Shoe Carnival Zukünftiges Wachstum
Future Kriterienprüfungen 1/6
Shoe Carnival wird ein jährliches Gewinn- und Umsatzwachstum von 3.9% bzw. 1.9% prognostiziert. Der Gewinn pro Aktie wird voraussichtlich wachsen um 3.5% pro Jahr. Die Eigenkapitalrendite wird in 3 Jahren voraussichtlich 7.5% betragen.
Wichtige Informationen
3.9%
Wachstumsrate der Gewinne
3.46%
EPS-Wachstumsrate
| Specialty Retail Gewinnwachstum | 9.8% |
| Wachstumsrate der Einnahmen | 1.9% |
| Zukünftige Eigenkapitalrendite | 7.50% |
| Analystenabdeckung | Low |
| Zuletzt aktualisiert | 01 Apr 2026 |
Jüngste Aktualisierungen zum künftigen Wachstum
Recent updates
Seeking Alpha • Mar 30
Shoe Carnival's Rebannering Plan Might Not Be Going Well (Rating Downgrade)
Summary Shoe Carnival faces challenges as its rebannering to higher-end Shoe Station stores underperforms expectations, with negative comps and flat gross margins. SCVL's transformation is hindered by a slowing sneaker market, consumer spending pressure, and upcoming 2026 tariff impacts that will further constrain margins. With a forward P/E of 10.66, SCVL's valuation is in line with peers, but 2026 EPS is likely at the low end of guidance ($1.40), implying 7% downside. I downgrade SCVL to hold as the rebannering strategy's risks and execution uncertainty outweigh near-term value potential. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Analyse-Update • Feb 23
SCVL: Index Removals Will Pressure Overvalued Shares Despite New Buyback
Analysts have kept Shoe Carnival's fair value estimate steady at $19.00, with only small tweaks to inputs such as the discount rate and future P/E assumptions shaping this price target update. What's in the News Shoe Carnival, Inc.Analyse-Update • Feb 09
SCVL: Index Removals And Buybacks Will Guide A Steady Valuation Outlook
Analysts have maintained their Shoe Carnival fair value estimate at $19.00. The slight adjustment in the discount rate and future P/E reflects updated views on the company’s risk profile and expected earnings multiple, rather than a change in the headline price target.Analyseartikel • Feb 05
Shoe Carnival, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:SCVL) Shares Lagging The Market But So Is The Business
With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 9.7x Shoe Carnival, Inc. ( NASDAQ:SCVL ) may be sending very bullish...Analyse-Update • Jan 25
SCVL: Index Removals And Buybacks Will Shape A Steady Forward Outlook
Analysts kept their fair value estimate for Shoe Carnival steady at US$19.00. They pointed to only slight tweaks in discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions that did not materially change their price target view.Analyse-Update • Jan 10
SCVL: Index Removals And Buyback Plan Will Frame A Steady Outlook
Analysts kept their fair value estimate for Shoe Carnival steady at $19.00, with only slight adjustments to inputs such as the discount rate and assumed future P/E that reflect fine tuning rather than a shift in their core view. What's in the News Shoe Carnival was removed from several S&P benchmarks, including the S&P 600, S&P 600 Consumer Discretionary sector, S&P 1000, and S&P Composite 1500 indices.Analyse-Update • Dec 20
SCVL: Share Repurchases And Guidance Will Support Fairly Valued Outlook
Analysts have modestly raised their price target on Shoe Carnival to approximately $19.00, citing slightly higher discount rate and future earnings multiple assumptions while keeping revenue growth and profit margin expectations effectively unchanged. What's in the News The Board of Directors authorized a new share repurchase plan allowing Shoe Carnival to buy back up to $50 million of its stock, funded from cash on hand, with the program running through December 31, 2026 (share repurchase announcement).Analyse-Update • Dec 06
SCVL: Value Positioning Will Support Guidance Amid Rebanner Progress And Earnings Reset
Analysts have nudged their price target on Shoe Carnival slightly higher to approximately $19.00 per share, reflecting modestly lower discount rate assumptions while maintaining broadly unchanged expectations for revenue growth, profit margins, and future valuation multiples. What's in the News Shoe Carnival reaffirmed its Fiscal 2025 net sales outlook while raising the lower end of its EPS guidance to a range of $1.80 to $2.10, reflecting stronger third quarter results and faster progress on store rebanners (Corporate guidance, raised).Analyse-Update • Nov 21
SCVL: Value-Focused Positioning Will Appeal To Budget-Conscious Shoppers Ahead
Narrative Update: Shoe Carnival Analyst Price Target Analysts have lowered Shoe Carnival’s fair value estimate from $22.00 to $19.00, citing weaker-than-expected back-to-school sales and a more cautious outlook on the company’s growth and profitability metrics. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts note that the company’s value-driven positioning could appeal to budget-conscious consumers, especially in uncertain economic conditions.Analyseartikel • Sep 08
Shoe Carnival, Inc. (NASDAQ:SCVL) Held Back By Insufficient Growth Even After Shares Climb 26%
Shoe Carnival, Inc. ( NASDAQ:SCVL ) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 26% share price jump in the...Analyseartikel • Sep 05
Is There An Opportunity With Shoe Carnival, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:SCVL) 25% Undervaluation?
Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Shoe Carnival fair value estimate is US$34.46 Shoe Carnival is...Analyse-Update • Aug 27
Rebanner Expansion Will Attract Premium Shoppers Yet Will Face Uncertainties
The downward revision in Shoe Carnival's price target reflects weaker fundamentals, notably a decline in both expected revenue growth and net profit margin, resulting in a new fair value estimate of $21.00. What's in the News No shares repurchased under the buyback program announced on December 12, 2024.Analyseartikel • Jul 07
Shoe Carnival, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:SCVL) Share Price Is Matching Sentiment Around Its Earnings
When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 19x, you may...Analyseartikel • Mar 27
Shoe Carnival's (NASDAQ:SCVL) Dividend Will Be Increased To $0.15
Shoe Carnival, Inc. ( NASDAQ:SCVL ) has announced that it will be increasing its dividend from last year's comparable...Seeking Alpha • Mar 21
I Still Like Growth Prospects At Shoe Carnival, But Have A Hold For Now
Summary Shoe Carnival remains debt-free with plans for organic and acquired growth, but I have downgraded my rating from Buy to Hold pending evidence of growth strategy success. Despite modestly better fiscal 2024 results, the share price has fallen, and the company faces negative EPS revisions and declining growth compared to peers. The rebranding to Shoe Station aims to improve margins, supported by a strong balance sheet, growing dividends, and share repurchases. While the stock's valuation may not appeal to all investors, its potential for growth makes it a possibility among growth investors. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalyseartikel • Mar 11
Here's What To Make Of Shoe Carnival's (NASDAQ:SCVL) Decelerating Rates Of Return
What are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term...Analyseartikel • Feb 19
Shoe Carnival, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:SCVL) Low P/E No Reason For Excitement
With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 8.5x Shoe Carnival, Inc. ( NASDAQ:SCVL ) may be sending very bullish...Analyseartikel • Jan 02
At US$33.08, Is It Time To Put Shoe Carnival, Inc. (NASDAQ:SCVL) On Your Watch List?
Shoe Carnival, Inc. ( NASDAQ:SCVL ), is not the largest company out there, but it received a lot of attention from a...Analyseartikel • Nov 24
Shoe Carnival, Inc. (NASDAQ:SCVL) Just Reported Third-Quarter Earnings: Have Analysts Changed Their Mind On The Stock?
Last week, you might have seen that Shoe Carnival, Inc. ( NASDAQ:SCVL ) released its third-quarter result to the...Analyseartikel • Nov 22
Shoe Carnival (NASDAQ:SCVL) Has Some Way To Go To Become A Multi-Bagger
Finding a business that has the potential to grow substantially is not easy, but it is possible if we look at a few key...Analyseartikel • Nov 07
Shoe Carnival, Inc. (NASDAQ:SCVL) Shares Could Be 27% Below Their Intrinsic Value Estimate
Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Shoe Carnival fair value estimate is US$51.87 Shoe Carnival is...Analyseartikel • Sep 21
Shoe Carnival, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:SCVL) Earnings Are Not Doing Enough For Some Investors
Shoe Carnival, Inc.'s ( NASDAQ:SCVL ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 16x might make it look like a buy right now...
