PACCAR Inc

NasdaqGS:PCAR Lagerbericht

Marktkapitalisierung: US$57.6b

PACCAR Zukünftiges Wachstum

Future Kriterienprüfungen 1/6

PACCAR wird ein jährliches Gewinn- und Umsatzwachstum von 16.2% bzw. 6.6% prognostiziert. Der Gewinn pro Aktie wird voraussichtlich wachsen um 16.1% pro Jahr. Die Eigenkapitalrendite wird in 3 Jahren voraussichtlich 18.2% betragen.

Wichtige Informationen

16.2%

Wachstumsrate der Gewinne

16.09%

EPS-Wachstumsrate

Machinery Gewinnwachstum16.3%
Wachstumsrate der Einnahmen6.6%
Zukünftige Eigenkapitalrendite18.16%
Analystenabdeckung

Good

Zuletzt aktualisiert20 May 2026

Jüngste Aktualisierungen zum künftigen Wachstum

Recent updates

Narrativ-Update • May 04

PCAR: Tighter Expectations Will Test Execution As Revenue And Margins Face Cycle Risks

Analysts have adjusted their price targets on PACCAR in a tight range, with recent moves of $5 to $10 up or down as they factor updated views on revenue growth, margins, and sector competition into their valuation work. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on PACCAR has been mixed, with some firms lifting targets and others pulling back their expectations by $5 to $10.
Seeking Alpha • Apr 24

Paccar: Big Earnings Beat Likely Coming, Stock Could Re-Rate

Summary PACCAR is poised for an earnings beat, with margin improvement and positive Q2 outlook expected despite weak heavy truck markets. PCAR’s Parts and Financial Services segments drive profitability, with Parts targeting $3.5B revenue growth and 8.6% CAGR by 2030. Valuation remains discounted versus machinery peers; a strong earnings print could trigger a re-rating toward the mid-20x EV/EBITDA range. I model a $160 price target for PCAR, supported by robust free cash flow and consistent dividend growth. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrativ-Update • Apr 20

PCAR: Future Returns Will Reflect Truck Demand And Powertrain Technology Shifts

PACCAR's analyst price target has been revised higher by about $6, reflecting updated views from recent research that points to modestly stronger revenue assumptions, a slightly lower discount rate and an adjusted future P/E outlook. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on PACCAR has centered on valuation revisions and how the company might execute against long term earnings expectations in the truck and commercial vehicle market.
Narrativ-Update • Apr 05

PCAR: Higher Multiple Hopes Will Likely Struggle Against Cycle Execution Risks

The analyst price target for PACCAR has shifted from $95.31 to $109.00 as analysts factor in updated assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins, and a higher future P/E multiple following a series of recent target revisions from major firms. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around PACCAR clusters around a series of price target adjustments, with several large firms, including JPMorgan, Citi, BofA, Morgan Stanley, and Wells Fargo, updating their views.
Narrativ-Update • Mar 22

PCAR: Higher Margin Hopes Will Likely Struggle Against Truck Cycle Risk

Analysts have raised their average price target for PACCAR by several dollars into the low $120s, citing updated assumptions that include slightly stronger revenue growth, modestly higher profit margins, and revised P/E expectations reflected in recent target increases from major firms. Analyst Commentary Recent research has clustered around higher price targets for PACCAR, but not all of the commentary is unreservedly positive.
Narrativ-Update • Mar 08

PCAR: Richer P/E Assumptions Will Likely Struggle Against Truck Downcycle Risk

The analyst price target for PACCAR has been revised higher from $90.00 to about $95.31, as analysts factor in updated assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins, and a higher future P/E, in line with a series of recent target increases across major research firms. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on PACCAR cluster around higher price targets and refreshed models, but the tone is not uniformly bullish.
Narrativ-Update • Feb 22

PCAR: Easing 2027 Emissions Rules Will Support Higher Margins And Premium Pricing

The analyst price target for PACCAR has been raised from $147.64 to $150.00, reflecting updated assumptions for slightly higher revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E. This change is in line with a series of recent target increases from firms such as Morgan Stanley, Citi, Wells Fargo, BofA, and JPMorgan.
Narrativ-Update • Feb 07

PCAR: Future Returns Will Hinge On Truck Demand And Emerging Emissions Rules

The analyst price target for PACCAR has shifted from about $111.44 to $122.15, with analysts pointing to updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E multiples that are consistent with a series of recent price target increases across major research firms. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on PACCAR cluster around higher price targets and a view that the shares are closer to fairly valued than deeply mispriced.
Narrativ-Update • Jan 24

PCAR: Easing 2027 Emissions Rules Will Support Stronger Margins And Premium Pricing

Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for PACCAR from US$133.00 to about US$147.64. The revision reflects updated assumptions around slightly higher revenue growth, a revised profit margin profile, and a higher future P/E multiple in line with recent price target increases across several research firms.
Narrativ-Update • Jan 09

PCAR: Future Returns Will Depend On Section 232 Relief And Truck Demand

The analyst price target for PACCAR has increased by about US$4 to roughly US$111, as analysts factor in Section 232 related cost benefits, improved margin visibility, and a slightly higher long term outlook for revenue growth and profitability, despite mixed signals on near term truck demand and margins. Analyst Commentary Recent research on PACCAR reflects a mixed but generally balanced stance, with analysts weighing tariff related benefits and margin visibility against questions on truck demand and near term profitability.
Narrativ-Update • Dec 26

PCAR: Section 232 Cost Advantage Will Support Stronger Margins And Premium Pricing

The analyst price target for PACCAR has been raised slightly to $133.00 from about $130.00, as analysts factor in stronger expected revenue growth, improving profit margins, and a structural cost advantage under Section 232 that is only partly offset by concerns over mid cycle valuation and future truck demand. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are increasingly constructive on PACCAR as they factor in improving margin visibility, structural cost advantages and resilient parts profitability into their models.
Narrativ-Update • Dec 12

PCAR: Structural Tariff Tailwind Will Likely Fail To Offset Truck Downcycle Risk

We raise our fair value estimate for PACCAR to $90 from $86 as analysts lift price targets into the low $100s, citing improving margin visibility, structural tariff related cost advantages, and a more resilient medium term earnings outlook despite lingering demand uncertainty. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research presents a mixed but generally balanced view on PACCAR, with several firms acknowledging improved margin visibility while flagging execution and cycle related risks that could cap near term upside.
Narrativ-Update • Nov 27

PCAR: Future Margins Will Depend On Tariff Relief And Demand Stability

PACCAR's analyst price target saw a modest increase to approximately $108. Analysts point to improving cost structures and a shift to competitive advantages from U.S.-based production, despite ongoing questions around margins and future demand.
Narrativ-Update • Nov 06

PCAR: Future Profit Margins Will Balance Out Tariff Relief and Demand Uncertainty

Analysts have modestly raised their price target on PACCAR to approximately $108, citing benefits from tariff relief under Section 232, improved margin visibility, and a slight uptick in profit margin projections, even as expectations for revenue growth remain tempered. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research reflects a range of perspectives on PACCAR's valuation and outlook, with analysts weighing the effects of tariff relief, margin trends, and sector demand.
Narrativ-Update • Oct 22

Analyst Commentary Highlights Mixed Outlook for PACCAR Amid Tariffs and Valuation Changes

Analysts have raised their price target for PACCAR from $103.50 to $107.00, citing improved structural cost advantages from recent tariff changes and a more optimistic outlook on revenue growth, despite lingering margin concerns. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst updates reflect a mixed but generally constructive view on PACCAR's outlook, with various factors contributing to both bullish and cautious perspectives on the company's valuation and future growth trajectory.
Seeking Alpha • Mar 19

Paccar Inc: I Expect Further Downside In 2025

Summary Paccar Inc's 2024 performance shows a clear downtrend, driven by a slowdown in global truck market sales and tough year-over-year comparisons. Margins, ROA, ROE, and ROTC have all declined, indicating management's struggle to adapt to market downturns and maintain profitability. Despite high liquidity, the company faces uncertainties due to tariff wars, which may further pressure margins and disrupt the supply chain. I remain cautious and will not invest in PCAR stock until I see improvements in top-line and profitability metrics, especially amid ongoing tariff uncertainties. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jan 17

Paccar: Why The Next Few Quarters May Be Volatile

Summary Earnings season offers insights into the economy, with logistics and transport sectors being key indicators of overall economic activity. Paccar's upcoming Q4 earnings report will shed light on the trucking industry's current state, despite recent strains. Paccar remains strong, evidenced by a $3.00 special dividend paid last month, but deliveries are slowing down, leading to lower profits. Paccar's Q4 reports will determine whether 2025 can be another great year for the stock or not. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Dec 13

Paccar Is A Bit Overpriced For This Fundamentally Sound Company

Summary PACCAR is fundamentally sound, with improving returns driven by topline growth and operational efficiencies. It achieved double-digit profit growth despite being in a mature market. Financially robust, PCAR generates strong cash flows, has a solid capital allocation plan, and maintains a significant cash reserve. There is only a 25% margin of safety despite optimistic assumptions, suggesting patience for a better entry point. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Sep 27

PACCAR Stock: Revisiting My Buy Rating 4 Years Later

Summary PACCAR has outperformed the S&P 500 since my Buy rating four years ago, returning 100.2% since September 2020 compared to the S&P 500's 70.1%. Despite a recent 22% dip from its all-time high, PACCAR seems more fairly valued than undervalued, prompting me to give it a Hold rating. The company's strong profitability, efficiency, and consistent investment in future tech make it a solid company. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jul 17

