COVER Crecimiento futuro
Future controles de criterios 5/6
Se prevé un crecimiento anual de los beneficios y los ingresos de COVER de 28.1% y 11% por año respectivamente. Se prevé que el BPA crezca en un 28.5% al año. Se espera que la rentabilidad financiera sea de 24.4% en 3 años.
Información clave
28.1%
Tasa de crecimiento de los beneficios
28.48%
Tasa de crecimiento del BPA
| Crecimiento de los beneficios de Entertainment | 6.6% |
| Tasa de crecimiento de los ingresos | 11.0% |
| Rentabilidad financiera futura | 24.40% |
| Cobertura de analistas | Good |
| Última actualización | 25 May 2026 |
Actualizaciones recientes sobre el crecimiento futuro
Recent updates
Artículo de análisis • May 22
Some Investors May Be Willing To Look Past COVER's (TSE:5253) Soft Earnings
COVER Corporation's ( TSE:5253 ) recent soft profit numbers didn't appear to worry shareholders, as the stock price...
Actualización de narrativa • May 21
(Reissued due to editing errors in previous update)
(Fair Value adjusted to 13%, matching in-line with company Net Revenue forecast and accounting for a conservative outlook due to current headwinds.) Multi-model Intrinsic Value estimates: EPV: ¥1291 EV/EBITDA (Relative): ¥1480 P/E (Relative): ¥1150 DCF - EBITDA Exit: ¥2280 DCF - Growth Exit: ¥3640 Major headwinds: Rebounding by salvaging applicable technology from HoloEarth Reallocation of resources, staff or evaluation of necessary workforce reduction SG&A Continues to grow as management believes more talent managers and support staff or needed to make their talent more productive. Several new labor laws and standards came into effect in 2026 directly affecting Entrusted Business Operators (AKA the talent/VTubers) - These laws require companies be in compliance and in some cases, significantly their signed agreements which can significantly affect future terms and agreements made with the company.Actualización de narrativa • May 18
Large 1 time write downs clears FY27 and F28 for refocused direction
(Fair Value adjusted to 13%, matching in-line with company Net Revenue forecast and accounting for a conservative outlook due to current headwinds.) Multi-model Intrinsic Value estimates: EPV: ¥1291 EV/EBITDA (Relative): ¥1480 P/E (Relative): ¥1150 DCF - EBITDA Exit: ¥2280 DCF - Growth Exit: ¥3640 Major headwinds: Rebounding by salvaging applicable technology from HoloEarth Reallocation of resources, staff or evaluation of necessary workforce reduction SG&A Continues to grow as management believes more talent managers and support staff or needed to make their talent more productive. Several new labor laws and standards came into effect in 2026 directly affecting Entrusted Business Operators (AKA the talent/VTubers) - These laws require companies be in compliance and in some cases, significantly their signed agreements which can significantly affect future terms and agreements made with the company.Nueva narrativa • May 14
Significant headwinds will temper expectations for FY2027
12-month forecast for 2026-2027: 1150-1480 Yen a share DCF 5 year Exit forecast: 2280-3640 Yen a share Cover Corporation's annual fiscal report was soul crushing as missteps from management, wasted production time and unfocused effort all led to a significant amount of waste in workloads and investment potential. Cover's "Metaverse" project with HoloEarth is officially dead in the water and will be discontinued after spending over 3 Billion Yen in development/support costs over the past 2 1/2 years.Actualización de narrativa • Apr 28
Trading Multiple Forecast shows decreased Faire Value
Current P/E models project Cover Corporation's fair price at approximately 1466 JPY with a 6.6% upside. EV / EBITDA models are bearish with Cover's fair price at current levels hovering 1333 to 1376 JPY with a -3.1% upside.Actualización de narrativa • Apr 04
Margin compression will persist through FY 2028
*Effects of joint venture between Cover Corporation and NERD Inc expected to add margin compression no greater than 9% but worth watching given current spending levels.* News and statements made over the past 7 days have raised news doubts regarding the sticker price of Cover Corporation over the next 2-5 years. With new Japanese laws implemented in 2026 upending overwhelming control between talent and company, combined with the joint venture announcement between Cover and private talent management agency NERD Inc., the blindsiding announcement related to their male talent group "Holostars" shortly after the beginning of their new fiscal year shows a winding down of current contracts and expected exits sans further announcements over transition or control of management to a similar joint venture company or agency.Actualización de narrativa • Feb 12
Mixed signals; potential hints of year end miss
Q3 delivered a mixed result picture with increased foreshadowing of risk over the next 6 weeks. Total revenue fell short of analyst forecasts while forecasted EPS beat its target.Actualización de narrativa • Jan 09
Price cliff ahead! Watch the short selling
Price (Valuation): unchanged Rationale: Valuation update " Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 26%" is severely misleading. Updated "Investor sentiment" is from major short selling ahead of Cover Corporation's Q3 report.Actualización de narrativa • Jan 08
Q3 Déjà vu?
