Intesa Sanpaolo Zukünftiges Wachstum
Future Kriterienprüfungen 1/6
Intesa Sanpaolo wird ein jährliches Gewinn- und Umsatzwachstum von 5.4% bzw. 4.5% prognostiziert. Der Gewinn pro Aktie wird voraussichtlich wachsen um 7.3% pro Jahr. Die Eigenkapitalrendite wird in 3 Jahren voraussichtlich 17.6% betragen.
Wichtige Informationen
5.4%
Wachstumsrate der Gewinne
7.31%
EPS-Wachstumsrate
| Banks Gewinnwachstum | 6.6% |
| Wachstumsrate der Einnahmen | 4.5% |
| Zukünftige Eigenkapitalrendite | 17.58% |
| Analystenabdeckung | Good |
| Zuletzt aktualisiert | 18 Jun 2026 |
Jüngste Aktualisierungen zum künftigen Wachstum
Recent updates
Narrativ-Update • Jun 10
ISP: 2026 Earnings Power Will Depend On Monte Dei Paschi Bid Execution
Analysts have nudged their average price target for Intesa Sanpaolo slightly higher, with recent Street research pointing to a move from about €6.73 to roughly €6.75 as firms fine tune assumptions on fair value, discount rates, growth and future price-to-earnings ratios. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Intesa Sanpaolo shows a mix of optimism and caution, with several firms adjusting price targets and ratings in different directions.Narrativ-Update • May 26
ISP: 2026 Earnings Power Will Rely On Fees Insurance And Cost Discipline
Analysts have nudged the fair value estimate for Intesa Sanpaolo higher to €6.73 from €6.61, reflecting updated assumptions on discount rates, profitability and future P/E in the wake of recent price target changes. These include JPMorgan lifting its target to €7.10, while Morgan Stanley trims its own to €6.80.Narrativ-Update • May 03
ISP: 2026 Earnings Power Will Rely On Fees Insurance And Cost Discipline
The analyst fair value estimate for Intesa Sanpaolo has inched higher to about €6.61 per share, a marginal move that reflects modest tweaks to assumptions on discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E after recent price target changes and rating upgrades across the Street. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts are comfortable lifting price targets into the €6.80 range or higher, which supports the view that recent earnings assumptions and capital return expectations can justify a P/E closer to peers.Narrativ-Update • Apr 19
ISP: 2026 Fee And Insurance Income Will Support Earnings Power
Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Intesa Sanpaolo slightly, with the implied price target easing by about €0.05 as updated assumptions for discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E are incorporated into their models, while recent Street research shows a mix of target cuts and upgrades across major banks. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Intesa Sanpaolo shows both upward and downward adjustments to price targets, reflecting different views on how the current valuation lines up with execution and growth expectations.Narrativ-Update • Apr 04
ISP: Fee And Insurance Strength Will Support Medium Term Earnings Upside
Analysts have nudged the fair value estimate for Intesa Sanpaolo from €6.43 to €6.65, reflecting updated views on revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E expectations after a series of recent price target raises and upgrades from major firms. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Intesa Sanpaolo has centered on higher price targets and upgrades, which feed directly into the updated fair value estimate.Narrativ-Update • Feb 02
ISP: Higher Earnings Multiple And Fair Value View Will Shape Medium Term Upside
Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Intesa Sanpaolo to €6.43 from €6.33, citing updated price targets in the €6.80 to €6.90 range, slightly adjusted discount rates, refined revenue growth assumptions, and a modestly higher future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research has focused on higher price targets for Intesa Sanpaolo, with JPMorgan and other bullish analysts revisiting their assumptions on earnings power and valuation multiples.Narrativ-Update • Jan 19
ISP: Higher Earnings Multiple Assumptions Will Support Earnings Visibility And Balanced Risk Profile
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Intesa Sanpaolo higher to €6.33 from €6.20, reflecting recent upward price target revisions to €6.80 and €6.90, as well as updated assumptions around discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research has leaned more positive on Intesa Sanpaolo, with higher price targets feeding into the updated fair value estimate of €6.33.Narrativ-Update • Jan 04
ISP: Incremental Actions Will Sustain Earnings Visibility And Balanced Risk Reward Profile
Analysts have nudged their average price target on Intesa Sanpaolo slightly higher to approximately EUR 6.20, reflecting broadly unchanged assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins, and discount rates, and a view that incremental, controllable actions can sustain the bank's leading profitability without the need for revolutionary change. Analyst Commentary Analyst sentiment on Intesa Sanpaolo remains broadly constructive, with most commentators highlighting the bank's solid earnings profile and scope for steady value creation, even as some trim valuation assumptions at the margin.Narrativ-Update • Dec 14
ISP: Incremental Actions And Earnings Visibility Will Sustain Balanced Risk And Reward
Analysts have nudged their price target on Intesa Sanpaolo slightly higher, to about EUR 6.18 from EUR 6.17. This reflects a modestly lower discount rate and stable growth and profitability expectations, supported by recent research that highlights room for incremental improvements without requiring major strategic shifts.Narrativ-Update • Nov 28
ISP: Incremental Improvements And Efficiency Will Sustain Balanced Risk And Opportunity Ahead
