Birkenstock Holding (BIRK) Resumen de Acciones
Birkenstock Holding plc se dedica a la fabricación y venta de calzado en América, Europa, Oriente Medio, África y Asia-Pacífico. Saber más
| Puntuación del snowflake | |
|---|---|
| Valoración | 4/6 |
| Crecimiento futuro | 1/6 |
| Rendimiento pasado | 5/6 |
| Salud financiera | 4/6 |
| Dividendos | 0/6 |
Recompensas
Análisis de riesgos
No se han detectado riesgos en BIRK a partir de nuestros controles de riesgos.
BIRK Community Fair Values
Create NarrativeSee what 43 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.
Analyst Price Targets
Competidores de Birkenstock Holding plc
Historial de precios y rendimiento
| Precios históricos de las acciones | |
|---|---|
| Precio actual de la acción | US$45.20 |
| Máximo en las últimas 52 semanas | US$57.20 |
| Mínimo de 52 semanas | US$31.12 |
| Beta | 1.25 |
| Cambio en 1 mes | 14.90% |
| Variación en 3 meses | 23.16% |
| Cambio de 1 año | -19.05% |
| Variación en 3 años | n/a |
| Variación en 5 años | n/a |
| Variación desde la OPV | 12.44% |
Noticias y actualizaciones recientes
Recent updates
Seeking Alpha • May 13
Birkenstock: Concerning Sales Slowdown And Inventory Buildup (Downgrade)
Summary Birkenstock faces decelerating growth, weak Q2 results, and rising inventories, prompting my downgrade to neutral. BIRK demonstrates resilience with double-digit growth and gross margin improvement from increased capacity absorption, despite macroeconomic headwinds. Risks include a more promotional retail environment, B2B order pullbacks, and intensified competition from brands like CROX. I recommend moving to the sidelines on BIRK, as recent trends skew the risk/reward balance to the downside. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaArtículo de análisis • Feb 15
Birkenstock Holding plc Beat Analyst Estimates: See What The Consensus Is Forecasting For This Year
It's been a good week for Birkenstock Holding plc ( NYSE:BIRK ) shareholders, because the company has just released its...Artículo de análisis • Dec 11
Is There An Opportunity With Birkenstock Holding plc's (NYSE:BIRK) 21% Undervaluation?
Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Birkenstock Holding fair value estimate is US$56.74 Current...Artículo de análisis • Nov 05
Is Birkenstock Holding plc (NYSE:BIRK) Potentially Undervalued?
While Birkenstock Holding plc ( NYSE:BIRK ) might not have the largest market cap around , it saw significant share...
Actualización de narrativa • Sep 26
APAC And China Trends Will Unlock Future Potential
Birkenstock Holding’s modestly lower consensus price target reflects a significant rise in its future P/E multiple, while profit margins remained stable, resulting in a revised fair value of $69.17. What's in the News Birkenstock raised its fiscal 2025 revenue guidance to at least €2.09 billion, reflecting 15.9% reported growth and 17.5% growth in constant currency, above previous guidance.Artículo de análisis • Sep 12
Here's Why We Think Birkenstock Holding (NYSE:BIRK) Is Well Worth Watching
It's common for many investors, especially those who are inexperienced, to buy shares in companies with a good story...Artículo de análisis • Aug 18
Results: Birkenstock Holding plc Beat Earnings Expectations And Analysts Now Have New Forecasts
NYSE:BIRK 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore Birkenstock Holding's Fair Values from the Community and select...Artículo de análisis • Jul 09
Calculating The Fair Value Of Birkenstock Holding plc (NYSE:BIRK)
Key Insights Birkenstock Holding's estimated fair value is US$44.94 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity With...Seeking Alpha • Apr 13
Birkenstock: Upgrade To Buy On Cheaper Valuation
Summary I upgrade Birkenstock to a buy rating as the stock now trades at ~22x forward P/E, making it more attractive. BIRK shows resilient top-line growth across all regions and channels, with 1Q25 revenue up 19% y/y, exceeding management’s FY25 guidance. The DTC strategy is gaining momentum, with plans to increase store count by ~40% and a growing membership base driving higher transaction values. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Feb 21
Birkenstock Adds Winter Assortment, But The Stock Remains Too Expensive
Summary Birkenstock Holding plc reported 19% YOY revenue growth, but the market reacted negatively due to maintained full-year guidance of 15%-17%, indicating potential deceleration from last year's 20%. Wholesale growth outperformed at 30%, but 90% came from existing doors, raising saturation concerns; DTC growth slowed to 10% from 30% last year. Product diversification is promising, with closed-toe silhouettes making up 50% of revenue; Asia grew 47% YoY, now 13% of sales. BIRK stock valuation remains high at 27x NTM earnings, requiring flawless execution and sustained growth; maintain a Hold rating due to high fashion risk and revenue deceleration signs. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jan 03
