Duolingo Crecimiento futuro
Future controles de criterios 1/6
Se prevé que los beneficios de Duolingo disminuyan en un 25.5% al año, mientras que se espera que sus ingresos anuales crezcan en un 12.3% al año. Se prevé que el BPA disminuya en un 30.6% por año. Se espera que la rentabilidad financiera sea de 23.6% en 3 años.
Información clave
-25.5%
Tasa de crecimiento de los beneficios
-30.64%
Tasa de crecimiento del BPA
| Crecimiento de los beneficios de Consumer Services | 11.1% |
| Tasa de crecimiento de los ingresos | 12.3% |
| Rentabilidad financiera futura | 23.59% |
| Cobertura de analistas | Good |
| Última actualización | 01 Sep 2026 |
Actualizaciones recientes sobre el crecimiento futuro
Recent updates
Actualización de narrativa • Sep 09
DUOL: AI Powered User Engagement And DAU Momentum Will Support Upside
Analysts have raised their Duolingo price expectations, with the updated fair value estimate moving from about $160.53 to $192.64. This change reflects stronger modeled revenue growth and a higher future P/E multiple supported by recent upgrades and price target increases across the Street.
Actualización de narrativa • Aug 26
DUOL: Monetization Lag Versus Surging Daily Users Will Likely Pressure Shares
Analysts have nudged the Duolingo fair value estimate higher to $127.07 from $114.91, citing updated models that factor in slightly lower revenue growth assumptions, modestly better profit margin expectations, and a higher future P/E multiple in line with recent price target revisions across the Street. Analyst Commentary Street research on Duolingo has become more mixed in recent months, with several firms lifting price targets and others turning more cautious.Seeking Alpha • Aug 23
Duolingo Has Already Been Disrupting The Education Services Industry, But This Is Just The Beginning
Summary Duolingo is positioned as a disruptive, globally recognized EdTech brand with evolving growth potential beyond language learning. DUOL's vision extends to building the world's best AI-powered education platform, with ambitions in official certifications and broader subject offerings. Recent stock declines reflect a valuation correction, not a broken thesis, creating a compelling buying opportunity as the business fundamentals remain intact. DUOL is considered financially healthy, profitable, and attractively valued for both current performance and future growth prospects. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaActualización de narrativa • Aug 12
DUOL: AI Driven User Engagement And DAU Strength Will Support Upside
Duolingo's analyst fair value estimate has increased from about $134 to about $161 as analysts factor in stronger user engagement trends and potential AI tailwinds, while still flagging questions around monetization, growth durability, and valuation. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Duolingo highlights a split view.Actualización de narrativa • Jul 29
DUOL: Stronger Daily Users Will Likely Mask Waning Monthly Engagement
Duolingo's analyst fair value estimate has increased from $108.14 to $114.91 as analysts incorporate stronger daily active user trends, new monetization options, and updated price targets clustered around $120 to $139. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Duolingo clusters around higher price targets and mixed views on how durable current user and revenue momentum may be.Actualización de narrativa • Jul 15
DUOL: Slowing Monthly User Momentum Will Likely Cap Upside Despite Raised Expectations
Analysts have lifted the Duolingo price target range, with recent moves such as raises to $125, $120 and $82. This reflects a view that moderating AI disintermediation concerns, solid earnings power and stronger near term user and bookings trends support a modestly higher fair value estimate of about $108 per share.Artículo de análisis • Jun 20
Duolingo (DUOL) Stock Could Be 53.3% Undervalued Ahead Of Earnings
Duolingo (DUOL) is back in focus after the stock dipped 3.65% in the latest session, as investors evaluate expectations for an upcoming earnings report that combines forecast revenue growth with a projected decline in earnings per share. See our latest analysis for Duolingo. Despite the recent 3.65% daily drop, Duolingo’s 30-day share price return of 18.86% and 90-day share price return of 28.06% point to strengthening short term momentum. However, the 1-year total shareholder return has...
