ADT Crecimiento futuro
Future controles de criterios 0/6
Se prevé un crecimiento anual de los beneficios y los ingresos de ADT de 2.9% y 2.2% por año respectivamente. Se prevé que el BPA crezca en un 3.8% al año. Se espera que la rentabilidad financiera sea de 17.4% en 3 años.
Información clave
2.9%
Tasa de crecimiento de los beneficios
3.76%
Tasa de crecimiento del BPA
| Crecimiento de los beneficios de Consumer Services | 11.7% |
| Tasa de crecimiento de los ingresos | 2.2% |
| Rentabilidad financiera futura | 17.38% |
| Cobertura de analistas | Low |
| Última actualización | 15 May 2026 |
Actualizaciones recientes sobre el crecimiento futuro
Recent updates
Artículo de análisis • Jun 19
ADT (ADT) Stock Could Be 19.4% Undervalued After ConsumerAffairs Buyer’s Choice Awards
ADT (ADT) stock is back in focus after ConsumerAffairs awarded the company 2026 Buyer’s Choice honors for Best Customer Service and Best Product Offering, highlighting how customer perception relates to the home security provider’s valuation. See our latest analysis for ADT. That recognition arrives after a mixed period for ADT’s stock, with the latest share price at $6.58 and a share price return that is down 17.85% year to date but supported by a positive 3 year total shareholder return of...
Actualización de narrativa • Jun 05
ADT: Cash Strength And AI Expansion Will Drive Future Repricing
Analysts report that the Street price target for ADT has recently moved in a mixed fashion, with Morgan Stanley lifting its target by $0.50 while Goldman Sachs brought its target down to $9 from $10.40. This reflects differing views on valuation despite broadly consistent assumptions around growth, margins, and discount rates.Seeking Alpha • May 16
ADT Has A Clear AI-Driven Future (Rating Upgrade)
Summary ADT becomes a more attractive investment following Apollo's complete exit and significant share repurchases. Despite flat revenue and EPS guidance in 2026, ADT targets a 5% revenue and 10% EPS CAGR, leveraging AI and the Origin AI acquisition for operational improvements and differentiation. My updated DCF values ADT at $10.33 per share, indicating a 50% undervaluation with an 8.5% shareholder yield. Risks remain from potential State Farm exit and competitive threats, but ADT's differentiated offering and capital allocation support a Strong Buy rating at current levels. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaActualización de narrativa • May 04
ADT: Cash Returns And Flat 2026 Outlook Will Shape Future Repricing
ADT's updated analyst price target edges higher to $8.16 from $8.10, as analysts factor in slightly adjusted revenue growth, profit margin assumptions, and a modestly higher future P/E multiple while keeping the change in the discount rate limited. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research paints a mixed picture for ADT, with some analysts more optimistic on long term potential and others focused on near term execution risk and guidance.Actualización de narrativa • Apr 19
ADT: Cash Flow Focus And Buybacks Will Support Long-Term Repricing
Narrative Update on ADT The updated analyst price target for ADT moves to $8.10, reflecting a cluster of recent target cuts into the $7 to $9 range as analysts factor in muted 2026 guidance, softer revenue trends, and execution risk around distribution changes and investment driven margin pressures. Analyst Commentary Recent research on ADT centers on lower price targets, more cautious 2026 expectations, and a mixed read on execution tied to distribution changes and investment plans.Actualización de narrativa • Apr 03
ADT: Future Cash Focus And Buybacks Will Drive Long-Term Repricing
Analysts have trimmed their average price target on ADT to reflect a tighter valuation range around $7 to $9, citing mixed recent results, muted 2026 guidance with flat revenue and EPS expectations, and execution risks tied to distribution changes and higher investment. Analyst Commentary Recent research reflects a split view on ADT, with analysts recalibrating price targets into a tighter $7 to $9 range and reassessing how much risk they are willing to underwrite as the company leans into distribution changes and higher investment.Actualización de narrativa • Mar 19
ADT: Future Cash Focus And Buybacks Will Support Long-Term Upside
Narrative Update on ADT The updated analyst target for ADT has shifted lower by about $0.70 per share, reflecting a cluster of recent target cuts into the $7 to $9 range as analysts factor in mixed quarterly results, muted 2026 guidance, and a gradual path to any potential improvement in fundamentals. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on ADT highlight a split view, with some analysts still seeing long-term upside potential and others focusing on execution challenges and muted guidance.Actualización de narrativa • Mar 04
ADT: Future Cash Focus And Buybacks Set Up Long-Term Upside
Analysts have trimmed their average price target on ADT to about $8.80 from $9.58, citing softer revenue growth expectations, slightly lower margin assumptions, a higher discount rate, and a higher future P/E multiple as they factor in muted 2026 guidance, slower subscriber growth, and execution risk around the company’s current plans. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates reflect a more cautious stance on ADT, with lower price targets clustered in a relatively narrow range and a focus on execution over the next few years.Artículo de análisis • Jan 22
The Return Trends At ADT (NYSE:ADT) Look Promising
There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. In a perfect world, we'd like to...Artículo de análisis • Jan 04
Is Now The Time To Put ADT (NYSE:ADT) On Your Watchlist?
