Santos Limited

Informe acción ASX:STO

Capitalización de mercado: AU$25.4b

Santos Crecimiento futuro

Future controles de criterios 3/6

Se prevé un crecimiento anual de los beneficios y los ingresos de Santos de 12.1% y 6.5% por año respectivamente. Se prevé que el BPA crezca en un 13.6% al año. Se espera que la rentabilidad financiera sea de 9.3% en 3 años.

Información clave

12.1%

Tasa de crecimiento de los beneficios

13.64%

Tasa de crecimiento del BPA

Crecimiento de los beneficios de Oil and Gas11.1%
Tasa de crecimiento de los ingresos6.5%
Rentabilidad financiera futura9.28%
Cobertura de analistas

Good

Última actualización17 Jul 2026

Actualizaciones recientes sobre el crecimiento futuro

Recent updates

Actualización de narrativa Jul 10

STO: Fair Outlook As Barossa Progress Supports Rebased Earnings Expectations

Analysts have adjusted their price target on Santos to A$7.65 from A$5.95, reflecting updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins and the stock’s future P/E profile. What’s in the News for Santos Santos shares moved sharply on July 8, 2026, with the stock up 5.78%, as investors reacted to progress at the Barossa gas development project, according to recent news reports.
Actualización de narrativa Jun 26

STO: Future Returns Will Hinge On Papua LNG Sanction And Cash Generation

Analysts have modestly lifted their Santos price target to A$9.09 from A$8.81, reflecting updated assumptions around fair value, profit margins and future P/E expectations. What’s in the News for Santos Santos reports strong quarterly production, with first oil achieved at Pikka Phase 1 in Alaska and initial LNG cargoes shipped from the Barossa project, supporting its maintained full-year 2026 production guidance.
Artículo de análisis Jun 16

Santos (ASX:STO) Shares Could Be 16.2% Undervalued After Pikka First Oil

Santos (ASX:STO) is back in focus after reaching first oil at the Alaska Pikka project, a milestone that puts the upcoming third quarter production ramp and the company’s debt reduction plans under closer investor scrutiny. See our latest analysis for Santos. Despite the Pikka milestone and focus on higher production, Santos shares have eased in recent weeks, with a 30 day share price return of 5.46% and a 1 year total shareholder return of 0.62%. This suggests momentum has cooled after a...
Actualización de narrativa Jun 06

STO: Future Returns Will Depend On Papua LNG Sanction And Cash Flow

Analysts have adjusted their A$ fair value estimate for Santos to A$8.81, a move supported by updated views on revenue growth, profit margins, and the stock's forward P/E profile. What's in the News Santos has reaffirmed its full year 2026 guidance, with recent updates pointing to higher quarterly production and stable free cash flow generation.
Actualización de narrativa May 01

STO: Future Returns Will Depend On Low Costs And Papua LNG Execution

Analysts have nudged their price target on Santos higher to A$8.59 from A$8.56, citing updated fair value work that reflects its low cost operating model and planned production growth, supported by expectations around Papua LNG reaching final investment decision by mid 2026. Analyst Commentary Analysts reacting to the recent update on Santos are highlighting both supports and pressure points for the equity story, with views clustering around execution on growth projects, cash generation and how much of the medium term outlook is already reflected in the share price.
Actualización de narrativa Apr 16

STO: Future Upside Will Rely On Low Costs And Papua LNG Progress

Analysts have nudged their price targets for Santos higher, with fair value moving from A$8.49 to A$8.56. This reflects updated assumptions around revenue growth, margins and production outlook tied to recent research that highlights Santos' low cost model and planned production expansion supported by progress at Papua LNG.
Actualización de narrativa Apr 02

STO: Future Returns Will Reflect Low Costs And Papua LNG Execution Risk

The analyst fair value estimate for Santos has shifted from A$7.95 to A$8.49. The change is linked to recent upgrades that highlight the company's low cost model and planned production growth as key supports for higher price targets around A$7.30 to A$7.50.
Actualización de narrativa Mar 11