Current short term "Fair Value" price maintained at 1.72k. Long term Fair Value and price forecast will depend on the results from their Q3 report.Actualización de narrativa • Dec 20
Cover approaching critical Q3 report
Cover continues to lavishly spend while failing to produce any trackable data involving current live services still under development (ie. HoloEarth, Hololive RECORDS, and their (third) attempt at a "Fanclub" premium service).Artículo de análisis • Nov 20
There Are Some Holes In COVER's (TSE:5253) Solid Earnings Release
Investors appear disappointed with COVER Corporation's ( TSE:5253 ) recent earnings, despite the decent statutory...Artículo de análisis • Jun 12
Here's Why We Think COVER (TSE:5253) Might Deserve Your Attention Today
For beginners, it can seem like a good idea (and an exciting prospect) to buy a company that tells a good story to...Artículo de análisis • May 21
COVER's (TSE:5253) Earnings Are Built On Soft Foundations
Investors appear disappointed with COVER Corporation's ( TSE:5253 ) recent earnings, despite the decent statutory...Artículo de análisis • Apr 30
Capital Investments At COVER (TSE:5253) Point To A Promising Future
There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. Firstly, we'll want to see a...Artículo de análisis • Apr 08
What You Can Learn From COVER Corporation's (TSE:5253) P/E After Its 25% Share Price Crash
COVER Corporation ( TSE:5253 ) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 25...Artículo de análisis • Nov 19
We Think You Should Be Aware Of Some Concerning Factors In COVER's (TSE:5253) Earnings
Following the solid earnings report from COVER Corporation ( TSE:5253 ), the market responded by bidding up the stock...Artículo de análisis • Aug 12
The Price Is Right For COVER Corporation (TSE:5253) Even After Diving 29%
COVER Corporation ( TSE:5253 ) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month...Artículo de análisis • Jun 24
COVER Corporation's (TSE:5253) P/E Is Still On The Mark Following 31% Share Price Bounce
Those holding COVER Corporation ( TSE:5253 ) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 31% in the...Artículo de análisis • May 14
With EPS Growth And More, COVER (TSE:5253) Makes An Interesting Case
For beginners, it can seem like a good idea (and an exciting prospect) to buy a company that tells a good story to...Artículo de análisis • Apr 21
Why We're Not Concerned Yet About COVER Corporation's (TSE:5253) 26% Share Price Plunge
COVER Corporation ( TSE:5253 ) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 26...Artículo de análisis • Apr 16
COVER Corporation's (TSE:5253) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 68% Above Its Share Price
Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, COVER fair value estimate is JP¥3,193 COVER's JP¥1,905 share...Artículo de análisis • Mar 07
COVER Corporation's (TSE:5253) Share Price Matching Investor Opinion
With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 38.1x COVER Corporation ( TSE:5253 ) may be sending very bearish signals...Previsiones de crecimiento de beneficios e ingresos
| Fecha | Ingresos | Beneficios | Flujo de caja libre | Flujo de caja operativo | Núm. de analistas medio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3/31/2029 | 66,248 | 8,804 | 9,500 | 12,600 | 2 |
| 3/31/2028 | 66,798 | 8,730 | 7,797 | 11,010 | 6 |
| 3/31/2027 | 54,984 | 6,706 | 6,000 | 8,937 | 3 |
| 3/31/2026 | 49,330 | 3,016 | 4,669 | 7,204 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 49,219 | 5,709 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 48,051 | 5,438 | 2,802 | 5,335 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 46,614 | 5,632 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 43,401 | 5,559 | 2,810 | 5,285 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 39,804 | 5,289 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 34,994 | 4,600 | 2,731 | 4,881 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 31,440 | 4,136 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 30,166 | 4,137 | 1,069 | 4,765 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 26,874 | 3,852 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 20,451 | 2,508 | 2,504 | 4,866 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 13,663 | 1,244 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 5,724 | 1,220 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Previsiones de crecimiento futuro de los analistas
Ingresos vs. Tasa de ahorro: El pronóstico de crecimiento de los beneficios (28.1% al año) de 5253 es superior a la tasa de ahorro (0.8%).