Birkenstock: There's Still Room To Rise As ASP Expansion And China Growth Power Earnings
Summary I favor "growth at a reasonable price" stocks like Birkenstock, which has seen a ~20% rise and strong Q4 results. Birkenstock's gross margins fell in FY24 due to facility expansion but are expected to improve in FY25, moving closer to long-term targets. Increased production efficiency and an 8% ASP increase are boosting Birkenstock's margins, forecasting up to 50bps y/y expansion in adjusted EBITDA. Birkenstock shows strong growth potential in underpenetrated markets like Asia, making it a solid investment for continued success in 2025. The stock trades at a reasonable ~18x forward adjusted EBITDA multiple. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Nueva narrativa • Dec 22
APAC Expansion And Closed-Toe Product Surge To Propel Revenue And Margins
Aggressive expansion in APAC and increased DTC sales boost revenue, with new store openings enhancing global retail presence.Seeking Alpha • Dec 22
Birkenstock: Upside Is Not Attractive At The Current Valuation
Summary I assign a hold rating to Birkenstock due to limited upside potential despite strong fundamentals and positive outlook. BIRK's recent performance is impressive, with 22% y/y growth in 4Q24 and strong demand across all regions and channels. Management's conservative FY25 guidance of 15-17% y/y growth suggests potential for a "beat and raise" motion, but valuation limits upside. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Oct 23
Birkenstock Holding: Undervalued, With Tailwinds Ahead
Summary Birkenstock is expanding into untapped Asian markets and emphasizing sustainability, creating strong growth potential and differentiation from competitors. Financial performance has been robust, with significant revenue and EBITDA growth, demonstrating resilience in a challenging economic environment. My DCF analysis indicates the stock is undervalued, with a potential 67.1% upside, supporting a "BUY" recommendation. Despite competition, Birkenstock's unique product features and sustainable practices mitigate risks, reinforcing its market position. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Sep 05
Birkenstock: Stock Is Still Not Attractive After Price Drop
Summary Birkenstock's Q3 2024 showed an impressive 19% YoY revenue growth, but the stock price dropped 20% due to a revenue and earnings miss. Despite strong performance, high valuations and fashion risk make Birkenstock's stock inherently risky, leading me to maintain a Hold rating. The company's shift from DTC to B2B impacted gross margins, but management's guidance of 20% topline growth and 30% EBITDA margins remains intact. Birkenstock's current valuation requires excessive growth to justify its price, making future returns uncertain and supporting my Hold recommendation. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Aug 30
Birkenstock: Decelerating Growth And Inflated Valuations Do Not Mix Well
Summary Birkenstock's shares trade at a very high valuation despite decelerating revenue growth, contracting gross profit margins, and insiders selling. The company's third-quarter results missed revenue and profit expectations, and forward guidance was weak. Birkenstock's strategy of creating artificial scarcity is risky and could backfire, giving competitors an opportunity to capture unmet demand. Despite generating significant cash flow and reducing net debt, the high valuation, and potential governance issues remain major concerns. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jul 30
Birkenstock Has A Great Brand And Potential, But The Stock Is Overvalued
Summary Birkenstock IPOed last year with a frothy valuation based on significant growth that has continued in FY24. The company has several interesting characteristics, including great brand equity, pricing power, and a relatively loyal customer base. The company is also growing tremendously in FY23 and FY24, which is more impressive in comparison with the generally bad performance of most discretionary companies during this period. Despite these positive aspects, Birkenstock's stock price already discounts most future positive developments, and exposes investors to significant risks. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jun 11
Birkenstock: Stellar Growth In Asia And Closed-Toe Shoes
