Rumo Crecimiento futuro
Future controles de criterios 3/6
Se prevé un crecimiento anual de los beneficios y los ingresos de Rumo de 29.6% y 2.7% por año respectivamente. Se prevé que el BPA crezca en un 29.5% al año. Se espera que la rentabilidad financiera sea de 14.6% en 3 años.
Información clave
29.6%
Tasa de crecimiento de los beneficios
29.47%
Tasa de crecimiento del BPA
| Crecimiento de los beneficios de Transportation | 32.2% |
| Tasa de crecimiento de los ingresos | 2.7% |
| Rentabilidad financiera futura | 14.60% |
| Cobertura de analistas | Good |
| Última actualización | 28 May 2026 |
Actualizaciones recientes sobre el crecimiento futuro
Recent updates
Actualización de narrativa • May 09
RAIL3: Higher Discount Rate And Lower P/E Will Pressure Future Returns
Analysts have reduced their Rumo fair value estimate from R$15.27 to R$14.64, citing updated assumptions for discount rates, revised revenue growth expectations, adjusted margin forecasts, and a new future P/E of 17.07x. What's in the News Rumo S.A. set an annual dividend of R$0.1084 per share, with payment scheduled for November 30, 2026 (Key Developments).
Actualización de narrativa • Apr 21
RAIL3: Future Dividend Policy Will Support Stronger Profitability Outlook
Analysts have trimmed their price target on Rumo slightly from R$19.93 to R$19.67, reflecting updated views on modestly different revenue growth, profit margin and discount rate assumptions while keeping future P/E expectations broadly in line. What's in the News Rumo plans an annual dividend of R$0.1084 per share, with payment scheduled for November 30, 2026 (Key Developments).
Actualización de narrativa • Apr 07
RAIL3: Higher Revenue Outlook Will Eventually Support Richer Earnings Multiple
Analysts have slightly trimmed their fair value estimate for Rumo from R$25.00 to R$24.00, reflecting updated assumptions that combine higher revenue growth expectations with a lower projected profit margin and a modestly higher future P/E multiple. What's in the News Rumo S.A. announced an annual dividend of R$0.1084 per share, scheduled to be paid on November 30, 2026.Actualización de narrativa • Mar 24
RAIL3: Future Profitability Will Strengthen Despite Ongoing Freight Price Pressure
Analysts have reset their price target on Rumo to R$19.93 from R$21.84, reflecting updated expectations for freight price pressure and modest tweaks to revenue growth, profit margin, and forward P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary JPMorgan resumed coverage of Rumo with a Neutral rating and a R$20 price target, signaling a balanced view on risk and reward at current levels.Actualización de narrativa • Mar 07
RAIL3: Freight Price Pressure And Execution Will Shape A Cautiously Optimistic Outlook
Analysts have trimmed their Rumo fair value estimate from roughly R$16.50 to about R$15.27, aligning their updated price target with expectations for continued freight price pressure highlighted in recent research. Analyst Commentary Recent updates around Rumo suggest that, while coverage is active again, the tone remains cautious.Actualización de narrativa • Feb 21
RAIL3: Freight Price Pressure Will Eventually Support Higher Earnings Multiple
Rumo's analyst price target has been reiterated at R$25.00, with analysts pointing to slightly stronger assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins and forward P/E, while still flagging near term freight price pressure as a key watchpoint. Analyst Commentary JPMorgan has resumed coverage of Rumo with a Neutral rating and a R$20 price target, highlighting that freight pricing remains a near term pressure point.Actualización de narrativa • Feb 06
RAIL3: Freight Price Pressure Will Set Up Future P/E Repricing Potential
Analysts have reduced their fair value estimate for Rumo from R$27.00 to R$25.00, reflecting updated assumptions on growth, profitability, and future P/E, as well as recent Street research that highlights continued pressure on freight prices. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research points to a mixed but watchful stance on Rumo, with JPMorgan resuming coverage at Neutral and a R$20 price target.Actualización de narrativa • Jan 23
RAIL3: Freight Pricing Discipline Will Support A More Optimistic Outlook
Narrative Update on Rumo The analyst price target for Rumo has been updated to R$20, with analysts citing freight price pressures and revised assumptions for discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E to support the change. Analyst Commentary Recent commentary around Rumo has centered on freight pricing pressure and how that filters through to earnings expectations, valuation assumptions, and price targets.Actualización de narrativa • Jan 08
RAIL3: Freight Pricing Pressure Will Set Up Potential Upside Reassessment
Narrative Update on Rumo Our analyst price target for Rumo moves from R$31.70 to R$27.00, as analysts factor in more moderate revenue growth assumptions, a slightly higher discount rate and ongoing pressure on freight prices highlighted in recent Street research. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Rumo has been cautious on near term freight pricing, yet the new R$27.00 target remains above the R$20 reference from JPMorgan, which signals some residual optimism around the company’s ability to execute on its plan over time.Artículo de análisis • Dec 22
