Loading...
AMBP logo

Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A.Informe acción NYSE:AMBP

Capitalización bursátil US$2.4b
Precio de las acciones
US$4.01
US$4.66
13.9% infravalorado descuento intrínseco
1Y6.4%
7D1.3%
Valor de la cartera
Ver

Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A.

Informe acción NYSE:AMBP

Capitalización de mercado: US$2.4b

Ardagh Metal Packaging (AMBP) Resumen de Acciones

Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A., junto con sus filiales, opera como empresa de latas metálicas para bebidas en Europa, Norteamérica y Brasil. Saber más

Análisis fundamental de AMBP
Puntuación del snowflake
Valoración5/6
Crecimiento futuro3/6
Rendimiento pasado0/6
Salud financiera2/6
Dividendos2/6

AMBP Community Fair Values

Create Narrative

See what 19 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.

Competidores de Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A.

Historial de precios y rendimiento

Resumen de las cotizaciones máximas, mínimas y variaciones del Ardagh Metal Packaging
Precios históricos de las acciones
Precio actual de la acciónUS$4.01
Máximo en las últimas 52 semanasUS$5.03
Mínimo de 52 semanasUS$3.29
Beta0.55
Cambio en 1 mes-1.96%
Variación en 3 meses-17.49%
Cambio de 1 año6.37%
Variación en 3 años9.56%
Variación en 5 años-60.99%
Variación desde la OPV-59.90%

Noticias y actualizaciones recientes

Seeking Alpha Apr 18

Ardagh Metal Packaging: Execution Holds, Tailwinds Build, Valuation Undemanding

Summary Ardagh Metal Packaging is reinstated with a buy rating, reflecting 32% upside and a 10% dividend yield. The company continues to deliver, with a 4Q EBITDA beat and Q1 guidance slightly ahead of consensus, suggesting resilient operational performance even as the market remains cautious. While energy exposure remains a focus, hedging and pass-through mechanisms limit downside, and long-term demand is supported by sustainability trends and increasing metal packaging penetration. Valuation remains attractive, while recent hedge fund positioning signals a shift in investor sentiment. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha Apr 18

Ardagh Metal Packaging: Execution Holds, Tailwinds Build, Valuation Undemanding

Summary Ardagh Metal Packaging is reinstated with a buy rating, reflecting 32% upside and a 10% dividend yield. The company continues to deliver, with a 4Q EBITDA beat and Q1 guidance slightly ahead of consensus, suggesting resilient operational performance even as the market remains cautious. While energy exposure remains a focus, hedging and pass-through mechanisms limit downside, and long-term demand is supported by sustainability trends and increasing metal packaging penetration. Valuation remains attractive, while recent hedge fund positioning signals a shift in investor sentiment. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Actualización de narrativa Apr 11

AMBP: Revised Cash Flow Assumptions Should Support Future Upside Potential

The analyst price target for Ardagh Metal Packaging has been adjusted slightly lower to align with a revised fair value of about $4.66. This reflects updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth and profit margins that analysts have highlighted in recent research.
Actualización de narrativa Mar 28

AMBP: Rising Packaging Demand Should Support Upside Despite Leverage Risk

Analyst price targets for Ardagh Metal Packaging have moved higher to a range of about $4.75 to $6, as analysts cite slightly stronger revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, along with a modestly lower future P/E multiple in their updated models. Analyst Commentary Recent research shows a split view on Ardagh Metal Packaging, with several bullish analysts nudging price targets higher while one bearish analyst trims expectations.
Nueva narrativa Mar 22

Tight Can Capacity And Leverage Will Shape Future Earnings Resilience

Catalysts About Ardagh Metal Packaging Ardagh Metal Packaging produces metal beverage cans for soft drinks, beer and a range of other categories across Europe and the Americas. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
Actualización de narrativa Mar 14

AMBP: Beverage Can Demand Should Support Upside Despite Leverage Concerns

Narrative Update on Ardagh Metal Packaging The analyst price target for Ardagh Metal Packaging has edged higher as the fair value estimate moves from about $4.86 to roughly $4.92. This shift is supported by a series of recent target increases from $4.25 to $4.75, $5 to $6, and $4 to $5, partly offset by one cut to $3.60 that reflects ongoing concerns about leverage and potential share loss in North America.
Actualización de narrativa Feb 28

