Luckin Coffee Crecimiento futuro
Future controles de criterios 5/6
Se prevé un crecimiento anual de los beneficios y los ingresos de Luckin Coffee de 22.4% y 13.2% por año respectivamente. Se prevé que el BPA crezca en un 21.6% al año. Se espera que la rentabilidad financiera sea de 23.6% en 3 años.
Información clave
22.4%
Tasa de crecimiento de los beneficios
21.56%
Tasa de crecimiento del BPA
| Crecimiento de los beneficios de Hospitality | 18.2% |
| Tasa de crecimiento de los ingresos | 13.2% |
| Rentabilidad financiera futura | 23.57% |
| Cobertura de analistas | Good |
| Última actualización | 06 May 2026 |
Actualizaciones recientes sobre el crecimiento futuro
No hay actualizaciones
Recent updates
Actualización de narrativa • May 10
LKNC.Y: Roasting Network Expansion And Share Repurchases Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Luckin Coffee to $45.98 from $45.54, attributing the change to updated assumptions for the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E levels. What's in the News Luckin Coffee announced a share repurchase program of up to US$300 million of Class A shares in the form of American Depository Shares, funded with existing cash, with a planned duration of 12 months.Actualización de narrativa • Apr 24
LKNC.Y: Smart Roasting Network And Origin Flagship Expansion Will Support Upside
Analysts have made a modest adjustment to their $45.54 price target on Luckin Coffee, reflecting slightly updated views on discount rate, revenue growth assumptions, profit margins and future P/E multiples, while keeping their overall fair value estimate effectively unchanged. What's in the News Luckin Coffee began operating an advanced smart roasting center in Qingdao, Shandong Province, with a total investment of about RMB 3,000 million and annual roasting capacity of over 55,000 tons.Actualización de narrativa • Apr 10
LKNC.Y: Origin Flagship Expansion And Green Retail Concept Will Support Upside
Analysts have maintained their $45.54 price target for Luckin Coffee, noting that updated model inputs, including a slightly higher discount rate and a revised future P/E assumption, offset one another in their valuation analysis. What's in the News Luckin Coffee opened its 30,000th store in Shenzhen, described as its first Origin Flagship location with a focus on Global Origins and a larger brand evolution theme (Key Developments).Actualización de narrativa • Mar 26
LKNC.Y: Origin Flagship And Green Retail Concept Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have modestly raised their $45.54 price target for Luckin Coffee, reflecting slightly revised assumptions for the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E. Together, these changes indicate a fine-tuning of their view rather than a major reset.Actualización de narrativa • Mar 10
LKNC.Y: Origin Flagship And Green Retail Expansion Will Drive Future Upside
Analysts have reduced their fair value estimate for Luckin Coffee to about $45.54 from around $48.76 as they incorporate more cautious assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins and the future P/E multiple. What's in the News Luckin Coffee marked the opening of its 30,000th store, the first Origin Flagship in Shenzhen, highlighting its large-scale retail footprint across more than 300 cities in China and overseas markets including Singapore, Malaysia and the United States.Actualización de narrativa • Feb 24
LKNC.Y: Origin Flagship And Green Retail Expansion Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have nudged their price target on Luckin Coffee slightly higher to $48.76 from $48.60, reflecting updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, discount rate, and future P/E. What's in the News Luckin Coffee opened its 30,000th store, its first Origin Flagship, in Shenzhen, tying the launch to a Global Origins theme and highlighting a shift toward greater focus on professionalism, quality, and sustainable development.Actualización de narrativa • Feb 09
LKNC.Y: Overweight Rating And Origin Flagship Expansion Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Luckin Coffee to about US$48.60 from roughly US$50.10, reflecting slightly adjusted assumptions on discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E, even as fresh Street research highlights renewed interest in the stock within China's "bubble & brew" sector and cites a US$55 price target on new coverage. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts highlight the new US$55 price target as support for the view that Luckin Coffee still has upside potential relative to the revised fair value estimate of about US$48.60, pointing to room for the share price to converge toward their assumptions on earnings and P/E.Actualización de narrativa • Jan 25
LKNC.Y: Bubble And Brew Leadership And Overweight Rating Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have nudged their price target for Luckin Coffee slightly higher to about US$50.10 from about US$49.83, citing recent positive Street research, including a new Overweight initiation, as support for the updated view. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research, including a fresh Overweight initiation and US$55 price target from JPMorgan, adds more color around how the market is thinking about Luckin Coffee at current levels.Actualización de narrativa • Jan 11
LKNC.Y: Bubble And Brew Leadership And Margin Strength Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Luckin Coffee slightly higher to about US$49.83 per share from roughly US$49.63, citing recent positive Street research, including a new US$55 target and Overweight initiation that support modestly stronger profit margin and P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research, including a new Overweight initiation and US$55 price target from JPMorgan, gives more color on how analysts are thinking about Luckin Coffee's risk and reward profile.Actualización de narrativa • Dec 14
