Vale S.A.

Informe acción BOVESPA:VALE3

Capitalización de mercado: R$359.5b

Vale Crecimiento futuro

Future controles de criterios 2/6

Se prevé un crecimiento anual de los beneficios y los ingresos de Vale de 17.2% y 0.2% por año respectivamente. Se prevé que el BPA crezca en un 23.7% al año. Se espera que la rentabilidad financiera sea de 18.2% en 3 años.

Información clave

17.2%

Tasa de crecimiento de los beneficios

23.71%

Tasa de crecimiento del BPA

Crecimiento de los beneficios de Metals and Mining21.8%
Tasa de crecimiento de los ingresos0.2%
Rentabilidad financiera futura18.24%
Cobertura de analistas

Good

Última actualización11 May 2026

Actualizaciones recientes sobre el crecimiento futuro

Recent updates

Actualización de narrativa • May 05

VALE3: Base Metals Mix And Copper Strength Will Drive Future Upside

Analysts have nudged the R$ fair value estimate for Vale higher to R$104.54 from R$101.20. The updated estimate reflects a series of recent price target increases, even as analysts factor in a slightly higher discount rate, more conservative revenue growth, modestly lower profit margins and a higher future P/E assumption.
Actualización de narrativa • Apr 20

VALE3: Base Metals Strength And Iron Ore Risks Will Shape Future Returns

Analysts have slightly lifted the R$ fair value estimate for Vale, reflecting broadly higher Street price targets. These emphasize stronger base metals contributions, a higher assumed future P/E and more cautious views on revenue growth and profit margins.
Actualización de narrativa • Apr 05

VALE3: Copper Strength And Base Metals Mix Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have slightly reduced the fair value estimate for Vale. The updated price target of R$101.20 reflects a higher discount rate and more conservative revenue growth assumptions, partly offset by a marginally stronger profit margin outlook and a lower future P/E.
Actualización de narrativa • Mar 22

VALE3: Base Metals And Copper Mix Will Drive Future Returns

Narrative Update on Vale The analyst price target for Vale edges slightly lower in the model, reflecting a marginal trim to fair value to R$88.67. Analysts see the shares more fully reflecting iron ore and base metals assumptions after a series of target increases and recent rating downgrades that emphasize valuation and oversupply risks.
Actualización de narrativa • Mar 08

VALE3: Base Metals And Copper Shift Will Support Future Returns

Our analyst price target for Vale has been revised higher to R$88.95 from R$80.25, reflecting Street research that has generally nudged targets up on stronger base metals contributions and copper demand, even as analysts flag iron ore price softness, steel demand headwinds, and potential oversupply risks. Analyst Commentary Street research on Vale has turned more mixed recently, with several price target increases sitting alongside fresh rating downgrades.
Actualización de narrativa • Feb 22

VALE3: Copper And Base Metals Mix Will Drive Future Upside Potential

The updated analyst price target for Vale implies fair value rising from about R$86.67 to roughly R$102.54. Analysts point to stronger margin assumptions, a lower discount rate and a lower future P/E, supported by recent research that highlights higher copper exposure even as iron ore faces potential oversupply risk.
Artículo de análisis • Feb 19

There May Be Reason For Hope In Vale's (BVMF:VALE3) Disappointing Earnings

Vale S.A.'s ( BVMF:VALE3 ) earnings announcement last week didn't impress shareholders. While the headline numbers were...
Actualización de narrativa • Feb 07

VALE3: Iron Ore Oversupply And Execution Risks Will Pressure Future Earnings

Our updated analyst price target for Vale edges slightly lower by about $0.65, as analysts balance more constructive assumptions on revenue growth with modestly softer profit margin expectations and a small adjustment in the assumed P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Vale has been mixed, with some firms lifting price targets and others sounding more cautious.
Artículo de análisis • Jan 30

Returns At Vale (BVMF:VALE3) Appear To Be Weighed Down

If we want to find a potential multi-bagger, often there are underlying trends that can provide clues. In a perfect...
Actualización de narrativa • Jan 24

