Target Zukünftiges Wachstum
Future Kriterienprüfungen 2/6
Target wird ein jährliches Gewinn- und Umsatzwachstum von 5.9% bzw. 2.8% prognostiziert. Der Gewinn pro Aktie wird voraussichtlich wachsen um 7.2% pro Jahr. Die Eigenkapitalrendite wird in 3 Jahren voraussichtlich 21.5% betragen.
Wichtige Informationen
5.9%
Wachstumsrate der Gewinne
7.21%
EPS-Wachstumsrate
| Consumer Retailing Gewinnwachstum | 9.3% |
| Wachstumsrate der Einnahmen | 2.8% |
| Zukünftige Eigenkapitalrendite | 21.48% |
| Analystenabdeckung | Good |
| Zuletzt aktualisiert | 22 May 2026 |
Jüngste Aktualisierungen zum künftigen Wachstum
Recent updates
Seeking Alpha • May 20
Target: Take Some Chips Off The Table (Rating Downgrade)
Summary Target Corporation delivered a robust Q1 with 6.7% net sales growth and strong margin expansion, signaling a clear business turnaround. They raised full-year guidance, expecting 4% net sales growth and operating margin expansion, with adjusted EPS now likely near the high end of $7.50–$8.50. While there have been operational improvements, TGT stock valuation has expanded to a forward P/E of 15.01, reducing risk/reward attractiveness for new entries. I downgrade Target to Hold, recommending profit-taking after a 35% rally, given macro risks and less compelling valuation. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrativ-Update • Apr 29
TGT: Heavy Self Funded Turnaround Spending Will Restrain Earnings Recovery Potential
The analyst price target for Target edges higher, reflecting a fair value shift from about $94.61 to $95.31, supported by Street research that cites updated earnings models, improving margin assumptions, and management's plans to restore merchandising strength and customer traffic. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Target reflects a wide range of views, with many firms raising price targets but differing on how much confidence to place in the company’s execution and earnings path.Narrativ-Update • Apr 14
TGT: Heavy Self Funded Investments Will Cap 2026 Earnings Recovery Potential
Target's analyst price target has been lifted slightly as analysts factor in updated Q4 results, 2026 guidance, and recent investor day messaging that outlines a clearer path to profitable growth. This outlook is supported by modest tweaks to fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E assumptions.
Narrativ-Update • Mar 31
TGT: Merchandising And Guest Experience Investments Will Rebuild Earnings Power
Analysts have raised Target's fair value estimate to $154.82 from $140.00. This change reflects a series of higher price targets tied to updated earnings models, slightly stronger assumed revenue growth and margins, and a higher future P/E multiple following Q4 results, guidance, and investor day commentary.Narrativ-Update • Mar 16
TGT: Intensifying Competition And Traffic Pressure Will Restrain 2026 Earnings Multiple
Analysts have lifted the updated fair value estimate for Target shares to $94.61 from $66.69, reflecting higher long term profit margin and P/E assumptions supported by recent Q4 results, 2026 guidance, and multiple price target increases across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Target reflects a wide range of views, with many firms lifting price targets following Q4 results and 2026 guidance, while still flagging execution risks, traffic challenges, and ongoing competition from large peers.Narrativ-Update • Mar 02
TGT: Upcoming Earnings And Investor Day Will Rebuild Earnings Power
The analyst price target for Target has been raised from about $137 to $140. This change reflects analysts' updated views that slightly higher long-term revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E assumptions are reasonable in light of recent Street research, which has generally moved price targets higher while still noting mixed traffic and recovery expectations.Narrativ-Update • Feb 16
TGT: Reinvestment In Merchandising And AI Will Rebuild Earnings Power
The analyst fair value estimate for Target has been raised by about $10 to $136.65, as analysts factor in modestly higher revenue growth, slightly stronger profit margins, and a somewhat richer assumed future P/E multiple, while keeping a broadly similar discount rate. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Target reflects a mixed but improving tone, with several bullish analysts focusing on the potential for execution on the turnaround plan, valuation re-rating, and incremental investments in growth and efficiency.Narrativ-Update • Feb 02
