Mercury General Zukünftiges Wachstum
Future Kriterienprüfungen 0/6
Der Gewinn von Mercury General wird voraussichtlich um 36.6% pro Jahr zurückgehen, während der Jahresumsatz um 2.5% pro Jahr wachsen soll. Der Gewinn je Aktie wird voraussichtlich um 36.6% pro Jahr sinken.
Wichtige Informationen
-36.6%
Wachstumsrate der Gewinne
-36.60%
EPS-Wachstumsrate
| Insurance Gewinnwachstum | 2.0% |
| Wachstumsrate der Einnahmen | 2.5% |
| Zukünftige Eigenkapitalrendite | n/a |
| Analystenabdeckung | Low |
| Zuletzt aktualisiert | 06 May 2026 |
Jüngste Aktualisierungen zum künftigen Wachstum
Recent updates
Seeking Alpha • May 09
Mercury General: From Wildfire Panic To Underwriting Recovery
Summary Mercury General has rebounded strongly after wildfire-driven turmoil, demonstrating resilience and improved underwriting discipline. MCY posted $203.9 million in pre-tax underwriting income in 2025, matching 2024 despite higher catastrophe losses, signaling portfolio remediation success. Recent underwriting gains and portfolio adjustments underpin a bullish outlook, with stability achieved even amid unpredictable catastrophe events. The dividend remains unchanged, reflecting a cautious but disciplined capital allocation approach as MCY rebuilds its financial strength. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Analyse-Update • Apr 26
MCY: Stable Profitability And P/E Multiple Will Support Future Repricing
Analysts kept their price target for Mercury General steady at $110.00. This reflects broadly unchanged assumptions on discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E multiples.Analyse-Update • Apr 11
MCY: Steady Profit Outlook And Discounted P/E Will Drive Future Repricing
Analysts have kept their $110.00 price target on Mercury General unchanged, reflecting steady views on fair value as they continue to see the current discount rate, revenue growth outlook, profit margin assumptions, and future P/E expectations as consistent with prior estimates. Valuation Changes Fair Value: The model fair value remains at $110.00, indicating no change in the assessed share valuation level.Analyse-Update • Mar 28
MCY: Stable Assumptions And Undervalued P/E Will Support Future Repricing
Analysts have kept their price target for Mercury General steady at $110.00, reflecting unchanged assumptions around discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E expectations. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Model fair value stays at $110.00, indicating no change in the estimated intrinsic price per share.Analyse-Update • Mar 13
MCY: Steady Assumptions And Undervalued P/E Will Support Bullish Repricing
Analysts have kept their $110.00 price target for Mercury General unchanged, reflecting largely consistent assumptions on the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E, with only minimal refinements to the model. Valuation Changes Fair Value: The model fair value remains at $110.00, with no change from the prior estimate.Analyse-Update • Feb 27
MCY: Higher Fair Value And P/E Assumptions Will Support Bullish Repricing
Analysts have lifted their price target for Mercury General to $110 from $100, reflecting updated assumptions around fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and an expected future P/E multiple. Valuation Changes Fair Value: updated to $110 from $100, indicating a modest uplift in the assessed share value.Analyseartikel • Nov 08
Mercury General (NYSE:MCY) Will Pay A Dividend Of $0.3175
Mercury General Corporation's ( NYSE:MCY ) investors are due to receive a payment of $0.3175 per share on 24th of...Analyse-Update • Sep 24
Core Business Strength May Support Future Earnings Despite Wildfire Losses And Rising Reinsurance Costs
Mercury General's fair value estimate was raised primarily due to a higher future P/E multiple despite steady revenue growth projections, driving the consensus analyst price target up from $90 to $100. What's in the News Mercury Insurance released its annual list of the most affordable EVs to insure, aiming to guide budget-conscious consumers and highlight insurance-saving vehicle models.Analyseartikel • Aug 27
Mercury General (NYSE:MCY) Will Pay A Dividend Of $0.3175
The board of Mercury General Corporation ( NYSE:MCY ) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 25th of...Analyseartikel • Aug 02
Mercury General (NYSE:MCY) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of $0.3175
The board of Mercury General Corporation ( NYSE:MCY ) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 25th of...Analyseartikel • Jul 23
Here's Why Mercury General (NYSE:MCY) Has Caught The Eye Of Investors
The excitement of investing in a company that can reverse its fortunes is a big draw for some speculators, so even...Analyseartikel • Jun 11
Mercury General (NYSE:MCY) Is Paying Out A Dividend Of $0.3175
Mercury General Corporation's ( NYSE:MCY ) investors are due to receive a payment of $0.3175 per share on 26th of June...
