Shimao Group Holdings Limited

SZSC:813 Stock Report

Market Cap: HK$1.7b

Shimao Group Holdings Valuation

Is 813 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Unter dem Marktwert

  • Deutlich unter dem Marktwert

  • Price-To-Sales gegen Gleichaltrige

  • Price-To-Sales gegen Industrie

  • PM vs. Fair Ratio

  • Analysten-Prognose

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 813 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Unter dem Marktwert: 813 (HK$0.46) is trading below our estimate of fair value (HK$16.3)

Deutlich unter dem Marktwert: 813 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 813?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

813 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue4.9x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA-46x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 813's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 813 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.1x
1668 China South City Holdings
0.3xn/aHK$1.5b
3333 China Evergrande Group
0.007xn/aHK$2.2b
846 Mingfa Group (International)
0.2xn/aHK$2.0b
1813 KWG Group Holdings
0.06x-19.8%HK$957.3m
813 Shimao Group Holdings
0.03x-22.7%HK$1.7b

Price-To-Sales gegen Gleichaltrige: 813 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0x) compared to the peer average (0.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 813's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the HK Real Estate Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a14.0%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a14.0%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales gegen Industrie: 813 ist aufgrund seines Price-To-Sales Verhältnisses (0x) im Vergleich zum Hong Kong Real Estate Branchendurchschnitt (0.6x) ein guter Wert.


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 813's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

813 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.03x
Fair PS Ration/a

PM vs. Fair Ratio: Unzureichende Daten zur Berechnung der Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio von 813 für die Bewertungsanalyse.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 813 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentHK$0.46
HK$0.54
+18.7%
22.6%HK$0.71HK$0.40n/a4
Mar ’25n/a
HK$0.55
0%
20.8%HK$0.71HK$0.40n/a4
Feb ’25n/a
HK$0.56
0%
20.9%HK$0.71HK$0.40n/a4
Jan ’25n/a
HK$0.61
0%
13.8%HK$0.72HK$0.51n/a3
Dec ’24n/a
HK$0.66
0%
17.5%HK$0.82HK$0.51n/a4
Nov ’24n/a
HK$0.65
0%
17.5%HK$0.80HK$0.50n/a4
Oct ’24n/a
HK$0.67
0%
19.1%HK$0.80HK$0.50n/a3
Sep ’24n/a
HK$3.36
0%
51.6%HK$4.85HK$0.93n/a3
Aug ’24n/a
HK$3.40
0%
44.8%HK$4.92HK$0.94n/a4
Jul ’24n/a
HK$4.28
0%
15.2%HK$4.99HK$3.42n/a3
Jun ’24n/a
HK$4.28
0%
15.2%HK$4.99HK$3.42n/a3
May ’24n/a
HK$4.71
0%
14.5%HK$5.45HK$3.53n/a5
Apr ’24n/a
HK$5.01
0%
20.1%HK$6.80HK$3.49HK$0.476
Mar ’24n/a
HK$5.01
0%
20.1%HK$6.80HK$3.49n/a6
Feb ’24n/a
HK$5.43
0%
22.3%HK$7.25HK$3.57n/a7
Jan ’24n/a
HK$5.26
0%
22.8%HK$7.04HK$3.30n/a7
Dec ’23n/a
HK$5.23
0%
22.1%HK$6.86HK$3.11n/a8
Nov ’23n/a
HK$9.32
0%
111.0%HK$40.87HK$3.10n/a11
Oct ’23n/a
HK$10.22
0%
103.9%HK$41.43HK$3.14n/a13
Sep ’23n/a
HK$10.21
0%
105.3%HK$43.25HK$3.28n/a14
Aug ’23n/a
HK$9.92
0%
113.4%HK$43.71HK$3.28n/a13
Jul ’23n/a
HK$10.61
0%
104.9%HK$44.00HK$3.30n/a18
Jun ’23n/a
HK$10.30
0%
106.0%HK$44.03HK$3.13n/a19
May ’23n/a
HK$10.08
0%
106.1%HK$44.94HK$3.19n/a21
Apr ’23HK$4.42
HK$11.72
+165.2%
105.6%HK$45.43HK$3.28n/a22

Analysten-Prognose: Das Kursziel liegt weniger als 20% über dem aktuellen Aktienkurs.


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