AMBP: Fair Valuation Balances Leverage Risks And Beverage Packaging Demand

Analyst fair value for Ardagh Metal Packaging has edged up from about $4.30 to roughly $4.86, reflecting a series of recent price target increases from $4.25 to $4.75 at UBS, $5 to $6 at Citi, and $4 to $5 at Truist, partially offset by BofA trimming its target to $3.60 because of capital structure and leverage concerns. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Ardagh Metal Packaging reflects a split view, with some analysts lifting price targets and others turning more cautious based on the balance sheet and competitive outlook.
Actualización de narrativa Dec 13

AMBP: Slight EPS Upgrades Will Balance Regional Challenges Ahead

Analysts have nudged their price target on Ardagh Metal Packaging up by $0.10 to $4.00, reflecting modestly higher EPS forecasts after what they described as a solid quarter despite regional operating challenges. Analyst Commentary Analyst reactions to the latest results highlight a nuanced view of Ardagh Metal Packaging, with modestly higher earnings expectations but ongoing concerns about regional performance and the overall risk reward profile.
Actualización de narrativa Oct 25

Resilient Earnings And Sustainable Packaging Will Shape Global Expansion Outlook

Narrative Update on Ardagh Metal Packaging Analysts have modestly increased their price target for Ardagh Metal Packaging to $4.00 from $3.90, citing improved earnings forecasts following the company's solid quarterly performance despite regional headwinds. Analyst Commentary Following the recent quarterly results for Ardagh Metal Packaging, analysts have updated their projections and identified both positive developments and areas of concern that could impact the company's outlook and valuation.
Artículo de análisis Jun 15

Estimating The Fair Value Of Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. (NYSE:AMBP)

Key Insights Ardagh Metal Packaging's estimated fair value is US$4.01 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Current...
User avatar
Nueva narrativa Apr 28

Americas And Europe Capacity Expansions Will Unlock Beverage Potential

Strategic entry into new beverage categories and capacity investments support revenue and margin growth despite tight capacity environments.
Seeking Alpha Apr 26

Ardagh Metal Packaging: I Don't Like The Double-Digit Dividend Yield

Summary I've maintained a long position in Ardagh Metal Packaging despite initial losses, focusing on their strong free cash flow profile over the 11% dividend yield. Q1 2025 saw a revenue increase to $1.27B and a gross profit rise of more than 20%, but a net loss due to high depreciation and amortization expenses. Adjusted for working capital changes, the underlying operating cash flow was $103M, leading to a net free cash flow of $58M for common shareholders. I prefer debt reduction over dividends given the $3.4B net debt, but remain invested as the stock trades at less than 8 times sustaining free cash flow. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Artículo de análisis Apr 23

Insufficient Growth At Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. (NYSE:AMBP) Hampers Share Price

When you see that almost half of the companies in the Packaging industry in the United States have price-to-sales...
Artículo de análisis Feb 28

Is There An Opportunity With Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A.'s (NYSE:AMBP) 48% Undervaluation?

Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Ardagh Metal Packaging fair value estimate is US$6.07 Ardagh...
Seeking Alpha Jan 08

Ardagh Metal Packaging: Risk-Reward Looks Promising, But Not Out Of The Woods

Summary Ardagh Metal Packaging has a strong market presence in the metal beverage can industry, with production in 9 countries and multi-year contracts with major brands. AMBP has been a source of wealth destruction both in the short-term and the long-term, and we are in two minds over whether this could change. We proceed to discuss various fundamental sub-plots that could weigh on the movement of AMBP. Tactical traders might find AMBP appealing due to its potential for mean-reversion relative to other Russell 2000 peers, and the attractive risk-reward on the standalone charts. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Artículo de análisis Dec 21

Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A.'s (NYSE:AMBP) Share Price Is Matching Sentiment Around Its Revenues

Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A.'s ( NYSE:AMBP ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.4x may look like a pretty appealing...
Seeking Alpha Oct 28

Ardagh Metal Packaging: What's Next For This 11% Yielding Stock

Summary Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. shows strong growth potential for 2025, with a positive outlook reinforced by Q3 2024 earnings. Q3 2024 saw a 2% increase in metal beverage can shipments and a 15% rise in adjusted EBITDA, driven by margin normalization in Europe and improved manufacturing in the Americas. Resilient beverage consumption trends and strong input cost management contributed to Ardagh's performance, leading to an increased full-year adjusted EBITDA guidance of $650M-$660M. Ardagh expects beverage cans to outperform other containers due to their circularity and decarbonization benefits, supported by customer innovation. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Oct 11

