Serco Group Crecimiento futuro
Future controles de criterios 1/6
Se prevé un crecimiento anual de los beneficios y los ingresos de Serco Group de 8.1% y 3.6% por año respectivamente. Se prevé que el BPA crezca en un 8.4% al año. Se espera que la rentabilidad financiera sea de 17.5% en 3 años.
Información clave
8.1%
Tasa de crecimiento de los beneficios
8.42%
Tasa de crecimiento del BPA
| Crecimiento de los beneficios de Commercial Services | 17.3% |
| Tasa de crecimiento de los ingresos | 3.6% |
| Rentabilidad financiera futura | 17.51% |
| Cobertura de analistas | Good |
| Última actualización | 14 May 2026 |
Actualizaciones recientes sobre el crecimiento futuro
Recent updates
Actualización de narrativa • Jun 03
SRP: Rising Optimism And Capital Returns Will Likely Constrain Future Share Upside
Serco Group’s analyst price targets have been revised higher, with the consolidated fair value estimate moving from £1.59 to about £1.66. Analysts are factoring in updated assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E, alongside recent target lifts from Citi to £3.69 and Berenberg to £3.50, and a new neutral initiation from BNP Paribas.
Actualización de narrativa • May 19
SRP: Higher Earnings Visibility And Capital Returns Will Support Future Rerating
Analysts have nudged their average price outlook for Serco Group higher, into a £3.50 to £3.69 range, reflecting recent target increases and refreshed views on discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Serco Group points to a mixed but generally constructive tone, with price targets now clustering in the mid £3 range and views ranging from neutral to positive.Actualización de narrativa • May 03
SRP: Higher Earnings Visibility And Capital Returns Will Support Rerating
Analysts have lifted the fair value estimate for Serco Group from £2.98 to £3.85. Recent target price increases from several banks, along with slightly revised assumptions on discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E, have all contributed to the updated view.Actualización de narrativa • Apr 18
SRP: Rising Price Optimism And Buybacks Will Likely Restrain Future Returns
Analysts have lifted their price targets for Serco Group to a range that now spans about £350 to £369 per share, citing updated assumptions on discount rates, modestly higher revenue growth and slightly improved profit margin and future P/E expectations. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research points to higher price targets for Serco Group clustered between about £3.50 and £3.69 per share, with several firms reiterating positive stances alongside their revised numbers.Actualización de narrativa • Apr 04
SRP: Rising Price Optimism And Buybacks Will Still Limit Future Upside
Analysts have lifted their average price target for Serco Group by £0.45, with recent Street research citing refreshed views on discount rates, revenue growth and profit margins as key drivers behind the updated valuations. Analyst Commentary Recent research has highlighted a cluster of upward price target revisions on Serco Group, with several firms recalibrating their models around updated assumptions for growth, margins and discount rates.Actualización de narrativa • Mar 20
SRP: Higher Buybacks And Dividend Will Still Cap Future Upside
Analysts have lifted Serco Group's price targets, with recent moves such as Citi's increase to £3.69 from £3.24 and Berenberg's to £3.50 from £3.30, while fine tuning assumptions on fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E to reflect updated views on the business. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Serco Group has centred on reassessing fair value, with several firms updating their price targets in light of revised assumptions on growth, profitability and risk.
Actualización de narrativa • Mar 06
SRP: Fair Value View Will Rely On Defence Visibility And CFO Transition
Serco Group's implied fair value has increased from £2.73 to £2.89 per share. This change reflects analysts' updated price targets and assumptions on discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E multiples following recent research updates from several banks.Actualización de narrativa • Feb 20
SRP: Raised Guidance And Contract Wins Will Still Cap Future Upside
Analysts have nudged up their implied fair value for Serco Group to £1.64 per share, reflecting updated assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E, along with a series of recent price target increases to as high as £2.45 from major banks. Analyst Commentary Recent research has highlighted a gap between Serco Group’s trading price, the raised price targets and the updated implied fair value of £1.64 per share.Actualización de narrativa • Feb 06
SRP: Fair Value View Will Rely On Execution And New CFO Transition
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Serco Group slightly higher to £2.73 per share, citing recent price target increases to £2.45 and £2.75 that reflect updated views on discount rates, profit margins and future P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates point to a generally constructive stance on Serco Group, with fair value and price targets clustered in the mid £2 range and modestly above.Actualización de narrativa • Jan 23
SRP: Execution And Margin Risks Will Limit Upside Despite Higher Guidance
Analysts have nudged our fair value estimate for Serco Group slightly lower to £1.64 from £1.66, as recent price target increases to £2.45 by several firms are balanced against updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, discount rate and future P/E. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Serco Group points to a more mixed backdrop than headline price targets alone might suggest.Actualización de narrativa • Jan 08
SRP: Discount Rate Assumptions Will Expose Limited Upside Risk Ahead
Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Serco Group to £1.66 from £1.47, reflecting updated assumptions on discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E, alongside a higher £2.45 Street price target. Analyst Commentary Recent research activity around Serco Group points to a more cautious tone, even where headline price targets sit above the current fair value estimate.Actualización de narrativa • Dec 25
SRP: Defense Contracts And New CFO Will Support Steady Medium Term Outlook
Analysts have modestly raised their price target on Serco Group from £2.54 to £2.71, citing a slightly lower discount rate, improved profit margin expectations, and a marginally higher future P E multiple that together more than offset a small reduction in projected revenue growth. What's in the News Serco appointed Mark Reid, currently Group CFO at Belgian telecoms group Proximus, as Chief Financial Officer effective 6 March 2026.Actualización de narrativa • Dec 11
SRP: Defense Contracts Will Support Steady Outlook With Balanced Long Term Prospects
Analysts have nudged up their price target on Serco Group by approximately 1 percent in sterling terms, citing a slightly lower implied discount rate, marginally stronger long term revenue growth assumptions, and a modestly higher future P E multiple that more than offset a broadly unchanged profit margin outlook. What's in the News Serco secured a new contract worth around £500 million to continue managing HMP Dovegate in Staffordshire for 12 years, with options for three additional one-year extensions, following a competitive procurement process (Key Developments).Actualización de narrativa • Nov 27
SRP: US Air Force Contract Will Support Measured Gains Amid Defense Sector Stability
Serco Group's analyst price target remains steady at £2.52. Analysts' outlook remains unchanged, as incremental shifts in underlying profit and revenue forecasts are viewed as broadly neutral to the company's value proposition.Actualización de narrativa • Nov 06
SRP: Defense Contract Win Will Drive Measured Progress Amid Ongoing Sector Uncertainty
Narrative Update on Serco Group Analysts have raised their price target for Serco Group by £0.05 to £2.15 per share, citing a modest improvement in fair value estimates and a stable outlook on profitability. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts have slightly increased their price targets, which suggests renewed confidence in Serco Group's valuation prospects.Actualización de narrativa • Sep 13
Expanding North American And European Contracts Will Unlock Future Potential
Analysts have raised Serco Group’s price target to £2.45, reflecting improved contract wins, stronger order book momentum, and enhanced margin guidance, despite ongoing caution around cyclical risks. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are revising price targets upwards, citing improved contract wins and stronger order book momentum.Actualización de narrativa • Aug 27
Expanding North American And European Contracts Will Unlock Future Potential
Serco Group's consensus price target has been raised to £2.40, reflecting upgrades driven by stronger recent results, robust contract momentum, margin expansion, and improved confidence in revenue growth and international diversification. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts have increased price targets due to stronger-than-expected performance in recent results.
Nueva narrativa • Mar 10
International Expansion And Defense Focus Will Boost Future Prospects
Strategic growth initiatives in the defense sector and North America are expected to drive revenue and profit, boosted by key acquisitions.Artículo de análisis • Jun 10
There's No Escaping Serco Group plc's (LON:SRP) Muted Earnings
With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 9.2x Serco Group plc ( LON:SRP ) may be sending bullish signals at the...Artículo de análisis • May 22
Calculating The Intrinsic Value Of Serco Group plc (LON:SRP)
Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Serco Group fair value estimate is UK£2.05 Serco Group's...Artículo de análisis • Feb 23
With EPS Growth And More, Serco Group (LON:SRP) Makes An Interesting Case
It's common for many investors, especially those who are inexperienced, to buy shares in companies with a good story...Artículo de análisis • Dec 13
Is Serco Group plc (LON:SRP) Worth UK£1.6 Based On Its Intrinsic Value?
Key Insights Serco Group's estimated fair value is UK£1.25 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Current share...Artículo de análisis • Nov 10
Here's Why Serco Group (LON:SRP) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...Artículo de análisis • Sep 04
Serco Group's (LON:SRP) Shareholders Will Receive A Bigger Dividend Than Last Year
Serco Group plc's ( LON:SRP ) periodic dividend will be increasing on the 6th of October to £0.0114, with investors...Artículo de análisis • Aug 20
Serco Group (LON:SRP) Is Increasing Its Dividend To £0.0114
Serco Group plc's ( LON:SRP ) periodic dividend will be increasing on the 6th of October to £0.0114, with investors...Artículo de análisis • Aug 06
Serco Group (LON:SRP) Is Paying Out A Larger Dividend Than Last Year
The board of Serco Group plc ( LON:SRP ) has announced that it will be increasing its dividend by 21% on the 6th of...Artículo de análisis • Mar 21
These 4 Measures Indicate That Serco Group (LON:SRP) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...Artículo de análisis • Mar 03
Serco Group (LON:SRP) Has Announced That It Will Be Increasing Its Dividend To £0.0192
Serco Group plc ( LON:SRP ) has announced that it will be increasing its periodic dividend on the 9th of June to...Previsiones de crecimiento de beneficios e ingresos
| Fecha | Ingresos | Beneficios | Flujo de caja libre | Flujo de caja operativo | Núm. de analistas medio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 5,454 | 191 | 196 | 366 | 7 |
| 12/31/2027 | 5,242 | 178 | 171 | 358 | 10 |
| 12/31/2026 | 5,038 | 168 | 169 | 344 | 9 |