It's common for many investors, especially those who are inexperienced, to buy shares in companies with a good story...Artículo de análisis • Dec 06
ADT Inc.'s (NYSE:ADT) Price Is Right But Growth Is Lacking
ADT Inc.'s ( NYSE:ADT ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 10.2x might make it look like a buy right now compared to...Artículo de análisis • Nov 07
ADT (NYSE:ADT) Will Pay A Dividend Of $0.055
The board of ADT Inc. ( NYSE:ADT ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of $0.055 per share on the 8th of January...Artículo de análisis • Sep 03
When Should You Buy ADT Inc. (NYSE:ADT)?
ADT Inc. ( NYSE:ADT ), might not be a large cap stock, but it saw its share price hover around a small range of US$8.11...Actualización de narrativa • Aug 27
Connected Smart Home Devices And AI Will Ensure Future Stability
Analysts have raised their price target for ADT from $9.38 to $9.58, citing increased investor interest from decreased private equity ownership, strong Q2 results, and robust free cash flow. Analyst Commentary Decreased private equity ownership is drawing increased investor attention.Artículo de análisis • Jul 27
ADT (NYSE:ADT) Has Affirmed Its Dividend Of $0.055
The board of ADT Inc. ( NYSE:ADT ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of $0.055 per share on the 2nd of October...Artículo de análisis • Jun 26
ADT (NYSE:ADT) Might Have The Makings Of A Multi-Bagger
If you're not sure where to start when looking for the next multi-bagger, there are a few key trends you should keep an...Seeking Alpha • Apr 28
ADT: Solid Quarter Adds Confidence To Potential Growth Acceleration
Summary I maintain a buy rating for ADT, driven by solid 1Q25 results, improved fundamentals, and promising growth prospects with the ADT+ platform. ADT's 1Q25 earnings showed 7% y/y revenue growth, margin expansion, and a record-low customer churn rate, highlighting the essential nature of its services. The ADT+ Translator and Trusted Neighbor features are strategic upgrades, enhancing customer retention and monetization, thus expanding ADT's addressable revenue base. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Mar 02
ADT Inc.: Earnings Growth Will Drive Share Price Upside
Summary 4Q24 results highlight ADT's strong fundamentals, efficient customer acquisition strategy, reduced churn, and strong pricing power. ADT+ platform adoption boosts revenue through upfront equipment purchases, reducing reliance on new customer acquisition and providing revenue growth stability. AI-driven automation and State Farm partnership enhance margins and growth potential. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Feb 17
ADT Inc.: An Overlooked Cash Generator Trading At An Attractive Price
Summary ADT's renewed focus on the residential market, debt reduction, and exiting unprofitable ventures signal a more streamlined and profitable future. Strategic partnerships with Google and State Farm enhance growth, reduce customer acquisition costs, and improve service offerings. ADT's valuation is attractive with a forward P/E-multiple of 9.3x, supported by strong earnings growth and potential for higher multiples. The company offers a 3.2% dividend yield with room for growth, alongside a significant buyback program to boost per share metrics. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Dec 03
ADT Inc: I Have More Confidence That Growth Can Accelerate
Summary I reiterate a buy rating for ADT, confident that growth can accelerate to high single digits over the next three years. Key drivers include reduced customer churn, a successful State Farm partnership, new account acquisitions, and the rollout of the ADT+ platform. Potential decline in mortgage rates and rebuilding from recent hurricanes offer additional growth opportunities for ADT. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Sep 25
ADT Inc.: Leading Player In US Home Security Solutions
Summary I give a buy rating for ADT Inc. due to its leading position and strong partnerships in the growing U.S. home security market. ADT benefits from a large total addressable market, with significant growth potential as many households still lack security solutions. Key partnerships with Google and State Farm enhance distribution capabilities, driving higher ARPU and customer retention. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Nueva narrativa • Aug 28
Innovative Smart Home Integrations And Strategic Partnerships Drive Growth And Customer Loyalty
Expansion and innovation with the ADT+ platform and partnerships like Google increase customer acquisition, retention, and satisfaction.Seeking Alpha • Jun 03
ADT: Improving Security
Summary ADT has struggled with debt and lackluster earnings but has seen improvements in its core security business and following the divestment of non-core assets. The company exited the residential solar business and announced a dividend increase and share buyback program. ADT's net debt has decreased and the quality of its core business has improved, as I am still awaiting to pull the trigger. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaPrevisiones de crecimiento de beneficios e ingresos
| Fecha | Ingresos | Beneficios | Flujo de caja libre | Flujo de caja operativo | Núm. de analistas medio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 5,450 | 684 | 1,221 | N/A | 4 |
| 12/31/2027 | 5,278 | 694 | 1,161 | N/A | 4 |
| 12/31/2026 | 5,147 | 674 | 1,036 | N/A | 4 |
