CareMax, Inc.

Informe acción OTCPK:CMAX.Q

Capitalización de mercado: US$3.0

This company is no longer active

The company may no longer be operating, as it may be out of business. Find out why through their latest events.

CareMax Crecimiento futuro

Future controles de criterios 2/6

Se prevé un crecimiento anual de los beneficios y los ingresos de CareMax de 77.2% y 26% respectivamente, mientras que el BPA crecerá en un 101.9% al año.

Información clave

77.2%

Tasa de crecimiento de los beneficios

101.88%

Tasa de crecimiento del BPA

Crecimiento de los beneficios de Healthcare18.3%
Tasa de crecimiento de los ingresos26.0%
Rentabilidad financiera futuran/a
Cobertura de analistas

Low

Última actualización18 Nov 2024

Actualizaciones recientes sobre el crecimiento futuro

Artículo de análisis • Aug 14

US$2.60: That's What Analysts Think CareMax, Inc. (NASDAQ:CMAX) Is Worth After Its Latest Results

CareMax, Inc. ( NASDAQ:CMAX ) missed earnings with its latest quarterly results, disappointing overly-optimistic...

Recent updates

Artículo de análisis • Aug 14

US$2.60: That's What Analysts Think CareMax, Inc. (NASDAQ:CMAX) Is Worth After Its Latest Results

CareMax, Inc. ( NASDAQ:CMAX ) missed earnings with its latest quarterly results, disappointing overly-optimistic...
Artículo de análisis • Jun 20

CareMax, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:CMAX) Subdued P/S Might Signal An Opportunity

When you see that almost half of the companies in the Healthcare industry in the United States have price-to-sales...
Artículo de análisis • May 13

Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For CareMax, Inc. (NASDAQ:CMAX) After Its First-Quarter Results

CareMax, Inc. ( NASDAQ:CMAX ) missed earnings with its latest first-quarter results, disappointing overly-optimistic...
Artículo de análisis • Mar 11

Analysts Have Just Cut Their CareMax, Inc. (NASDAQ:CMAX) Revenue Estimates By 11%

Market forces rained on the parade of CareMax, Inc. ( NASDAQ:CMAX ) shareholders today, when the analysts downgraded...
Seeking Alpha • Sep 16