Ardagh Metal Packaging: Canning Future Growth - Strong Buy

Summary Strong growth prospects in key regions like Brazil outweigh short-term sales declines. Management’s plan to reduce leverage from 5.8x to 5.2x strengthens the financial outlook. Institutional investors, including King Street Capital Management, show bullish sentiment, with significant long positions and increased call options in the last quarter. Strong cash flow supports Ardagh’s ability to manage debt and interest payments while funding growth initiatives. I believe Ardagh is undervalued, with strong cash flow and key metrics below industry averages, making it a Strong Buy. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Artículo de análisis Jun 04

Ardagh Metal Packaging's (NYSE:AMBP) Dividend Will Be $0.10

Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. ( NYSE:AMBP ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of $0.10 per share on the 26th of...
Artículo de análisis May 09

Ardagh Metal Packaging (NYSE:AMBP) Has Affirmed Its Dividend Of $0.10

The board of Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. ( NYSE:AMBP ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of $0.10 per share on...
Seeking Alpha Apr 29

Ardagh Metal Packaging: Stubbornly Maintaining Its 10% Dividend Yield

Summary Ardagh Metal Packaging reported a strong start to the year with 11% revenue growth in the Americas. The company's operating profit was $14M, resulting in a net loss of $12M. AMBP expects an increase in EBITDA of over 25% for the current quarter and confirms full-year EBITDA at $630-660M. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Artículo de análisis Apr 22

Ardagh Metal Packaging (NYSE:AMBP) Seems To Be Using A Lot Of Debt

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...
Artículo de análisis Feb 25

Investors Interested In Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A.'s (NYSE:AMBP) Revenues

With a median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of close to 0.8x in the Packaging industry in the United States, you...
Artículo de análisis Feb 25

Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. Just Missed Earnings; Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Now

Last week, you might have seen that Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. ( NYSE:AMBP ) released its yearly result to the market...
Artículo de análisis Nov 09

A Piece Of The Puzzle Missing From Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A.'s (NYSE:AMBP) 26% Share Price Climb

Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. ( NYSE:AMBP ) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 26% after a shaky period...
Seeking Alpha Oct 30

Ardagh Metal Packaging: The 12% Yield Is Now Fully Covered

Summary Ardagh Metal Packaging meets Q3 EBITDA guidance, leading to a positive market reaction. The company reduced its full-year adjusted EBITDA target, slightly disappointing but not negatively impacting the market. Ardagh's dividend is sustainable and fully covered by sustaining free cash flow, with plans to reduce debt and improve debt ratios. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Artículo de análisis Sep 26

An Intrinsic Calculation For Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. (NYSE:AMBP) Suggests It's 32% Undervalued

Key Insights Using the Dividend Discount Model, Ardagh Metal Packaging fair value estimate is US$4.66 Ardagh Metal...
Seeking Alpha Aug 24

Ardagh Metal Packaging: Debt Levels Pose A Risk

Summary Ardagh Metal Packaging manufactures metal cans for beverage producers. The company's stock has seen a large decrease in price since going public in 2021, as the company's operating margin has fell from its historical level. Ardagh's financials have shown growth as the company has had heavy investments, but as investments slow down the company should see a more static future. The current stock level seems to price the stock near my DCF model's estimated fair value, constituting a hold-rating. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Rentabilidad de los accionistas

AMBPUS PackagingMercado US
7D1.3%-3.4%1.1%
1Y6.4%-13.4%26.7%

Rentabilidad vs. Industria: AMBP superó a la industria US Packaging, que obtuvo un rendimiento del -13.4% el año pasado.

Rentabilidad vs. Mercado: AMBP obtuvo unos resultados inferiores a los del mercado US, que fueron del 26.7% el año pasado.

Volatilidad de los precios

Is AMBP's price volatile compared to industry and market?
AMBP volatility
AMBP Average Weekly Movement5.0%
Packaging Industry Average Movement5.5%
Market Average Movement7.2%
10% most volatile stocks in US Market16.2%
10% least volatile stocks in US Market3.1%

Precio estable de las acciones: AMBP no ha tenido una volatilidad de precios significativa en los últimos 3 meses en comparación con el mercado US.

Volatilidad a lo largo del tiempo: La volatilidad semanal de AMBP (5%) se ha mantenido estable durante el año pasado.