Paccar's Q2 Earnings: Why It Beats The Market And What To Do Now

Summary Paccar stock has outperformed the S&P 500 over the past 5 years, delivering close to 160% total return. Paccar is a truck manufacturer with a strong dividend history, low yield, and low payout ratio, offering a real combined yield of 4-5%. Despite being in a cyclical market, Paccar's diverse revenue streams and financial strategies have attracted investors and supported stock growth. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • May 23

Paccar: A Dividend Growth Stock Long-Term Investors Should Add To Their Watchlist

Summary PACCAR Inc is a dividend stock worth considering for investors, with strong growth and a growing market share in the trucking industry. The company has a fortress balance sheet with no debt and an A+ credit rating, making it an attractive investment option. PACCAR also offers a well-covered dividend and has a history of paying special dividends, making it appealing to dividend investors. PCAR has paid a dividend since 1941 and special dividends for more than a decade. The company does face risks from competitors like Volvo and Amazon with the emergence of self-driving trucks. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • May 08

PACCAR: Too Far Too Fast - Time To Sell

Summary PACCAR's shares have risen too far too fast. PACCAR will require significant amounts of capital to transition to net zero emissions. This transition will disrupt PACCAR's profitable aftermarket parts business, and it may delay fleet replacements. The recent 15% decrease in PACCAR's shares should be treated as the start of a long-term period of underperformance, and not as a buying opportunity. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Apr 03

Paccar: Notable Insider Selling After A Big Rally

Summary Paccar shares have surged 50% since late October, but there has been notable insider selling earlier this year. The company reported strong Q4 earnings, beating both revenue and profit expectations as margins increased impressively. The stock might have gotten ahead of itself given projected slowing sales growth and an expected profit decline in FY2024. An analysis follows in the paragraphs below. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jan 26

Paccar: Strong Visibility Through H2 2024 With Improving Unit Economics

Summary PCAR is undervalued and has a strong demand outlook, with visibility through 2H24. PCAR's 4Q23 show higher-than-expected earnings and improved gross margins. The unit economics of PCAR are trending positively, suggesting better profitability in future cycles. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jan 19

Driving Future Success: Paccar's Strategic Resilience And Innovation

Summary PACCAR has shown skillful financial management during the pandemic and is poised for substantial growth with the normalization of supply-chain shortages by 2024. The company's deliberate entry into the electric vehicle market, along with partnerships in EV, hydrogen fuel cell, and autonomous vehicle domains, sets it up for long-term success. PCAR stands out as an appealing investment choice with a commitment to shareholder value through consistent dividends, stock buybacks, and a proven track record of profitability. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Gewinn- und Umsatzwachstumsprognosen

NasdaqGS:PCAR - Zukünftige Analystenschätzungen und Finanzdaten der Vergangenheit (USD Millions)
DatumUmsatzGewinneFreier CashflowBargeld aus operativen TätigkeitenDurchschn. Anz. Analysten
12/31/202833,0184,3094,0714,9496
12/31/202730,7913,5393,4634,17912
12/31/202628,4232,9833,1584,01212
3/31/202627,7802,4763,0994,477N/A
12/31/202528,4452,3763,0294,416N/A
9/30/202529,5322,6913,1944,717N/A
6/30/202531,1003,0732,8804,476N/A
3/31/202532,3613,4722,3634,082N/A
12/31/202433,6644,1622,8954,641N/A
9/30/202434,8334,7072,7764,382N/A
6/30/202435,2894,9642,8754,439N/A
3/31/202435,3985,0623,6524,974N/A
12/31/202335,1274,6012,9284,190N/A
9/30/202334,1804,1053,0444,252N/A
6/30/202332,5433,6462,3753,590N/A
3/31/202330,8203,1451,9393,253N/A
12/31/202228,8203,0121,6373,027N/A
9/30/202227,3762,6091,2722,815N/A
6/30/202225,4642,2208382,417N/A
3/31/202224,1491,9954652,109N/A
12/31/202123,5221,8665542,187N/A
9/30/202122,4051,7532681,945N/A
6/30/202122,1941,7588142,494N/A
3/31/202119,4121,4101,5593,098N/A
12/31/202018,7291,3011,3492,987N/A
9/30/202019,2771,4241,4583,136N/A
6/30/202020,7081,6461,2193,032N/A
3/31/202024,2742,1188862,923N/A
12/31/201925,6002,388N/A2,860N/A
9/30/201925,7622,435N/A2,982N/A
6/30/201925,1522,372N/A2,983N/A
3/31/201924,3292,312N/A2,830N/A
12/31/201823,4962,195N/A2,992N/A
9/30/201822,6712,206N/A2,821N/A
6/30/201821,9742,064N/A2,729N/A
3/31/201820,8731,877N/A2,631N/A
12/31/201719,4561,675N/A2,716N/A
9/30/201718,0731,375N/A2,633N/A
6/30/201717,2621,318N/A1,837N/A
3/31/201716,9711,427N/A2,116N/A
12/31/201617,033522N/A2,301N/A
9/30/201617,318580N/A2,195N/A
6/30/201617,916665N/A3,018N/A
3/31/201618,582631N/A2,876N/A
12/31/201519,1151,604N/A2,556N/A
9/30/201519,8791,651N/A2,373N/A
6/30/201519,9601,591N/A2,470N/A

