nCino Zukünftiges Wachstum
Future Kriterienprüfungen 3/6
nCino wird ein jährliches Gewinn- und Umsatzwachstum von 54.7% bzw. 8.1% prognostiziert. Der Gewinn pro Aktie wird voraussichtlich wachsen um 54.4% pro Jahr. Die Eigenkapitalrendite wird in 3 Jahren voraussichtlich 15.6% betragen.
Wichtige Informationen
54.7%
Wachstumsrate der Gewinne
54.41%
EPS-Wachstumsrate
| Software Gewinnwachstum | 20.4% |
| Wachstumsrate der Einnahmen | 8.1% |
| Zukünftige Eigenkapitalrendite | 15.58% |
| Analystenabdeckung | Good |
| Zuletzt aktualisiert | 10 Jun 2026 |
Jüngste Aktualisierungen zum künftigen Wachstum
Recent updates
Narrativ-Update • Jun 12
NCNO: AI Adoption And New Banking Wins Will Support Future Repricing
Analysts have trimmed the nCino price target from about $23.31 to $23.08, reflecting updated assumptions around discount rates, profitability, and AI related execution risks, even as they point to early stage AI adoption and the potential for nCino to further integrate these tools into its platform. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around nCino clusters around how quickly the company can execute on its AI roadmap and what that means for valuation and growth.Narrativ-Update • May 29
NCNO: AI Integration And New Banking Wins Will Drive Future Repricing
Analysts have trimmed nCino's fair value estimate to about $23.31 from roughly $23.86, as a series of price target cuts to $23 and $21 reflect both execution risk around deeper AI adoption and the view that current valuation already incorporates much of the long-term disruption risk, while still leaving room if the company successfully integrates AI into its platform. Analyst Commentary Recent research shows a split view on nCino, with several firms cutting price targets into the low US$20s while maintaining a range of ratings from Outperform to Neutral.Seeking Alpha • May 28
nCino Is Finally Investable After A Stellar Quarter (Upgrade)
Summary nCino, Inc. is upgraded from Sell to Hold after strong Q1 FY27 results and improved fundamentals. NCNO delivered 10.6% revenue growth to $159.4M, with margin expansion and robust international subscription growth. Management guides FY27 revenue to $642–646M and non-GAAP operating income to $166–171M, driven by subscription momentum. Valuation remains lofty on an EV/EBITDA basis, but rapid growth and margin gains support a more neutral outlook. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaNarrativ-Update • May 03
NCNO: AI Adoption And Banking Wins Will Support Future Repricing
The average analyst price target on nCino edges slightly lower to about $23.86 from $24.00, as analysts recalibrate expectations in response to a series of target cuts across the vertical software group that are only partly offset by a few upward revisions and an upgrade. Analyst Commentary Street research on nCino has turned more mixed, with a cluster of target cuts across the vertical software group and a smaller set of price target increases and an upgrade supporting the stock.Narrativ-Update • Apr 19
NCNO: AI Agent Adoption And Moat Resilience Will Support Repricing
Analysts have trimmed their average price targets on nCino by single to mid teens dollar amounts, with reductions of up to $15 partially offset by smaller $1 to $2 increases, as they reassess sector risks and the impact of AI on competitive moats in vertical software. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on nCino points to a mixed setup, with several price target cuts offset by a smaller group of modest upward adjustments.Narrativ-Update • Apr 03
NCNO: AI Moat Resilience And Lending Workflow Adoption Will Support Repricing
The updated analyst price target for nCino has been revised to $24.00 from $33.14 as analysts reset valuation assumptions following a series of mixed target cuts and a few modest raises across the Street. Analyst Commentary Analysts are split on nCino, with several firms trimming price targets by wide margins while a smaller group is lifting targets or upgrading the stock.Narrativ-Update • Mar 20
NCNO: AI Moat Resilience And Mortgage Workflow Automation Will Support Repricing
Analysts trimmed nCino's price target to $16 from $30, citing broad concern that the rapid spread of AI could pressure competitive moats across vertical software names and weigh on valuation support. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research has centered on how rapid AI adoption could affect nCino's long term positioning and valuation.Narrativ-Update • Mar 05
NCNO: AI Moat Execution And Buybacks Will Support Future Repricing
Analysts have cut their price target on nCino to $16 from $30, citing broad pressure across vertical software names as rapid AI adoption raises fresh questions about competitive moats and long term defensibility. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Some bullish analysts see the lower US$16 price target as a reset that better aligns expectations with current sector sentiment, which can reduce pressure on nCino to deliver near term outperformance.
Neues Narrativ • Mar 05
Slow AI Adoption And Tough Renewals Will Eventually Reward Patient Belief In Modernization
Catalysts About nCino nCino provides a unified cloud platform that financial institutions use to manage lending, onboarding, account opening and portfolio management. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?Narrativ-Update • Feb 19
NCNO: AI Execution And Buybacks Will Support Future Multiple Expansion
Analysts have reduced their price target on nCino to $16 from $30. This reflects sector-wide pressure on vertical software valuations as rapid AI adoption raises new questions about competitive moats and long-term defensibility.