CareMax: Numbers Are Strong, Compelling Value On Offer

Summary CareMax has caught a strong bid lately following a number of catalysts that deliver forward earnings growth. Shares appear to be fairly valued at current multiples, although, negative earnings are also noted. Alas, the Steward Healthcare transaction provides meaningful accretion to pre and post-tax earnings. Net-net, CMAX presents with compelling value and I rate it a speculative buy. Investment summary Recent company-specific tailwinds have seen shares of CareMax, Inc. (CMAX) catch a strong bid in H2 FY22 and re-rate to the upside. Whilst there's an element that's beta-related from the July bounce in equities, there's still plenty of idiosyncratic premia to harvest in this name. With the Steward Healthcare transaction now complete, we now have more conclusiveness on its accretion to pre-and-post-tax earnings. Shares are also fairly priced at 1.2 book value, and net-net, I rate CMAX a speculative buy. CMAX Q2 earnings provide insights to FY22 full-year expectations CMAX came in with a fairly strong set of numbers that saw upside against consensus at the top line. Revenue lifted 280% YoY to $172 million ("mm"). Meaningful growth was observed across Medicare and Medicaid at-risk revenue, each up triple digits YoY. In fact, Medicare members grew by 3,000 sequentially from Q1 this year, as the company converted this amount to full-risk revenue, thus helping secure the uptick in turnover. Meanwhile, the consolidated medical expense ratio ("MER") for Q2 came in at 73.6% and sub-70% when excluding the medical service organization ("MSO") business. This does speak to the company's success rate in ensuring patient health and safety. Management believes that if CMAX can achieve its MER targets and new MSO membership nudges past 85%, this could represent an annualized medical margin addition of $10mm [even with no additional members after hitting these targets]. CMAX defines medical margin as: [Medicare & Medicaid at-risk revenue minus external provider costs]. This number came in smaller than in Q2 FY21, adding ~240bps to the reported MER. Further, cost of care numbers jumped 13% YoY to $30mm, as compensation adjustments were rolled out in April, plus from an uptick in pharmacy script volume [stretching up associated COGS]. More so, however, was that CMAX booked its first quarter of turnover from facility costs at the 3 de novo facilities opened recently in both Texas and New York. It continues to push towards opening 15 de novo centers for FY22 total. One key standout has been the company's contribution margin ("PCM") from FY20 to date, as seen in Exhibit 1. Trends have exhibited a growth from low points in Q2 FY21 and are now back above FY20 levels, and this serves as a key tailwind to non-GAAP earnings looking ahead. CMAX defines platform contribution as [revenue, minus the sum of external provider costs and cost of care]. What's been equally as pleasing is growth in these numbers has occurred alongside a simultaneous increase in new centers, patients and markets. Exhibit 1. CMAX patient contribution margin trends from FY20–date Satisfactory growth trends across all segments PCM now back above FY20 levels Data: CMAX 10-Q Q2 FY22, pp.26: "Platform Contribution"; see: table, "Non-GAAP Operating Metrics". As seen in Exhibit 2, the leverage of new centers to PCM has been a positive relationship. The pace of new center openings has ratcheted PCM up by double-digits following each period where de novo centers are completed. This is a satisfactory set of numbers when looking ahead, and serves as a bedrock to the company's planned growth trajectory. Should the company continue along this trend, this adds a bullish asymmetry to the risk/reward balance. Exhibit 2. There's a high degree of 'operating leverage' from new center openings on a sequential basis. Adds to predictability of future cash flows in gauging corporate value. Suggests efficiency in turning costs associated to new centers into contribution margin. Note: All figures in $mm or [%]. "Operating leverage from Centres to PCM" defined as QoQ percentage change in new centres / change in platform contribution margin. (Image: HB Insights. Data: HB Insights, CMAX SEC Filings) Price action – downtrend continues, seriously testing resistance Given the stock's relatively new entrance to public life [it listed in Q3 FY20'] I wanted to see how the market's reacted since its NASDAQ debut. As seen in Exhibit 3, shares have walked the stairs down south in H2 FY22 in continuation with the longer-term downtrend shown below. However, there's been a key change in price action to coincide with the Steward Health transaction [discussed later]. The stock has caught a bid since this point and tested lows of ~$3.45–$3.50 on 2 occasions before bouncing away and testing the long-term resistance level [light blue line shown to ceiling of resistance seen below]. In addition, long-term trend indicators have stretched up in the July bounce in equities, adding validity to the recent uptick. Momentum has, however, pulled back to range and is unsupportive of the same. We need to see shares test the upper resistance level shown and break through this point for CMAX to catch another strong bid up to our price target. Exhibit 3. Long-term downtrend since listing in FY20' Both price distribution and volatility has been held within this range. Now testing resistance at the levels seen below. Note: 12-month chart shown with daily bars, with momentum and on balance volume in the 2 subsequent windows, respectively. (Data: HB Insights, Refinitiv Eikon) In addition, on the 9-month daily cloud chart seen below, shares are trading in the cloud and now garnering cloud support at current levels. The lag line [shown in white] is also stretched up above the cloud, and combined, these 2 features have me constructive on the validity on the bullish trend.
Seeking Alpha • Aug 09

CareMax GAAP EPS of -$0.11 misses by $0.09, revenue of $172.28M beats by $36.85M

CareMax press release (NASDAQ:CMAX): Q2 GAAP EPS of -$0.11 misses by $0.09. Revenue of $172.28M (+283.5% Y/Y) beats by $36.85M.
Seeking Alpha • Jul 02

