trivago N.V.

NasdaqGS:TRVG Stock Report

Market Cap: US$198.2m

trivago Valuation

Is TRVG undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Future Cash Flow Value

What is the Fair Price of TRVG when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Ultimate guide to DCF valuation for stock investing

Learn how to determine fair value like the best investors in the world.

Below Future Cash Flow Value: TRVG ($2.81) is trading below our estimate of future cash flow value ($10.7)

Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value: TRVG is trading below future cash flow value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for TRVG?

Key metric: As TRVG is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for TRVG. This is calculated by dividing TRVG's market cap by their current earnings.
What is TRVG's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio94.5x
Earnings€1.79m
Market Cap€169.38m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does TRVG's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for TRVG vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average12.2x
CANP.Y Cian
12.9xn/aUS$237.9m
AREN Arena Group Holdings
6.1x-30.28%US$197.5m
ZH Zhihu
21.8x-61.45%US$311.6m
TZOO Travelzoo
7.9x21.27%US$64.4m
TRVG trivago
94.5x38.45%US$198.2m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: TRVG is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (94.5x) compared to the peer average (12.3x).

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio compares a stock's price to its earnings over time. Higher ratios indicate that investors are willing to pay more for the stock.

Fetching historical data

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does TRVG's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Interactive Media and Services Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
JOYY JOYY
2x-82.24%US$3.47b
JFU 9F
1.9xn/aUS$72.29m
CHR Cheer Holding
0.4xn/aUS$7.83m
REDF.Y Rediff.com India
0.06xn/aUS$36.20k
No more companies available in this PE range
TRVG 94.5xIndustry Avg. 15.5xNo. of Companies5PE01224364860+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: TRVG is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (94.5x) compared to the US Interactive Media and Services industry average (15.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is TRVG's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

TRVG PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio94.5x
Fair PE Ratio23.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: TRVG is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (94.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.9x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst TRVG forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$2.81
US$4.13
+47.07%
29.19%US$6.09US$3.01n/a4
Jan ’27US$2.90
US$4.02
+38.65%
25.54%US$6.05US$3.00n/a6
Dec ’26US$3.17
US$4.02
+26.84%
25.54%US$6.05US$3.00n/a6
Nov ’26US$3.22
US$4.21
+30.78%
15.32%US$5.51US$3.47n/a6
Oct ’26US$3.29
US$4.24
+29.00%
15.23%US$5.54US$3.50n/a6
Sep ’26US$3.36
US$4.37
+30.08%
13.80%US$5.51US$3.80n/a5
Aug ’26US$3.94
US$4.93
+25.05%
12.87%US$5.65US$4.10n/a5
Jul ’26US$3.86
US$4.81
+24.64%
12.87%US$5.52US$4.01n/a5
Jun ’26US$4.03
US$4.81
+19.38%
12.87%US$5.52US$4.01n/a5
May ’26US$5.20
US$4.46
-14.14%
13.65%US$5.51US$3.82n/a5
Apr ’26US$4.47
US$3.88
-13.29%
10.23%US$4.50US$3.27n/a6
Mar ’26US$4.26
US$3.45
-19.07%
13.26%US$4.05US$2.62n/a6
Feb ’26US$2.83
US$2.24
-20.71%
19.23%US$2.90US$1.69n/a6
Jan ’26US$2.18
US$2.24
+2.93%
19.23%US$2.90US$1.69US$2.906
Dec ’25US$2.17
US$2.18
+0.52%
20.16%US$3.00US$1.75US$3.176
Nov ’25US$1.68
US$2.47
+47.26%
15.15%US$3.00US$2.14US$3.226
Oct ’25US$1.73
US$2.55
+47.13%
15.05%US$3.09US$2.20US$3.296
Sep ’25US$2.02
US$2.55
+26.01%
15.05%US$3.09US$2.20US$3.366
Aug ’25US$2.10
US$2.55
+21.65%
13.40%US$3.00US$2.20US$3.946
Jul ’25US$2.03
US$2.74
+35.18%
13.59%US$3.49US$2.24US$3.867
Jun ’25US$2.34
US$2.74
+17.29%
13.85%US$3.52US$2.24US$4.037
May ’25US$2.51
US$2.73
+8.90%
13.92%US$3.50US$2.23US$5.207
Apr ’25US$3.02
US$2.86
-5.26%
19.29%US$4.00US$2.25US$4.477
Mar ’25US$2.57
US$2.86
+11.33%
19.29%US$4.00US$2.25US$4.267
Feb ’25US$2.49
US$4.24
+70.46%
42.34%US$6.47US$2.49US$2.837
Jan ’25US$2.44
US$5.11
+109.53%
41.13%US$7.80US$2.53US$2.187
US$4.13
Fair Value
32.0% undervalued intrinsic discount
4
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/01/21 22:41
End of Day Share Price 2026/01/21 00:00
Earnings2025/09/30
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

trivago N.V. is covered by 15 analysts. 5 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Nathaniel SchindlerBofA Global Research
Naved KhanB. Riley Securities, Inc.
James FullerBTIG