Xponential Fitness Zukünftiges Wachstum
Future Kriterienprüfungen 3/6
Für Xponential Fitness wird ein Gewinn- und Umsatzwachstum von 95% bzw. 1% pro Jahr prognostiziert, während der Gewinn je Aktie voraussichtlich um 99% pro Jahr steigen soll.
Wichtige Informationen
95.0%
Wachstumsrate der Gewinne
99.00%
EPS-Wachstumsrate
| Hospitality Gewinnwachstum | 19.6% |
| Wachstumsrate der Einnahmen | 1.0% |
| Zukünftige Eigenkapitalrendite | n/a |
| Analystenabdeckung | Good |
| Zuletzt aktualisiert | 08 Sep 2026 |
Jüngste Aktualisierungen zum künftigen Wachstum
Recent updates
Neues Narrative • Sep 09
Xponential Fitness Trades Around $5. Voss Has $60 Million Invested and Bought More After the Strategic Review Began.
Xponential Fitness trades around $5 per share after a difficult quarter. Revenue fell 13% to $66 million, North American same-store sales fell 6.8%, run-rate AUV declined to $659,000 and management cut full-year Adjusted EBITDA guidance to $91 million to $97 million.
Narrative-Update • Sep 05
XPOF: Ongoing Business Review Will Shape Reset Expectations And Potential Upside
Analysts have reduced their average price targets on Xponential Fitness by a few dollars to the mid single-digit dollar range, reflecting weaker Q2 results, lower 2026 expectations and only modest perceived upside from the ongoing review of the business. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Xponential Fitness points to a more cautious stance from Wall Street.
Narrative-Update • Aug 22
XPOF: Reset 2026 Outlook And Weaker Comps Will Test Deal Hopes
The analyst price target for Xponential Fitness has been revised from $6.00 to $5.00. Analysts cited weaker Q2 results, softer same-store sales, lower average unit volume (AUV) and membership, higher marketing and legal costs, and reduced expectations for 2026.Analyseartikel • Aug 12
Xponential Fitness, Inc. Just Reported A Surprise Loss: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next
There's been a major selloff in Xponential Fitness, Inc. ( NYSE:XPOF ) shares in the week since it released its...
Narrative-Update • Aug 07
XPOF: Deal Incentive Changes Will Unlock Future Equity Value Potential
Analysts have trimmed their price expectations for Xponential Fitness, with the updated fair value estimate moving from about $9.83 to $8.00 after recent research highlighted pressured Q2 comps, a lower reset outlook, and an $8 price target tied to the potential impact of possible corporate actions on executive incentives. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Xponential Fitness presents a mixed picture, but there are clear pockets of optimism that focus on potential corporate actions and equity value realization for current executives.Narrative-Update • Jun 29
XPOF: Higher Discount Rates Will Test Deal Hopes And Margin Assumptions
Analysts have lowered their average price target for Xponential Fitness to $6 from $8, citing higher discount rates and softer revenue growth expectations. These factors are only partly offset by firmer profit margin and P/E assumptions, while recent research also highlights potential value from a possible change of control transaction.Narrative-Update • Jun 15
XPOF: Reset Plan And Deal Incentives Will Unlock Brand Value Potential
Analysts now peg Xponential Fitness' fair value at approximately $9.83 per share, down from about $10.00. This reflects slightly lower modeled revenue growth, a modestly higher profit margin outlook, a reduced future P/E assumption, and recent Street research that includes both target cuts and an $8 price target tied to potential deal activity.Narrative-Update • Jun 01
XPOF: Revised Incentives And Deal Review Will Reshape 2026 Reset
Narrative Update Analysts have trimmed their average price target on Xponential Fitness by $1 to $8, reflecting updated views that weigh slower revenue growth against higher expected profit margins and the potential value of a near term transaction under the company’s revised executive incentive structure. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Xponential Fitness highlights a split view, with bullish analysts focusing on potential corporate actions and margin improvement, while more cautious analysts focus on operating trends and execution risk.Narrative-Update • May 13
XPOF: Reset Plan And Franchise Backlog Conversion Will Unlock Brand Value Potential
Analysts have nudged the average price target for Xponential Fitness to $10.00, reflecting updated views that factor in modest revenue growth assumptions, slightly higher profit margins, and a higher future P/E multiple, even as several firms recently adjusted their targets and ratings to account for weaker same store sales, slower franchise backlog conversion, and near term operational challenges. Analyst Commentary Recent research has been mixed for Xponential Fitness, but there are a few clear positive threads that bullish analysts keep coming back to, even as they adjust models for softer comps, slower franchise conversion, and higher leverage.Narrative-Update • Apr 21