VALE3: Iron Ore Oversupply Risk Will Pressure Earnings Power And Sentiment

Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Vale from $54.24 to $70.04, reflecting mixed views on iron ore oversupply risk and cost discipline, along with generally higher Street price targets clustered around $12 to $15.50. Analyst Commentary Street research around Vale highlights a split view, with some firms raising price targets on the back of modeling updates and cost control, while bearish analysts flag iron ore market risks and temper expectations for upside.
Actualización de narrativa • Jan 09

VALE3: Base And Precious Metals Exposure Will Drive Future Upside Potential

The updated analyst price target for Vale implies a fair value move from about $84 to $87, as analysts balance oversupply risks in iron ore with improving views on base and precious metals exposure, alongside a revised future P/E assumption of 13.2x. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Vale reflects a split view, with some caution around iron ore oversupply risk and a cluster of more constructive opinions tied to base and precious metals exposure, as well as updated models after recent company results.
Actualización de narrativa • Dec 25

VALE3: Base Metals Expansion And Cost Discipline Will Drive Balanced Future Returns

Vale's analyst price target has been nudged higher, with fair value estimates rising by about $3.50 per share as analysts factor in slightly stronger long term revenue growth, modestly better margins, and a richer future earnings multiple following a series of recent target hikes from major banks. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Vale reflects a generally constructive stance, with a clear tilt toward incremental upgrades and higher price targets as analysts recalibrate models following the latest quarterly update.
Actualización de narrativa • Dec 11

VALE3: Base Metals And Copper Expansion Will Drive Balanced Future Return Potential

The analyst price target for Vale has been nudged higher to about $14.50 per share from roughly $14 previously, as analysts cite updated post Q3 models, improving base metals performance, and constructive views on copper driven by tight supply and stronger precious metal prices. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates reflect a broadly constructive tone on Vale, with multiple firms raising price targets as they refresh models following the Q3 report and factor in stronger trends in base and precious metals.
Actualización de narrativa • Nov 27

VALE3: Base Metals Segment Performance Will Drive 2026 Profitability Upside

Vale’s analyst price target has been raised from $71.08 to $75.14. Analysts cite constructive views following the company's Q3 report, improved Base Metals segment performance, and ongoing cost control as key reasons for the increased valuation.
Actualización de narrativa • Nov 12

VALE3: Revenue Momentum And Base Metals Performance Will Offset Market Caution

Analysts have modestly increased their price target for Vale, raising it by $0.76. This adjustment reflects stronger revenue growth forecasts and improved performance in the Base Metals segment.
Artículo de análisis • Nov 08

Vale (BVMF:VALE3) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...
Actualización de narrativa • Oct 29

Higher Precious Metal Prices Will Drive Earnings Thanks To Copper Supply Disruptions

Vale's analyst price target has been modestly increased, rising from $13.50 to $14. Analysts cite improved profit margins and supportive trends in precious and base metal markets as contributing factors.
Artículo de análisis • Oct 21

Return Trends At Vale (BVMF:VALE3) Aren't Appealing

What are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term...
Actualización de narrativa • Oct 14

Bacaba And Voisey's Bay Projects Will Fuel Global Decarbonization Efforts

Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Vale from approximately $67.35 to $70.15. This change reflects tempered optimism due to the company's ongoing cost-cutting, gradual copper expansion, and broadly cautious sentiment on iron ore market fundamentals.
Artículo de análisis • Oct 02

Some Confidence Is Lacking In Vale S.A.'s (BVMF:VALE3) P/E

It's not a stretch to say that Vale S.A.'s ( BVMF:VALE3 ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 8.6x right now seems...
Actualización de narrativa • Sep 27

Bacaba And Voisey's Bay Projects Will Fuel Global Decarbonization Efforts

Vale’s consensus price target was modestly raised to R$67.35 as bullish analysts cite resilient iron ore prices and cost reductions, though sentiment is tempered by concerns over China demand, macro headwinds, and regulatory risks. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts note improved conviction in iron ore price resilience and potential for recovery in global steel demand.
Actualización de narrativa • Sep 05