Actualización de narrativa • Jun 16
DUOL: Slowing Monthly Users And Earnings Pressure Will Drive Bearish Repricing
Analysts have revised Duolingo's fair value estimate from $160.00 to $81.00, citing updated assumptions around user growth, profit margins, and a higher future P/E multiple, even as some firms raise price targets on stronger near-term daily active user trends. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Duolingo highlights a more cautious tone from several bearish analysts, even as some price targets move higher.Actualización de narrativa • Jun 02
DUOL: AI Led User Engagement And DAU Focus May Support Upside
Duolingo's analyst fair value estimate edges up to $133.98 from $133.96 as analysts balance slightly higher revenue growth assumptions with more cautious views on profit margins and future P/E multiples, following a mix of recent price target raises and cuts across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Duolingo presents a mixed picture, with shifts in price targets and ratings reflecting different views on user growth, profitability, and valuation.Actualización de narrativa • May 16
DUOL: User Growth Pivot And Buyback May Support Future Upside
Analysts have trimmed the Duolingo fair value estimate slightly to about $134 from about $136. This reflects reduced revenue growth assumptions, a modestly higher discount rate, and lower future P/E expectations, partly offset by a slightly higher profit margin outlook after a series of mixed price target changes and ratings downgrades across the Street.Actualización de narrativa • May 01
DUOL: User Growth Pivot And AI Expansion Will Define Balanced Risk Reward
The analyst price target for Duolingo has been trimmed slightly to $104.97 from $105.73 as analysts factor in the company’s pivot toward user growth over near term monetization, more conservative bookings expectations for 2026, and a modest reset in long term revenue growth, margin, and future P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Street research around Duolingo has turned more cautious as the company leans into a user growth first playbook and reins in 2026 bookings expectations.Actualización de narrativa • Apr 17
DUOL: User Growth Pivot And AI Roadmap May Unlock Future Upside
Analysts made a small upward adjustment to Duolingo's fair value estimate to $136.17 as they factor in the company's pivot toward user growth, tempered revenue and margin expectations, and a slightly higher assumed future P/E of about 36.8x following a series of downgrades and reset price targets clustered around $85 to $114. Analyst Commentary Recent research coverage has shifted toward a more cautious stance on Duolingo as the company leans into user growth and accepts lower near term visibility on monetization and margins.Actualización de narrativa • Apr 03
DUOL: User Growth Pivot And AI Product Work Will Support Upside
Analysts have cut the Duolingo fair value estimate from $156.52 to $136.16, reflecting a series of price target reductions as they reassess monetization, growth visibility, and the impact of the company’s pivot toward user growth over near term profitability. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research has tilted cautious on Duolingo, with a series of downgrades and lower price targets following the company’s decision to prioritize daily active user growth over near term monetization and margins.Actualización de narrativa • Mar 19
DUOL: User Expansion Pivot And AI Investments Will Shape Balanced Future Prospects
Analysts have reduced the Duolingo fair value estimate from about $270.74 to $105.73. This reflects a broad reset in price targets as they reassess slower projected revenue growth, lower profit margins, and a more cautious future P/E multiple tied to the company's pivot toward user growth over near-term monetization.
Nueva narrativa • Mar 06
Duolingo: Billion Dollar Business Hiding in Plain Sight
Duolingo just crossed $1 billion in revenue and delivered a 367% surge in net earnings — yet the stock trades at a trailing P/E of just 11x. For a market-leading EdTech platform with 50 million daily active users, that’s a number you’d normally associate with a slow-moving industrial company, not one of the most recognisable consumer brands on the planet.Actualización de narrativa • Mar 05
DUOL: Long Term User Focus And AI Features Will Drive Upside
Narrative Update: Duolingo Our updated narrative fair value for Duolingo shifts to $156.52 from $347.00, reflecting analysts' broad reset of price targets to the $85 to $114 range as they recalibrate expectations for bookings growth, profitability, and future P/E multiples in light of the company's focus on user growth over near term monetization. Analyst Commentary Recent research coverage on Duolingo has tilted cautious, with many firms resetting ratings to Neutral or equivalent and clustering price targets around the US$85 to US$114 range.Actualización de narrativa • Feb 19
DUOL: User Engagement And CFO Transition Will Shape Future Repricing Potential
Analysts have trimmed Duolingo's implied upside, with the consolidated price target moving toward $160 as they factor in slightly higher discount rates, modestly adjusted growth expectations, and recent target cuts from firms citing tempered user growth estimates and a more selective market for high multiple internet names. Analyst Commentary Recent research has tilted more cautious, with several Bearish analysts trimming price targets and flagging execution and growth risks around user trends and valuation for Duolingo.Artículo de análisis • Feb 05
