Top 5 Solar Energy Stocks

Top 5 Solar Energy Stocks

UPDATED Dec 21, 2024

Solar energy stocks offer investments in a clean, renewable, and abundant resource while the solar energy market is experiencing both organic and state subsidized growth. In our analysis, we filtered through the solar industry and selected companies with a mix of innovation and growth potential. We focused on quality companies that you can put on your watchlist, but their equity has different risk profiles and should be examined individually.

There are roughly three ways to invest in solar: decentralized residential systems, innovation alpha, and industrial solar electricity production. The companies in this collection are a mix of these categories as we aimed to prepare a balanced list.

In the grand scheme of things, solar is a small part of the electricity market. Electricity consumption in the U.S. was around 3.94 terawatts (TW, equal to 1000 gigawatt/GW) in 2021, with solar making up 71GW or 1.8%. The fastest way to supercharge solar generation is with decentralized installations that have a two-way connection to a grid. This means that it is much more effective if people manage to turn solar power into a profitable home investment, instead of relying on companies to build large solar farms. However, there are soft - regulatory and cultural bottlenecks in this vision, as well as the hard bottleneck of sustainable lithium-ion battery production.

Initiatives like the Inflation Reduction Act of 2022 (IRA) intend to spur renewable energy growth, allowing both adopters and investors to benefit. The program allocates US$369 billion to renewables, aimed to produce 155 gigawatts of additional solar and wind energy capacity in the U.S. by 2030 - equating to a 35% boost for utility-scale solar photovoltaics. Investors in this field are also supported by the US senate, which aims to deliver US$60 billion in subsidies to clean energy companies, and US$280 billion subsidies from the chips act.

A common misconception for solar power is that it needs to be closer to the equator because the temperature is warmer, however solar panels need sun hours, not heat, which means that panes will be effective as long as there is sunlight exposure, even if they are located in colder regions like Canada, giving the technology a wider reach.

Analyst’s Notes

The most recent catalyst to dramatically accelerate the growth of the solar industry is the Inflation Reduction Act of 2022. With it, US$369 billion is being allocated to U.S. renewables. The Renewable Energy Subsidy program would boost renewable infrastructure with 155 gigawatts of additional solar and wind energy capacity in the U.S. by 2030 - Equating to a 35% boost for utility-scale solar photovoltaics.

Before the bill, the U.S. was on track to have cumulative totals of nearly 200 GW solar. Now, with the expansion of renewable energy tax credits under the law, the 2030 total is expected to be 270 GW.

Utility-scale solar capacity (excluding home installations) in the U.S. at the beginning of this year stood at about 71 GW, so the expected increase to 270 GW would mean a near-quadrupling of capacity by the end of the decade.

The U.S. currently has approximately 11 gigawatts of photovoltaic module production capacity, according to consultancy Wood Mackenzie, out of a global capacity approaching 500 gigawatts as of 2021. China is home to 70 to 98 percent of the world’s production capacity for the silicon-based materials and components in PV panels, according to S&P Global. China has invested more than US$50 billion in solar PV manufacturing capacity since 2011, the International Energy Agency recently reported.

As Canary Media’s Jeff St. John recently explained, "This could offer solar projects a potentially more lucrative tax credit value since the cost of solar projects is declining compared to the value of the electricity they will produce over time."

1 company

A solar technology and energy services provider, offers solar, storage, and home energy solutions primarily in the United States and Canada.

Why SPWR.Q?

Residential solar company partnering with EV manufacturers

SunPower Corporation offers solar, storage, and home energy solutions to customers primarily in the United States and Canada. The company focuses on a complete solar roofing solution for residential clients. SunPower is a subsidiary of TotalEnergies.

SunPower is one of the larger providers with around 75k expected clients for 2022. The company has around 10% U.S. market share in the residential solar segment and expects to incrementally grow its client base by 20k annually.

The company is also entering the (EV) space as a preferred partner for General Motors (NYSE:GM), which makes SunPower a preferred EV charger installation provider and GM’s exclusive solar provider. As EVs can be charged at home, SunPower aims to provide renewable solutions for charging that will work with GM’s EVs such as the Chevrolet Silverado EV, which is expected to launch in the fall of 2023.

The company stands to benefit from the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) which was signed on August 16, 2022. The IRA allows qualifying homeowners to credit 30% of the cost of the solar or solar paired battery storage system from their U.S. federal income taxes. The tax credits will remain at 30% through the end of 2032, reduce to 26% for 2033, reduce to 22% for 2034, and further reduce to 0% or 10% after the end of 2034. This is likely to spur residential solar installations and increase the value of companies like SunPower. Incentives like this will assist with customer acquisition and in turn, provide a healthy boost to residential segment clients as the prospect of securing a complete solar system before the tax credits decline is too alluring.

In 2021 SunPower moved to optimize operations by implementing a restructuring and closed their manufacturing plant in Hillsboro, Oregon. They also reduced their principal debt balance and paid off 2 outstanding loans, totaling $92.5 million.

Investors that want to hold a residential solar roofing system company in their portfolio can explore SunPower.

Risks

  • Highly volatile share price over the past 3 months compared to the US market

  • Does not have a meaningful market cap ($22K)

  • Shareholders have been diluted in the past year

  • Latest financial reports are more than 6 months old

  • Currently unprofitable and not forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years

View all Risks and Rewards

Simply Wall St analyst Goran Damchevski and Simply Wall St have no position in any of the companies mentioned.