Vår Energi Zukünftiges Wachstum
Future Kriterienprüfungen 1/6
Der Umsatz und der Gewinn von Vår Energi werden voraussichtlich um 6.4% bzw. 15.2% pro Jahr zurückgehen. Der Gewinn je Aktie wird voraussichtlich um 15.8% pro Jahr sinken. Die Eigenkapitalrendite wird in 3 Jahren voraussichtlich 53% betragen.
Wichtige Informationen
-15.2%
Wachstumsrate der Gewinne
-15.77%
EPS-Wachstumsrate
| Oil and Gas Gewinnwachstum | -5.8% |
| Wachstumsrate der Einnahmen | -6.4% |
| Zukünftige Eigenkapitalrendite | 52.99% |
| Analystenabdeckung | Good |
| Zuletzt aktualisiert | 22 Jul 2026 |
Jüngste Aktualisierungen zum künftigen Wachstum
Recent updates
Narrative-Update • Jul 10
VAR: Gjøa Hub Projects And Portfolio Shift Will Shape Balanced Outlook
Analysts have trimmed their average 12 month price target for Vår Energi to NOK 39.18 from NOK 40.71, reflecting slightly lower fair value assumptions, a modestly reduced future P/E outlook, and updated expectations for revenue growth and profit margins. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Vår Energi shows a mix of optimism and caution, with some firms adjusting targets and ratings as they refresh assumptions on valuation, growth prospects, and execution risks.Narrative-Update • Jun 26
VAR: Portfolio High Grading And New Wells Will Shape Balanced Outlook
The analyst price target for Vår Energi has been revised from about NOK 26 to roughly NOK 41, as analysts factor in updated assumptions around discount rates, profit margins, and future P/E, alongside a mix of recent rating changes and target tweaks from the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Vår Energi reflects a mix of optimism and caution, with some firms upgrading their stance while others trim price targets.Analyseartikel • Jun 18
Vår Energi (OB:VAR) Stock Could Be 11.7% Undervalued After Balder Next New Wells Decision
Vår Energi (OB:VAR) has approved a final investment decision for the Balder Next New Wells project in the North Sea, a new phase targeting 86 million barrels of oil equivalent tied to existing infrastructure. See our latest analysis for Vår Energi. At a share price of NOK43.31, Vår Energi has given investors a year to date share price return of 29.67%, while the 1 year total shareholder return of 43.42% and 3 year total shareholder return of 139.66% point to momentum that has been building...
Narrative-Update • Jun 05
VAR: Project Execution And Steady Volumes Will Shape Balanced Future Returns
Analysts have nudged their average price target for Vår Energi higher to around NOK 49. This reflects a slightly higher assumed fair value and profit margin, set against more cautious revenue growth assumptions and a modestly higher discount rate after a mix of recent upgrades and one downgrade.Narrative-Update • Apr 18
VAR: Higher 2026 Volumes And Rising Production Targets Will Drive Returns
Analysts have adjusted the fair value estimate for Vår Energi to NOK 47.22 from NOK 44.72 as updated revenue growth, profit margin and forward P/E assumptions have shifted, alongside a slightly lower discount rate. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Vår Energi shows a mix of optimism and caution, with several price target revisions and rating changes that feed directly into how analysts think about valuation, execution risk and growth potential.Narrative-Update • Apr 03
VAR: Higher 2026 Volumes And Mixed Execution Risks Will Shape Returns
Analysts have raised the implied fair value for Vår Energi from NOK 38.93 to NOK 44.72, citing updated assumptions on growth, margins and future P/E multiples, as well as a mix of both higher and lower price targets in recent research. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Vår Energi shows a split view, with some analysts lifting price targets and ratings while others are taking a more cautious stance with downgrades and lower targets.Narrative-Update • Mar 18
VAR: 2026 Production Targets And Sector Headwinds Will Limit Upside
The updated analyst price target for Vår Energi implies an increase in estimated fair value to about NOK 39 from roughly NOK 38, supported by mixed but generally higher Street targets in a NOK 25 to NOK 44 range as analysts adjust for revised growth, profitability and sector views. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Vår Energi shows a split view, with some firms lifting price targets while others cut ratings and targets.Narrative-Update • Mar 04
VAR: Dividends And 2026 Production Plans Will Support Balanced Outlook
The analyst price target for Vår Energi has been revised from NOK 36.44 to NOK 37.52, with analysts citing updated sector views and mixed broker targets ranging from NOK 25 to NOK 40 as key factors behind the change. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Vår Energi reflects a split view, with some analysts lifting price targets and others moving to more cautious stances.Analyseartikel • Feb 17
We Think Vår Energi's (OB:VAR) Profit Is Only A Baseline For What They Can Achieve
The subdued stock price reaction suggests that Vår Energi ASA's ( OB:VAR ) strong earnings didn't offer any surprises...Analyseartikel • Feb 13