Neue Analyse • Feb 16
Core Business Strength May Support Future Earnings Despite Wildfire Losses And Rising Reinsurance Costs
Strength in core business operations, excluding catastrophe losses, suggests improved future earnings stability and net margins through personal auto and homeowners lines.Seeking Alpha • Jan 16
California Wildfires, Mercury General's Opportunity Amid Crisis (Rating Upgrade)
Summary The Los Angeles wildfires, while tragic, may present an opportunity for Mercury General due to potential market exits by other insurers and possible price increases. Mercury General's exposure to auto insurance, along with its reinsurance coverage, suggests it can absorb the wildfire losses, estimated at $150 million pre-tax. Despite potential risks like increased reinsurance costs and regulatory changes, Mercury General is positioned for growth and higher premiums post-wildfires. I initiated a position in Mercury General, expecting a stock rebound to $56-$60, driven by positive FY 2024 results and subsiding wildfire fears. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Oct 31
Mercury General: Turning Lead Into Gold
Summary Mercury General faced operational challenges and high loss ratios in 2022, compounded by a dividend reduction that resulted in the loss of its "dividend aristocrat" status. In response to these challenges, Mercury launched remediation efforts in 2023 focused on improving underwriting margins, especially in California, where adverse conditions significantly impacted profitability. By mid-2024, Mercury's combined ratio improved, achieving positive underwriting income and a combined ratio of 98.9% by Q2, reflecting the success of rate adjustments and underwriting improvements. Third-quarter results were particularly strong, leading to a year-to-date underwriting income of $88.7 million, reinforcing investor optimism and supporting a substantial stock price increase since early 2024. Mercury is on track for continued improvement, with anticipated FY 2024 combined ratios between 96.5% and 97.8%, driven by effective remediation and investment income growth, although it still trades at a premium relative to steadier competitors. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Sep 20
Mercury General: Very Cheap, And Expert Of Maximizing After-Tax Yield
Summary Mercury General Corporation is well-positioned for growth with significant cash reserves, enabling investment in advertising and agent network expansion to boost net sales. Recent rate increases approved by the Department of Insurance and impressive EPS forecasts for 2025 make MCY an attractive buy. The company's strong investment track record, focus on maximizing after-tax yield, and experienced leadership further support its potential for stable returns. Despite some risks, including market concentration in California and inflationary pressures, MCY's proven business model and undervaluation present a compelling investment opportunity. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaGewinn- und Umsatzwachstumsprognosen
| Datum | Umsatz | Gewinne | Freier Cashflow | Bargeld aus operativen Tätigkeiten | Durchschn. Anz. Analysten |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2027 | 6,388 | 443 | N/A | N/A | 1 |
| 12/31/2026 | 6,066 | 499 | N/A | N/A | 1 |
| 3/31/2026 | 6,136 | 840 | 1,419 | 1,482 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 5,990 | 541 | 1,029 | 1,087 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 5,800 | 440 | 991 | 1,048 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 5,745 | 390 | 818 | 869 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 5,581 | 286 | 727 | 776 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 5,461 | 468 | 991 | 1,037 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 5,489 | 558 | 970 | 1,014 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 5,024 | 319 | 779 | 818 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 4,797 | 215 | 589 | 627 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 4,630 | 96 | 416 | 453 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 4,407 | -102 | 258 | 295 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 4,242 | -192 | 226 | 263 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 3,944 | -361 | 228 | 264 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 3,643 | -513 | 317 | 353 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 3,541 | -475 | 321 | 358 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 3,573 | -376 | 339 | 379 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 3,806 | -56 | 392 | 434 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 3,993 | 248 | 460 | 502 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 4,016 | 384 | 551 | 590 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 4,082 | 502 | 625 | 663 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 4,069 | 621 | 645 | 683 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 3,785 | 375 | 566 | 606 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 3,701 | 240 | 511 | 549 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 3,689 | 190 | 475 | 514 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 3,663 | 45 | 400 | 442 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 3,973 | 320 | N/A | 520 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 3,801 | 207 | N/A | 472 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 3,709 | 196 | N/A | 465 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 3,615 | 173 | N/A | 480 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 3,380 | -6 | N/A | 383 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 3,421 | 96 | N/A | 390 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 3,381 | 84 | N/A | 351 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 3,348 | 75 | N/A | 346 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 3,413 | 145 | N/A | 341 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 3,293 | 99 | N/A | 354 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 3,246 | 79 | N/A | 361 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 3,251 | 77 | N/A | 316 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 3,228 | 73 | N/A | 292 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 3,276 | 123 | N/A | 255 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 3,221 | 111 | N/A | 223 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 3,089 | 72 | N/A | 229 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 3,009 | 74 | N/A | 190 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 2,945 | 30 | N/A | 196 | N/A |
| 6/30/2015 | 2,913 | 46 | N/A | 191 | N/A |
Analystenprognosen zum zukünftigen Wachstum
Einkommen vs. Sparrate: MCYFür die nächsten 3 Jahre wird ein Rückgang der Gewinne prognostiziert (-36.6% pro Jahr).