Rumo (BVMF:RAIL3) Shareholders Will Want The ROCE Trajectory To Continue
If you're not sure where to start when looking for the next multi-bagger, there are a few key trends you should keep an...Actualización de narrativa • Dec 22
RAIL3 Stronger Profit Margins Will Support A More Optimistic Outlook
Narrative Update on Rumo Analysts have modestly raised their price target on Rumo to R$16.50, reflecting higher expected profitability and a slightly improved valuation multiple despite slower projected revenue growth. Valuation Changes Fair Value Estimate remains unchanged at R$16.50, indicating no revision to the intrinsic price target.Actualización de narrativa • Dec 08
RAIL3: Future Profitability Will Improve As Margins Expand
Analysts have slightly reduced their price target on Rumo to reflect a modest downward revision in fair value and revenue growth assumptions, partially offset by expectations for improved profit margins and a lower future price-to-earnings multiple. Valuation Changes Fair Value: reduced slightly from R$22.56 to R$21.84 per share, reflecting a modest downward revision in intrinsic valuation.Actualización de narrativa • Nov 24
RAIL3: Future Profitability Will Strengthen As Margins Stabilize
Rumo's Analyst Price Target Sees Modest Adjustment Analysts have slightly lowered their price target for Rumo from $23.02 to $22.56. This reflects more cautious expectations on revenue growth and profit margins in their latest assessment.Artículo de análisis • Nov 16
Rumo S.A.'s (BVMF:RAIL3) Price Is Out Of Tune With Revenues
Rumo S.A.'s ( BVMF:RAIL3 ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.2x may not look like an appealing investment...Artículo de análisis • Oct 29
Is Rumo (BVMF:RAIL3) Using Too Much Debt?
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...Actualización de narrativa • Sep 14
Mato Grosso Rail Investment Will Boost Brazilian Food Exports
The slight reduction in Rumo's fair value target to R$23.02 primarily reflects lowered consensus revenue growth expectations, despite some improvement in net profit margin. Valuation Changes Summary of Valuation Changes for Rumo The Consensus Analyst Price Target has fallen slightly from R$23.68 to R$23.02.Actualización de narrativa • Aug 30
Mato Grosso Rail Investment Will Boost Brazilian Food Exports
Rumo’s consensus price target was revised downward to R$24.09, reflecting a weakening in fundamentals as the company’s net profit margin declined and its future P/E multiple increased. What's in the News Rumo S.A. announced an annual dividend of BRL 0.8104 per share.Artículo de análisis • Aug 14
The Strong Earnings Posted By Rumo (BVMF:RAIL3) Are A Good Indication Of The Strength Of The Business
BOVESPA:RAIL3 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore Rumo's Fair Values from the Community and select yours Rumo...Artículo de análisis • Aug 04
Rumo S.A.'s (BVMF:RAIL3) Share Price Not Quite Adding Up
Rumo S.A.'s ( BVMF:RAIL3 ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.2x may not look like an appealing investment...Artículo de análisis • Jul 14
The Return Trends At Rumo (BVMF:RAIL3) Look Promising
To find a multi-bagger stock, what are the underlying trends we should look for in a business? Firstly, we'll want to...Artículo de análisis • Jun 01
Rumo (BVMF:RAIL3) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...
Nueva narrativa • Dec 02
Decisive Expansion In Mato Grosso And Infrastructure Investments Set To Boost Revenue Growth
Expansion projects and infrastructure investments are set to boost transported volumes and yields, driving long-term revenue growth.Previsiones de crecimiento de beneficios e ingresos
| Fecha | Ingresos | Beneficios | Flujo de caja libre | Flujo de caja operativo | Núm. de analistas medio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 15,222 | 2,580 | 1,368 | 4,865 | 11 |
| 12/31/2027 | 15,115 | 2,353 | -445 | 5,524 | 14 |
| 12/31/2026 | 14,714 | 1,797 | -1,747 | 4,607 | 11 |
| 3/31/2026 | 14,163 | 1,040 | 1,085 | 7,190 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 13,848 | 847 | 1,045 | 7,142 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 13,961 | 374 | 544 | 7,060 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 13,894 | 645 | 819 | 7,328 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 13,757 | -1,428 | 1,185 | 7,475 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 13,936 | -959 | 2,172 | 7,665 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 13,089 | -696 | 2,204 | 7,036 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 12,512 | -896 | 2,378 | 6,590 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 11,700 | 1,015 | 2,196 | 5,925 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 10,938 | 720 | 1,761 | 5,451 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 10,542 | 962 | 2,054 | 5,263 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 10,317 | 788 | 2,065 | 5,033 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 10,019 | 655 | 1,793 | 4,747 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 9,842 | 515 | 2,113 | 4,831 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 9,134 | -111 | 2,070 | 4,748 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 8,149 | -367 | 1,180 | 4,026 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 7,900 | -88 | 724 | 3,932 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 