Neues Narrativ • Feb 18
AI Banking Adoption And International Expansion Will Support A Stronger Long Term Outlook
Catalysts About nCino nCino provides a unified, cloud based operating platform that helps financial institutions run lending, onboarding, account opening and portfolio management. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?Analyseartikel • Feb 16
Some Confidence Is Lacking In nCino, Inc. (NASDAQ:NCNO) As Shares Slide 33%
The nCino, Inc. ( NASDAQ:NCNO ) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 33...Narrativ-Update • Jan 22
NCNO: Q3 Beat And Raise Setup May Drive Future Multiple Expansion
Narrative Update The analyst price target for nCino has been trimmed by about US$0.64 to reflect slightly lower fair value. Analysts still highlight what they see as an achievable near term setup, a potential Q3 beat and raise, and progress toward FY25 ACV and Rule of 40 goals that could support the current P/E multiple.Narrativ-Update • Jan 08
NCNO: Potential Q3 Beat And Raise Could Drive Multiple Expansion
Analysts recently trimmed their nCino fair value estimate by about $0.75 to roughly $34.79, tying the adjustment to updated views on achievable near term performance targets, potential Q3 "beat and raise" outcomes, and expectations that progress toward FY25 ACV and Rule of 40 goals could still support P/E multiple expansion over time. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts see the current setup as achievable in the near term, which they argue reduces execution risk around upcoming quarters.Analyseartikel • Dec 01
Is nCino, Inc. (NASDAQ:NCNO) Trading At A 25% Discount?
Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, nCino fair value estimate is US$32.92 nCino's US$24.70 share...Narrativ-Update • Aug 28
AI-Driven Banking And Cloud Platforms Will Expand Global Reach
nCino’s price target has been raised to $35.18 as stronger-than-expected Q2 results, accelerating subscription growth, strategic expansion initiatives, and increasing confidence in margin improvement outweigh valuation concerns and near-term reacceleration risks. Analyst Commentary Positive Q2 results with subscription revenue and profit exceeding expectations, notably driven by better-than-expected mortgage volumes and strong execution, supporting upward estimate revisions.Analyseartikel • Jul 29
nCino (NASDAQ:NCNO) Is Making Moderate Use Of Debt
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...Neues Narrativ • May 17
AI Banking And nSight Launch Will Broaden Digital Banking Services
Strategic pivot to AI banking and product enhancements are expected to drive revenue growth and improve customer retention and efficiency.Analyseartikel • May 06
Estimating The Fair Value Of nCino, Inc. (NASDAQ:NCNO)
Key Insights The projected fair value for nCino is US$27.26 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity nCino's US$22.25...Analyseartikel • Apr 04
Risks Still Elevated At These Prices As nCino, Inc. (NASDAQ:NCNO) Shares Dive 28%
To the annoyance of some shareholders, nCino, Inc. ( NASDAQ:NCNO ) shares are down a considerable 28% in the last...Analyseartikel • Mar 26
Is nCino (NASDAQ:NCNO) A Risky Investment?
Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that...Seeking Alpha • Jan 15
nCino, Inc.: Rising Rates Heavily Impact Growth Outlook (Rating Downgrade)
Summary I am downgrading nCino, Inc. to a hold rating due to macroeconomic pressures and heightened competition impacting growth prospects. The higher-for-longer interest rate environment is negatively affecting the US housing market, leading to reduced mortgage demand and higher churn for NCNO. Given these challenges, I see limited upside for NCNO in the near term and recommend staying away from the stock. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalyseartikel • Jan 12
Is nCino, Inc. (NASDAQ:NCNO) Trading At A 23% Discount?
Key Insights nCino's estimated fair value is US$42.20 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Current share price of...Gewinn- und Umsatzwachstumsprognosen
| Datum | Umsatz | Gewinne | Freier Cashflow | Bargeld aus operativen Tätigkeiten | Durchschn. Anz. Analysten |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1/31/2029 | 765 | 116 | 216 | 221 | 5 |
| 1/31/2028 | 702 | 63 | 171 | 178 | 14 |
| 1/31/2027 | 645 | 38 | 138 | 143 | 14 |
| 4/30/2026 | 610 | 13 | 111 | 117 | N/A |
| 1/31/2026 | 595 | 5 | 83 | 90 | N/A |
| 10/31/2025 | 586 | -22 | 60 | 67 | N/A |
| 7/31/2025 | 573 | -34 | 60 | 68 | N/A |
| 4/30/2025 | 557 | -29 | 52 | 55 | N/A |
| 1/31/2025 | 541 | -38 | 53 | 55 | N/A |
| 10/31/2024 | 523 | -18 | 71 | 73 | N/A |
| 7/31/2024 | 506 | -29 | 71 | 73 | N/A |
| 4/30/2024 | 491 | -34 | 78 | 80 | N/A |
| 1/31/2024 | 477 | -42 | 53 | 57 | N/A |
| 10/31/2023 | 462 | -65 | 19 | 27 | N/A |
| 7/31/2023 | 445 | -72 | 5 | 17 | N/A |
| 4/30/2023 | 428 | -83 | -1 | 15 | N/A |
| 1/31/2023 | 408 | -103 | -34 | -15 | N/A |
| 10/31/2022 | 374 | -89 | -31 | -14 | N/A |
| 7/31/2022 | 339 | -79 | -43 | -29 | N/A |
| 4/30/2022 | 306 | -65 | -35 | -26 | N/A |
| 1/31/2022 | 274 | -49 | -25 | -19 | N/A |
| 10/31/2021 | 255 | -54 | -14 | -10 | N/A |
| 7/31/2021 | 240 | -50 | -4 | -2 | N/A |
| 4/30/2021 | 222 | -51 | 5 | 8 | N/A |
| 1/31/2021 | 204 | -41 | 5 | 9 | N/A |
| 10/31/2020 | 186 | -38 | 4 | 10 | N/A |
| 7/31/2020 | 170 | -35 | 6 | 12 | N/A |
| 4/30/2020 | 153 | -29 | -12 | -5 | N/A |
| 1/31/2020 | 138 | -28 | N/A | -9 | N/A |
| 1/31/2019 | 92 | -22 | N/A | -5 | N/A |
| 1/31/2018 | 58 | -19 | N/A | -16 | N/A |
Analystenprognosen zum zukünftigen Wachstum
Einkommen vs. Sparrate: NCNODas prognostizierte Gewinnwachstum (54.7% pro Jahr) liegt über der Sparquote (3.5%).