| 3/31/2026 | 5,140 | 627 | 903 | 2,056 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 5,129 | 601 | 716 | 1,884 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 5,113 | 652 | 787 | 1,970 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 5,059 | 640 | 724 | 1,988 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 4,976 | 598 | 756 | 1,988 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 4,898 | 619 | 612 | 1,885 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 4,810 | 529 | 428 | 1,837 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 4,747 | 520 | 420 | 1,785 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 4,710 | 575 | 355 | 1,715 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 4,653 | 450 | 262 | 1,658 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 4,798 | 485 | 491 | 1,813 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 4,908 | 193 | 478 | 1,865 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 4,756 | 95 | 425 | 1,886 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 4,382 | 312 | 355 | 1,888 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 5,232 | -93 | 226 | 1,815 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 5,259 | -33 | 104 | 1,687 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 5,547 | -241 | 40 | 1,598 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 4,203 | -344 | 112 | 1,650 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 5,241 | -395 | 65 | 1,529 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 5,223 | -399 | 162 | 1,523 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 5,250 | -380 | 297 | 1,476 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 5,315 | -632 | 410 | 1,367 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 5,298 | -592 | 452 | 1,407 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 5,300 | -661 | 506 | 1,523 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 5,252 | -658 | 428 | 1,614 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 5,126 | -424 | N/A | 1,873 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 5,013 | -502 | N/A | 1,841 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 4,861 | -556 | N/A | 1,804 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 4,708 | -518 | N/A | 1,792 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 4,582 | -609 | N/A | 1,788 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 4,502 | 179 | N/A | 1,736 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 4,436 | 352 | N/A | 1,811 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 4,373 | 326 | N/A | 1,684 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 4,316 | 343 | N/A | 1,592 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 4,261 | -381 | N/A | 1,498 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 4,216 | -410 | N/A | 1,413 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 3,578 | -497 | N/A | 1,056 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 2,950 | -537 | N/A | 618 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 549 | -54 | N/A | 36 | N/A |
Previsiones de crecimiento futuro de los analistas
Ingresos vs. Tasa de ahorro: El pronóstico de crecimiento de los beneficios (2.9% por año) de ADT está por debajo de la tasa de ahorro (3.5%).
Beneficios vs. Mercado: Se prevé que los beneficios (2.9% al año) de ADT crezcan menos que el mercado US (18.9% al año).
Beneficios de alto crecimiento: Se prevé que los beneficios de ADT crezcan, pero no significativamente.
Ingresos vs. Mercado: Se prevé que los ingresos (2.2% al año) de ADT crezcan más despacio que el mercado de US (13% al año).
Ingresos de alto crecimiento: Se prevé que los ingresos 2.2% al año) de ADT crezcan más despacio que 20% al año.
Previsiones de crecimiento de los beneficios por acción
Rentabilidad financiera futura
ROE futura: Se prevé que la rentabilidad financiera de ADT sea baja dentro de 3 años (17.4%).
Descubre empresas en crecimiento
Análisis de la empresa y estado de los datos financieros
| Datos | Última actualización (huso horario UTC) |
|---|---|
| Análisis de la empresa | 2026/06/21 01:17 |
| Precio de las acciones al final del día | 2026/06/18 00:00 |
| Beneficios | 2026/03/31 |
| Ingresos anuales | 2025/12/31 |
Fuentes de datos
Los datos utilizados en nuestro análisis de empresas proceden de S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Los siguientes datos se utilizan en nuestro modelo de análisis para generar este informe. Los datos están normalizados, lo que puede introducir un retraso desde que la fuente está disponible.
| Paquete | Datos | Marco temporal | Ejemplo Fuente EE.UU. * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Finanzas de la empresa | 10 años |
| |
| Estimaciones del consenso de analistas | +3 años |
|
|
| Precios de mercado | 30 años |
| |
| Propiedad | 10 años |
| |
| Gestión | 10 años |
| |
| Principales avances | 10 años |
|
* Ejemplo para valores de EE.UU., para no EE.UU. se utilizan formularios y fuentes normativas equivalentes.
A menos que se especifique lo contrario, todos los datos financieros se basan en un periodo anual, pero se actualizan trimestralmente. Esto se conoce como datos de los últimos doce meses (TTM) o de los últimos doce meses (LTM). Más información.
Modelo de análisis y copo de nieve
Los detalles del modelo de análisis utilizado para generar este informe están disponibles en nuestra página de Github, también contamos con guías sobre cómo utilizar nuestros informes y tutoriales en Youtube.
Conozca al equipo de talla mundial que diseñó y construyó el modelo de análisis Simply Wall St.
Métricas industriales y sectoriales
Simply Wall St calcula cada 6 horas nuestras métricas sectoriales y de sección. Los detalles de nuestro proceso están disponibles en Github.
Fuentes analistas
ADT Inc. está cubierta por 8 analistas. 4 de esos analistas presentaron las estimaciones de ingresos o ganancias utilizadas como datos para nuestro informe. Las estimaciones de los analistas se actualizan a lo largo del día.
| Analista | Institución |
|---|---|
| Manav Patnaik | Barclays |
| Gary Bisbee | BofA Global Research |
| Peter Christiansen | Citigroup Inc |