CareMax: Steward Health Care Acquisition Highlights Growth Ambitions

CareMax has disclosed the planned acquisition of the Medicare VBC business of Steward Health Care System for a c. $135 million consideration. The strategic rationale ticks the right boxes, while the financial terms seem favorable. With the funding risk also limited following the latest credit line, the shares offer good value at the current discount to book. CareMax (CMAX), a value-based care provider to seniors, looks set to further capitalize on secular tailwinds in the Medicare Advantage global capitation primary care space with the addition of the Medicare VBC ("value-based care") business of Steward Health Care System. Financially, the c. $135 million purchase price and steady EBITDA generation ($110-115 million projected by fiscal 2025), as well as the aligned incentives (performance-linked earnout), make this a compelling deal for shareholders. Strategically, acquiring Steward also widens CMAX's MSO ("Managed Services Organization") membership, significantly accelerating the path to profitability via operating leverage as the company expands its revenue base. With growth funding needs also accounted for with a new credit line and CMAX's industry-leading MLR ("medical loss ratio") intact, I see plenty of upside to the shares at the current c. 0.7x P/Book valuation. A Closer Look at the Steward Health Care System Acquisition CMAX recently announced the acquisition of the Medicare VBC business of Steward Health Care System. As part of the deal, CMAX will provide a c. $25 million cash consideration and 23.5 million Class A shares (equivalent to c. 21% of Class A shares outstanding pre-deal), which implies a c. $135 million total consideration. Steward shareholders also have the option of an earnout of additional CMAX Class A shares - a scenario that could see its current shareholders owning a sizeable c. 41% of outstanding Class A shares. The earnout would, however, be dependent on the conversion of 100k Medicare lives to value-based risk arrangements while maintaining an 85% MLR ratio for consecutive quarters. CareMax Post-acquisition, CMAX will be the exclusive value-based MSO for Steward's Medicare Network, comprising 170k VBC beneficiaries and 1.8k providers to Steward's healthcare programs. The patient breakdown is as follows - 112k from MSSP ("Multipurpose Senior Services Program"), 50k from MA ("Medicare Advantage"), and 9k from DCE ("Direct Contracting"). At close, this would imply a total of over 200k beneficiaries and over 2k providers across ten states for CMAX, with new states reached including Arizona, Pennsylvania, and Texas, among others. While the incremental revenue contribution stands at only $35-40 million/year under the current shared-savings accounting, the targeted conversion of 100+k lives to MA capitation would produce a considerably larger $1.6-1.7 billion revenue opportunity by fiscal 2025. As things stand, the transaction is expected to close in H2 '22. Financially Attractive Deal Terms Relative to the projected fiscal 2023 EBITDA of $15-20 million, the initial c. $135 million consideration amounts to a 7-9x EV/EBITDA multiple. But Steward's EBITDA projections are guided to ramp up further. From $10-13 million in fiscal 2022 and $15-20 million in fiscal 2023, the acquired assets are guided to generate an impressive $100-115 million of EBITDA by fiscal 2025 (implying a 100+% CAGR). As such, using the base case medium-term projection would imply an undemanding c. 1x EV/EBITDA valuation. Importantly, the Steward EBITDA projections also reflect additional operating expenses to professionalize membership and, therefore, will fully accrue to CMAX. Similarly, the expected revenue growth seems realistic as they are mainly driven by the conversion of MA partial risk and MA Fee-for-Service contracts into MA full-risk contracts. CareMax Worth noting, however, that Steward shareholders stand to gain an additional c. 20% equity stake if the company can successfully convert 100k members to at-risk VBC arrangements post-acquisition and sustain an 85% medical expense ratio for consecutive quarters. This could entail considerable equity dilution ahead for CMAX shareholders, but as the dilution is tied to the material improvements in the EBITDA profile of CMAX, shareholders likely come out with meaningful accretion anyway. Longer-Term Growth Ambitions Boosted by New Credit Line With the acquisition of Steward assets, CMAX will not only gain entry into new markets but also the opportunity to reprioritize clinic builds around MSO density, focusing on overlap with strategic partners like Elevance Health (ELV) and privately-owned Related. The focus on patient density is a key positive for newbuild economics, as it reduces the initial cash burn and allows for better complementarity between new clinics and the company's overall MSO growth. Longer-term, the hope is that CMAX identifies more high-performing providers and transitions them to owned clinic/hybrid models. As the transition would allow for a higher impact on patient health outcomes through ancillary services with more touch points, success here could be massively accretive to the overall business. CareMax