7,440 | 151 | -113 | 3,340 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 7,589 | 536 | -555 | 3,195 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 7,676 | 650 | -60 | 3,614 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 7,289 | 742 | -45 | 3,310 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 6,966 | 297 | -73 | 2,906 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 6,968 | 496 | 649 | 3,196 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 6,976 | 699 | 930 | 3,175 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 6,876 | 479 | 1,067 | 3,028 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 7,088 | 778 | N/A | 3,525 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 7,070 | 711 | N/A | 3,240 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 6,887 | 570 | N/A | 3,022 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 6,823 | 350 | N/A | 2,924 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 6,585 | 264 | N/A | 2,705 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 6,530 | 75 | N/A | 2,592 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 6,302 | -75 | N/A | 2,325 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 6,144 | -71 | N/A | 2,067 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 5,946 | -261 | N/A | 2,311 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 5,230 | -619 | N/A | 1,649 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 4,802 | -884 | N/A | 1,550 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 4,492 | -1,037 | N/A | 1,432 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 4,312 | -1,063 | N/A | 1,213 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 4,487 | -994 | N/A | 1,591 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 4,418 | -968 | N/A | 1,394 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 4,325 | -1,221 | N/A | 1,536 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 4,149 | -1,177 | N/A | 1,339 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 3,910 | -2,800 | N/A | -45 | N/A |
| 6/30/2015 | 3,708 | -2,631 | N/A | 287 | N/A |
Previsiones de crecimiento futuro de los analistas
Ingresos vs. Tasa de ahorro: El pronóstico de crecimiento de los beneficios (29.6% al año) de RAIL3 es superior a la tasa de ahorro (12.4%).
Beneficios vs. Mercado: Se prevé que los beneficios (29.6% al año) de RAIL3 crezcan más rápidamente que el mercado BR (12.6% al año).
Beneficios de alto crecimiento: Se espera que los beneficios de RAIL3 crezcan significativamente en los próximos 3 años.
Ingresos vs. Mercado: Se prevé que los ingresos (2.7% al año) de RAIL3 crezcan más despacio que el mercado de BR (6.9% al año).
Ingresos de alto crecimiento: Se prevé que los ingresos 2.7% al año) de RAIL3 crezcan más despacio que 20% al año.
Previsiones de crecimiento de los beneficios por acción
Rentabilidad financiera futura
ROE futura: Se prevé que la rentabilidad financiera de RAIL3 sea baja dentro de 3 años (14.6%).
Descubre empresas en crecimiento
Análisis de la empresa y estado de los datos financieros
| Datos | Última actualización (huso horario UTC) |
|---|---|
| Análisis de la empresa | 2026/05/28 05:08 |
| Precio de las acciones al final del día | 2026/05/27 00:00 |
| Beneficios | 2026/03/31 |
| Ingresos anuales | 2025/12/31 |
Fuentes de datos
Los datos utilizados en nuestro análisis de empresas proceden de S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Los siguientes datos se utilizan en nuestro modelo de análisis para generar este informe. Los datos están normalizados, lo que puede introducir un retraso desde que la fuente está disponible.
| Paquete | Datos | Marco temporal | Ejemplo Fuente EE.UU. * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Finanzas de la empresa | 10 años |
| |
| Estimaciones del consenso de analistas | +3 años |
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| Precios de mercado | 30 años |
| |
| Propiedad | 10 años |
| |
| Gestión | 10 años |
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| Principales avances | 10 años |
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* Ejemplo para valores de EE.UU., para no EE.UU. se utilizan formularios y fuentes normativas equivalentes.
A menos que se especifique lo contrario, todos los datos financieros se basan en un periodo anual, pero se actualizan trimestralmente. Esto se conoce como datos de los últimos doce meses (TTM) o de los últimos doce meses (LTM). Más información.
Modelo de análisis y copo de nieve
Los detalles del modelo de análisis utilizado para generar este informe están disponibles en nuestra página de Github, también tenemos guías sobre cómo utilizar nuestros informes y tutoriales en Youtube.
Conozca al equipo de talla mundial que diseñó y construyó el modelo de análisis Simply Wall St.
Métricas industriales y sectoriales
Simply Wall St calcula cada 6 horas nuestras métricas sectoriales y de sección. Los detalles de nuestro proceso están disponibles en Github.
Fuentes analistas
Rumo S.A. está cubierta por 23 analistas. 14 de esos analistas presentaron las estimaciones de ingresos o ganancias utilizadas como datos para nuestro informe. Las estimaciones de los analistas se actualizan a lo largo del día.
| Analista | Institución |
|---|---|
| Mauro Suarez | Alliance Global Partners |
| Daniel Spilberg | Barclays |
| Rogério Araújo | BofA Global Research |