XPOF: Franchise Reset And Marketing Investment Will Unlock Brand Value Potential
Analysts have reset the narrative fair value on Xponential Fitness from $14.35 to $10.00. This reflects a lower assumed future P/E multiple alongside mixed research commentary that balances sector tailwinds with company-specific comp pressure, slower franchise conversion, and an investment-heavy period ahead.Narrative-Update • Apr 07
XPOF: Activist Pressure And Franchise Reset May Unlock Long Term Brand Value
Analysts have reduced the fair value estimate for Xponential Fitness from $19.39 to $14.35, as recent research highlights softer revenue expectations, lower profit margins, higher required returns, and more conservative P/E assumptions amid operational and same store sales headwinds. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Xponential Fitness reflects a mixed backdrop, with several firms reducing price targets and ratings as they reassess same store sales trends, operational execution, and leverage on the balance sheet.Narrative-Update • Mar 24
XPOF: 2026 Investment Year Reset Will Prioritize Healthier Member Acquisition
The updated analyst price target for Xponential Fitness edges down from about $8.55 to roughly $8.39, as analysts factor in softer same store sales trends, slower conversion of the franchise backlog, weaker 2026 guidance, and an investment year ahead, while still acknowledging supportive fitness industry demand and brand value at Club Pilates. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Xponential Fitness highlights a split view, with some analysts focused on brand strength and long term potential, while others are more focused on near term execution risks and guidance.Narrative-Update • Mar 09
XPOF: Asset Light Model Will Rely On 2026 Investment Year Reset
The updated analyst price target for Xponential Fitness has been reduced from $10.90 to $8.55. Analysts attribute this change to lower expectations for comparable sales, weaker guidance, higher discount rates, and a planned investment-focused year in 2026.Narrative-Update • Feb 23
XPOF: Asset Light Fitness Model Will Benefit From Stable Long Term Assumptions
Analysts have maintained their $10.90 price target for Xponential Fitness, making only slight adjustments to the discount rate and future P/E assumptions. They continue to view the current fair value as consistent with their updated risk and earnings outlook.Narrative-Update • Feb 09
XPOF: Wellness Demand Will Test Stable Outlook And Margin Assumptions
Analysts have modestly adjusted their price targets for Xponential Fitness, citing slightly different assumptions for discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E multiples. Together, these factors support an updated fair value of about US$8.00 per share compared with the prior US$8.00 view.Analyseartikel • Feb 03
Why We Like The Returns At Xponential Fitness (NYSE:XPOF)
Did you know there are some financial metrics that can provide clues of a potential multi-bagger? Typically, we'll want...Narrative-Update • Jan 25
XPOF: Wellness Demand Will Face Adjusted Guidance And Margin Execution Tests
Analysts have trimmed their price target for Xponential Fitness to US$8.00 from US$8.00, citing updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margin, and a higher future P/E multiple. What's in the News Xponential Fitness reiterated earnings guidance for the year ending December 31, 2025, with expected revenue in the range of US$300.0 million to US$310.0 million (Key Developments).Narrative-Update • Jan 10
XPOF: Asset Light Fitness Model Will Capture Rising Wellness Prioritization
Analysts held their fair value view on Xponential Fitness steady around $10.90 while refining assumptions on discount rate, margins and future P/E. They point to UBS's new Neutral rating with an $8 price target and focus on scalable, asset light fitness models as a key reason for the pricing update at the Street level.Narrative-Update • Dec 25
XPOF: Wellness Demand Will Meet Execution And Profitability Tests Ahead
Analysts have modestly reduced their price target on Xponential Fitness to $8.00 from $9.00. This change reflects a lower fair value and tempered expectations for revenue growth and profitability, even as they still see support from broader consumer shifts toward scalable, health and wellness focused fitness models.Analyseartikel • Dec 14
