AMERISAFE Crecimiento futuro
Future controles de criterios 0/6
Se prevé que los beneficios de AMERISAFE disminuyan a un ritmo anual de 10.6%, mientras que sus ingresos anuales crecerán a un ritmo de 4.6% por año. Se espera que el BPA disminuya en un 10.9% al año.
Información clave
-10.6%
Tasa de crecimiento de los beneficios
-10.86%
Tasa de crecimiento del BPA
| Crecimiento de los beneficios de Insurance | 2.0% |
| Tasa de crecimiento de los ingresos | 4.6% |
| Rentabilidad financiera futura | n/a |
| Cobertura de analistas | Low |
| Última actualización | 27 Apr 2026 |
Actualizaciones recientes sobre el crecimiento futuro
Recent updates
Actualización del análisis • Apr 28
AMSF: Higher Accident Year Losses And Margin Pressure Will Constrain Future Upside Potential
Analysts have trimmed AMERISAFE's price target to $31 from $36, citing updated assumptions for slower revenue growth, slightly lower profit margins, and a modestly reduced future P/E outlook after recent research following its Q4 earnings miss and higher accident year losses. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates highlight a more cautious tone around AMERISAFE, with several bearish analysts trimming price targets after the Q4 earnings miss and higher accident year losses.
Actualización del análisis • Apr 14
AMSF: Premium Trends And Rebased P/E Are Expected To Drive Future Repricing
Analysts have reduced their price targets on AMERISAFE by about $11 to around $39. They cite recent earnings results in which higher accident year losses and revised growth and profitability assumptions are partially offset by higher premium growth and a recalibrated future P/E outlook.Actualización del análisis • Mar 31
AMSF: Higher Accident Year Losses Will Limit Upside As Shares Appear Fairly Valued
Analysts have reset their price target on AMERISAFE to $36, a reduction of $9 from the prior $45 level, citing higher accident year losses partially offset by stronger premium growth and a view that the shares are now fairly valued. Analyst Commentary Bearish analysts are recalibrating expectations on AMERISAFE after the recent Q4 earnings miss, with a reset price target of $36 indicating a more cautious stance on the risk and reward tradeoff at current levels.Actualización del análisis • Mar 16
AMSF: Higher Accident Year Losses Will Cap Upside Despite Ongoing Capital Returns
Analysts cut their price target on AMERISAFE to $36 from $45, citing recent Q4 earnings with higher accident year losses, partly offset by stronger premium growth, and a view that the shares now look fairly valued at this level. Analyst Commentary Bearish analysts are signaling a more cautious stance on AMERISAFE after the recent Q4 earnings miss, pointing to a mix of operational and valuation concerns that they believe limit upside at current levels.
Actualización del análisis • Mar 02
AMSF: Premium Stability And Dividend Increases Will Support Future Share Returns
Narrative update on AMERISAFE The analyst price target for AMERISAFE has been revised from $60 to $50, reflecting analysts' lower external targets, including recent cuts from firms citing Q4 earnings pressure and higher accident year losses, partially balanced by premium growth. Analyst Commentary Recent research commentary on AMERISAFE has centered on the Q4 earnings miss and higher accident year losses, with analysts adjusting price targets to reflect a more cautious near term view on profitability.Actualización del análisis • Feb 16
AMSF: Updated Revenue And P/E Assumptions Will Support Future Repricing Potential
Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for AMERISAFE from $47.67 to $50.00, reflecting updated assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins, the discount rate, and future P/E expectations. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts view the revised US$50.00 fair value estimate as consistent with their updated assumptions on revenue growth and profit margins, suggesting the business model still supports a premium to prior internal estimates.Actualización del análisis • Feb 02
AMSF: Higher Fair Value Will Offset Margin Concerns And Support Multiple
Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for AMERISAFE to $45.00 from $43.00, citing updated views on revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E assumptions following recent Street research, including the latest price target revision. Analyst Commentary Bearish analysts have taken a more cautious stance on AMERISAFE, reflected in at least one price target reduction that pulled the target down by $5.00.Actualización del análisis • Jan 19
AMSF: Stable Earnings And Capital Returns Will Support Future Repricing
Analysts have trimmed their price targets on AMERISAFE by about $1.67 to reflect slightly lower fair value estimates and a modestly reduced future P/E assumption, while still expecting generally stable profitability. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on AMERISAFE center on trimmed price targets and a valuation reset that analysts link to broader pressure across the property and casualty space, rather than to a major shift in the company’s underlying profitability outlook.Actualización del análisis • Jan 05
AMSF: Lighter Catastrophe Activity And Book Value Trends Will Support Shares
Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for AMERISAFE to $60 from $65, tying the lower target to higher assumed discount rates, slightly softer profit margin expectations, and updated industry views on pricing and valuations in the P&C space. Analyst Commentary Recent research on AMERISAFE points to a more cautious stance on valuation across the P&C insurance space, even as expectations for generally stable profitability remain in place.Actualización del análisis • Dec 14
AMSF: Sector Pressures Will Keep Multiple Constrained Despite Stable Profitability
Analysts have trimmed their price target on AMERISAFE to about $45 from roughly $50, reflecting pressure on broader P and C insurance valuations, even as they expect generally stable profitability and modest earnings tailwinds from a benign catastrophe loss environment. Analyst Commentary Bearish analysts see the latest price target cuts as a signal that AMERISAFE's valuation has less room for multiple expansion in the near term, even as fundamentals remain relatively stable.Artículo de análisis • Dec 06
AMERISAFE, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:AMSF) Prospects Need A Boost To Lift Shares
AMERISAFE, Inc.'s ( NASDAQ:AMSF ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 14.1x might make it look like a buy right now...Actualización del análisis • Nov 30
AMSF: Stable Profitability Will Persist Despite Sector Headwinds And CFO Transition
Analysts have revised AMERISAFE's price target downward, with the consensus fair value decreasing by about $1 to $49.33. They cite ongoing valuation pressures and a stable but modest financial outlook for the insurance sector.Actualización del análisis • Nov 16
AMSF: Profitability Will Remain Resilient Despite Industry Valuation Headwinds
Analysts have lowered their average price target for AMERISAFE, citing industry-wide valuation pressures and expectations for stable profitability. Recent targets have been reduced by $5 to $20 compared to previous estimates.Actualización del análisis • Nov 01
AMSF: Financial Tailwinds And Reduced Catastrophe Losses Will Support Share Performance
AMERISAFE's analyst price target has been revised downward by approximately $1.67 to $50.33. Analysts cite ongoing concerns about casualty loss reserves and a cautious pricing environment, despite modest financial tailwinds.Actualización del análisis • Oct 16
Technology Investments Will Improve Underwriting Even As Pricing Pressures Mount
Analysts have lowered their price target for AMERISAFE from $54.33 to $52.00, citing a modestly improved profit margin. However, there is ongoing sector-wide caution regarding casualty loss reserves and pricing conditions.Artículo de análisis • Mar 02
AMERISAFE (NASDAQ:AMSF) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of $0.39
AMERISAFE, Inc. ( NASDAQ:AMSF ) will pay a dividend of $0.39 on the 21st of March. This makes the dividend yield 8.9...Seeking Alpha • Nov 20
Amerisafe Has A Premium Worth Paying
Summary Amerisafe's core profits have declined since 2019, but the company generates more profit per dollar invested, increasing its long-term corporate value. Specializing in workers' compensation insurance for hazardous industries, AMSF maintains high client satisfaction with a 94.1% policy renewal rate and a low expense ratio. Despite a drop in NOPAT, Amerisafe's ROIC has improved, indicating better balance sheet efficiency and potential for future profit growth. Trading at a modest premium, Amerisafe's rising ROIC justifies investment, with market expectations of NOPAT growth at no more than 17%. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Nuevo análisis • Sep 24
Rising Premiums And Customer Loyalty Meet Analysts' Gloomy Earnings Forecast And Shrinking Margins
Enhanced agent engagement and strategic underwriting practices are improving profitability and financial stability.Artículo de análisis • Aug 30
AMERISAFE's (NASDAQ:AMSF) Dividend Will Be $0.37
The board of AMERISAFE, Inc. ( NASDAQ:AMSF ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of $0.37 per share on the 20th...Artículo de análisis • Apr 28
AMERISAFE (NASDAQ:AMSF) Has Announced A Dividend Of $0.37
AMERISAFE, Inc. ( NASDAQ:AMSF ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of $0.37 per share on the 21st of June. This...Artículo de análisis • Feb 28
AMERISAFE (NASDAQ:AMSF) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of $0.37
The board of AMERISAFE, Inc. ( NASDAQ:AMSF ) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 22nd of March, with...Previsiones de crecimiento de beneficios e ingresos
| Fecha | Ingresos | Beneficios | Flujo de caja libre | Flujo de caja operativo | Núm. de analistas medio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2027 | 352 | 38 | N/A | N/A | 2 |
| 12/31/2026 | 333 | 38 | N/A | N/A | 2 |
| 3/31/2026 | 325 | 46 | 8 | 10 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 317 | 47 | 9 | 11 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 310 | 50 | 9 | 11 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 306 | 50 | 8 | 9 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 301 | 47 | 15 | 15 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 309 | 55 | 23 | 24 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 315 | 61 | 16 | 17 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 309 | 57 | 13 | 14 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 309 | 62 | 23 | 24 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 307 | 62 | 29 | 30 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 307 | 64 | 17 | 18 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 305 | 65 | 23 | 24 