LKNC.Y: Store Expansion And Digital Platform Will Drive Future Market Leadership
Analysts have nudged their price target for Luckin Coffee slightly lower to $49.63 from about $49.95, reflecting modestly softer long term growth and margin assumptions, even as they continue to highlight the company as a preferred name within China's "bubble and brew" sector. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts highlight Luckin Coffee's positioning as a top pick within China's rapidly expanding "bubble and brew" category, supporting a premium valuation relative to slower growing domestic peers.Actualización de narrativa • Nov 30
LKNC.Y: Market Leadership Will Support Store Expansion Across China
The analyst consensus price target for Luckin Coffee has risen from $48.24 to $49.95, as analysts cite strong store growth and continued profitability in a rapidly expanding Chinese coffee market. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts highlight Luckin Coffee's consistent outperformance within China's rapidly growing coffee sector, noting that it is now the largest coffee chain in the country by store count.Actualización de narrativa • Nov 16
LKNC.Y: Market Leadership Will Drive Store Expansion Momentum In China
Analysts have revised their fair value estimate for Luckin Coffee upward from $46.89 to $48.24. They cite strong growth prospects and continued optimism for China's expanding coffee market.Actualización de narrativa • Sep 06
Chinese Urbanization And Digital Transformation Will Unlock Market Potential
The consensus analyst price target for Luckin Coffee has increased modestly as a sharp decline in its future P/E ratio offset a slight reduction in revenue growth forecasts, lifting the fair value estimate from $45.61 to $46.89. What's in the News Luckin Coffee (LKNCY), now China's largest coffee chain, has opened its first store in New York City less than 200 feet from a Starbucks location, signaling its entry into the U.S. market (WSJ).Actualización de narrativa • Aug 07
Chinese Urbanization And Digital Transformation Will Unlock Market Potential
Luckin Coffee’s future P/E ratio has dropped sharply from 21.27x to 2.96x while its net profit margin remains stable at 9.4%, leading to the consensus analyst price target holding steady at $45.61. Valuation Changes Summary of Valuation Changes for Luckin Coffee The Consensus Analyst Price Target remained effectively unchanged, at $45.61.
Nueva narrativa • Dec 03
Aggressive Store Expansion And Light Milk Tea Innovations Will Drive Revenue Growth And Profitability
Aggressive store expansion and new product lines are boosting market share, diversifying offerings, and enhancing customer engagement, driving revenue growth.Previsiones de crecimiento de beneficios e ingresos
| Fecha | Ingresos | Beneficios | Flujo de caja libre | Flujo de caja operativo | Núm. de analistas medio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 75,894 | 6,723 | 6,074 | 8,372 | 7 |
| 12/31/2027 | 67,534 | 5,418 | 3,832 | 7,147 | 10 |
| 12/31/2026 | 59,756 | 4,357 | 3,417 | 5,709 | 10 |
| 3/31/2026 | 52,418 | 3,583 | 3,362 | 5,985 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 49,288 | 3,600 | 3,467 | 6,091 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 46,125 | 3,931 | 4,736 | 7,155 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 41,018 | 3,967 | 3,983 | 6,402 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 37,062 | 3,562 | 2,972 | 5,390 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 34,475 | 2,956 | 1,811 | 4,229 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 31,927 | 2,401 | -1,083 | 1,674 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 28,946 | 2,075 | -1,089 | 1,668 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 26,745 | 2,200 | -1,193 | 1,563 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 24,903 | 2,844 | 144 | 2,900 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 21,533 | 2,606 | 3,074 | 3,875 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 18,228 | 2,147 | 2,181 | 2,982 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 15,325 | 1,033 | 184 | 985 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 13,293 | 488 | -781 | 20 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 12,031 | 1,355 | -216 | -43 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 10,486 | 803 | -625 | -452 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 9,101 | 831 | 291 | 464 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 7,965 | 579 | -50 | 123 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 6,879 | -2,665 | -816 | 6 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 5,671 | -4,353 | -1,097 | -274 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 4,530 | -5,044 | -2,446 | -1,624 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 4,033 | -5,589 | -3,199 | -2,377 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 2,783 | -4,661 | -4,065 | -3,286 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 3,182 | -3,481 | -4,751 | -3,137 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 3,319 | -3,918 | -3,940 | -2,526 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 3,025 | -3,713 | N/A | -2,167 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 3,395 | -3,765 | N/A | -1,397 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 2,094 | -3,718 | N/A | -1,994 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 1,306 | -3,631 | N/A | -1,815 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 841 | -3,190 | N/A | -1,311 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 1 | -113 | N/A | -190 | N/A |
Previsiones de crecimiento futuro de los analistas
Ingresos vs. Tasa de ahorro: El pronóstico de crecimiento de los beneficios (22.4% al año) de LKNC.Y es superior a la tasa de ahorro (3.5%).
