Radian Group Zukünftiges Wachstum
Future Kriterienprüfungen 1/6
Der Umsatz von Radian Group wird voraussichtlich um 4.7% pro Jahr zurückgehen, während der Jahresgewinn um 9.2% pro Jahr wachsen soll. Der Gewinn je Aktie wird voraussichtlich um 9.4% pro Jahr steigen.
Wichtige Informationen
9.2%
Wachstumsrate der Gewinne
9.37%
EPS-Wachstumsrate
| Diversified Financial Gewinnwachstum | 8.0% |
| Wachstumsrate der Einnahmen | -4.7% |
| Zukünftige Eigenkapitalrendite | n/a |
| Analystenabdeckung | Low |
| Zuletzt aktualisiert | 11 May 2026 |
Jüngste Aktualisierungen zum künftigen Wachstum
Recent updates
These Analysts Think Radian Group Inc.'s (NYSE:RDN) Sales Are Under Threat
The analysts covering Radian Group Inc. ( NYSE:RDN ) delivered a dose of negativity to shareholders today, by making a...Radian Group: Diversification Benefits Are Underappreciated
Summary Radian Group is now a more diversified insurer after acquiring Inigo for $1.67 billion, reducing reliance on U.S. housing market cycles. Inigo's integration adds specialty P&C and reinsurance exposure, with expected combined ratios of 90%-92% and ~$0.35 EPS accretion, despite tighter margins. RDN's mortgage insurance book is gradually becoming riskier as older, low-risk policies roll off, but credit quality remains strong and reserve releases continue. With shares trading below 8x earnings, a 3% yield, and catalysts from noncore asset sales and resumed buybacks, I maintain a "Buy" rating with >15% upside. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Strong Housing Demand Will Sustain Private Mortgage Insurance
Despite ongoing challenges in mortgage origination and limited near-term sector catalysts, Radian Group’s balanced business model and strong operating trends have led analysts to raise their price target modestly from $37.00 to $38.67. Analyst Commentary Challenging mortgage origination environment persists, impacting growth outlook.Little Excitement Around Radian Group Inc.'s (NYSE:RDN) Earnings
When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 19x, you may...The New Year May Not Be Kind To Radian Group
Summary Radian Group stock has tripled since 2020 but is now facing decline due to high mortgage rates and low affordable home supply. The private mortgage insurance industry faces significant headwinds, including an aging homebuyer demographic, high mortgage rates, and decreasing home affordability. Radian's performance is slipping with declining new policies, increasing loan defaults, and a higher debt load compared to competitors. I recommend selling RDN stock to lock in gains, as the easy money in this industry likely ended in mid-2023. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaRadian Group: Strong Capital Returns Reflected In Valuation
Summary Radian Group remains a "hold" due to resilient home prices, low insured losses, and strong investment income, despite potential peak earnings in 2024. The company’s profitability is driven by minimal loan losses and higher interest rates, with a solid balance sheet and significant capital returns. Home prices at record highs and low delinquencies protect RDN from significant losses, but new policies post-2022 carry more risk. Investment income has surged due to higher rates, but anticipated rate cuts may moderate future earnings, making current stock levels suitable for holding, not buying. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Navigating Growth And Challenges In Mortgage Insurance With Innovative Strategies
Radian Group's growth in primary mortgage insurance and use of proprietary analytics indicates potential for revenue increases and market share expansion.Radian: Likely Fairly Valued As Legacy Tailwinds Peak (Rating Downgrade)
Summary Radian's shares have performed well, returning 22% over the past year, and the company has increased its buyback authorization, indicating ongoing capital returns to shareholders. The company's core mortgage insurance business is performing well, thanks to high home prices and low inflation. Radian's legacy book of policies is likely to have no losses due to rising home prices, but newer policies may face some losses in the future, meaning earnings are peaking. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaRadian Remains Attractive Thanks To Strong Home Prices
Summary Radian Group's stock has risen by over 26% in the past year due to a strong housing market and increased investment income. The company reported solid earnings, beating expectations and growing book value by 15%. Radian expects ongoing strength in its business, with increased dividends and capital returns in 2024. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaA Resilient Housing Market Makes Radian Attractive
Summary Radian Group's shares have performed well, rising 26% in the past year, thanks to a firm housing market and reduced risk of losses on its insurance portfolio. Radian provides private mortgage insurance, allowing borrowers to obtain conforming mortgages with less than a 20% down payment. The company's strong performance, adequate reserves, and excess capital make it an attractive investment opportunity, with potential for a 15% return. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaGewinn- und Umsatzwachstumsprognosen
| Datum | Umsatz | Gewinne | Freier Cashflow | Bargeld aus operativen Tätigkeiten | Durchschn. Anz. Analysten |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2027 | 1,255 | 705 | N/A | N/A | 1 |
| 12/31/2026 | 1,222 | 695 | N/A | N/A | 1 |