Improved Revenues Required Before Xponential Fitness, Inc. (NYSE:XPOF) Stock's 31% Jump Looks Justified
Those holding Xponential Fitness, Inc. ( NYSE:XPOF ) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 31% in...Narrative-Update • Dec 11
XPOF: Asset-Light Model Will Benefit From Rising Health And Wellness Prioritization
Analysts have modestly raised their price target on Xponential Fitness to $8.00, citing expectations for faster revenue growth and a lower perceived risk profile, despite slightly softer long term margin assumptions. Analyst Commentary Analysts view Xponential Fitness as a direct beneficiary of accelerating consumer prioritization of health and wellness, particularly among younger demographics, but see execution and business model risks that temper near term enthusiasm.Narrative-Update • Nov 27
XPOF: Durable Asset-Light Model Will Capture Growing US Health Priority Trend
Analysts have slightly reduced their fair value estimate for Xponential Fitness from $11.10 to $10.90, citing changing consumer priorities and a cautious outlook on scalable and asset-light fitness models. Analyst Commentary Analysts have provided a balanced perspective on Xponential Fitness, reflecting both optimism about industry trends and caution about potential challenges.Narrative-Update • Nov 11
XPOF: Expanded Health Prioritization Will Drive Member Growth in Coming Years
Analysts have lowered their fair value estimate for Xponential Fitness from $12.33 to $11.10 per share, citing evolving consumer health priorities and an uncertain near-term growth outlook. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst evaluations reflect a balanced view on Xponential Fitness, emphasizing both growth opportunities and structural challenges facing the company.Seeking Alpha • Sep 28
Xponential Fitness: Despite Being Cheap, Certain Risks Make This A Challenge
Summary Xponential Fitness operates as a major franchisor of boutique health and wellness brands, showing strong revenue and studio growth. Despite top-line expansion, XPOF faces bottom-line volatility, rising net debt, and ongoing government investigations impacting its financial performance. XPOF trades at attractive valuation multiples compared to peers like PLNT and LTH, making it appealing from a value perspective. Given profitability concerns and regulatory risks, I rate XPOF as a 'hold' and recommend a cautious approach for now. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaNarrative-Update • Aug 08
International Expansion Will Capture Rising Wellness Demand
Despite improved regulatory clarity and expectations for stronger growth execution and market share gains, Xponential Fitness’s consensus analyst price target has been revised downward from $13.78 to $12.67. Analyst Commentary Recent no-action decision from the SEC investigation removes a significant uncertainty overhang.Analyseartikel • Jun 18
Why The 25% Return On Capital At Xponential Fitness (NYSE:XPOF) Should Have Your Attention
If you're looking for a multi-bagger, there's a few things to keep an eye out for. One common approach is to try and...Analyseartikel • May 14
Xponential Fitness, Inc. (NYSE:XPOF) Held Back By Insufficient Growth Even After Shares Climb 28%
Those holding Xponential Fitness, Inc. ( NYSE:XPOF ) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 28% in...Analyseartikel • May 11
Xponential Fitness, Inc. Reported A Surprise Loss, And Analysts Have Updated Their Forecasts
Last week, you might have seen that Xponential Fitness, Inc. ( NYSE:XPOF ) released its first-quarter result to the...Seeking Alpha • Apr 24
Xponential Fitness: Despite Negatives, All Is Not Lost
Summary Xponential Fitness' Club Pilates is highly valuable, initially undervalued due to a short report and regulatory issues, now showing potential for growth with new management. Regulatory issues are clearing, with California's inquiry resolved and positive signs from the SEC, prompting an increased investment position in Q1. Despite disappointing earnings and guidance, Club Pilates performs well, and management is considering divesting underperforming brands, suggesting potential future positive developments. The upcoming investor day in May hints at good news, but the mistake was increasing the position based on regulatory rather than operational improvements. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Mar 29
Xponential Fitness: Why I Bought More
Summary Xponential Fitness reported Q4 '24 post-market on March 13th, with shares declining 40%. The company also announced that they restated their 2023 financials. This quarter was about taking a medicine once for historical missteps, and it was the new CEO's first full quarter, as he came on only in June of 2024. With the new CEO's experience at Adidas and Taco Bell and a new management team, I believe the company can expand internationally and achieve healthy franchisor economics. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalyseartikel • Mar 09
