | N/A |
| 6/30/2015 | 87 | -46 | N/A | 36 | N/A |
| 3/31/2015 | 43 | -49 | N/A | 17 | N/A |
Previsiones de crecimiento futuro de los analistas
Ingresos vs. Tasa de ahorro: Se prevé que AVDL sea rentable en los próximos 3 años, lo que se considera un crecimiento más rápido que la tasa de ahorro (3.4%).
Beneficios vs. Mercado: Se prevé que AVDL sea rentable en los próximos 3 años, lo que se considera un crecimiento del mercado superior a la media.
Beneficios de alto crecimiento: Se espera que AVDL sea rentable en los próximos 3 años.
Ingresos vs. Mercado: Se prevé que los ingresos (15.7% al año) de AVDL crezcan más rápidamente que los del mercado US (11.6% al año).
Ingresos de alto crecimiento: Se prevé que los ingresos 15.7% al año) de AVDL crezcan más despacio que 20% al año.
Previsiones de crecimiento de los beneficios por acción
Rentabilidad financiera futura
ROE futura: Se prevé que la rentabilidad financiera de AVDL sea muy elevada dentro de 3 años (92%).
Descubre empresas en crecimiento
Análisis de la empresa y estado de los datos financieros
| Datos | Última actualización (huso horario UTC) |
|---|---|
| Análisis de la empresa | 2026/02/14 15:01 |
| Precio de las acciones al final del día | 2026/02/11 00:00 |
| Beneficios | 2025/09/30 |
| Ingresos anuales | 2024/12/31 |
Fuentes de datos
Los datos utilizados en nuestro análisis de empresas proceden de S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Los siguientes datos se utilizan en nuestro modelo de análisis para generar este informe. Los datos están normalizados, lo que puede introducir un retraso desde que la fuente está disponible.
| Paquete | Datos | Marco temporal | Ejemplo Fuente EE.UU. * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Finanzas de la empresa | 10 años |
| |
| Estimaciones del consenso de analistas | +3 años |
|
|
| Precios de mercado | 30 años |
| |
| Propiedad | 10 años |
| |
| Gestión | 10 años |
| |
| Principales avances | 10 años |
|
* Ejemplo para valores de EE.UU., para no EE.UU. se utilizan formularios y fuentes normativas equivalentes.
A menos que se especifique lo contrario, todos los datos financieros se basan en un periodo anual, pero se actualizan trimestralmente. Esto se conoce como datos de los últimos doce meses (TTM) o de los últimos doce meses (LTM). Más información.
Modelo de análisis y copo de nieve
Los detalles del modelo de análisis utilizado para generar este informe están disponibles en nuestra página de Github, también tenemos guías sobre cómo utilizar nuestros informes y tutoriales en Youtube.
Conozca al equipo de talla mundial que diseñó y construyó el modelo de análisis Simply Wall St.
Métricas industriales y sectoriales
Simply Wall St calcula cada 6 horas nuestras métricas sectoriales y de sección. Los detalles de nuestro proceso están disponibles en Github.
Fuentes analistas
Avadel Pharmaceuticals plc está cubierta por 8 analistas. 8 de esos analistas presentaron las estimaciones de ingresos o ganancias utilizadas como datos para nuestro informe. Las estimaciones de los analistas se actualizan a lo largo del día.
| Analista | Institución |
|---|---|
| James Molloy | Brean Capital Historical (Janney Montgomery) |
| Jason Butler | Citizens JMP Securities, LLC |
| Chase Knickerbocker | Craig-Hallum Capital Group LLC |