Mattel Crecimiento futuro
Future controles de criterios 1/6
Se prevé un crecimiento anual de los beneficios y los ingresos de Mattel de 0.8% y 3.7% por año respectivamente. Se prevé que el BPA crezca en un 5% al año. Se espera que la rentabilidad financiera sea de 23% en 3 años.
Información clave
0.8%
Tasa de crecimiento de los beneficios
4.95%
Tasa de crecimiento del BPA
| Crecimiento de los beneficios de Leisure | 38.0% |
| Tasa de crecimiento de los ingresos | 3.7% |
| Rentabilidad financiera futura | 23.02% |
| Cobertura de analistas | Good |
| Última actualización | 06 May 2026 |
Actualizaciones recientes sobre el crecimiento futuro
Recent updates
Seeking Alpha • Apr 30
Mattel: Lackluster Execution Limits Upside (Rating Downgrade)
Summary Mattel is downgraded to 'hold' after persistent underperformance, margin pressures, and disappointing execution despite a surprise Q1 profit. Tariff headwinds are fading, but oil-driven cost inflation and continued weakness in the toddler segment offset potential margin recovery for MAT. MAT's Q1 benefited from a one-time accounting gain; underlying free cash flow guidance is cut to $300–375 million, with a 7% free cash flow yield. Buybacks accelerated on share weakness, but with limited growth prospects and downside risk to margin guidance, I see no near-term catalyst for MAT shares. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Actualización del análisis • Apr 28
MAT: 2026 Spending And Tariff Relief Will Shape Content Option Upside
Analysts have trimmed their average price targets for Mattel by a few dollars, reflecting a mix of cautious views around 2026 investment spending and recent target cuts, along with supportive commentary on potential EPS tailwinds from lower tariffs, new content and entertainment optionality. Analyst Commentary Street research around Mattel has become more mixed, with several firms cutting price targets or shifting to a more cautious stance even as others see upside tied to content, entertainment options and potential tariff related EPS support.
Actualización del análisis • Apr 14
MAT: Content And Entertainment Expansion Will Drive Stronger Long-Term Outlook
Mattel's updated analyst price target shows a modest adjustment around $27, as analysts balance recent target cuts with expectations that investments for 2026, potential tariff tailwinds, and content and entertainment initiatives could influence earnings power over time. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Mattel shows a mix of target cuts and fresh initiations, with some firms highlighting potential earnings support from 2026 investment spending, lower tariffs, and new content and entertainment efforts.Actualización del análisis • Mar 31
MAT: 2026 Investment Spend And Tariff Relief Will Shape Balanced Upside
Analysts have modestly adjusted their price expectations for Mattel, with recent targets ranging from $17 to $30, as they weigh a 2026 investment year against potential catalysts in content, entertainment tie ins, and possible tariff relief. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Mattel reflects a mix of optimism around long term growth initiatives and caution around near term execution and spending plans, especially as 2026 is framed as an investment year.Actualización del análisis • Mar 16
MAT: Content And Gaming Expansion Will Drive Stronger Long-Term Outlook
The analyst price target for Mattel has shifted from a fair value estimate of $29 to about $27.16, as analysts weigh higher assumed revenue growth and a slightly richer future P/E against lower projected profit margins, a modestly higher discount rate, and a recent mix of cautious and supportive research views around 2026 investment spending, content opportunities, and tariff related EPS tailwinds. Analyst Commentary Recent Street commentary around Mattel reflects a mix of optimism and caution, with several Bullish analysts pointing to potential upside tied to content, new growth initiatives, and possible tariff related EPS benefits, while others highlight uncertainties around 2026 investment spending and the consumer backdrop for toys.Actualización del análisis • Mar 02
MAT: 2026 Execution And Macro Toy Demand Risks Will Limit Upside
Analysts have adjusted their price targets on Mattel in a mixed way, with some firms lifting targets toward $18 to $30 on product lineup strength and clearer growth initiatives, while others have trimmed estimates by $4 to $7 and moved to more cautious ratings, reflecting a more balanced view of risk and reward. Analyst Commentary Street research on Mattel has shifted toward a more balanced, and in some cases cautious, stance.Artículo de análisis • Feb 17
We Think You Can Look Beyond Mattel's (NASDAQ:MAT) Lackluster Earnings
The most recent earnings report from Mattel, Inc. ( NASDAQ:MAT ) was disappointing for shareholders. However, our...Actualización del análisis • Feb 16
MAT: 2026 Toy Demand Headwinds And Execution Risks Will Restrain Upside
The analyst price target for Mattel has shifted from $20 to $14, as analysts factor in more cautious assumptions around growth, margins and valuation multiples following a series of recent downgrades and target cuts across the Street. Analyst Commentary Across the Street, recent research on Mattel has tilted more cautious, with several bearish analysts trimming price targets and flagging execution and growth risks that they feel are not fully reflected in the current share price.Actualización del análisis • Feb 02
MAT: Fair Outlook As 2026 Toy Demand And New Initiatives Shape Upside
Analysts have adjusted their price targets on Mattel in mixed fashion, including at least one increase to US$30 and one reaffirmed at US$21. This reflects a balance of views that hinges on progress in newer growth initiatives and caution around the toy market outlook into 2026.Actualización del análisis • Jan 19