Beneficios vs. Mercado: Se prevé que los beneficios (28.1% al año) de 5253 crezcan más rápidamente que el mercado JP (8.9% al año).
Beneficios de alto crecimiento: Se espera que los beneficios de 5253 crezcan significativamente en los próximos 3 años.
Ingresos vs. Mercado: Se prevé que los ingresos (11% al año) de 5253 crezcan más rápidamente que los del mercado JP (5.5% al año).
Ingresos de alto crecimiento: Se prevé que los ingresos 11% al año) de 5253 crezcan más despacio que 20% al año.
Previsiones de crecimiento de los beneficios por acción
Rentabilidad financiera futura
ROE futura: Se prevé que la rentabilidad financiera de 5253 sea alta dentro de 3 años (24.4%)
Descubre empresas en crecimiento
Análisis de la empresa y estado de los datos financieros
| Datos | Última actualización (huso horario UTC) |
|---|---|
| Análisis de la empresa | 2026/05/26 09:38 |
| Precio de las acciones al final del día | 2026/05/26 00:00 |
| Beneficios | 2026/03/31 |
| Ingresos anuales | 2026/03/31 |
Fuentes de datos
Los datos utilizados en nuestro análisis de empresas proceden de S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Los siguientes datos se utilizan en nuestro modelo de análisis para generar este informe. Los datos están normalizados, lo que puede introducir un retraso desde que la fuente está disponible.
| Paquete | Datos | Marco temporal | Ejemplo Fuente EE.UU. * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Finanzas de la empresa | 10 años |
| |
| Estimaciones del consenso de analistas | +3 años |
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| Precios de mercado | 30 años |
| |
| Propiedad | 10 años |
| |
| Gestión | 10 años |
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| Principales avances | 10 años |
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* Ejemplo para valores de EE.UU., para no EE.UU. se utilizan formularios y fuentes normativas equivalentes.
A menos que se especifique lo contrario, todos los datos financieros se basan en un periodo anual, pero se actualizan trimestralmente. Esto se conoce como datos de los últimos doce meses (TTM) o de los últimos doce meses (LTM). Más información.
Modelo de análisis y copo de nieve
Los detalles del modelo de análisis utilizado para generar este informe están disponibles en nuestra página de Github, también tenemos guías sobre cómo utilizar nuestros informes y tutoriales en Youtube.
Conozca al equipo de talla mundial que diseñó y construyó el modelo de análisis Simply Wall St.
Métricas industriales y sectoriales
Simply Wall St calcula cada 6 horas nuestras métricas sectoriales y de sección. Los detalles de nuestro proceso están disponibles en Github.
Fuentes analistas
COVER Corporation está cubierta por 9 analistas. 6 de esos analistas presentaron las estimaciones de ingresos o ganancias utilizadas como datos para nuestro informe. Las estimaciones de los analistas se actualizan a lo largo del día.
| Analista | Institución |
|---|---|
| Kazuki Sakaguchi | Daiwa Securities Co. Ltd. |
| Norihiro Miyazaki | Goldman Sachs |
| Yasuyoshi Mimura | Ichiyoshi Research Institute Inc. |