Analystenprognosen zum zukünftigen Wachstum

Einkommen vs. Sparrate: PCARDas prognostizierte Gewinnwachstum (16.2% pro Jahr) liegt über der Sparquote (3.5%).

Ertrag vs. Markt: PCARDie Erträge des Unternehmens (16.2% pro Jahr) werden voraussichtlich langsamer wachsen als der Markt US (16.8% pro Jahr).

Hohe Wachstumserträge: PCARDie Erträge des Unternehmens werden voraussichtlich steigen, jedoch nicht deutlich.

Einnahmen vs. Markt: PCARDie Einnahmen des Unternehmens (6.6% pro Jahr) werden voraussichtlich langsamer wachsen als der Markt US (11.6% pro Jahr).

Hohe Wachstumseinnahmen: PCARDie Einnahmen des Unternehmens (6.6% pro Jahr) werden voraussichtlich langsamer wachsen als 20% pro Jahr.

Wachstumsprognosen für den Gewinn je Aktie

Künftige Eigenkapitalrendite

Künftige Eigenkapitalrendite: PCARDie Eigenkapitalrendite des Unternehmens wird in 3 Jahren voraussichtlich niedrig sein (18.2%).

Wachstumsunternehmen entdecken

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

Unternehmensanalyse und Finanzdaten Status

DatenZuletzt aktualisiert (UTC-Zeit)
Unternehmensanalyse2026/05/20 10:40
Aktienkurs zum Tagesende2026/05/20 00:00
Gewinne2026/03/31
Jährliche Einnahmen2025/12/31

Datenquellen

Die in unserer Unternehmensanalyse verwendeten Daten stammen von S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Die folgenden Daten werden in unserem Analysemodell verwendet, um diesen Bericht zu erstellen. Die Daten sind normalisiert, was zu einer Verzögerung bei der Verfügbarkeit der Quelle führen kann.

PaketDatenZeitrahmenBeispiel US-Quelle *
Finanzdaten des Unternehmens10 Jahre
  • Gewinn- und Verlustrechnung
  • Kapitalflussrechnung
  • Bilanz
Konsensschätzungen der Analysten+3 Jahre
  • Finanzielle Vorausschau
  • Kursziele der Analysten
Marktpreise30 Jahre
  • Aktienkurse
  • Dividenden, Splits und Aktionen
Eigentümerschaft10 Jahre
  • Top-Aktionäre
  • Insiderhandel
Verwaltung10 Jahre
  • Das Führungsteam
  • Direktorium
Wichtige Entwicklungen10 Jahre
  • Ankündigungen des Unternehmens

* Beispiel für US-Wertpapiere, für nicht-US-amerikanische Wertpapiere werden gleichwertige regulatorische Formulare und Quellen verwendet.

Sofern nicht anders angegeben, beziehen sich alle Finanzdaten auf einen Jahreszeitraum, werden aber vierteljährlich aktualisiert. Dies wird als Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) oder Last Twelve Month (LTM) Daten bezeichnet. Erfahren Sie mehr.

Analysemodell und Schneeflocke

Einzelheiten zu dem Analysemodell, mit dem dieser Bericht erstellt wurde, finden Sie auf unserer Github-Seite. Außerdem bieten wir Leitfäden zur Verwendung unserer Berichte und Tutorials auf YouTube an.

Erfahren Sie mehr über das Weltklasse-Team, das das Simply Wall St-Analysemodell entworfen und entwickelt hat.

Metriken für Industrie und Sektor

Unsere Branchen- und Sektionskennzahlen werden alle 6 Stunden von Simply Wall St berechnet. Details zu unserem Verfahren finden Sie auf Github.

Analysten-Quellen

PACCAR Inc wird von 44 Analysten beobachtet. 15 dieser Analysten hat die Umsatz- oder Gewinnschätzungen übermittelt, die als Grundlage für unseren Bericht dienen. Die von den Analysten übermittelten Daten werden im Laufe des Tages aktualisiert.

AnalystEinrichtung
John EadeArgus Research Company
David LeikerBaird
Andrew KaplowitzBarclays