MAT: Fair Outlook Balances New Initiatives With Toy Cycle Execution Risks
Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Mattel from $17 to $20. They cite a higher assumed future P/E multiple and updated views on revenue growth, while balancing this with a higher discount rate and slightly lower profit margin expectations amid mixed recent rating and price target actions on the stock.Actualización del análisis • Jan 05
MAT: Expanded Digital And Licensing Platforms Will Drive Stronger Long-Term Outlook
Analysts have slightly raised their price target on Mattel to approximately $29 per share. This reflects modestly lower growth and margin expectations, offset by a higher anticipated future earnings multiple.Actualización del análisis • Dec 14
MAT: Digital And Licensing Expansion Will Drive Stronger Long-Term Outlook
Analysts have trimmed their price target on Mattel to $29 from $30, citing a higher perceived discount rate and a lower assumed future P/E multiple, which more than offset modestly stronger expectations for revenue growth and profit margins. What's in the News Mattel reiterated its 2025 guidance, expecting constant currency net sales growth of 1% to 3%, signaling steady underlying demand despite market volatility (company guidance).Artículo de análisis • Aug 01
Analysts Are Updating Their Mattel, Inc. (NASDAQ:MAT) Estimates After Its Second-Quarter Results
Last week saw the newest second-quarter earnings release from Mattel, Inc. ( NASDAQ:MAT ), an important milestone in...Artículo de análisis • Jul 23
Here's Why Mattel (NASDAQ:MAT) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...Artículo de análisis • Jul 02
Investors Will Want Mattel's (NASDAQ:MAT) Growth In ROCE To Persist
To find a multi-bagger stock, what are the underlying trends we should look for in a business? Typically, we'll want to...Artículo de análisis • May 21
There's No Escaping Mattel, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:MAT) Muted Earnings Despite A 34% Share Price Rise
Those holding Mattel, Inc. ( NASDAQ:MAT ) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 34% in the last...Artículo de análisis • Apr 24
Here's Why Mattel (NASDAQ:MAT) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...Artículo de análisis • Apr 06
Investors Don't See Light At End Of Mattel, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:MAT) Tunnel
When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 17x, you may...Artículo de análisis • Mar 18
We Like These Underlying Return On Capital Trends At Mattel (NASDAQ:MAT)
If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for...Seeking Alpha • Mar 11
Mattel Has Good Long-Term Outlook, But Is A Short-Term Hold
Summary Mattel's stock has been doing well, recently trading near its 52-week high after strong earnings. The company reported strong margins, with adjusted gross margin at 50.8%, up 200 basis points, thanks to efficiency measures and favorable currency-exchange effects. MAT has exciting prospects for the long term, most notably to me, being the company's further push into movies and television on the heels of the 'Barbie' success. There is a lot of volatility in the marketplace with tariff uncertainty, and unlike competitor Hasbro, Mattel does not have a dividend yield. For now, I rate the stock as a 'Hold', but it could become a 'Buy' on a significant pullback or compelling strategic progress in entertainment. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaArtículo de análisis • Jan 13
Is Mattel (NASDAQ:MAT) Using Too Much Debt?
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...Seeking Alpha • Jan 11
Mattel: Diversification Plan Moves Into Manga Comic Book Partnership With TokyoPop
Summary Mattel's move into cult comic phenomenon Japanese manga comics is not yet understood by Mr. Market. Revenue declines are being aggressively addressed with new field for legacy IPs. TOKYOPOP has books that have sold 100m copies. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaArtículo de análisis • Dec 11
Mattel, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:MAT) P/S Is On The Mark
It's not a stretch to say that Mattel, Inc.'s ( NASDAQ:MAT ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.2x right now seems...Artículo de análisis • Nov 26
Mattel (NASDAQ:MAT) Might Have The Makings Of A Multi-Bagger
What are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term? In a...Seeking Alpha • Oct 29
Mattel: A Solid IP Treasure Trove Acquisition Candidate Hiding In Plain Sight
Summary Top global toy maker Mattel is a solid little company ripe for an acquisition by one of the content-short techies. Its gross margins and cost controls contribute value that a stagnant revenue line cannot until its TV and film IP value is recognized. We think at $19 it's a strong buy with low risk. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaPrevisiones de crecimiento de beneficios e ingresos
| Fecha | Ingresos | Beneficios | Flujo de caja libre | Flujo de caja operativo | Núm. de analistas medio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 6,141 | 457 | 538 | 768 | 6 |
| 12/31/2027 | 5,957 | 434 | 417 | 634 | 11 |
| 12/31/2026 | 5,673 | 483 | 164 | 512 | 11 |