Xponential Fitness, Inc.'s (NYSE:XPOF) 27% Dip Still Leaving Some Shareholders Feeling Restless Over Its P/SRatio
Xponential Fitness, Inc. ( NYSE:XPOF ) shares have had a horrible month, losing 27% after a relatively good period...Analyseartikel • Feb 27
Returns Are Gaining Momentum At Xponential Fitness (NYSE:XPOF)
If we want to find a potential multi-bagger, often there are underlying trends that can provide clues. Firstly, we'd...Analyseartikel • Jan 23
Subdued Growth No Barrier To Xponential Fitness, Inc. (NYSE:XPOF) With Shares Advancing 27%
Xponential Fitness, Inc. ( NYSE:XPOF ) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 27% gain in the last month...Analyseartikel • Nov 26
What Xponential Fitness, Inc.'s (NYSE:XPOF) 26% Share Price Gain Is Not Telling You
Xponential Fitness, Inc. ( NYSE:XPOF ) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month...Seeking Alpha • Nov 18
Xponential Fitness: An Exercise In Judging Management Potential
Summary Xponential Fitness had a troublesome 2023, but the latter half of 2024 has changed the narrative of this ticker. In June of this year, Mark King was hired as the new CEO. Mark, previously of Adidas North America and Taco Bell, profitably grew both brands. I believe he is poised to do the same in his new position, and he is actively hiring a new management team. While the shares are up since the announcement of the new CEO, I believe significant upside potential remains. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalyseartikel • Nov 10
Returns Are Gaining Momentum At Xponential Fitness (NYSE:XPOF)
To find a multi-bagger stock, what are the underlying trends we should look for in a business? Typically, we'll want to...
Neues Narrative • Sep 24
Mark King's Leadership And Strategic Shifts Set To Propel Business Growth And Profitability
Mark King's appointment as CEO suggests strategic shifts aimed at operational improvements and business growth, without mentioning specific performance metrics.Analyseartikel • Aug 28
Xponential Fitness, Inc.'s (NYSE:XPOF) Popularity With Investors Under Threat As Stock Sinks 25%
Xponential Fitness, Inc. ( NYSE:XPOF ) shares have retraced a considerable 25% in the last month, reversing a fair...Gewinn- und Umsatzwachstumsprognosen
| Datum | Umsatz | Gewinne | Freier Cashflow | Bargeld aus operativen Tätigkeiten | Durchschn. Anz. Analysten |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 288 | 22 | N/A | N/A | 2 |
| 12/31/2027 | 271 | 19 | 21 | 33 | 7 |
| 12/31/2026 | 257 | 3 | -14 | -5 | 8 |
| 6/30/2026 | 288 | -52 | -10 | -6 | N/A |
| 3/31/2026 | 299 | -48 | -4 | 1 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 315 | -51 | 23 | 28 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 315 | -55 | 14 | 18 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 317 | -58 | 9 | 14 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 318 | -68 | 9 | 15 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 320 | -73 | 5 | 12 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 327 | -28 | -1 | 5 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 327 | 11 | 0 | 8 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 327 | 68 | 16 | 24 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 318 | 34 | 23 | 33 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 300 | 5 | 40 | 52 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 283 | -64 | 39 | 56 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 265 | -26 | 44 | 60 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 243 | -22 | 36 | 52 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 223 | -48 | 34 | 48 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 200 | -17 | 33 | 40 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 176 | -98 | 12 | 18 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 155 | -64 | 9 | 14 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 133 | -13 | 2 | 7 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 118 | -7 | 0 | 5 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 104 | -16 | -7 | -2 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 107 | -14 | -5 | -1 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 129 | -37 | N/A | 2 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 59 | -42 | N/A | 1 | N/A |
Analystenprognosen zum zukünftigen Wachstum
Einkommen vs. Sparrate: XPOF wird in den nächsten 3 Jahren voraussichtlich rentabel werden, was als schnelleres Wachstum als die Sparquote angesehen wird (3.7%).