Neue Analyse • Sep 15
Rogan's Acquisition And Digital Marketing Propel Record Sales And Market Expansion
Acquisition and integration strategies, including digital marketing shifts, are significantly enhancing revenue, market share, and operational efficiency.Seeking Alpha • Sep 12
Shoe Carnival Expects A Positive H2 2024, But The Stock Is Too Pricey
Summary Shoe Carnival's 2Q24 results showed a 13% sales increase, driven by acquisitions and calendar shifts, with comparable sales down 2.1% but improving sequentially. Margins improved due to higher sales, but are expected to decrease in 2H24 due to marketing expenses and calendar shifts. Management's positive guidance for 2H24 includes comparable sales up to 5%, driven by digital marketing and store conversions, but I maintain a Hold rating. Despite strong management and no debt, SCVL's 10.5% yield is low for a footwear retailer, especially heading into a potential recession. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalyseartikel • Aug 13
The Returns At Shoe Carnival (NASDAQ:SCVL) Aren't Growing
There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. One common approach is to try and...Seeking Alpha • Aug 02
Enhancing Customer Experience - Shoe Carnival's 'Fit Finder' And Its Potential For Growth
Summary Strategic Positioning: Shoe Carnival is leveraging strategic acquisitions and a digital-first marketing approach, including innovative features like the "Fit Finder," to navigate a complex retail landscape and improve the customer experience. Financial Performance: The company saw a 6.8% revenue increase in Q1 2024, driven by the acquisition of Rogan's Shoes and improvements in its e-commerce platform, despite rising SG&A expenses. SCVL's cautious expansion is expected to achieve 3.63% revenue growth, with profit growth at 0% to 2% due to integration and marketing costs. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalyseartikel • Jul 27
Calculating The Fair Value Of Shoe Carnival, Inc. (NASDAQ:SCVL)
Key Insights Shoe Carnival's estimated fair value is US$48.90 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Current share...Seeking Alpha • Jul 27
After A Two-Year Slump, Shoe Carnival Is Back On Track For Growth
Summary Shoe Carnival, Inc. is turning around its fortunes with Q1 of fiscal 2024 being a pivotal point. The company is launching initiatives to grow the business and constrain costs, and they are expected to lead to 6% earnings growth. Shoe Carnival has a competitive advantage in the retail footwear business, with a focus on customer experience. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaGewinn- und Umsatzwachstumsprognosen
| Datum | Umsatz | Gewinne | Freier Cashflow | Bargeld aus operativen Tätigkeiten | Durchschn. Anz. Analysten |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1/31/2029 | 1,204 | 58 | 64 | 88 | 1 |
| 1/31/2028 | 1,171 | 52 | 59 | 83 | 2 |
| 1/31/2027 | 1,136 | 41 | 109 | 131 | 2 |
| 1/31/2026 | 1,135 | 52 | 27 | 71 | N/A |
| 11/1/2025 | 1,144 | 58 | 35 | 82 | N/A |
| 8/2/2025 | 1,154 | 62 | 24 | 66 | N/A |
| 5/3/2025 | 1,180 | 66 | 40 | 76 | N/A |
| 2/1/2025 | 1,203 | 74 | 69 | 103 | N/A |
| 11/2/2024 | 1,220 | 75 | 74 | 111 | N/A |
| 8/3/2024 | 1,233 | 77 | 100 | 141 | N/A |
| 5/4/2024 | 1,195 | 74 | 86 | 138 | N/A |
| 2/3/2024 | 1,176 | 73 | 66 | 123 | N/A |
| 10/28/2023 | 1,186 | 79 | 44 | 101 | N/A |
| 7/29/2023 | 1,208 | 90 | 6 | 64 | N/A |
| 4/29/2023 | 1,226 | 100 | -31 | 35 | N/A |
| 1/28/2023 | 1,262 | 110 | -27 | 50 | N/A |
| 10/29/2022 | 1,285 | 109 | -28 | 46 | N/A |
| 7/30/2022 | 1,300 | 123 | 8 | 77 | N/A |
| 4/30/2022 | 1,319 | 139 | 35 | 89 | N/A |
| 1/29/2022 | 1,330 | 155 | 117 | 148 | N/A |
| 10/30/2021 | 1,271 | 142 | 161 | 184 | N/A |
| 7/31/2021 | 1,189 | 110 | 100 | 117 | N/A |
| 5/1/2021 | 1,158 | 75 | 169 | 183 | N/A |
| 1/30/2021 | 977 | 16 | 51 | 63 | N/A |
| 10/31/2020 | 963 | 12 | 26 | 39 | N/A |
| 8/1/2020 | 963 | 11 | 69 | 83 | N/A |
| 5/2/2020 | 930 | 13 | 21 | 33 | N/A |
| 2/1/2020 | 1,037 | 43 | 48 | 67 | N/A |
| 11/2/2019 | 1,031 | 41 | N/A | 64 | N/A |
| 8/3/2019 | 1,026 | 39 | N/A | 70 | N/A |
| 5/4/2019 | 1,026 | 39 | N/A | 56 | N/A |
| 2/2/2019 | 1,030 | 38 | N/A | 74 | N/A |
| 11/3/2018 | 1,038 | 33 | N/A | 69 | N/A |
| 8/4/2018 | 1,057 | 31 | N/A | 81 | N/A |
| 5/5/2018 | 1,023 | 23 | N/A | 59 | N/A |
| 2/3/2018 | 1,019 | 19 | N/A | 40 | N/A |
| 10/28/2017 | 1,010 | 22 | N/A | 51 | N/A |
| 7/29/2017 | 997 | 21 | N/A | 25 | N/A |
| 4/29/2017 | 994 | 21 | N/A | 50 | N/A |
| 1/28/2017 | 1,001 | 23 | N/A | 64 | N/A |
| 10/29/2016 | 1,001 | 28 | N/A | 57 | N/A |
| 7/30/2016 | 996 | 28 | N/A | 74 | N/A |
| 4/30/2016 | 992 | 28 | N/A | 46 | N/A |
| 1/30/2016 | 984 | 28 | N/A | 59 | N/A |
| 10/31/2015 | 978 | 27 | N/A | 63 | N/A |
| 8/1/2015 | 963 | 28 | N/A | 45 | N/A |
Analystenprognosen zum zukünftigen Wachstum
Einkommen vs. Sparrate: SCVLDas prognostizierte Gewinnwachstum (3.9% pro Jahr) liegt über der Sparquote (3.5%).