Vår Energi ASA Earnings Missed Analyst Estimates: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Now
The analysts might have been a bit too bullish on Vår Energi ASA ( OB:VAR ), given that the company fell short of...Neues Narrative • Jan 28
Future Production And Cost Risks Will Undermine Long Term Norwegian Shelf Ambitions
Catalysts About Vår Energi Vår Energi is an oil and gas producer focused on the Norwegian Continental Shelf with a diversified asset base, significant gas exports and an active program of development and exploration projects. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?Narrative-Update • Jan 27
VAR: Dividends And 2028 To 2029 Projects Will Support Balanced Outlook
Analysts have trimmed their price target on Vår Energi from about NOK 38.93 to around NOK 36.44, as updated sector views and a softer oil price outlook feed through to lower assumed fair value and P/E multiples, even while their models reflect adjusted expectations for revenue growth and profit margins. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Vår Energi points to a mixed view, with some focusing on long term sector positioning and others emphasizing valuation risk at current levels.Narrative-Update • Jan 12
VAR: Dividend And New Projects Will Support Stronger 2030 Production Profile
Narrative Update Analysts have nudged their price target on Vår Energi higher, with one recent update moving from NOK 33 to NOK 34. This reflects adjusted views on discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E assumptions.Narrative-Update • Dec 15
VAR: Project Pipeline Will Lift 2030 Production 18% Above Market Estimates
Analysts have nudged their price target on Vår Energi slightly higher, reflecting an upward bias from NOK 33 to NOK 34 at the lower end, and a more bullish NOK 46 target, supported by expectations of a steadily expanding project pipeline and production profile through 2030. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates present a mixed but constructive picture, with price targets now clustered in the mid 30s to mid 40s.Narrative-Update • Nov 30
VAR: Production Will Surpass Market Estimates As Project Pipeline Delivers Through 2030
Analysts have slightly increased their price target for Vår Energi, raising it by NOK 0.17 to NOK 38.97. This change is attributed to generally more optimistic outlooks on the company’s project pipeline and future production growth estimates.Narrative-Update • Nov 16
VAR: Production Will Outperform Consensus As Project Pipeline Expands
The average analyst price target for Vår Energi has increased modestly from NOK 38.49 to NOK 38.80. This change reflects improved growth expectations and a lower perceived discount rate according to recent analyst research.Narrative-Update • Oct 31
VAR: Production Pipeline Expansion Will Drive Output Higher Through The Decade
Vår Energi's analyst price target has been revised slightly lower, dropping from NOK 39.15 to NOK 38.49, as analysts consider more measured expectations for revenue growth and profit margins. This comes despite an ongoing split in outlooks across the Street.Narrative-Update • Oct 17
Jotun FPSO And Johan Castberg Ramps Will Boost Industry Potential
Analysts have raised the fair value price target for Vår Energi from NOK 38.62 to NOK 39.15, citing a combination of improved profit margin outlooks and updated perspectives on the company's growth trajectory. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst coverage of Vår Energi presents a balanced perspective, with optimistic and cautious viewpoints shaping sentiment around the stock’s valuation, growth and execution potential.Narrative-Update • Oct 03
Jotun FPSO And Johan Castberg Ramps Will Boost Industry Potential
Vår Energi's fair value estimate has risen from NOK 37.05 to NOK 38.62. Analysts cite modest project pipeline growth and production estimates above market consensus as key drivers for the upward revision.Narrative-Update • Sep 16
Jotun FPSO And Johan Castberg Ramps Will Boost Industry Potential
A sharp increase in Vår Energi’s future P/E ratio, likely reflecting lower earnings expectations, has driven a slight decrease in the consensus analyst price target from NOK38.07 to NOK37.05. What's in the News Jotun FPSO reached peak production ahead of schedule, now producing over 80 kboepd gross, supporting ongoing development of the Balder field, with Balder Phase V and VI projects underway to maintain high output.Narrative-Update • Aug 28
Jotun FPSO And Johan Castberg Ramps Will Boost Industry Potential
Vår Energi's consensus analyst price target was largely unchanged despite a dramatic increase in its Future P/E, suggesting sharply reduced earnings expectations, with fair value now at NOK38.60. What's in the News Vår Energi provided production guidance, targeting around 430 kboepd in Q4 2025 and expecting to reach the mid-point of its 2025 full-year guidance (330–360 kboepd); 2026 guidance at 400 kboepd and 350–400 kboepd for 2027–2030.Analyseartikel • Jul 25
Vår Energi AS Just Missed EPS By 38%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next
It's shaping up to be a tough period for Vår Energi AS ( OB:VAR ), which a week ago released some disappointing...