STO: Future Returns Will Reflect Low Costs And Asset Review Execution Risk

Analysts have lifted their average price target for Santos to about A$7.95, up from roughly A$7.55, citing a solid in line result, expectations for more than 25% production growth by 2027 and a supportive low cost operating model, along with updated Street views that factor in more moderate assumptions for future commodity prices. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts point to Santos' low cost operating model as a key support for margins and cash generation potential, which they see as helping to underpin the higher A$7.30 to A$7.50 price targets.
Nueva narrativa Mar 06

Santos: Undervalued After Takeover Fallout

Santos (ASX: STO) experienced a sharp share price drop after the failed A$36 billion takeover by a consortium led by ADNOC. While the deal’s withdrawal removed a near-term premium, it highlighted the strategic value of Santos’ LNG and gas assets.
Actualización de narrativa Feb 25

STO: Future Returns Will Reflect Low Costs And Papua LNG Execution Risk

The analyst price target for Santos has moved from A$6.75 to A$7.50, with analysts pointing to a solid in line result, a low cost operating model, and expectations for production growth and Papua LNG progress as key supports for the higher fair value and slightly adjusted discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts see the move in price targets to A$7.30 to A$7.50 as better aligning the stock with their updated fair value assumptions after a solid in line result and a reaffirmed low cost operating model.
Actualización de narrativa Feb 10

STO: Future Returns Will Reflect Less Bearish 2026 Commodity Assumptions

Narrative Update on Santos Analysts have trimmed their Santos price target slightly to A$7.29 from A$7.38, reflecting updated views on fair value, discount rate and future P/E as they factor in expectations for 2026 oil and gas prices that are less bearish than broader consensus. Analyst Commentary Recent research has seen a shift in tone around Santos, with bullish analysts lifting their stance even while building in lower oil and gas price assumptions for 2026.
Actualización de narrativa Jan 26

STO: Future Share Momentum Will Reflect Less Bearish 2026 Commodity Assumptions

Analysts have trimmed their price target on Santos to about A$7.38 from roughly A$7.56, reflecting updated assumptions for slightly softer revenue growth and profit margins, along with a modestly higher expected future P/E. They still view the shares more positively relative to consensus expectations for oil and gas prices into 2026.
Actualización de narrativa Jan 12

STO: Future Share Momentum Will Reflect Firmer 2026 Pricing Expectations

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Santos to A$7.56 from A$7.53, reflecting slightly higher assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E, as some now expect oil and gas prices in 2026 to be less weak than broader forecasts. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts view the upgrade alongside a A$7.30 price target as support for the revised fair value, suggesting current assumptions on revenue growth, margins and P/E are within a range some investors may find reasonable.
Actualización de narrativa Dec 14

STO: Future Share Momentum Will Reflect Takeover Clarity And Rising Free Cash Flows

Analysts have trimmed their price target for Santos by A$0.29 to A$7.53, reflecting a slightly lower fair value and profit margin outlook, while also highlighting improving long term free cash flow prospects and a supportive valuation following the withdrawal of the XRG takeover proposal. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts see the withdrawal of the XRG takeover proposal as removing a key overhang, allowing the market to refocus on Santos fundamentals and intrinsic valuation support.
Actualización de narrativa Nov 28

STO: Share Momentum Expected As Takeover Uncertainty Ends And Cash Flows Improve

Analysts have slightly raised their price target for Santos from A$7.77 to A$7.82. They highlight an improved outlook following the withdrawal of the XRG consortium’s takeover bid and expectations for increased free cash flow as major projects advance.
Actualización de narrativa Nov 14

STO: Free Cash Flow Growth Expected As Key Projects Reach Completion

The analyst price target for Santos has increased slightly from A$7.76 to A$7.77. This reflects analysts' view that the withdrawal of a takeover proposal and expectations for improved cash flow from major projects support a higher valuation.
Actualización de narrativa Oct 31