Acerca de la empresa

FundadaEmpleadosCEOPágina web
19326,500Oliver Grahamwww.ardaghmetalpackaging.com

Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A., junto con sus filiales, opera como empresa de latas metálicas para bebidas en Europa, Norteamérica y Brasil. Ofrece a los fabricantes de bebidas una gama de latas para agua con gas, refrescos, cerveza, vino, bebidas de malta aromatizadas, bebidas energéticas y tés, así como bebidas alcohólicas aromatizadas. La empresa se fundó en 1932 y tiene su sede en Luxemburgo.

Resumen de fundamentos de Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A.

¿Cómo se comparan los beneficios e ingresos de Ardagh Metal Packaging con su capitalización de mercado?
Estadísticas fundamentales de AMBP
Capitalización bursátilUS$2.40b
Beneficios(TTM)-US$5.00m
Ingresos (TTM)US$5.73b
0.4x
Ratio precio-ventas (PS)
-479.4x
Ratio precio-beneficio (PE)

Beneficios e Ingresos

Estadísticas clave de rentabilidad del último informe de resultados (TTM)
Cuenta de resultados (TTM) de AMBP
IngresosUS$5.73b
Coste de los ingresosUS$5.01b
Beneficio brutoUS$724.00m
Otros gastosUS$729.00m
Beneficios-US$5.00m

Últimos beneficios comunicados

Mar 31, 2026

Próxima fecha de beneficios

n/a

Beneficios por acción (BPA)-0.0084
Margen bruto12.63%
Margen de beneficio neto-0.087%
Ratio deuda/patrimonio-601.0%

¿Cómo se ha desempeñado AMBP a largo plazo?

Ver rendimiento histórico y comparativa

Dividendos

10.0%
Rentabilidad actual por dividendo
-4,782%
Ratio de pagos
¿Cuándo hay que comprar AMBP para recibir un próximo dividendo?
fechas de dividendos de Ardagh Metal Packaging
Fecha ex dividendoJun 11 2026
Fecha de pago de dividendosJun 25 2026
Días hasta ex dividendo26 days
Días hasta la fecha de pago de dividendos40 days

Análisis de la empresa y estado de los datos financieros

DatosÚltima actualización (huso horario UTC)
Análisis de la empresa2026/05/14 14:08
Precio de las acciones al final del día2026/05/14 00:00
Beneficios2026/03/31
Ingresos anuales2025/12/31

Fuentes de datos

Los datos utilizados en nuestro análisis de empresas proceden de S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Los siguientes datos se utilizan en nuestro modelo de análisis para generar este informe. Los datos están normalizados, lo que puede introducir un retraso desde que la fuente está disponible.

PaqueteDatosMarco temporalEjemplo Fuente EE.UU. *
Finanzas de la empresa10 años
  • Cuenta de resultados
  • Estado de tesorería
  • Balance
Estimaciones del consenso de analistas+3 años
  • Previsiones financieras
  • Objetivos de precios de los analistas
Precios de mercado30 años
  • Precios de las acciones
  • Dividendos, escisiones y acciones
Propiedad10 años
  • Accionistas principales
  • Información privilegiada
Gestión10 años
  • Equipo directivo
  • Consejo de Administración
Principales avances10 años
  • Anuncios de empresas

* Ejemplo para valores de EE.UU., para no EE.UU. se utilizan formularios y fuentes normativas equivalentes.

A menos que se especifique lo contrario, todos los datos financieros se basan en un periodo anual, pero se actualizan trimestralmente. Esto se conoce como datos de los últimos doce meses (TTM) o de los últimos doce meses (LTM). Más información.

Modelo de análisis y copo de nieve

Los detalles del modelo de análisis utilizado para generar este informe están disponibles en nuestra página de Github, también tenemos guías sobre cómo utilizar nuestros informes y tutoriales en Youtube.

Conozca al equipo de talla mundial que diseñó y construyó el modelo de análisis Simply Wall St.

Métricas industriales y sectoriales

Simply Wall St calcula cada 6 horas nuestras métricas sectoriales y de sección. Los detalles de nuestro proceso están disponibles en Github.

Fuentes analistas

Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. está cubierta por 11 analistas. 7 de esos analistas presentaron las estimaciones de ingresos o ganancias utilizadas como datos para nuestro informe. Las estimaciones de los analistas se actualizan a lo largo del día.

AnalistaInstitución
Michael LeitheadBarclays
Patrick Duffy FischerBarclays
Mark WildeBMO Capital Markets Equity Research