Beneficios vs. Mercado: Se prevé que los beneficios (22.4% al año) de LKNC.Y crezcan más rápidamente que el mercado US (16.8% al año).
Beneficios de alto crecimiento: Se espera que los beneficios de LKNC.Y crezcan significativamente en los próximos 3 años.
Ingresos vs. Mercado: Se prevé que los ingresos (13.2% al año) de LKNC.Y crezcan más rápidamente que los del mercado US (11.7% al año).
Ingresos de alto crecimiento: Se prevé que los ingresos 13.2% al año) de LKNC.Y crezcan más despacio que 20% al año.
Previsiones de crecimiento de los beneficios por acción
Rentabilidad financiera futura
ROE futura: Se prevé que la rentabilidad financiera de LKNC.Y sea alta dentro de 3 años (23.6%)
Descubre empresas en crecimiento
Análisis de la empresa y estado de los datos financieros
| Datos | Última actualización (huso horario UTC) |
|---|---|
| Análisis de la empresa | 2026/05/17 23:43 |
| Precio de las acciones al final del día | 2026/05/15 00:00 |
| Beneficios | 2026/03/31 |
| Ingresos anuales | 2025/12/31 |
Fuentes de datos
Los datos utilizados en nuestro análisis de empresas proceden de S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Los siguientes datos se utilizan en nuestro modelo de análisis para generar este informe. Los datos están normalizados, lo que puede introducir un retraso desde que la fuente está disponible.
| Paquete | Datos | Marco temporal | Ejemplo Fuente EE.UU. * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Finanzas de la empresa | 10 años |
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| Estimaciones del consenso de analistas | +3 años |
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| Precios de mercado | 30 años |
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| Propiedad | 10 años |
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| Gestión | 10 años |
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| Principales avances | 10 años |
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* Ejemplo para valores de EE.UU., para no EE.UU. se utilizan formularios y fuentes normativas equivalentes.
A menos que se especifique lo contrario, todos los datos financieros se basan en un periodo anual, pero se actualizan trimestralmente. Esto se conoce como datos de los últimos doce meses (TTM) o de los últimos doce meses (LTM). Más información.
Modelo de análisis y copo de nieve
Los detalles del modelo de análisis utilizado para generar este informe están disponibles en nuestra página de Github, también tenemos guías sobre cómo utilizar nuestros informes y tutoriales en Youtube.
Conozca al equipo de talla mundial que diseñó y construyó el modelo de análisis Simply Wall St.
Métricas industriales y sectoriales
Simply Wall St calcula cada 6 horas nuestras métricas sectoriales y de sección. Los detalles de nuestro proceso están disponibles en Github.
Fuentes analistas
Luckin Coffee Inc. está cubierta por 18 analistas. 10 de esos analistas presentaron las estimaciones de ingresos o ganancias utilizadas como datos para nuestro informe. Las estimaciones de los analistas se actualizan a lo largo del día.
| Analista | Institución |
|---|---|
| Mark Yuan | BNP Paribas |
| Boyi Shi | CGS International |
| null null | China International Capital Corporation Limited |