| 12/31/2025 | 4,877 | 146 | 414 | 447 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 4,862 | 97 | 402 | 436 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 4,847 | 49 | 391 | 425 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 4,817 | 46 | 388 | 422 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 4,787 | 44 | 385 | 419 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 4,774 | 92 | 363 | 396 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 4,761 | 139 | 341 | 373 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 4,817 | 171 | 356 | 383 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 4,874 | 202 | 370 | 393 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 4,851 | 207 | 351 | 373 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 4,828 | 212 | 333 | 352 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 4,681 | 184 | 320 | 340 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 4,534 | 155 | 308 | 327 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 4,485 | 158 | 299 | 321 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 4,436 | 160 | 290 | 315 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 4,430 | 232 | 304 | 333 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 4,425 | 304 | 318 | 350 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 4,327 | 301 | 305 | 344 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 4,230 | 299 | 293 | 337 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 4,057 | 216 | 256 | 303 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 3,885 | 134 | 218 | 269 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 3,740 | 128 | 209 | 251 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 3,595 | 123 | 201 | 234 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 3,422 | 86 | 140 | 168 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 3,248 | 50 | 79 | 103 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 3,097 | 51 | N/A | 83 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 2,946 | 51 | N/A | 63 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 2,891 | 59 | N/A | 33 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 2,837 | 67 | N/A | 3 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 2,823 | 46 | N/A | -11 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 2,810 | 26 | N/A | -25 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 2,880 | 9 | N/A | -23 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 2,951 | -8 | N/A | -20 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 2,988 | -33 | N/A | -35 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 3,025 | -57 | N/A | -49 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 3,018 | -20 | N/A | -56 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 3,011 | 17 | N/A | -62 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 3,034 | 5 | N/A | -24 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 3,058 | -7 | N/A | 14 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 3,117 | -47 | N/A | -3 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 3,177 | -86 | N/A | -19 | N/A |
| 6/30/2015 | 3,182 | -1,024 | N/A | -78 | N/A |
Previsiones de crecimiento futuro de los analistas
Ingresos vs. Tasa de ahorro: El pronóstico de crecimiento de los beneficios (8.1% al año) de SRP es superior a la tasa de ahorro (3.4%).
Beneficios vs. Mercado: Se prevé que los beneficios (8.1% al año) de SRP crezcan menos que el mercado UK (11.6% al año).
Beneficios de alto crecimiento: Se prevé que los beneficios de SRP crezcan, pero no significativamente.
Ingresos vs. Mercado: Se prevé que los ingresos (3.6% al año) de SRP crezcan más despacio que el mercado de UK (4.6% al año).
Ingresos de alto crecimiento: Se prevé que los ingresos 3.6% al año) de SRP crezcan más despacio que 20% al año.
Previsiones de crecimiento de los beneficios por acción
Rentabilidad financiera futura
ROE futura: Se prevé que la rentabilidad financiera de SRP sea baja dentro de 3 años (17.5%).
Descubre empresas en crecimiento
Análisis de la empresa y estado de los datos financieros
| Datos | Última actualización (huso horario UTC) |
|---|---|
| Análisis de la empresa | 2026/06/16 22:09 |
| Precio de las acciones al final del día | 2026/06/16 00:00 |
| Beneficios | 2025/12/31 |
| Ingresos anuales | 2025/12/31 |
Fuentes de datos
Los datos utilizados en nuestro análisis de empresas proceden de S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Los siguientes datos se utilizan en nuestro modelo de análisis para generar este informe. Los datos están normalizados, lo que puede introducir un retraso desde que la fuente está disponible.
| Paquete | Datos | Marco temporal | Ejemplo Fuente EE.UU. * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Finanzas de la empresa | 10 años |
| |
| Estimaciones del consenso de analistas | +3 años |
|
|
| Precios de mercado | 30 años |
| |
| Propiedad | 10 años |
| |
| Gestión | 10 años |
| |
| Principales avances | 10 años |
|
* Ejemplo para valores de EE.UU., para no EE.UU. se utilizan formularios y fuentes normativas equivalentes.
A menos que se especifique lo contrario, todos los datos financieros se basan en un periodo anual, pero se actualizan trimestralmente. Esto se conoce como datos de los últimos doce meses (TTM) o de los últimos doce meses (LTM). Más información.
Modelo de análisis y copo de nieve
Los detalles del modelo de análisis utilizado para generar este informe están disponibles en nuestra página de Github, también tenemos guías sobre cómo utilizar nuestros informes y tutoriales en Youtube.
Conozca al equipo de talla mundial que diseñó y construyó el modelo de análisis Simply Wall St.
Métricas industriales y sectoriales
Simply Wall St calcula cada 6 horas nuestras métricas sectoriales y de sección. Los detalles de nuestro proceso están disponibles en Github.
Fuentes analistas
Serco Group plc está cubierta por 25 analistas. 10 de esos analistas presentaron las estimaciones de ingresos o ganancias utilizadas como datos para nuestro informe. Las estimaciones de los analistas se actualizan a lo largo del día.
| Analista | Institución |
|---|---|
| James Rosenthal | Barclays |
| Paul Daniel Sullivan | Barclays |
| Alex Smith | Berenberg |