| 3/31/2026 | 1,370 | 596 | 333 | 337 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 1,197 | 618 | 116 | 120 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 1,273 | 567 | -562 | -557 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 1,283 | 581 | -1,156 | -1,153 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 1,182 | 660 | -648 | -647 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 1,206 | 660 | -665 | -664 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 1,242 | 639 | -132 | -129 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 1,241 | 629 | 175 | 184 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 1,250 | 598 | 451 | 464 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 1,177 | 676 | 521 | 529 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 1,227 | 623 | 351 | 371 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 1,210 | 664 | 380 | 401 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 1,208 | 720 | 370 | 388 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 1,191 | 743 | 371 | 388 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 1,214 | 774 | 420 | 436 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 1,244 | 702 | 443 | 458 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 1,294 | 656 | 506 | 521 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 1,330 | 601 | 545 | 557 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 1,361 | 555 | 552 | 563 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 1,411 | 564 | 618 | 629 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 1,438 | 379 | 642 | 656 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 1,439 | 394 | 641 | 658 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 1,457 | 407 | 665 | 686 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 1,462 | 445 | 639 | 662 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 1,492 | 642 | 607 | 632 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 1,527 | 672 | N/A | 694 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 1,470 | 651 | N/A | 693 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 1,421 | 620 | N/A | 715 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 1,345 | 662 | N/A | 777 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 1,273 | 606 | N/A | 678 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 1,259 | 473 | N/A | 634 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 1,241 | 395 | N/A | 455 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 1,224 | 159 | N/A | 395 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 1,222 | 121 | N/A | 361 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 1,178 | 175 | N/A | 313 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 1,187 | 193 | N/A | 437 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 1,214 | 318 | N/A | 427 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 1,238 | 308 | N/A | 382 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 1,239 | 322 | N/A | 307 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 1,215 | 309 | N/A | 231 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 1,216 | 256 | N/A | 52 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 1,193 | 282 | N/A | 12 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 1,213 | 1,085 | N/A | 78 | N/A |
| 6/30/2015 | 1,188 | 1,147 | N/A | 55 | N/A |
Analystenprognosen zum zukünftigen Wachstum
Einkommen vs. Sparrate: RDNDas prognostizierte Gewinnwachstum (9.2% pro Jahr) liegt über der Sparquote (3.5%).
Ertrag vs. Markt: RDNDie Erträge des Unternehmens (9.2% pro Jahr) werden voraussichtlich langsamer wachsen als der Markt US (16.8% pro Jahr).
Hohe Wachstumserträge: RDNDie Erträge des Unternehmens werden voraussichtlich steigen, jedoch nicht deutlich.
Einnahmen vs. Markt: RDNDie Einnahmen des Unternehmens werden in den nächsten 3 Jahren voraussichtlich zurückgehen (-4.7% pro Jahr).
Hohe Wachstumseinnahmen: RDNDie Einnahmen des Unternehmens werden in den nächsten drei Jahren voraussichtlich zurückgehen (-4.7% pro Jahr).
Wachstumsprognosen für den Gewinn je Aktie
Künftige Eigenkapitalrendite
Künftige Eigenkapitalrendite: Unzureichende Daten, um festzustellen, ob die Eigenkapitalrendite von RDN in 3 Jahren voraussichtlich hoch sein wird
Wachstumsunternehmen entdecken
Unternehmensanalyse und Finanzdaten Status
| Daten | Zuletzt aktualisiert (UTC-Zeit) |
|---|---|
| Unternehmensanalyse | 2026/05/21 02:48 |
| Aktienkurs zum Tagesende | 2026/05/21 00:00 |
| Gewinne | 2026/03/31 |
| Jährliche Einnahmen | 2025/12/31 |
Datenquellen
Die in unserer Unternehmensanalyse verwendeten Daten stammen von S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Die folgenden Daten werden in unserem Analysemodell verwendet, um diesen Bericht zu erstellen. Die Daten sind normalisiert, was zu einer Verzögerung bei der Verfügbarkeit der Quelle führen kann.
| Paket | Daten | Zeitrahmen | Beispiel US-Quelle * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Finanzdaten des Unternehmens | 10 Jahre |
| |
| Konsensschätzungen der Analysten | +3 Jahre |
|
|
| Marktpreise | 30 Jahre |
| |
| Eigentümerschaft | 10 Jahre |
| |
| Verwaltung | 10 Jahre |
| |
| Wichtige Entwicklungen | 10 Jahre |
|
* Beispiel für US-Wertpapiere, für nicht-US-amerikanische Wertpapiere werden gleichwertige regulatorische Formulare und Quellen verwendet.
Sofern nicht anders angegeben, beziehen sich alle Finanzdaten auf einen Jahreszeitraum, werden aber vierteljährlich aktualisiert. Dies wird als Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) oder Last Twelve Month (LTM) Daten bezeichnet. Erfahren Sie mehr.
Analysemodell und Schneeflocke
Einzelheiten zu dem Analysemodell, mit dem dieser Bericht erstellt wurde, finden Sie auf unserer Github-Seite. Außerdem bieten wir Leitfäden zur Verwendung unserer Berichte und Tutorials auf YouTube an.
Erfahren Sie mehr über das Weltklasse-Team, das das Simply Wall St-Analysemodell entworfen und entwickelt hat.
Metriken für Industrie und Sektor
Unsere Branchen- und Sektionskennzahlen werden alle 6 Stunden von Simply Wall St berechnet. Details zu unserem Verfahren finden Sie auf Github.
Analysten-Quellen
Radian Group Inc. wird von 20 Analysten beobachtet. 3 dieser Analysten hat die Umsatz- oder Gewinnschätzungen übermittelt, die als Grundlage für unseren Bericht dienen. Die von den Analysten übermittelten Daten werden im Laufe des Tages aktualisiert.
| Analyst | Einrichtung |
|---|---|
| Bruce Harting | Barclays |
| Terry Ma | Barclays |
| Mihir Bhatia | BofA Global Research |