Intesa Sanpaolo's analyst price target has increased slightly from €6.16 to €6.17, as analysts cite steady profitability drivers and manageable growth expectations which underpin their outlook. Analyst Commentary Recent research coverage of Intesa Sanpaolo highlights a blend of optimism and caution among analysts covering the stock.Narrativ-Update • Nov 14
ISP: Incremental Improvements And Efficiency Will Help Maintain Stable Earnings Outlook
Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Intesa Sanpaolo from €6.08 to €6.16, citing improved revenue growth forecasts and sustained profit margins as key factors supporting a higher price target. Analyst Commentary Recent street research reflects a dynamic range of perspectives on Intesa Sanpaolo's prospects, with price targets and ratings moving in both directions based on evolving views of profitability, growth, and execution capability.Narrativ-Update • Oct 30
ISP: Measured Upside Expected As Shareholder Returns And Momentum Weigh Against Limited Surprises
Intesa Sanpaolo's analyst fair value target has risen modestly from €5.95 to €6.08. This reflects analysts’ confidence in improved revenue growth expectations and sustained profitability drivers.Narrativ-Update • Oct 16
Digital Transformation, ESG, And European Integration Will Drive Future Opportunity
Intesa Sanpaolo's analyst price target has been modestly increased from €5.88 to €5.95. This reflects analysts' expectations for improved profitability and stronger revenue growth in the near term.Narrativ-Update • Sep 04
Digital Transformation, ESG, And European Integration Will Drive Future Opportunity
Analysts maintain a positive outlook on Intesa Sanpaolo driven by resilient profitability, strong capital management, and sustained operating performance, resulting in no change to the consensus price target, which remains at €5.88. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts attribute the price target increases to improved earnings visibility and resilient profitability.
Neues Narrativ • Nov 07
Technological Investment To Boost Bank Efficiency But Macro Uncertainties Loom Large
Intesa Sanpaolo's investment in technology and workforce restructuring aims to enhance efficiency, net margins, and overall earnings.Gewinn- und Umsatzwachstumsprognosen
| Datum | Umsatz | Gewinne | Freier Cashflow | Bargeld aus operativen Tätigkeiten | Durchschn. Anz. Analysten |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 30,223 | 11,274 | N/A | N/A | 16 |
| 12/31/2027 | 29,317 | 10,657 | N/A | N/A | 16 |
| 12/31/2026 | 28,379 | 9,991 | N/A | N/A | 16 |
| 3/31/2026 | 25,706 | 9,467 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 25,318 | 9,321 | 6,585 | 8,235 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 25,320 | 9,087 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 25,519 | 9,116 | -5,523 | -3,809 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 25,431 | 8,980 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 25,376 | 8,666 | -41,852 | -40,187 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 24,973 | 8,769 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 24,704 | 8,268 | -19,600 | -18,112 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 23,771 | 8,069 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 23,157 | 7,724 | -18,920 | -17,338 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 22,295 | 7,198 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 20,566 | 6,255 | 67,460 | 69,443 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 19,213 | 5,292 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 18,004 | 4,379 | 100,431 | 102,276 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 17,303 | 3,482 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 17,417 | 3,508 | 6,248 | 8,501 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 17,342 | 3,712 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 18,117 | 4,185 | 6,931 | 8,805 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 17,826 | 907 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 17,071 | 3,734 | 3,991 | 5,426 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 15,654 | 2,527 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 14,314 | 2,141 | -3,160 | -1,729 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 14,890 | 6,094 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 14,976 | 3,312 | -810 | 355 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 16,030 | 4,212 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 15,827 | 4,118 | N/A | 4,433 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 15,484 | 4,254 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 15,210 | 4,059 | N/A | 4,185 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 14,956 | 3,787 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 15,440 | 4,002 | N/A | 5,623 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 15,264 | 4,440 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 14,763 | 4,257 | N/A | 3,900 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 14,680 | 7,666 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 13,655 | 7,316 | N/A | 2,086 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 13,345 | 5,798 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 13,321 | 5,761 | N/A | -20,445 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 13,136 | 2,232 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 13,304 | 2,124 | N/A | -36,985 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 13,426 | 2,212 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 13,385 | 2,306 | N/A | -26,278 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 13,663 | 2,408 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 14,241 | 2,679 | N/A | -20,009 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 14,165 | 2,729 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6/30/2015 | 13,886 | 2,505 | N/A | -8,580 | N/A |
Analystenprognosen zum zukünftigen Wachstum
Einkommen vs. Sparrate: ISPDas prognostizierte Gewinnwachstum (5.4% pro Jahr) liegt über der Sparquote (3.3%).