TGT: Reinvestment Year And Sales Slump Will Depress Future Earnings Multiple
Analysts have increased their fair value estimate for Target by about $0.40, citing recent price target adjustments, mixed yet stabilizing reactions to Q3 results, and expectations that planned investments and margin efforts could support a lower future P/E assumption. Analyst Commentary Recent research coverage paints a mixed picture for Target, with several firms updating their models after Q3 results and management's updated investment plans.Narrativ-Update • Jan 19
TGT: Extended Turnaround Spending And Weak Sales Will Constrain Margin Recovery
Our updated Target price target edges lower, as fair value shifts to about $66 from $67. Analysts highlight mixed Q3 results, a long and investment heavy turnaround path, and differing views on earnings multiples and capital spending plans.Narrativ-Update • Jan 05
TGT: Heavier Reinvestment In Merchandising And AI Will Reset Earnings Base
Narrative Update on Target Analysts have trimmed their implied fair value for Target from about $130.77 to $126.14 as a group of firms reduced price targets, citing a more cautious earnings multiple, slightly softer growth and margin assumptions, and uncertainty around the scale of reinvestment needed for the turnaround plan. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Target paints a mixed but detailed picture, with most firms trimming price targets after Q3 while still highlighting key elements of the turnaround plan and capital allocation that matter for long term investors.Narrativ-Update • Dec 13
TGT: Reinvestment And Turnaround Spending Will Prolong Margin Pressure And Earnings Weakness
Analysts have reduced our Target fair value estimate to approximately $67 from $82, reflecting lower assumed revenue growth and margins, a slightly higher discount rate, and more conservative valuation multiples amid a tougher macro backdrop and increased reinvestment needs highlighted in recent research. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research has tilted more cautious on Target, with a series of price target cuts, largely Neutral or lower ratings, and an emphasis on execution risk in the company’s turnaround plan.
Narrativ-Update • Nov 28
TGT: Near-Term Headwinds And Reinvestment Needs Will Shape Recovery Path Forward
Target's analyst price target was reduced from approximately $101 to $97 per share, as analysts cite increasing uncertainty around reinvestment needs and a more cautious outlook following recent quarterly results. Analyst Commentary The latest round of analyst commentary on Target offers a balanced mix of optimism and caution, as experts digest the company’s quarterly performance and forward-looking strategies.Narrativ-Update • Nov 14
TGT: Leadership Transition And Operational Efficiency Will Drive Business Recovery
Target’s analyst price target was revised down from $101.36 to $100.70 per share. Analysts point to continued sales headwinds and the need for significant reinvestment to improve long-term performance.Narrativ-Update • Oct 31
TGT: Margin Stability And Leadership Changes Will Shape Recovery Amid Competitive Pressures
Target’s analyst price target saw a modest decrease, slipping from $101.52 to $101.36. Analysts cited ongoing industry headwinds and the need for significant investment to address margin and revenue challenges.Narrativ-Update • Oct 17
Competition From Walmart And Amazon Will Impede Future Performance
Target's fair value estimate has been slightly lowered to $101.52 from $101.79. This reflects analysts' concerns about ongoing weak sales, required reinvestment, and continued pressure on margins, despite some stabilization in fundamentals.Narrativ-Update • Oct 03
Competition From Walmart And Amazon Will Impede Future Performance
The analyst price target for Target has been revised downward by nearly $2 to $101.79. Analysts cite soft sales trends and the need for substantial reinvestment in merchandising, technology, and store experience.Analyseartikel • Jul 30
Returns On Capital At Target (NYSE:TGT) Have Hit The Brakes
What trends should we look for it we want to identify stocks that can multiply in value over the long term? Amongst...Analyseartikel • Jul 18
Is Target Corporation (NYSE:TGT) Trading At A 39% Discount?