Summary Birkenstock stock remains a long-term hold despite a 20%+ run-up year to date. The company's Q2 earnings release showed slightly accelerating revenue growth, with continued performance in Asia and strong sell-through results in Europe. The company is also noting that closed-toe shoes, in particular clogs, are making up a larger share of its revenue. Gross margins are suffering a current headwind from a manufacturing capacity expansion, but this is a signal that the company is preparing for operating at a much larger scale. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Mar 30
Birkenstock: Aggressive Growth Trajectory Continues
Summary Birkenstock, the shoemaker that went public last year, has failed to rally beyond its IPO price, despite incredible financials. The company has shown strong Q4 results, with aggressive growth in direct-channel sales and a reduction in debt leverage. Birkenstock has an incredible growth trajectory, a broad product portfolio, efficient marketing strategies, and a stellar margin profile, making it a promising investment. It's growing >50% y/y in Asia, which is a largely underpenetrated market for the company. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Feb 27
Birkenstock's Valuation Conundrum: Lofty Market Expectations Vs. Real Growth Hurdles
Summary Birkenstock's is trading at 6.5x NTM EV/Sales and 21.4x NTM EV/EBITDA respectively, with the current valuation implying a 17.7% annual growth rateover the next decade, while maintaining 30% EBITDA margin. The company is facing hurdles such as low/stagnant unit sales growth, rising costs, limited room for further price increases and hence a potential margin decline. With inventories levels at 40% of revenues, exceeding 30 million units, and a modest 5.5% unit growth in FY2023, signs point to potential low consumer demand. Given the free float is under 10%, skewing the current valuation from the market's true sentiment, our outlook on the stock is bearish. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jan 30
Birkenstock: Right Time To Buy
Summary Birkenstock, the German shoemaker, is experiencing incredible growth with a multi-year trajectory above 20% y/y. Future growth drivers include relatively low penetration in Asian markets as well as retail/DTC expansion. The company boasts a stellar margin profile with a gross margin in the low 60s (versus mid-40s for competitors). Though not cheap at ~18x forward adjusted EBITDA, Birkenstock's premium growth and margin profile justify a premium valuation. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jan 19
Birkenstock: Landing On Its Feet
Summary Birkenstock, a German-based global brand, went public in October 2023 at a premium valuation. The company saw strong growth in sales and profits, with revenues up 20% in 2023. Despite a slowdown in growth in the fourth quarter, Birkenstock's revenue guidance for 2024 is promising, with sales expected to reach EUR 1.75 billion. While there is much to like about the business and its growth prospects, valuations are too stretched to get involved. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Dec 06
Birkenstock: Walking On Overvalued Ground
Summary Birkenstock, controlled by L Catterton, has seen significant growth in the past decade, but its valuation may be too high. The company's strategy of expanding in markets like China and India and focusing on direct-to-consumer sales appears to be successful. While Birkenstock has a strong brand and potential for growth, its current valuation is demanding and may not be sustainable long term. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Oct 12
Birkenstock Is Walking On Air
Summary Birkenstock, a German footwear maker, went public Wednesday. The company's guiding principle is "Walking Naturally", and its footwear is designed for comfort and foot health. BIRK has experienced significant growth, but its profitability is weak, and 76% of the offer price is based on assumptions about future growth. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaRentabilidad de los accionistas
| BIRK | US Luxury | Mercado US | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | 4.1% | 2.1% | -3.3% |
| 1Y | -19.1% | -8.4% | 22.3% |
Rentabilidad vs. Industria: Los resultados de BIRK fueron inferiores a los de la industria US Luxury, que obtuvo un rendimiento del -8.4% el año pasado.
Rentabilidad vs. Mercado: BIRK obtuvo unos resultados inferiores a los del mercado US, que fueron del 22.3% el año pasado.
Volatilidad de los precios
| BIRK volatility | |
|---|---|
| BIRK Average Weekly Movement | 9.7% |
| Luxury Industry Average Movement | 6.6% |
| Market Average Movement | 7.2% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in US Market | 16.6% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in US Market | 3.1% |
Precio estable de las acciones: BIRK no ha tenido una volatilidad de precios significativa en los últimos 3 meses en comparación con el mercado US.