Bacaba And Voisey's Bay Projects Will Fuel Global Decarbonization Efforts

Vale’s fair value estimate saw a negligible reduction, as consensus revenue growth and discount rate projections remained largely unchanged, resulting in only a minor decrease in the analyst price target from R$67.03 to R$66.11. What's in the News Vale and BHP offered $1.4B to settle a UK class action lawsuit related to the Mariana dam disaster, but claimants’ lawyers are demanding about $3B (Financial Times).
Artículo de análisis • Aug 07

Some May Be Optimistic About Vale's (BVMF:VALE3) Earnings

BOVESPA:VALE3 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore Vale's Fair Values from the Community and select yours...
Artículo de análisis • Aug 01

Industry Analysts Just Made A Substantial Upgrade To Their Vale S.A. (BVMF:VALE3) Revenue Forecasts

Vale S.A. ( BVMF:VALE3 ) shareholders will have a reason to smile today, with the analysts making substantial upgrades...
Artículo de análisis • Jul 26

Vale (BVMF:VALE3) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...
Artículo de análisis • Jun 20

There Is A Reason Vale S.A.'s (BVMF:VALE3) Price Is Undemanding

With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 7x Vale S.A. ( BVMF:VALE3 ) may be sending bullish signals at the moment...
Artículo de análisis • Jun 02

Vale (BVMF:VALE3) Has Some Way To Go To Become A Multi-Bagger

There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. Typically, we'll want to notice a...
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Nueva narrativa • Nov 07

Iron Ore Strategy And Cost Efficiency To Drive Growth Amidst Legal And Market Challenges

Strategic focus on cost efficiency and premium iron ore could enhance margins and market competitiveness.

Previsiones de crecimiento de beneficios e ingresos

BOVESPA:VALE3 - Estimaciones futuras de los analistas y datos financieros pasados (BRL Millions)
FechaIngresosBeneficiosFlujo de caja libreFlujo de caja operativoNúm. de analistas medio
12/31/2028207,30841,44532,88256,45619
12/31/2027201,07940,26927,54948,88822
12/31/2026200,96341,90924,14844,86122
3/31/2026214,86415,60316,54248,816N/A
12/31/2025213,59513,81415,37548,765N/A
9/30/2025213,32030,18516,08151,126N/A
6/30/2025209,59728,95411,23446,544N/A
3/31/2025211,52531,4656,55142,103N/A
12/31/2024206,00531,59215,10150,199N/A
9/30/2024211,10948,25124,98156,702N/A
6/30/2024210,09348,72930,18061,642N/A
3/31/2024206,11638,71034,27364,753N/A
12/31/2023208,06639,94036,45965,905N/A
9/30/2023206,29647,51723,55452,283N/A
6/30/2023206,41456,93927,33255,025N/A
3/31/2023213,63072,58735,30863,400N/A
12/31/2022226,50886,10630,01758,201N/A
9/30/2022237,09596,96033,23158,698N/A
6/30/2022249,433101,48960,75489,169N/A
3/31/2022281,451124,56984,349112,232N/A
12/31/2021293,524133,712109,465136,766N/A
9/30/2021296,709116,999133,655161,108N/A
6/30/2021290,197104,799116,684139,427N/A
3/31/2021243,63966,78783,680105,783N/A
12/31/2020206,09835,58853,48875,208N/A
9/30/2020170,61015,48030,62651,578N/A
6/30/2020153,3686,40722,41842,221N/A
3/31/2020148,93973429,28746,755N/A
12/31/2019144,6353,959N/A47,282N/A
9/30/2019145,07614,222N/A48,403N/A
6/30/2019142,27413,433N/A47,588N/A
3/31/2019137,50314,162N/A49,090N/A
12/31/2018134,48325,967N/A47,799N/A
9/30/2018126,85515,618N/A47,442N/A
6/30/2018117,59317,354N/A39,562N/A
3/31/2018109,72217,467N/A37,582N/A
12/31/2017108,53220,235N/A39,154N/A
9/30/2017109,35721,669N/A36,743N/A
6/30/2017102,58816,136N/A36,988N/A
3/31/2017100,80119,335N/A33,297N/A
12/31/201694,63317,470N/A21,635N/A
9/30/201679,220-20,596N/A18,235N/A
6/30/201680,739-29,215N/A16,376N/A
3/31/201680,604-27,729N/A11,999N/A
12/31/201578,057-43,553N/A15,719N/A
9/30/201585,970-15,819N/A13,380N/A
6/30/201583,250-12,537N/A14,090N/A