STO: Focus Will Shift To Project Delivery Following Takeover Withdrawal

The analyst price target for Santos has been modestly reduced from A$7.88 to A$7.76. Analysts are factoring in adjusted expectations for revenue growth and profit margins following the withdrawal of the XRG takeover proposal and continued focus on future project execution.
Actualización de narrativa Oct 17

Barossa LNG And CCS Initiatives Will Drive Future Energy Transition

Analysts have trimmed their average price target for Santos from A$8.10 to A$7.88. This reflects more cautious assumptions on revenue growth and profit margins.
Actualización de narrativa Oct 03

Barossa LNG And CCS Initiatives Will Drive Future Energy Transition

Analysts have revised Santos' fair value estimate downward from A$8.37 to A$8.10. This change reflects updated expectations for stronger revenue growth and profit margins, along with sector valuation considerations after the XRG takeover proposal was withdrawn.
Actualización de narrativa Sep 16

Barossa LNG And CCS Initiatives Will Drive Future Energy Transition

Analysts have lowered Santos’s price target from A$8.51 to A$8.37 primarily due to concerns over risks to the completion of XRG's acquisition proposal. Analyst Commentary Bearish analysts cite potential risks to the completion of XRG's acquisition proposal as a reason for the downgrade and reduced price target.
Actualización de narrativa Aug 27

Securing Long-Term LNG Agreements Will Sustain Cash Flows Beyond 2029

Analysts have revised Santos’ price target upward to A$8.58, primarily reflecting concerns over risks to the XRG acquisition proposal, which has prompted a more cautious outlook. Analyst Commentary Concern over potential risks to XRG's acquisition proposal completing, leading to a more cautious outlook and lower price target.
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Nueva narrativa Feb 23

Securing Long-Term LNG Agreements Will Sustain Cash Flows Beyond 2029

Santos's production is set to increase significantly with new projects, boosting revenue and lowering costs.

Previsiones de crecimiento de beneficios e ingresos

ASX:STO - Estimaciones futuras de los analistas y datos financieros pasados (USD Millions)
FechaIngresosBeneficiosFlujo de caja libreFlujo de caja operativoNúm. de analistas medio
12/31/20287,0301,7622,2414,07211
12/31/20276,9901,7622,2744,12011
12/31/20266,9351,7991,8853,58511
12/31/20254,9398187572,813N/A
9/30/20255,0949237262,888N/A
6/30/20255,2491,0276942,962N/A
3/31/20255,3151,1265722,906N/A
12/31/20245,3811,2244492,850N/A
9/30/20245,5071,2435252,960N/A
6/30/20245,6331,2626013,070N/A
3/31/20245,7611,3397453,164N/A
12/31/20235,8891,4168893,258N/A
9/30/20236,4401,5761,4683,654N/A
6/30/20236,9911,7352,0474,049N/A
3/31/20237,3911,9242,4494,304N/A
12/31/20227,7902,1122,8514,558N/A
9/30/20227,1151,7922,4654,013N/A
6/30/20226,4391,4712,0783,467N/A
3/31/20225,5761,0651,6242,870N/A
12/31/20214,7136581,1692,272N/A
9/30/20214,2364729461,926N/A
6/30/20213,7592867231,580N/A
3/31/20213,573-357151,528N/A
12/31/20203,387-3577061,476N/A
9/30/20203,557-1808221,655N/A
6/30/20203,727-39381,833N/A
3/31/20203,8803361,0541,940N/A
12/31/20194,0336741,1692,046N/A
9/30/20193,994794N/A2,016N/A
6/30/20193,954914N/A1,985N/A
3/31/20193,807772N/A1,782N/A
12/31/20183,660630N/A1,578N/A
9/30/20183,496440N/A1,415N/A
6/30/20183,331250N/A1,252N/A
3/31/20183,216-55N/A1,250N/A
12/31/20173,100-360N/A1,248N/A
9/30/20172,976-404N/A1,219N/A
6/30/20172,852-449N/A1,189N/A
3/31/20172,723-748N/A1,015N/A
12/31/20162,594-1,047N/A840N/A
9/30/20162,483-2,067N/A763N/A
6/30/20162,372-3,087N/A686N/A
3/31/20162,407-2,520N/A749N/A
12/31/20152,442-1,953N/A811N/A
9/30/20152,607-1,363N/A1,000N/A