Ertrag vs. Markt: MCYFür die nächsten 3 Jahre wird ein Rückgang der Gewinne prognostiziert (-36.6% pro Jahr).
Hohe Wachstumserträge: MCYFür die nächsten 3 Jahre wird mit einem Rückgang der Erträge gerechnet.
Einnahmen vs. Markt: MCYDie Einnahmen des Unternehmens (2.5% pro Jahr) werden voraussichtlich langsamer wachsen als der Markt US (11.6% pro Jahr).
Hohe Wachstumseinnahmen: MCYDie Einnahmen des Unternehmens (2.5% pro Jahr) werden voraussichtlich langsamer wachsen als 20% pro Jahr.
Wachstumsprognosen für den Gewinn je Aktie
Künftige Eigenkapitalrendite
Künftige Eigenkapitalrendite: Unzureichende Daten, um festzustellen, ob die Eigenkapitalrendite von MCY in 3 Jahren voraussichtlich hoch sein wird
Wachstumsunternehmen entdecken
Unternehmensanalyse und Finanzdaten Status
| Daten | Zuletzt aktualisiert (UTC-Zeit) |
|---|---|
| Unternehmensanalyse | 2026/05/12 23:09 |
| Aktienkurs zum Tagesende | 2026/05/12 00:00 |
| Gewinne | 2026/03/31 |
| Jährliche Einnahmen | 2025/12/31 |
Datenquellen
Die in unserer Unternehmensanalyse verwendeten Daten stammen von S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Die folgenden Daten werden in unserem Analysemodell verwendet, um diesen Bericht zu erstellen. Die Daten sind normalisiert, was zu einer Verzögerung bei der Verfügbarkeit der Quelle führen kann.
| Paket | Daten | Zeitrahmen | Beispiel US-Quelle * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Finanzdaten des Unternehmens | 10 Jahre |
| |
| Konsensschätzungen der Analysten | +3 Jahre |
|
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| Marktpreise | 30 Jahre |
| |
| Eigentümerschaft | 10 Jahre |
| |
| Verwaltung | 10 Jahre |
| |
| Wichtige Entwicklungen | 10 Jahre |
|
* Beispiel für US-Wertpapiere, für nicht-US-amerikanische Wertpapiere werden gleichwertige regulatorische Formulare und Quellen verwendet.
Sofern nicht anders angegeben, beziehen sich alle Finanzdaten auf einen Jahreszeitraum, werden aber vierteljährlich aktualisiert. Dies wird als Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) oder Last Twelve Month (LTM) Daten bezeichnet. Erfahren Sie mehr.
Analysemodell und Schneeflocke
Einzelheiten zu dem Analysemodell, mit dem dieser Bericht erstellt wurde, finden Sie auf unserer Github-Seite. Außerdem bieten wir Leitfäden zur Verwendung unserer Berichte und Tutorials auf YouTube an.
Erfahren Sie mehr über das Weltklasse-Team, das das Simply Wall St-Analysemodell entworfen und entwickelt hat.
Metriken für Industrie und Sektor
Unsere Branchen- und Sektionskennzahlen werden alle 6 Stunden von Simply Wall St berechnet. Details zu unserem Verfahren finden Sie auf Github.
Analysten-Quellen
Mercury General Corporation wird von 7 Analysten beobachtet. 1 dieser Analysten hat die Umsatz- oder Gewinnschätzungen übermittelt, die als Grundlage für unseren Bericht dienen. Die von den Analysten übermittelten Daten werden im Laufe des Tages aktualisiert.
| Analyst | Einrichtung |
|---|---|
| Alison Jacobowitz | BofA Global Research |
| Christopher Campbell | Keefe, Bruyette, & Woods |
| Raymond Iardella | Macquarie Research |