Neues Narrative • Feb 09
New Oil And Gas Projects Will Sustain Production Up To 400,000 Barrels Per Day Through 2030
Vår Energi expects production growth and strategic projects to boost long-term revenue and earnings through increased production capacity and low-cost operations.Gewinn- und Umsatzwachstumsprognosen
| Datum | Umsatz | Gewinne | Freier Cashflow | Bargeld aus operativen Tätigkeiten | Durchschn. Anz. Analysten |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 9,538 | 978 | 1,094 | 4,130 | 11 |
| 12/31/2027 | 10,519 | 1,149 | 980 | 4,033 | 12 |
| 12/31/2026 | 12,713 | 2,011 | 3,317 | 5,929 | 9 |
| 6/30/2026 | 10,667 | 1,308 | 2,990 | 5,651 | N/A |
| 3/31/2026 | 8,790 | 699 | 1,564 | 4,342 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 7,966 | 780 | 1,787 | 4,607 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 7,437 | 581 | 928 | 3,700 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 7,151 | 611 | 1,012 | 3,776 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 7,257 | 619 | 945 | 3,721 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 7,372 | 265 | 533 | 3,408 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 7,390 | 577 | 1,042 | 3,887 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 7,177 | 601 | 774 | 3,552 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 6,675 | 491 | 379 | 3,072 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 6,816 | 602 | 779 | 3,420 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 7,491 | 970 | 227 | 3,006 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 8,396 | 731 | 807 | 3,535 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 9,387 | 701 | 2,225 | 4,839 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 9,781 | 936 | 3,089 | 5,682 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 9,708 | 671 | 3,686 | 6,189 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 8,803 | 877 | 3,402 | 6,035 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 7,487 | 918 | 3,150 | 5,811 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 6,043 | 654 | 1,995 | 4,580 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 4,552 | -146 | 1,975 | 4,416 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 2,869 | -1,627 | -68 | 1,744 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 2,836 | 286 | N/A | 1,365 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 2,557 | 275 | N/A | 1,827 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 1,923 | 163 | N/A | 1,178 | N/A |
Analystenprognosen zum zukünftigen Wachstum
Einkommen vs. Sparrate: VARFür die nächsten 3 Jahre wird ein Rückgang der Gewinne prognostiziert (-15.2% pro Jahr).
Ertrag vs. Markt: VARFür die nächsten 3 Jahre wird ein Rückgang der Gewinne prognostiziert (-15.2% pro Jahr).
Hohe Wachstumserträge: VARFür die nächsten 3 Jahre wird mit einem Rückgang der Erträge gerechnet.
Einnahmen vs. Markt: VARDie Einnahmen des Unternehmens werden in den nächsten 3 Jahren voraussichtlich zurückgehen (-6.4% pro Jahr).
Hohe Wachstumseinnahmen: VARDie Einnahmen des Unternehmens werden in den nächsten drei Jahren voraussichtlich zurückgehen (-6.4% pro Jahr).
Wachstumsprognosen für den Gewinn je Aktie
Künftige Eigenkapitalrendite
Künftige Eigenkapitalrendite: VARDie Eigenkapitalrendite des Unternehmens wird in 3 Jahren voraussichtlich sehr hoch sein (53%).
Wachstumsunternehmen entdecken
Unternehmensanalyse und Finanzdaten Status
| Daten | Zuletzt aktualisiert (UTC-Zeit) |
|---|---|
| Unternehmensanalyse | 2026/07/22 10:37 |
| Aktienkurs zum Tagesende | 2026/07/22 00:00 |
| Gewinne | 2026/06/30 |
| Jährliche Einnahmen | 2025/12/31 |
Datenquellen
Die in unserer Unternehmensanalyse verwendeten Daten stammen von S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Die folgenden Daten werden in unserem Analysemodell verwendet, um diesen Bericht zu erstellen. Die Daten sind normalisiert, was zu einer Verzögerung bei der Verfügbarkeit der Quelle führen kann.
| Paket | Daten | Zeitrahmen | Beispiel US-Quelle * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Finanzdaten des Unternehmens | 10 Jahre |
| |
| Konsensschätzungen der Analysten | +3 Jahre |
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| Marktpreise | 30 Jahre |
| |
| Eigentümerschaft | 10 Jahre |
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| Verwaltung | 10 Jahre |
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| Wichtige Entwicklungen | 10 Jahre |
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* Beispiel für US-Wertpapiere, für nicht-US-amerikanische Wertpapiere werden gleichwertige regulatorische Formulare und Quellen verwendet.
Sofern nicht anders angegeben, beziehen sich alle Finanzdaten auf einen Jahreszeitraum, werden aber vierteljährlich aktualisiert. Dies wird als Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) oder Last Twelve Month (LTM) Daten bezeichnet. Erfahren Sie mehr.
Analysemodell und Schneeflocke
Details zum Analysemodell, mit dem dieser Bericht erstellt wurde, finden Sie auf unserer Github-Seite; außerdem bieten wir Leitfäden zur Nutzung unserer Berichte und Tutorials auf Youtube an.
Erfahren Sie mehr über das Weltklasse-Team, das das Simply Wall St-Analysemodell entworfen und entwickelt hat.
Metriken für Industrie und Sektor
Unsere Branchen- und Sektionskennzahlen werden alle 6 Stunden von Simply Wall St berechnet. Details zu unserem Verfahren finden Sie auf Github.
Analysten-Quellen
Vår Energi ASA wird von 20 Analysten beobachtet. 12 dieser Analysten hat die Umsatz- oder Gewinnschätzungen übermittelt, die als Grundlage für unseren Bericht dienen. Die von den Analysten übermittelten Daten werden im Laufe des Tages aktualisiert.
| Analyst | Einrichtung |
|---|---|
| null null | ABG Sundal Collier |
| Naisheng Cui | Barclays |
| Lydia Rainforth | Barclays |