Earnings Working Against Duolingo, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:DUOL) Share Price Following 37% Dive
Duolingo, Inc. ( NASDAQ:DUOL ) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 37...Actualización de narrativa • Feb 05
DUOL: Long Term User Focus And New Offerings Will Shape Future Repricing
Narrative Update Analysts trimmed their Duolingo fair value estimate from $180 to $160, as lower projected profit margins and valuation multiples outweighed slightly higher modeled revenue growth and a modestly reduced discount rate. This aligns with recent Street price target cuts and more cautious user growth expectations.Actualización de narrativa • Jan 22
DUOL: Long Term User Focus And Chess Expansion Will Drive Upside
Analysts cut their Duolingo fair value estimate from about $600 to roughly $347, reflecting lower price targets and more moderate assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, future P/E multiples, and a slightly higher discount rate, as recent research highlights a focus on longer term user growth over near term monetization and mixed reactions to product and user growth trends. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Duolingo centers on a trade off between near term monetization and longer term user growth.Actualización de narrativa • Jan 08
DUOL: Long Term User Focus And Product Experiments Will Shape Future Repricing
Our Duolingo fair value estimate has been reset from US$390 to US$180 as analysts broadly trim price targets and factor in slightly slower modeled revenue growth, a lower future P/E, and the company's increased focus on long term user expansion over near term monetization following the recent Q3 update and Chess product commentary. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research reflects a more cautious stance on Duolingo, with several bearish analysts cutting price targets and, in one case, removing a target altogether.Actualización de narrativa • Dec 16
DUOL: Long-Term User Expansion Focus Will Drive Renewed Upside Potential
Analysts have trimmed their Duolingo price target slightly to about $271 from roughly $271.05, reflecting modestly higher discount rates and a greater focus on long term user growth and product investment over near term monetization, even as they acknowledge improving revenue growth and margin expectations. Analyst Commentary Street research highlights a wide range of views on Duolingo, with most firms trimming price targets but maintaining generally constructive stances on the company’s long term growth algorithm and product roadmap.Actualización de narrativa • Dec 01
DUOL: Long-Term User Growth Focus Will Drive Renewed Interest Ahead
Duolingo's fair value estimate has been revised downward from $289.81 to $271.05 as analysts reacted to a series of price target reductions. These adjustments were driven by concerns over the company's shifting focus toward long-term user growth instead of prioritizing near-term monetization and profitability.Actualización de narrativa • Nov 17
DUOL: Focus On Long-Term User Engagement Will Drive Sustained Platform Expansion
Duolingo’s fair value estimate has been sharply reduced from approximately $443 to $290 per share. Analysts point to a combination of lower growth expectations and a strategic pivot toward long-term user engagement over immediate profitability.Actualización de narrativa • Nov 01
DUOL: User Growth Concerns Will Fade As Engagement Increases In Key Markets
Duolingo's analyst price target has been lowered by $6.50 to $442.74 per share. Analysts cite ongoing concerns over user growth and recent valuation adjustments, even as revenue continues to grow.Actualización de narrativa • Oct 17
China And Asia Expansion Will Transform Digital Education
Analysts have slightly trimmed Duolingo's fair value estimate by $2.50, as modest adjustments to user growth expectations and continued competitive risks are tempering near-term optimism for the stock. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst reviews of Duolingo reflect a balanced mix of optimism about the company's product strengths and ongoing concerns related to user growth and competition.Artículo de análisis • Oct 09
Duolingo, Inc. (NASDAQ:DUOL) Looks Just Right With A 27% Price Jump
Those holding Duolingo, Inc. ( NASDAQ:DUOL ) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 27% in the...Actualización de narrativa • Oct 03
China And Asia Expansion Will Transform Digital Education
Duolingo's analyst fair value estimate has been slightly reduced by approximately $5 to $451.74, as analysts cite ongoing concerns about slower user growth and increased competition, which are impacting future performance expectations. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst research highlights a mix of cautious sentiment and continued confidence in Duolingo's long-term prospects, focusing on user growth trends, competitive risks, and valuation concerns.Actualización de narrativa • Sep 05
China And Asia Expansion Will Transform Digital Education
