GEO Group Valuation

Is GEO1 * undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Unter dem Marktwert

  • Deutlich unter dem Marktwert

  • Price-To-Earnings gegen Gleichaltrige

  • Price-To-Earnings gegen Industrie

  • PM vs. Fair Ratio

  • Analysten-Prognose

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of GEO1 * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Unter dem Marktwert: GEO1 * (MX$176) wird unter unserer Schätzung des Fair Value (MX$422.88) gehandelt.

Deutlich unter dem Marktwert: GEO1 * wird um mehr als 20 % unter dem Marktwert gehandelt.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for GEO1 *?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

GEO1 * key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.5x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA7.8x
PEG Ratio0.8x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does GEO1 *'s PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for GEO1 * vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average23x
PASA B Promotora Ambiental. de
30xn/aMex$5.0b
CXW CoreCivic
25.8x14.2%US$1.7b
9917 Taiwan Secom
21xn/aNT$54.3b
2331 Sohgo Security ServicesLtd
15.3x5.1%JP¥407.4b
GEO1 * GEO Group
21.7x28.8%Mex$1.9b

Price-To-Earnings gegen Gleichaltrige: GEO1 * ist ein guter Wert, wenn man sein Price-To-Earnings Verhältnis (12.2x) mit dem Durchschnitt der anderen Unternehmen (18.6x) vergleicht.


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does GEO1 *'s PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Commercial Services Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a16.0%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a16.0%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings gegen Industrie: GEO1 * ist teuer, wenn man sein Price-To-Earnings Verhältnis (17.6x) mit dem Global Commercial Services Branchendurchschnitt (17.2x) vergleicht.


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is GEO1 *'s PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

GEO1 * PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio21.7x
Fair PE Ration/a

PM vs. Fair Ratio: Unzureichende Daten zur Berechnung der Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio von GEO1 * für die Bewertungsanalyse.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst GEO1 * forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
Mex$247.23
0%
2.9%Mex$251.42Mex$234.66n/a4
Mar ’25n/a
Mex$251.52
0%
2.9%Mex$255.78Mex$238.73n/a4
Feb ’25Mex$187.00
Mex$244.05
+30.5%
3.4%Mex$252.46Mex$235.63n/a4
Jan ’25Mex$180.00
Mex$254.45
+41.4%
3.4%Mex$263.22Mex$245.67n/a4
Dec ’24Mex$172.00
Mex$254.45
+47.9%
3.4%Mex$263.22Mex$245.67n/a4
Nov ’24n/a
Mex$249.65
0%
7.2%Mex$265.11Mex$220.93n/a4
Oct ’24Mex$135.87
Mex$241.43
+77.7%
8.3%Mex$255.64Mex$213.03n/a3
Sep ’24Mex$124.00
Mex$241.43
+94.7%
8.3%Mex$255.64Mex$213.03n/a3
Aug ’24n/a
Mex$241.74
0%
13.8%Mex$265.33Mex$194.57n/a3
Jul ’24Mex$125.00
Mex$241.74
+93.4%
13.8%Mex$265.33Mex$194.57n/a3
Jun ’24n/a
Mex$241.74
0%
13.8%Mex$265.33Mex$194.57n/a3
May ’24n/a
Mex$235.89
0%
21.8%Mex$272.18Mex$163.31n/a3
Apr ’24n/a
Mex$265.39
0%
6.6%Mex$277.73Mex$240.70Mex$244.803
Mar ’24n/a
Mex$265.39
0%
6.6%Mex$277.73Mex$240.70n/a3
Feb ’24Mex$212.00
Mex$277.80
+31.0%
3.2%Mex$284.11Mex$265.17Mex$187.003
Jan ’24Mex$211.00
Mex$288.04
+36.5%
3.2%Mex$294.59Mex$274.95Mex$180.003
Dec ’23Mex$235.20
Mex$282.10
+19.9%
3.2%Mex$288.52Mex$269.28Mex$172.003
Nov ’23Mex$171.50
Mex$263.95
+53.9%
17.7%Mex$296.95Mex$197.96n/a3
Oct ’23Mex$156.00
Mex$259.83
+66.6%
21.8%Mex$299.81Mex$179.88Mex$135.873
Sep ’23Mex$165.80
Mex$259.83
+56.7%
21.8%Mex$299.81Mex$179.88Mex$124.003
Aug ’23n/a
Mex$260.08
0%
26.1%Mex$307.99Mex$164.26n/a3
Jul ’23Mex$125.00
Mex$253.44
+102.8%
26.1%Mex$300.13Mex$160.07Mex$125.003
Jun ’23n/a
Mex$253.44
0%
26.1%Mex$300.13Mex$160.07n/a3
May ’23n/a
Mex$257.15
0%
26.1%Mex$304.52Mex$162.41n/a3
Apr ’23Mex$115.00
Mex$257.15
+123.6%
26.1%Mex$304.52Mex$162.41n/a3

Analysten-Prognose: Das Kursziel ist niedriger als der aktuelle Aktienkurs.


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