PACCAR Valuation

Is PCAR undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Por debajo del valor justo

  • Muy por debajo del valor justo

  • Price-To-Earnings vs. similares

  • Price-To-Earnings vs. Industria

  • PM vs. Ratio Justo

  • Pronóstico de los analistas

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of PCAR when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Por debajo del valor justo: PCAR (€99.26) cotiza por encima de nuestra estimación de valor razonable (€64.87)

Muy por debajo del valor justo: PCAR cotiza por encima de nuestra estimación del valor razonable.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for PCAR?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

PCAR key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue2x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA10.8x
PEG Ratio-29x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does PCAR's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for PCAR vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average21.6x
PAL Palfinger
7.3x5.5%€787.5m
ANDR Andritz
11.1x6.3%€5.7b
VOLV B AB Volvo
12x2.2%kr601.1b
CMI Cummins
55.9x26.7%US$41.1b
PCAR PACCAR
14x-0.5%€64.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs. similares: PCAR es un buen valor basado en su Ratio Price-To-Earnings (14.1x) comparado con la media de sus homólogos (21.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does PCAR's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Machinery Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a10.5%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a10.5%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs. Industria: PCAR es un buen valor basado en su Ratio Price-To-Earnings (12.2x) comparado con la media del sector European Machinery (14.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is PCAR's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

PCAR PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio14x
Fair PE Ratio12.8x

PM vs. Ratio Justo: PCAR es caro en función de su Ratio Price-To-Earnings (12.2x) comparado con el Ratio Price-To-Earnings estimado (9x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst PCAR forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€112.98
€101.99
-9.7%
13.0%€126.30€78.01n/a21
Apr ’25€114.72
€100.96
-12.0%
12.7%€125.57€77.56n/a21
Mar ’25€103.80
€95.48
-8.0%
9.9%€115.63€77.70n/a19
Feb ’25€93.15
€94.80
+1.8%
10.5%€115.69€77.74n/a19
Jan ’25€88.38
€84.83
-4.0%
12.2%€105.43€70.89n/a18
Dec ’24€85.25
€87.53
+2.7%
11.2%€108.82€73.81n/a18
Nov ’24€77.17
€87.53
+13.4%
11.2%€108.82€73.81n/a18
Oct ’24€80.86
€84.40
+4.4%
10.3%€109.47€70.44n/a18
Sep ’24€76.84
€81.21
+5.7%
10.8%€104.74€67.40n/a20
Aug ’24€78.52
€80.07
+2.0%
11.4%€104.86€67.47n/a20
Jul ’24€76.48
€73.71
-3.6%
5.2%€82.81€67.17n/a19
Jun ’24€64.50
€75.51
+17.1%
8.0%€96.38€68.31n/a21
May ’24€65.65
€72.65
+10.7%
9.1%€93.44€64.41n/a19
Apr ’24€67.03
€69.06
+3.0%
10.9%€90.35€56.24€114.7219
Mar ’24€67.92
€70.46
+3.7%
11.2%€92.38€57.50€103.8018
Feb ’24€66.88
€66.38
-0.7%
11.1%€88.60€55.22€93.1518
Jan ’24€61.30
€64.54
+5.3%
10.5%€85.42€56.53€88.3817
Dec ’23€67.35
€63.54
-5.7%
5.4%€69.09€58.11€85.2517
Nov ’23€65.39
€64.77
-0.9%
5.6%€70.76€59.51€77.1718
Oct ’23€58.07
€64.68
+11.4%
7.8%€72.59€55.47€80.8618
Sep ’23€58.49
€63.07
+7.8%
7.8%€70.83€54.12€76.8418
Aug ’23€59.24
€61.39
+3.6%
7.6%€69.23€52.90€78.5218
Jul ’23€52.49
€61.40
+17.0%
8.1%€71.57€53.83€76.4818
Jun ’23€54.70
€60.59
+10.8%
8.2%€70.71€53.19€64.5018
May ’23€53.50
€61.51
+15.0%
8.2%€71.70€53.94€65.6518
Apr ’23€51.51
€60.82
+18.1%
7.2%€69.18€51.58€67.0318

Pronóstico de los analistas: El precio objetivo es inferior al precio actual de la acción.


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