| 3/31/2026 | 5,383 | 499 | 335 | 545 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 5,348 | 398 | 411 | 593 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 5,228 | 432 | 488 | 659 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 5,336 | 526 | 530 | 743 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 5,397 | 530 | 582 | 790 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 5,380 | 542 | 598 | 801 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 5,354 | 548 | 688 | 888 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 5,429 | 322 | 826 | 978 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 5,436 | 293 | 964 | 1,112 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 5,441 | 214 | 709 | 870 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 5,222 | 83 | 461 | 638 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 5,059 | 227 | 361 | 542 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 5,208 | 266 | 187 | 380 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 5,435 | 394 | 256 | 443 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 5,828 | 604 | 303 | 467 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 5,834 | 1,109 | 147 | 302 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 5,625 | 1,037 | 226 | 377 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 5,458 | 903 | 334 | 485 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 5,289 | 806 | 320 | 472 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 5,163 | 322 | 374 | 514 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 4,869 | 217 | 305 | 424 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 4,588 | 124 | 167 | 286 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 4,436 | -5 | 130 | 253 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 4,281 | -246 | -10 | 112 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 4,409 | -243 | 72 | 199 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 4,505 | -219 | N/A | 168 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 4,555 | -204 | N/A | 190 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 4,511 | -268 | N/A | 129 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 4,496 | -398 | N/A | 54 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 4,515 | -533 | N/A | -27 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 4,601 | -825 | N/A | -19 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 4,724 | -1,434 | N/A | -35 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 4,855 | -1,252 | N/A | 9 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 4,881 | -1,055 | N/A | -28 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 5,105 | -598 | N/A | 186 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 5,340 | 240 | N/A | 286 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 5,323 | 276 | N/A | 374 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 5,453 | 312 | N/A | 595 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 5,622 | 357 | N/A | 626 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 5,618 | 344 | N/A | 735 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 5,649 | 351 | N/A | 698 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 5,703 | 366 | N/A | 735 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 5,697 | 300 | N/A | 811 | N/A |
| 6/30/2015 | 5,926 | 407 | N/A | 727 | N/A |
Previsiones de crecimiento futuro de los analistas
Ingresos vs. Tasa de ahorro: El pronóstico de crecimiento de los beneficios (0.8% por año) de MAT está por debajo de la tasa de ahorro (3.5%).
Beneficios vs. Mercado: Se prevé que los beneficios (0.8% al año) de MAT crezcan menos que el mercado US (16.7% al año).
Beneficios de alto crecimiento: Se prevé que los beneficios de MAT crezcan, pero no significativamente.
Ingresos vs. Mercado: Se prevé que los ingresos (3.7% al año) de MAT crezcan más despacio que el mercado de US (11.6% al año).
Ingresos de alto crecimiento: Se prevé que los ingresos 3.7% al año) de MAT crezcan más despacio que 20% al año.
Previsiones de crecimiento de los beneficios por acción
Rentabilidad financiera futura
ROE futura: Se prevé que la rentabilidad financiera de MAT sea alta dentro de 3 años (23%)
Descubre empresas en crecimiento
Análisis de la empresa y estado de los datos financieros
| Datos | Última actualización (huso horario UTC) |
|---|---|
| Análisis de la empresa | 2026/05/11 15:44 |
| Precio de las acciones al final del día | 2026/05/11 00:00 |
| Beneficios | 2026/03/31 |
| Ingresos anuales | 2025/12/31 |
Fuentes de datos
Los datos utilizados en nuestro análisis de empresas proceden de S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Los siguientes datos se utilizan en nuestro modelo de análisis para generar este informe. Los datos están normalizados, lo que puede introducir un retraso desde que la fuente está disponible.
| Paquete | Datos | Marco temporal | Ejemplo Fuente EE.UU. * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Finanzas de la empresa | 10 años |
| |
| Estimaciones del consenso de analistas | +3 años |
|
|
| Precios de mercado | 30 años |
| |
| Propiedad | 10 años |
| |
| Gestión | 10 años |
| |
| Principales avances | 10 años |
|
* Ejemplo para valores de EE.UU., para no EE.UU. se utilizan formularios y fuentes normativas equivalentes.
A menos que se especifique lo contrario, todos los datos financieros se basan en un periodo anual, pero se actualizan trimestralmente. Esto se conoce como datos de los últimos doce meses (TTM) o de los últimos doce meses (LTM). Más información.
Modelo de análisis y copo de nieve
Los detalles del modelo de análisis utilizado para generar este informe están disponibles en nuestra página de Github, también tenemos guías sobre cómo utilizar nuestros informes y tutoriales en Youtube.
Conozca al equipo de talla mundial que diseñó y construyó el modelo de análisis Simply Wall St.
Métricas industriales y sectoriales
Simply Wall St calcula cada 6 horas nuestras métricas sectoriales y de sección. Los detalles de nuestro proceso están disponibles en Github.
Fuentes analistas
Mattel, Inc. está cubierta por 32 analistas. 11 de esos analistas presentaron las estimaciones de ingresos o ganancias utilizadas como datos para nuestro informe. Las estimaciones de los analistas se actualizan a lo largo del día.
| Analista | Institución |
|---|---|
| John Staszak | Argus Research Company |
| Felicia Kantor Hendrix | Barclays |
| Alok Patel | Berenberg |