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 298 | 56 | 33 | 35 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 295 | 56 | 26 | 28 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 293 | 38 | 42 | 45 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 295 | 46 | 35 | 37 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 308 | 64 | 27 | 29 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 316 | 66 | 37 | 38 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 326 | 91 | 41 | 42 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 336 | 95 | 46 | 47 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 344 | 95 | 64 | 65 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 340 | 87 | 62 | 63 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 343 | 92 | 66 | 67 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 352 | 90 | 80 | 81 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 354 | 84 | 73 | 74 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 370 | 93 | N/A | 79 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 373 | 77 | N/A | 90 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 375 | 76 | N/A | 101 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 379 | 75 | N/A | 106 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 378 | 72 | N/A | 98 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 378 | 53 | N/A | 99 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 377 | 50 | N/A | 127 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 372 | 49 | N/A | 120 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 375 | 46 | N/A | 131 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 379 | 65 | N/A | 134 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 384 | 66 | N/A | 99 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 392 | 67 | N/A | 108 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 397 | 78 | N/A | 114 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 401 | 82 | N/A | 113 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 400 | 82 | N/A | 123 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 402 | 80 | N/A | 91 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 402 | 70 | N/A | 93 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 404 | 64 | N/A | 101 | N/A |
| 6/30/2015 | 409 | 60 | N/A | 107 | N/A |
Previsiones de crecimiento futuro de los analistas
Ingresos vs. Tasa de ahorro: Se prevé que los beneficios de AMSF disminuyan en los próximos 3 años (-10.6% al año).
Beneficios vs. Mercado: Se prevé que los beneficios de AMSF disminuyan en los próximos 3 años (-10.6% al año).
Beneficios de alto crecimiento: Se prevé que los beneficios de AMSF disminuyan en los próximos 3 años.
Ingresos vs. Mercado: Se prevé que los ingresos (4.6% al año) de AMSF crezcan más despacio que el mercado de US (11.5% al año).
Ingresos de alto crecimiento: Se prevé que los ingresos 4.6% al año) de AMSF crezcan más despacio que 20% al año.
Previsiones de crecimiento de los beneficios por acción
Rentabilidad financiera futura
ROE futura: Datos insuficientes para determinar si la rentabilidad financiera de AMSF se prevé que sea elevada dentro de 3 años.
Descubre empresas en crecimiento
Análisis de la empresa y estado de los datos financieros
| Datos | Última actualización (huso horario UTC) |
|---|---|
| Análisis de la empresa | 2026/05/07 18:20 |
| Precio de las acciones al final del día | 2026/05/07 00:00 |
| Beneficios | 2026/03/31 |
| Ingresos anuales | 2025/12/31 |
Fuentes de datos
Los datos utilizados en nuestro análisis de empresas proceden de S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Los siguientes datos se utilizan en nuestro modelo de análisis para generar este informe. Los datos están normalizados, lo que puede introducir un retraso desde que la fuente está disponible.
| Paquete | Datos | Marco temporal | Ejemplo Fuente EE.UU. * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Finanzas de la empresa | 10 años |
| |
| Estimaciones del consenso de analistas | +3 años |
|
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| Precios de mercado | 30 años |
| |
| Propiedad | 10 años |
| |
| Gestión | 10 años |
| |
| Principales avances | 10 años |
|
* Ejemplo para valores de EE.UU., para no EE.UU. se utilizan formularios y fuentes normativas equivalentes.
A menos que se especifique lo contrario, todos los datos financieros se basan en un periodo anual, pero se actualizan trimestralmente. Esto se conoce como datos de los últimos doce meses (TTM) o de los últimos doce meses (LTM). Más información.
Modelo de análisis y copo de nieve
Los detalles del modelo de análisis utilizado para generar este informe están disponibles en nuestra página de Github, también tenemos guías sobre cómo utilizar nuestros informes y tutoriales en Youtube.
Conozca al equipo de talla mundial que diseñó y construyó el modelo de análisis Simply Wall St.
Métricas industriales y sectoriales
Simply Wall St calcula cada 6 horas nuestras métricas sectoriales y de sección. Los detalles de nuestro proceso están disponibles en Github.
Fuentes analistas
AMERISAFE, Inc. está cubierta por 10 analistas. 3 de esos analistas presentaron las estimaciones de ingresos o ganancias utilizadas como datos para nuestro informe. Las estimaciones de los analistas se actualizan a lo largo del día.
| Analista | Institución |
|---|---|
| Randy Binner | B. Riley Securities, Inc. |
| Matthew Carletti | Citizens JMP Securities, LLC |
| Meyer Shields | Keefe, Bruyette, & Woods |