Ertrag vs. Markt: NCNODie Erträge des Unternehmens (54.7% pro Jahr) werden voraussichtlich schneller wachsen als der Markt US (18.5% pro Jahr).
Hohe Wachstumserträge: NCNOEs wird erwartet, dass die Erträge des Unternehmens in den nächsten 3 Jahren erheblich steigen werden.
Einnahmen vs. Markt: NCNODie Einnahmen des Unternehmens (8.1% pro Jahr) werden voraussichtlich langsamer wachsen als der Markt US (12.7% pro Jahr).
Hohe Wachstumseinnahmen: NCNODie Einnahmen des Unternehmens (8.1% pro Jahr) werden voraussichtlich langsamer wachsen als 20% pro Jahr.
Wachstumsprognosen für den Gewinn je Aktie
Künftige Eigenkapitalrendite
Künftige Eigenkapitalrendite: NCNODie Eigenkapitalrendite des Unternehmens wird in 3 Jahren voraussichtlich niedrig sein (15.6%).
Wachstumsunternehmen entdecken
Unternehmensanalyse und Finanzdaten Status
| Daten | Zuletzt aktualisiert (UTC-Zeit) |
|---|---|
| Unternehmensanalyse | 2026/06/15 22:08 |
| Aktienkurs zum Tagesende | 2026/06/15 00:00 |
| Gewinne | 2026/04/30 |
| Jährliche Einnahmen | 2026/01/31 |
Datenquellen
Die in unserer Unternehmensanalyse verwendeten Daten stammen von S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Die folgenden Daten werden in unserem Analysemodell verwendet, um diesen Bericht zu erstellen. Die Daten sind normalisiert, was zu einer Verzögerung bei der Verfügbarkeit der Quelle führen kann.
| Paket | Daten | Zeitrahmen | Beispiel US-Quelle * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Finanzdaten des Unternehmens | 10 Jahre |
| |
| Konsensschätzungen der Analysten | +3 Jahre |
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| Marktpreise | 30 Jahre |
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| Eigentümerschaft | 10 Jahre |
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| Verwaltung | 10 Jahre |
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| Wichtige Entwicklungen | 10 Jahre |
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* Beispiel für US-Wertpapiere, für nicht-US-amerikanische Wertpapiere werden gleichwertige regulatorische Formulare und Quellen verwendet.
Sofern nicht anders angegeben, beziehen sich alle Finanzdaten auf einen Jahreszeitraum, werden aber vierteljährlich aktualisiert. Dies wird als Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) oder Last Twelve Month (LTM) Daten bezeichnet. Erfahren Sie mehr.
Analysemodell und Schneeflocke
Einzelheiten zu dem Analysemodell, mit dem dieser Bericht erstellt wurde, finden Sie auf unserer Github-Seite. Außerdem bieten wir Leitfäden zur Verwendung unserer Berichte und Tutorials auf YouTube an.
Erfahren Sie mehr über das Weltklasse-Team, das das Simply Wall St-Analysemodell entworfen und entwickelt hat.
Metriken für Industrie und Sektor
Unsere Branchen- und Sektionskennzahlen werden alle 6 Stunden von Simply Wall St berechnet. Details zu unserem Verfahren finden Sie auf Github.
Analysten-Quellen
nCino, Inc. wird von 22 Analysten beobachtet. 14 dieser Analysten hat die Umsatz- oder Gewinnschätzungen übermittelt, die als Grundlage für unseren Bericht dienen. Die von den Analysten übermittelten Daten werden im Laufe des Tages aktualisiert.
| Analyst | Einrichtung |
|---|---|
| Joseph Vruwink | Baird |
| Saket Kalia | Barclays |
| Koji Ikeda | BofA Global Research |