Ertrag vs. Markt: ISPDie Erträge des Unternehmens (5.4% pro Jahr) werden voraussichtlich langsamer wachsen als der Markt Italian (11.2% pro Jahr).
Hohe Wachstumserträge: ISPDie Erträge des Unternehmens werden voraussichtlich steigen, jedoch nicht deutlich.
Einnahmen vs. Markt: ISPDie Einnahmen des Unternehmens (4.5% pro Jahr) werden voraussichtlich langsamer wachsen als der Markt Italian (6% pro Jahr).
Hohe Wachstumseinnahmen: ISPDie Einnahmen des Unternehmens (4.5% pro Jahr) werden voraussichtlich langsamer wachsen als 20% pro Jahr.
Wachstumsprognosen für den Gewinn je Aktie
Künftige Eigenkapitalrendite
Künftige Eigenkapitalrendite: ISPDie Eigenkapitalrendite des Unternehmens wird in 3 Jahren voraussichtlich niedrig sein (17.6%).
Wachstumsunternehmen entdecken
Unternehmensanalyse und Finanzdaten Status
| Daten | Zuletzt aktualisiert (UTC-Zeit) |
|---|---|
| Unternehmensanalyse | 2026/06/19 12:59 |
| Aktienkurs zum Tagesende | 2026/06/19 00:00 |
| Gewinne | 2026/03/31 |
| Jährliche Einnahmen | 2025/12/31 |
Datenquellen
Die in unserer Unternehmensanalyse verwendeten Daten stammen von S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Die folgenden Daten werden in unserem Analysemodell verwendet, um diesen Bericht zu erstellen. Die Daten sind normalisiert, was zu einer Verzögerung bei der Verfügbarkeit der Quelle führen kann.
| Paket | Daten | Zeitrahmen | Beispiel US-Quelle * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Finanzdaten des Unternehmens | 10 Jahre |
| |
| Konsensschätzungen der Analysten | +3 Jahre |
|
|
| Marktpreise | 30 Jahre |
| |
| Eigentümerschaft | 10 Jahre |
| |
| Verwaltung | 10 Jahre |
| |
| Wichtige Entwicklungen | 10 Jahre |
|
* Beispiel für US-Wertpapiere, für nicht-US-amerikanische Wertpapiere werden gleichwertige regulatorische Formulare und Quellen verwendet.
Sofern nicht anders angegeben, beziehen sich alle Finanzdaten auf einen Jahreszeitraum, werden aber vierteljährlich aktualisiert. Dies wird als Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) oder Last Twelve Month (LTM) Daten bezeichnet. Erfahren Sie mehr.
Analysemodell und Schneeflocke
Details des Analysemodells, das zur Erstellung dieses Berichts verwendet wurde, sind auf unserer GitHub-Seite verfügbar. Außerdem haben wir Leitfäden zur Nutzung unserer Berichte und Tutorials auf YouTube.
Erfahren Sie mehr über das Weltklasse-Team, das das Simply Wall St-Analysemodell entworfen und entwickelt hat.
Metriken für Industrie und Sektor
Unsere Branchen- und Sektionskennzahlen werden alle 6 Stunden von Simply Wall St berechnet. Details zu unserem Verfahren finden Sie auf Github.
Analysten-Quellen
Intesa Sanpaolo S.p.A. wird von 35 Analysten beobachtet. 16 dieser Analysten hat die Umsatz- oder Gewinnschätzungen übermittelt, die als Grundlage für unseren Bericht dienen. Die von den Analysten übermittelten Daten werden im Laufe des Tages aktualisiert.
| Analyst | Einrichtung |
|---|---|
| Irene Rossetto | Banca Akros S.p.A. (ESN) |
| Javier Esteban Lario | Banco de Sabadell. S.A. |
| Juan Lopez Cobo | Banco Santander |