Ertrag vs. Markt: SCVLDie Erträge des Unternehmens (3.9% pro Jahr) werden voraussichtlich langsamer wachsen als der Markt US (16.7% pro Jahr).
Hohe Wachstumserträge: SCVLDie Erträge des Unternehmens werden voraussichtlich steigen, jedoch nicht deutlich.
Einnahmen vs. Markt: SCVLDie Einnahmen des Unternehmens (1.9% pro Jahr) werden voraussichtlich langsamer wachsen als der Markt US (11.6% pro Jahr).
Hohe Wachstumseinnahmen: SCVLDie Einnahmen des Unternehmens (1.9% pro Jahr) werden voraussichtlich langsamer wachsen als 20% pro Jahr.
Wachstumsprognosen für den Gewinn je Aktie
Künftige Eigenkapitalrendite
Künftige Eigenkapitalrendite: SCVLDie Eigenkapitalrendite des Unternehmens wird in 3 Jahren voraussichtlich niedrig sein (7.5%).
Wachstumsunternehmen entdecken
Unternehmensanalyse und Finanzdaten Status
| Daten | Zuletzt aktualisiert (UTC-Zeit) |
|---|---|
| Unternehmensanalyse | 2026/05/11 20:45 |
| Aktienkurs zum Tagesende | 2026/05/08 00:00 |
| Gewinne | 2026/01/31 |
| Jährliche Einnahmen | 2026/01/31 |
Datenquellen
Die in unserer Unternehmensanalyse verwendeten Daten stammen von S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Die folgenden Daten werden in unserem Analysemodell verwendet, um diesen Bericht zu erstellen. Die Daten sind normalisiert, was zu einer Verzögerung bei der Verfügbarkeit der Quelle führen kann.
| Paket | Daten | Zeitrahmen | Beispiel US-Quelle * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Finanzdaten des Unternehmens | 10 Jahre |
| |
| Konsensschätzungen der Analysten | +3 Jahre |
|
|
| Marktpreise | 30 Jahre |
| |
| Eigentümerschaft | 10 Jahre |
| |
| Verwaltung | 10 Jahre |
| |
| Wichtige Entwicklungen | 10 Jahre |
|
* Beispiel für US-Wertpapiere, für nicht-US-amerikanische Wertpapiere werden gleichwertige regulatorische Formulare und Quellen verwendet.
Sofern nicht anders angegeben, beziehen sich alle Finanzdaten auf einen Jahreszeitraum, werden aber vierteljährlich aktualisiert. Dies wird als Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) oder Last Twelve Month (LTM) Daten bezeichnet. Erfahren Sie mehr.
Analysemodell und Schneeflocke
Einzelheiten zu dem Analysemodell, mit dem dieser Bericht erstellt wurde, finden Sie auf unserer Github-Seite. Außerdem bieten wir Leitfäden zur Verwendung unserer Berichte und Tutorials auf YouTube an.
Erfahren Sie mehr über das Weltklasse-Team, das das Simply Wall St-Analysemodell entworfen und entwickelt hat.
Metriken für Industrie und Sektor
Unsere Branchen- und Sektionskennzahlen werden alle 6 Stunden von Simply Wall St berechnet. Details zu unserem Verfahren finden Sie auf Github.
Analysten-Quellen
Shoe Carnival, Inc. wird von 11 Analysten beobachtet. 2 dieser Analysten hat die Umsatz- oder Gewinnschätzungen übermittelt, die als Grundlage für unseren Bericht dienen. Die von den Analysten übermittelten Daten werden im Laufe des Tages aktualisiert.
| Analyst | Einrichtung |
|---|---|
| Mitchel Kummetz | B. Riley Securities, Inc. |
| Randal Konik | Jefferies LLC |
| David Mann | Johnson Rice & Company, L.L.C. |