Arena REIT Valuation
Is ARF undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
3/6Valuation Score 3/6
Por debajo del valor justo
Muy por debajo del valor justo
Price-To-Earnings vs. similares
Price-To-Earnings vs. Industria
PM vs. Ratio Justo
Pronóstico de los analistas
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of ARF when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Por debajo del valor justo: ARF (A$3.33) cotiza por debajo de nuestra estimación de valor razonable (A$5.79)
Muy por debajo del valor justo: ARF cotiza por debajo de su valor razonable en más de un 20%.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ARF?
Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.
| What is ARF's n/a Ratio? | |
|---|---|
| n/a | 0x |
| n/a | n/a |
| Market Cap | AU$1.34b |
| Key Statistics | |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value/Revenue | 24.4x |
| Enterprise Value/EBITDA | n/a |
| PEG Ratio | 3x |
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does ARF's PE Ratio compare to its peers?
| Company | Forward PE | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer Average | 90.6x | ||
CQE Charter Hall Social Infrastructure REIT | 136.2x | 23.1% | AU$981.0m |
RFF Rural Funds Group | 7.9x | -26.9% | AU$802.3m |
CNI Centuria Capital Group | 128.3x | 21.1% | AU$1.4b |
NSR National Storage REIT | 89.8x | 18.4% | AU$3.2b |
ARF Arena REIT | 29.2x | 9.6% | AU$1.3b |
Price-To-Earnings vs. similares: ARF es un buen valor basado en su Ratio Price-To-Earnings (25.7x) comparado con la media de sus homólogos (79.5x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does ARF's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Specialized REITs Industry?
Price-To-Earnings vs. Industria: ARF es caro en función de su Ratio Price-To-Earnings (25.5x) en comparación con la media del sector Global Specialized REITs (25.1x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is ARF's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
| Fair Ratio | |
|---|---|
| Current PE Ratio | 29.2x |
| Fair PE Ratio | 28.3x |
PM vs. Ratio Justo: ARF es caro en función de su Ratio Price-To-Earnings (29.2x) comparado con el Ratio Price-To-Earnings estimado (28.9x).
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
| Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current | AU$3.78 | AU$3.83 +1.3% | 9.9% | AU$4.40 | AU$2.98 | n/a | 8 |
| Mar ’25 | AU$3.40 | AU$3.83 +12.6% | 9.9% | AU$4.40 | AU$2.98 | n/a | 8 |
| Feb ’25 | AU$3.50 | AU$3.94 +12.6% | 5.6% | AU$4.30 | AU$3.60 | n/a | 7 |
| Jan ’25 | AU$3.71 | AU$3.92 +5.7% | 7.7% | AU$4.35 | AU$3.45 | n/a | 7 |
| Dec ’24 | AU$3.31 | AU$3.92 +18.5% | 7.7% | AU$4.35 | AU$3.45 | n/a | 7 |
| Nov ’24 | AU$3.26 | AU$3.97 +21.9% | 6.1% | AU$4.35 | AU$3.71 | n/a | 7 |
| Oct ’24 | AU$3.36 | AU$4.05 +20.4% | 6.7% | AU$4.36 | AU$3.71 | n/a | 7 |
| Sep ’24 | AU$3.70 | AU$3.95 +6.8% | 9.1% | AU$4.36 | AU$3.28 | n/a | 8 |
| Aug ’24 | AU$3.82 | AU$3.95 +3.4% | 9.1% | AU$4.36 | AU$3.28 | n/a | 8 |
| Jul ’24 | AU$3.76 | AU$3.95 +5.0% | 8.4% | AU$4.36 | AU$3.28 | n/a | 9 |
| Jun ’24 | AU$3.74 | AU$3.94 +5.4% | 8.5% | AU$4.36 | AU$3.28 | n/a | 9 |
| May ’24 | AU$3.76 | AU$3.94 +4.8% | 8.5% | AU$4.36 | AU$3.28 | n/a | 9 |
| Apr ’24 | AU$3.63 | AU$3.94 +8.6% | 8.5% | AU$4.36 | AU$3.28 | AU$3.97 | 9 |
| Mar ’24 | AU$3.77 | AU$3.94 +4.6% | 8.5% | AU$4.36 | AU$3.28 | AU$3.40 | 9 |
| Feb ’24 | AU$3.73 | AU$4.06 +9.0% | 7.2% | AU$4.45 | AU$3.56 | AU$3.50 | 7 |
| Jan ’24 | AU$3.83 | AU$4.08 +6.6% | 7.3% | AU$4.45 | AU$3.56 | AU$3.71 | 8 |
| Dec ’23 | AU$3.98 | AU$4.14 +4.0% | 7.8% | AU$4.49 | AU$3.56 | AU$3.31 | 8 |
| Nov ’23 | AU$4.02 | AU$4.33 +7.7% | 5.7% | AU$4.74 | AU$3.83 | AU$3.26 | 8 |
| Oct ’23 | AU$3.33 | AU$4.33 +30.1% | 5.7% | AU$4.74 | AU$3.83 | AU$3.36 | 8 |
| Sep ’23 | AU$4.14 | AU$4.20 +1.4% | 8.7% | AU$4.74 | AU$3.40 | AU$3.70 | 10 |
| Aug ’23 | AU$4.75 | AU$4.27 -10.1% | 13.0% | AU$5.31 | AU$3.20 | AU$3.82 | 10 |
| Jul ’23 | AU$4.29 | AU$4.24 -1.2% | 12.4% | AU$5.31 | AU$3.20 | AU$3.76 | 10 |
| Jun ’23 | AU$4.27 | AU$4.39 +2.8% | 12.9% | AU$5.31 | AU$3.20 | AU$3.74 | 10 |
| May ’23 | AU$4.85 | AU$4.42 -8.9% | 12.6% | AU$5.31 | AU$3.20 | AU$3.76 | 10 |
| Apr ’23 | AU$4.91 | AU$4.42 -10.1% | 12.6% | AU$5.31 | AU$3.20 | AU$3.63 | 10 |
Pronóstico de los analistas: El precio objetivo es inferior a 20% superior al precio actual de la acción.