Previsiones de crecimiento futuro de los analistas

Ingresos vs. Tasa de ahorro: El pronóstico de crecimiento de los beneficios (17.2% al año) de VALE3 es superior a la tasa de ahorro (12.4%).

Beneficios vs. Mercado: Se prevé que los beneficios (17.2% al año) de VALE3 crezcan más rápidamente que el mercado BR (12.3% al año).

Beneficios de alto crecimiento: Se prevé que los beneficios de VALE3 crezcan, pero no significativamente.

Ingresos vs. Mercado: Se prevé que los ingresos (0.2% al año) de VALE3 crezcan más despacio que el mercado de BR (6.1% al año).

Ingresos de alto crecimiento: Se prevé que los ingresos 0.2% al año) de VALE3 crezcan más despacio que 20% al año.

Previsiones de crecimiento de los beneficios por acción

Rentabilidad financiera futura

ROE futura: Se prevé que la rentabilidad financiera de VALE3 sea baja dentro de 3 años (18.2%).

Descubre empresas en crecimiento

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Análisis de la empresa y estado de los datos financieros

DatosÚltima actualización (huso horario UTC)
Análisis de la empresa2026/05/14 22:40
Precio de las acciones al final del día2026/05/13 00:00
Beneficios2026/03/31
Ingresos anuales2025/12/31

Fuentes de datos

Los datos utilizados en nuestro análisis de empresas proceden de S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Los siguientes datos se utilizan en nuestro modelo de análisis para generar este informe. Los datos están normalizados, lo que puede introducir un retraso desde que la fuente está disponible.

PaqueteDatosMarco temporalEjemplo Fuente EE.UU. *
Finanzas de la empresa10 años
  • Cuenta de resultados
  • Estado de tesorería
  • Balance
Estimaciones del consenso de analistas+3 años
  • Previsiones financieras
  • Objetivos de precios de los analistas
Precios de mercado30 años
  • Precios de las acciones
  • Dividendos, escisiones y acciones
Propiedad10 años
  • Accionistas principales
  • Información privilegiada
Gestión10 años
  • Equipo directivo
  • Consejo de Administración
Principales avances10 años
  • Anuncios de empresas

* Ejemplo para valores de EE.UU., para no EE.UU. se utilizan formularios y fuentes normativas equivalentes.

A menos que se especifique lo contrario, todos los datos financieros se basan en un periodo anual, pero se actualizan trimestralmente. Esto se conoce como datos de los últimos doce meses (TTM) o de los últimos doce meses (LTM). Más información.

Modelo de análisis y copo de nieve

Los detalles del modelo de análisis utilizado para generar este informe están disponibles en nuestra página de Github, también tenemos guías sobre cómo utilizar nuestros informes y tutoriales en Youtube.

Conozca al equipo de talla mundial que diseñó y construyó el modelo de análisis Simply Wall St.

Métricas industriales y sectoriales

Simply Wall St calcula cada 6 horas nuestras métricas sectoriales y de sección. Los detalles de nuestro proceso están disponibles en Github.

Fuentes analistas

Vale S.A. está cubierta por 41 analistas. 22 de esos analistas presentaron las estimaciones de ingresos o ganancias utilizadas como datos para nuestro informe. Las estimaciones de los analistas se actualizan a lo largo del día.

AnalistaInstitución
Leonardo CorreaBarclays
Amos FletcherBarclays
Mary Cleia da SilvaBB Banco de Investimento S.A.