Previsiones de crecimiento futuro de los analistas

Ingresos vs. Tasa de ahorro: El pronóstico de crecimiento de los beneficios (12.1% al año) de STO es superior a la tasa de ahorro (3.6%).

Beneficios vs. Mercado: Se prevé que los beneficios (12.1% al año) de STO crezcan más rápidamente que el mercado Australian (11.4% al año).

Beneficios de alto crecimiento: Se prevé que los beneficios de STO crezcan, pero no significativamente.

Ingresos vs. Mercado: Se prevé que los ingresos (6.5% al año) de STO crezcan más rápidamente que los del mercado Australian (5.7% al año).

Ingresos de alto crecimiento: Se prevé que los ingresos 6.5% al año) de STO crezcan más despacio que 20% al año.


Previsiones de crecimiento de los beneficios por acción


Rentabilidad financiera futura

ROE futura: Se prevé que la rentabilidad financiera de STO sea baja dentro de 3 años (9.3%).


Descubre empresas en crecimiento

Análisis de la empresa y estado de los datos financieros

DatosÚltima actualización (huso horario UTC)
Análisis de la empresa2026/07/22 17:40
Precio de las acciones al final del día2026/07/22 00:00
Beneficios2025/12/31
Ingresos anuales2025/12/31

Fuentes de datos

Los datos utilizados en nuestro análisis de empresas proceden de S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Los siguientes datos se utilizan en nuestro modelo de análisis para generar este informe. Los datos están normalizados, lo que puede introducir un retraso desde que la fuente está disponible.

PaqueteDatosMarco temporalEjemplo Fuente EE.UU. *
Finanzas de la empresa10 años
  • Cuenta de resultados
  • Estado de tesorería
  • Balance
Estimaciones del consenso de analistas+3 años
  • Previsiones financieras
  • Objetivos de precios de los analistas
Precios de mercado30 años
  • Precios de las acciones
  • Dividendos, escisiones y acciones
Propiedad10 años
  • Accionistas principales
  • Información privilegiada
Gestión10 años
  • Equipo directivo
  • Consejo de Administración
Principales avances10 años
  • Anuncios de empresas

* Ejemplo para valores de EE.UU., para no EE.UU. se utilizan formularios y fuentes normativas equivalentes.

A menos que se especifique lo contrario, todos los datos financieros se basan en un periodo anual, pero se actualizan trimestralmente. Esto se conoce como datos de los últimos doce meses (TTM) o de los últimos doce meses (LTM). Más información.

Modelo de análisis y copo de nieve

Los detalles del modelo de análisis utilizado para generar este informe están disponibles en nuestra página de Github, también tenemos guías sobre cómo utilizar nuestros informes y tutoriales en Youtube.

Conozca al equipo de talla mundial que diseñó y construyó el modelo de análisis Simply Wall St.

Métricas industriales y sectoriales

Simply Wall St calcula cada 6 horas nuestras métricas sectoriales y de sección. Los detalles de nuestro proceso están disponibles en Github.

Fuentes analistas

Santos Limited está cubierta por 19 analistas. 11 de esos analistas presentaron las estimaciones de ingresos o ganancias utilizadas como datos para nuestro informe. Las estimaciones de los analistas se actualizan a lo largo del día.

AnalistaInstitución
Dale KoendersBarrenjoey Markets Pty Limited
NEIL BEVERIDGEBernstein
Matt ChalmersBofA Global Research