Key Insights Target's estimated fair value is US$171 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Target is estimated to...Analyseartikel • Jul 06
At US$104, Is Target Corporation (NYSE:TGT) Worth Looking At Closely?
Target Corporation ( NYSE:TGT ) saw a double-digit share price rise of over 10% in the past couple of months on the...Seeking Alpha • Apr 16
Target Is A Value Target
Summary Target presents a strong value investment opportunity - financial indicators appear strong. Despite potential risks like economic downturns and competitive pressures, TGT's current valuation at a forward PE ratio of 10.21 is compelling. TGT's dividends remain robust, with a yield of 4.83%, providing a cushion as the company aims for valuation multiple expansion. Long-term growth strategies include expanding the Target Plus Marketplace, enhancing digital revenue streams, and leveraging AI for customer experience and internal efficiencies. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Apr 07
Target: A Dicey Outlook, But Valuations And Yield Offer Some Comfort
Summary Target Corporation's stock has significantly underperformed in Q1 2025, with losses over double the prime equity benchmark and 6x worse than other retailers. We touch upon on how the recent tariff developments may potentially impact Target, which is also going to see a step-up in CAPEX, and potentially underwhelming dividend growth. TGT's charts appear to look overextended, while its cheap valuations and attractive yield should bring some support. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Mar 25
Target Is A Buy For Value-Oriented Investors
Summary Target offers a compelling valuation with a forward dividend yield of 4.31%, higher than the 10-Year Treasury Note, and a strong dividend growth history. The macroeconomic environment is favorable, with steady employment, decreasing inflation, and high CEO confidence, which should boost consumer spending at Target. Target plans to increase revenue by $15B over five years through new stores, brand partnerships, and digital improvements, aiming for significant earnings growth. Despite low consumer confidence, I believe lower prices and interest rates will drive consumers to Target, making it a smart buy for value-oriented investors. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Mar 02
Target's Dividend, A Dream Or A Trap? Earnings Preview
Summary Target's Q4 earnings report will be crucial, with a focus on FY2025 guidance and potential for beating estimates due to strong holiday sales. Despite attractive valuation multiples and a 3.6% dividend yield, Target's growth prospects remain uncertain, warranting a cautious approach. Target's e-commerce and ad businesses lag behind competitors like Amazon and Walmart, impacting overall performance and investor sentiment. Income-oriented investors should monitor Target for potential yield increases if the stock drops another 10%-15%, but staying on the sidelines is advised for now. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jan 27
Target: I'm Waiting For One More Pull Back Before Buying
