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Western Areas Valuation

Is WSA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Por debajo del valor justo

  • Muy por debajo del valor justo

  • Price-To-Earnings vs. similares

  • Price-To-Earnings vs. Industria

  • PM vs. Ratio Justo

  • Pronóstico de los analistas

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of WSA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Por debajo del valor justo: WSA (A$3.86) is trading below our estimate of fair value (A$33.26)

Muy por debajo del valor justo: WSA is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for WSA?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

WSA key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue3.6x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA10.5x
PEG Ratio-7.3x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does WSA's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for WSA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average19.5x
NIC Nickel Industries
20.1x40.4%AU$3.7b
PRN Perenti
7.6x15.5%AU$921.2m
IMD Imdex
41.3x23.9%AU$1.2b
ILU Iluka Resources
9x-0.3%AU$3.1b
WSA Western Areas
54.7x-7.5%AU$1.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs. similares: WSA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (54.7x) compared to the peer average (16.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does WSA's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the AU Metals and Mining Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a13.2%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a13.2%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs. Industria: WSA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (54.7x) compared to the Australian Metals and Mining industry average (8.7x)


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is WSA's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

WSA PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio54.7x
Fair PE Ratio11.3x

PM vs. Ratio Justo: WSA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (54.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst WSA forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentAU$3.87
AU$3.77
-2.6%
6.3%AU$4.09AU$3.36n/a8
May ’23AU$3.84
AU$3.77
-1.8%
6.3%AU$4.09AU$3.36n/a8
Apr ’23AU$3.65
AU$3.36
-7.9%
0.9%AU$3.40AU$3.29n/a8

Pronóstico de los analistas: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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