Duolingo’s consensus price target was modestly reduced to $478.65 as analysts cite weaker-than-expected user growth trends, persistent competition risks, and recent social media setbacks, partially offset by confidence in the company’s growth prospects beyond language learning. Analyst Commentary Decelerating user growth and indications that active users and subscribers are trending below consensus estimates have led bearish analysts to reduce targets and downgrade ratings.Previsiones de crecimiento de beneficios e ingresos
| Fecha | Ingresos | Beneficios | Flujo de caja libre | Flujo de caja operativo | Núm. de analistas medio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 1,553 | 215 | 484 | 490 | 14 |
| 12/31/2027 | 1,367 | 171 | 438 | 448 | 22 |
| 12/31/2026 | 1,207 | 138 | 392 | 396 | 22 |
| 6/30/2026 | 1,145 | 411 | 398 | 431 | N/A |
| 3/31/2026 | 1,099 | 422 | 405 | 433 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 1,038 | 414 | 360 | 388 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 964 | 386 | 348 | 364 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 885 | 117 | 321 | 336 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 811 | 97 | 289 | 308 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 748 | 89 | 264 | 286 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 689 | 87 | 229 | 251 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 634 | 66 | 210 | 233 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 583 | 46 | 190 | 208 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 531 | 16 | 140 | 154 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 484 | -10 | 106 | 116 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 442 | -31 | 78 | 87 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 404 | -50 | 54 | 63 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 369 | -60 | 44 | 54 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 339 | -63 | 32 | 42 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 306 | -74 | 30 | 38 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 277 | -59 | 18 | 25 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 251 | -60 | 3 | 9 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 226 | -53 | 6 | 12 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 208 | -27 | 3 | 9 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 189 | -27 | 14 | 18 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 162 | -16 | 14 | 18 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 71 | -14 | N/A | 2 | N/A |
Previsiones de crecimiento futuro de los analistas
Ingresos vs. Tasa de ahorro: Se prevé que los beneficios de DUOL disminuyan en los próximos 3 años (-25.5% al año).
Beneficios vs. Mercado: Se prevé que los beneficios de DUOL disminuyan en los próximos 3 años (-25.5% al año).
Beneficios de alto crecimiento: Se prevé que los beneficios de DUOL disminuyan en los próximos 3 años.
Ingresos vs. Mercado: Se prevé que los ingresos (12.3% al año) de DUOL crezcan más despacio que el mercado de US (13.5% al año).
Ingresos de alto crecimiento: Se prevé que los ingresos 12.3% al año) de DUOL crezcan más despacio que 20% al año.
Previsiones de crecimiento de los beneficios por acción
Rentabilidad financiera futura
ROE futura: Se prevé que la rentabilidad financiera de DUOL sea alta dentro de 3 años (23.6%)
Descubre empresas en crecimiento
Análisis de la empresa y estado de los datos financieros
| Datos | Última actualización (huso horario UTC) |
|---|---|
| Análisis de la empresa | 2026/09/09 08:42 |
| Precio de las acciones al final del día | 2026/09/09 00:00 |
| Beneficios | 2026/06/30 |
| Ingresos anuales | 2025/12/31 |
Fuentes de datos
Los datos utilizados en nuestro análisis de empresas proceden de S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Los siguientes datos se utilizan en nuestro modelo de análisis para generar este informe. Los datos están normalizados, lo que puede introducir un retraso desde que la fuente está disponible.
| Paquete | Datos | Marco temporal | Ejemplo Fuente EE.UU. * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Finanzas de la empresa | 10 años |
| |
| Estimaciones del consenso de analistas | +3 años |
|
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| Precios de mercado | 30 años |
| |
| Propiedad | 10 años |
| |
| Gestión | 10 años |
| |
| Principales avances | 10 años |
|
* Ejemplo para valores de EE.UU., para no EE.UU. se utilizan formularios y fuentes normativas equivalentes.
A menos que se especifique lo contrario, todos los datos financieros se basan en un periodo anual, pero se actualizan trimestralmente. Esto se conoce como datos de los últimos doce meses (TTM) o de los últimos doce meses (LTM). Más información.
Modelo de análisis y copo de nieve
Los detalles del modelo de análisis utilizado para generar este informe están disponibles en nuestra página de Github, también tenemos guías sobre cómo utilizar nuestros informes y tutoriales en Youtube.
Conozca al que diseñó y construyó el modelo de análisis Simply Wall St.
Métricas industriales y sectoriales
Simply Wall St calcula cada 6 horas nuestras métricas sectoriales y de sección. Los detalles de nuestro proceso están disponibles en Github.
Fuentes analistas
Duolingo, Inc. está cubierta por 30 analistas. 22 de esos analistas presentaron las estimaciones de ingresos o ganancias utilizadas como datos para nuestro informe. Las estimaciones de los analistas se actualizan a lo largo del día.
| Analista | Institución |
|---|---|
| Vikram Kesavabhotla | Baird |
| X. Lu | Barclays |
| Ross Sandler | Barclays |