Summary Target faces macro and cyclical headwinds, with consumer discretionary spending and macro sentiment likely driving the stock lower after recent downward guidance and softening sales. I hesitate to buy TGT unless it becomes unreasonably cheap or shows signs of growth and margin expansion, preferring a 10-15% price drop. Despite long-term growth investments and improvements in logistics and omnichannel offerings, short-term risks and weak discretionary sales make me rate TGT a hold. Target's 3.3% dividend yield is attractive for income-seeking investors, but I seek at least a 10% annual total return before re-initiating a position. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaGewinn- und Umsatzwachstumsprognosen
| Datum | Umsatz | Gewinne | Freier Cashflow | Bargeld aus operativen Tätigkeiten | Durchschn. Anz. Analysten |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1/31/2029 | 115,052 | 4,087 | 2,796 | 7,463 | 17 |
| 1/31/2028 | 111,849 | 3,919 | 2,592 | 7,706 | 36 |
| 1/31/2027 | 108,844 | 3,742 | 2,130 | 6,955 | 32 |
| 5/2/2026 | 106,377 | 3,450 | 3,031 | 7,003 | N/A |
| 1/31/2026 | 104,780 | 3,705 | 2,835 | 6,562 | N/A |
| 11/1/2025 | 105,242 | 3,763 | 3,009 | 6,774 | N/A |
| 8/2/2025 | 105,640 | 3,928 | 2,944 | 6,386 | N/A |
| 5/3/2025 | 105,881 | 4,185 | 3,534 | 6,541 | N/A |
| 2/1/2025 | 106,566 | 4,091 | 4,476 | 7,367 | N/A |
| 11/2/2024 | 107,570 | 4,370 | 4,545 | 7,367 | N/A |
| 8/3/2024 | 107,300 | 4,487 | 5,268 | 8,562 | N/A |
| 5/4/2024 | 106,621 | 4,130 | 4,582 | 8,457 | N/A |
| 2/3/2024 | 107,412 | 4,138 | 3,815 | 8,621 | N/A |
| 10/28/2023 | 106,888 | 3,632 | 3,641 | 8,798 | N/A |
| 7/29/2023 | 108,008 | 3,373 | 1,633 | 7,463 | N/A |
| 4/29/2023 | 109,272 | 2,721 | 496 | 6,677 | N/A |
| 1/28/2023 | 109,120 | 2,780 | -1,510 | 4,018 | N/A |
| 10/29/2022 | 108,721 | 3,448 | -1,804 | 3,580 | N/A |
| 7/30/2022 | 107,855 | 4,224 | 427 | 5,156 | N/A |
| 4/30/2022 | 106,978 | 5,858 | 2,136 | 6,092 | N/A |
| 1/29/2022 | 106,005 | 6,946 | 5,081 | 8,625 | N/A |
| 10/30/2021 | 103,348 | 6,782 | 5,955 | 9,078 | N/A |
| 7/31/2021 | 100,328 | 6,308 | 6,258 | 8,831 | N/A |
| 5/1/2021 | 98,143 | 6,181 | 7,942 | 10,380 | N/A |
| 1/30/2021 | 93,561 | 4,368 | 7,876 | 10,525 | N/A |
| 10/31/2020 | 88,621 | 3,821 | 7,369 | 10,002 | N/A |
| 8/1/2020 | 84,653 | 3,513 | 6,374 | 9,421 | N/A |
| 5/2/2020 | 80,100 | 2,761 | 4,955 | 8,078 | N/A |
| 2/1/2020 | 78,112 | 3,269 | N/A | 7,117 | N/A |
| 11/2/2019 | 77,690 | 3,234 | N/A | 6,508 | N/A |
| 8/3/2019 | 76,847 | 3,144 | N/A | 6,061 | N/A |
| 5/4/2019 | 76,202 | 3,005 | N/A | 5,782 | N/A |
| 2/2/2019 | 75,356 | 2,930 | N/A | 5,973 | N/A |
| 11/3/2018 | 75,362 | 3,220 | N/A | 6,064 | N/A |
| 8/4/2018 | 74,415 | 3,079 | N/A | 6,733 | N/A |
| 5/5/2018 | 73,272 | 2,950 | N/A | 6,144 | N/A |
| 2/3/2018 | 72,714 | 2,908 | N/A | 6,935 | N/A |
| 10/28/2017 | 70,421 | 2,642 | N/A | 7,050 | N/A |
| 7/29/2017 | 69,988 | 2,775 | N/A | 6,874 | N/A |
| 4/29/2017 | 69,522 | 2,730 | N/A | 6,494 | N/A |
| 1/28/2017 | 70,271 | 2,666 | N/A | 5,444 | N/A |
| 10/29/2016 | 70,431 | 3,268 | N/A | 5,000 | N/A |
| 7/30/2016 | 71,603 | 3,136 | N/A | 4,583 | N/A |
| 4/30/2016 | 72,862 | 3,284 | N/A | 4,594 | N/A |
| 1/30/2016 | 73,785 | 3,321 | N/A | 5,958 | N/A |
| 10/31/2015 | 73,909 | 2,860 | N/A | 6,228 | N/A |
| 8/1/2015 | 73,550 | 2,911 | N/A | 5,788 | N/A |
Analystenprognosen zum zukünftigen Wachstum
Einkommen vs. Sparrate: TGTDas prognostizierte Gewinnwachstum (5.9% pro Jahr) liegt über der Sparquote (3.5%).