Ertrag vs. Markt: XPOF wird in den nächsten 3 Jahren voraussichtlich rentabel werden, was als überdurchschnittliches Marktwachstum angesehen wird.
Hohe Wachstumserträge: XPOF wird voraussichtlich in den nächsten 3 Jahren rentabel werden.
Einnahmen vs. Markt: XPOFDie Einnahmen des Unternehmens (1% pro Jahr) werden voraussichtlich langsamer wachsen als der Markt US (13.5% pro Jahr).
Hohe Wachstumseinnahmen: XPOFDie Einnahmen des Unternehmens (1% pro Jahr) werden voraussichtlich langsamer wachsen als 20% pro Jahr.
Wachstumsprognosen für den Gewinn je Aktie
Künftige Eigenkapitalrendite
Künftige Eigenkapitalrendite: Unzureichende Daten, um festzustellen, ob die Eigenkapitalrendite von XPOF in 3 Jahren voraussichtlich hoch sein wird
Wachstumsunternehmen entdecken
Unternehmensanalyse und Finanzdaten Status
| Daten | Zuletzt aktualisiert (UTC-Zeit) |
|---|---|
| Unternehmensanalyse | 2026/09/10 12:51 |
| Aktienkurs zum Tagesende | 2026/09/10 00:00 |
| Gewinne | 2026/06/30 |
| Jährliche Einnahmen | 2025/12/31 |
Datenquellen
Die in unserer Unternehmensanalyse verwendeten Daten stammen von S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Die folgenden Daten werden in unserem Analysemodell verwendet, um diesen Bericht zu erstellen. Die Daten sind normalisiert, was zu einer Verzögerung bei der Verfügbarkeit der Quelle führen kann.
| Paket | Daten | Zeitrahmen | Beispiel US-Quelle * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Finanzdaten des Unternehmens | 10 Jahre |
| |
| Konsensschätzungen der Analysten | +3 Jahre |
|
|
| Marktpreise | 30 Jahre |
| |
| Eigentümerschaft | 10 Jahre |
| |
| Verwaltung | 10 Jahre |
| |
| Wichtige Entwicklungen | 10 Jahre |
|
* Beispiel für US-Wertpapiere, für nicht-US-amerikanische Wertpapiere werden gleichwertige regulatorische Formulare und Quellen verwendet.
Sofern nicht anders angegeben, beziehen sich alle Finanzdaten auf einen Jahreszeitraum, werden aber vierteljährlich aktualisiert. Dies wird als Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) oder Last Twelve Month (LTM) Daten bezeichnet. Erfahren Sie mehr.
Analysemodell und Schneeflocke
Details zum Analysemodell, mit dem dieser Bericht erstellt wurde, finden Sie auf unserer Github-Seite; außerdem bieten wir Leitfäden zur Nutzung unserer Berichte und Tutorials auf Youtube an.
Erfahren Sie mehr über das , das das Simply Wall St-Analysemodell entworfen und entwickelt hat.
Metriken für Industrie und Sektor
Unsere Branchen- und Sektionskennzahlen werden alle 6 Stunden von Simply Wall St berechnet. Details zu unserem Verfahren finden Sie auf Github.
Analysten-Quellen
Xponential Fitness, Inc. wird von 15 Analysten beobachtet. 8 dieser Analysten hat die Umsatz- oder Gewinnschätzungen übermittelt, die als Grundlage für unseren Bericht dienen. Die von den Analysten übermittelten Daten werden im Laufe des Tages aktualisiert.
| Analyst | Einrichtung |
|---|---|
| Jonathan Komp | Baird |
| Alexander Perry | BofA Global Research |
| Jeffrey Van Sinderen | B. Riley Securities, Inc. |