Previsiones de crecimiento de beneficios e ingresos

OTCPK:CMAX.Q - Estimaciones futuras de los analistas y datos financieros pasados (USD Millions)
FechaIngresosBeneficiosFlujo de caja libreFlujo de caja operativoNúm. de analistas medio
12/31/20261,383-72N/AN/A1
12/31/20251,240-151N/AN/A1
12/31/2024772-130N/AN/A1
6/30/2024785-783-62-52N/A
3/31/2024810-645-61-49N/A
12/31/2023751-683-62-47N/A
9/30/2023764-207-101-91N/A
6/30/2023719-126-94-84N/A
3/31/2023667-103-86-78N/A
12/31/2022631-38-76-68N/A
9/30/2022585-52-61-55N/A
6/30/2022532-44-54-48N/A
3/31/2022405-25-43-39N/A
12/31/2021296-7-28-24N/A
9/30/2021206-2-13-9N/A
6/30/202112512-4-2N/A
3/31/2021106657N/A
12/31/2020103835N/A
9/30/2020101758N/A
12/31/201991667N/A
12/31/201872301N/A

Previsiones de crecimiento futuro de los analistas

Ingresos vs. Tasa de ahorro: Se prevé que CMAX.Q siga sin ser rentable en los próximos 3 años.

Beneficios vs. Mercado: Se prevé que CMAX.Q siga sin ser rentable en los próximos 3 años.

Beneficios de alto crecimiento: Se prevé que CMAX.Q siga sin ser rentable en los próximos 3 años.

Ingresos vs. Mercado: Se prevé que los ingresos (26% al año) de CMAX.Q crezcan más rápidamente que los del mercado US (11.6% al año).

Ingresos de alto crecimiento: Se prevé que los ingresos (26% al año) de CMAX.Q crezcan más rápidamente que un 20% al año.

Previsiones de crecimiento de los beneficios por acción

Rentabilidad financiera futura

ROE futura: Datos insuficientes para determinar si la rentabilidad financiera de CMAX.Q se prevé que sea elevada dentro de 3 años.

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Análisis de la empresa y estado de los datos financieros

DatosÚltima actualización (huso horario UTC)
Análisis de la empresa2025/02/04 12:53
Precio de las acciones al final del día2025/01/29 00:00
Beneficios2024/06/30
Ingresos anuales2023/12/31

Fuentes de datos

Los datos utilizados en nuestro análisis de empresas proceden de S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Los siguientes datos se utilizan en nuestro modelo de análisis para generar este informe. Los datos están normalizados, lo que puede introducir un retraso desde que la fuente está disponible.

PaqueteDatosMarco temporalEjemplo Fuente EE.UU. *
Finanzas de la empresa10 años
  • Cuenta de resultados
  • Estado de tesorería
  • Balance
Estimaciones del consenso de analistas+3 años
  • Previsiones financieras
  • Objetivos de precios de los analistas
Precios de mercado30 años
  • Precios de las acciones
  • Dividendos, escisiones y acciones
Propiedad10 años
  • Accionistas principales
  • Información privilegiada
Gestión10 años
  • Equipo directivo
  • Consejo de Administración
Principales avances10 años
  • Anuncios de empresas

* Ejemplo para valores de EE.UU., para no EE.UU. se utilizan formularios y fuentes normativas equivalentes.

A menos que se especifique lo contrario, todos los datos financieros se basan en un periodo anual, pero se actualizan trimestralmente. Esto se conoce como datos de los últimos doce meses (TTM) o de los últimos doce meses (LTM). Más información.

Modelo de análisis y copo de nieve

Los detalles del modelo de análisis utilizado para generar este informe están disponibles en nuestra página de Github, también tenemos guías sobre cómo utilizar nuestros informes y tutoriales en Youtube.

Conozca al equipo de talla mundial que diseñó y construyó el modelo de análisis Simply Wall St.

Métricas industriales y sectoriales

Simply Wall St calcula cada 6 horas nuestras métricas sectoriales y de sección. Los detalles de nuestro proceso están disponibles en Github.

Fuentes analistas

CareMax, Inc. está cubierta por 4 analistas. 1 de esos analistas presentaron las estimaciones de ingresos o ganancias utilizadas como datos para nuestro informe. Las estimaciones de los analistas se actualizan a lo largo del día.

AnalistaInstitución
Brian TanquilutJefferies LLC
Jessica TassanPiper Sandler Companies
Gary TaylorTD Cowen