Ertrag vs. Markt: TGTDie Erträge des Unternehmens (5.9% pro Jahr) werden voraussichtlich langsamer wachsen als der Markt US (16.7% pro Jahr).
Hohe Wachstumserträge: TGTDie Erträge des Unternehmens werden voraussichtlich steigen, jedoch nicht deutlich.
Einnahmen vs. Markt: TGTDie Einnahmen des Unternehmens (2.8% pro Jahr) werden voraussichtlich langsamer wachsen als der Markt US (11.7% pro Jahr).
Hohe Wachstumseinnahmen: TGTDie Einnahmen des Unternehmens (2.8% pro Jahr) werden voraussichtlich langsamer wachsen als 20% pro Jahr.
Wachstumsprognosen für den Gewinn je Aktie
Künftige Eigenkapitalrendite
Künftige Eigenkapitalrendite: TGTDie Eigenkapitalrendite des Unternehmens wird in 3 Jahren voraussichtlich hoch sein (21.5%)
Wachstumsunternehmen entdecken
Unternehmensanalyse und Finanzdaten Status
| Daten | Zuletzt aktualisiert (UTC-Zeit) |
|---|---|
| Unternehmensanalyse | 2026/05/22 22:51 |
| Aktienkurs zum Tagesende | 2026/05/22 00:00 |
| Gewinne | 2026/05/02 |
| Jährliche Einnahmen | 2026/01/31 |
Datenquellen
Die in unserer Unternehmensanalyse verwendeten Daten stammen von S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Die folgenden Daten werden in unserem Analysemodell verwendet, um diesen Bericht zu erstellen. Die Daten sind normalisiert, was zu einer Verzögerung bei der Verfügbarkeit der Quelle führen kann.
| Paket | Daten | Zeitrahmen | Beispiel US-Quelle * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Finanzdaten des Unternehmens | 10 Jahre |
| |
| Konsensschätzungen der Analysten | +3 Jahre |
|
|
| Marktpreise | 30 Jahre |
| |
| Eigentümerschaft | 10 Jahre |
| |
| Verwaltung | 10 Jahre |
| |
| Wichtige Entwicklungen | 10 Jahre |
|
* Beispiel für US-Wertpapiere, für nicht-US-amerikanische Wertpapiere werden gleichwertige regulatorische Formulare und Quellen verwendet.
Sofern nicht anders angegeben, beziehen sich alle Finanzdaten auf einen Jahreszeitraum, werden aber vierteljährlich aktualisiert. Dies wird als Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) oder Last Twelve Month (LTM) Daten bezeichnet. Erfahren Sie mehr.
Analysemodell und Schneeflocke
Einzelheiten zu dem Analysemodell, mit dem dieser Bericht erstellt wurde, finden Sie auf unserer Github-Seite. Außerdem bieten wir Leitfäden zur Verwendung unserer Berichte und Tutorials auf YouTube an.
Erfahren Sie mehr über das Weltklasse-Team, das das Simply Wall St-Analysemodell entworfen und entwickelt hat.
Metriken für Industrie und Sektor
Unsere Branchen- und Sektionskennzahlen werden alle 6 Stunden von Simply Wall St berechnet. Details zu unserem Verfahren finden Sie auf Github.
Analysten-Quellen
Target Corporation wird von 59 Analysten beobachtet. 36 dieser Analysten hat die Umsatz- oder Gewinnschätzungen übermittelt, die als Grundlage für unseren Bericht dienen. Die von den Analysten übermittelten Daten werden im Laufe des Tages aktualisiert.
| Analyst | Einrichtung |
|---|---|
| Christopher Graja | Argus Research Company |
| Peter Benedict | Baird |
| Seth Sigman | Barclays |