Volatilidad a lo largo del tiempo: La volatilidad semanal de BIRK (10%) se ha mantenido estable durante el año pasado.
Acerca de la empresa
| Fundada | Empleados | CEO | Página web |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1774 | 6,800 | Oliver Joachim Reichert | www.birkenstock-holding.com |
Birkenstock Holding plc se dedica a la fabricación y venta de calzado en América, Europa, Oriente Medio, África y Asia-Pacífico. Ofrece productos basados en plantillas, como sandalias y zapatos cerrados, así como productos y accesorios para el cuidado de la piel. La empresa vende sus productos a través de sitios de comercio electrónico y una red de tiendas minoristas propias, así como canales de empresa a empresa.
Resumen de fundamentos de Birkenstock Holding plc
| Estadísticas fundamentales de BIRK | |
|---|---|
| Capitalización bursátil | US$8.03b |
| Beneficios(TTM) | US$410.38m |
| Ingresos (TTM) | US$2.52b |
20.3x
Ratio precio-beneficio (PE)3.3x
Ratio precio-ventas (PS)¿Está BIRK sobrevalorada?
Ver valor justo y análisis de valoraciónBeneficios e Ingresos
| Cuenta de resultados (TTM) de BIRK | |
|---|---|
| Ingresos | €2.18b |
| Coste de los ingresos | €921.63m |
| Beneficio bruto | €1.26b |
| Otros gastos | €904.48m |
| Beneficios | €355.51m |
Últimos beneficios comunicados
Mar 31, 2026
Próxima fecha de beneficios
n/a
| Beneficios por acción (BPA) | 1.93 |
| Margen bruto | 57.75% |
| Margen de beneficio neto | 16.30% |
| Ratio deuda/patrimonio | 40.0% |
¿Cómo se ha desempeñado BIRK a largo plazo?
Ver rendimiento histórico y comparativaAnálisis de la empresa y estado de los datos financieros
| Datos | Última actualización (huso horario UTC) |
|---|---|
| Análisis de la empresa | 2026/06/09 04:39 |
| Precio de las acciones al final del día | 2026/06/09 00:00 |
| Beneficios | 2026/03/31 |
| Ingresos anuales | 2025/09/30 |
Fuentes de datos
Los datos utilizados en nuestro análisis de empresas proceden de S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Los siguientes datos se utilizan en nuestro modelo de análisis para generar este informe. Los datos están normalizados, lo que puede introducir un retraso desde que la fuente está disponible.
| Paquete | Datos | Marco temporal | Ejemplo Fuente EE.UU. * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Finanzas de la empresa | 10 años |
| |
| Estimaciones del consenso de analistas | +3 años |
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| Precios de mercado | 30 años |
| |
| Propiedad | 10 años |
| |
| Gestión | 10 años |
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| Principales avances | 10 años |
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* Ejemplo para valores de EE.UU., para no EE.UU. se utilizan formularios y fuentes normativas equivalentes.
A menos que se especifique lo contrario, todos los datos financieros se basan en un periodo anual, pero se actualizan trimestralmente. Esto se conoce como datos de los últimos doce meses (TTM) o de los últimos doce meses (LTM). Más información.
Modelo de análisis y copo de nieve
Los detalles del modelo de análisis utilizado para generar este informe están disponibles en nuestra página de Github, también tenemos guías sobre cómo utilizar nuestros informes y tutoriales en Youtube.
Conozca al equipo de talla mundial que diseñó y construyó el modelo de análisis Simply Wall St.
Métricas industriales y sectoriales
Simply Wall St calcula cada 6 horas nuestras métricas sectoriales y de sección. Los detalles de nuestro proceso están disponibles en Github.
Fuentes analistas
Birkenstock Holding plc está cubierta por 24 analistas. 21 de esos analistas presentaron las estimaciones de ingresos o ganancias utilizadas como datos para nuestro informe. Las estimaciones de los analistas se actualizan a lo largo del día.
| Analista | Institución |
|---|---|
| Mark Altschwager | Baird |
| Luca Solca | Bernstein |
| Melania Grippo | BNP Paribas |