Aviva plc

LSE:AV. Lagerbericht

Marktkapitalisierung: UK£21.4b

Aviva Zukünftiges Wachstum

Future Kriterienprüfungen 3/6

Aviva wird voraussichtlich seine Gewinne steigern um 26.7% pro Jahr. Der Gewinn je Aktie wird voraussichtlich um 26% pro Jahr steigen.

Wichtige Informationen

26.7%

Wachstumsrate der Gewinne

26.00%

EPS-Wachstumsrate

Insurance Gewinnwachstum12.5%
Wachstumsrate der Einnahmenn/a
Zukünftige Eigenkapitalrendite18.53%
Analystenabdeckung

Good

Zuletzt aktualisiert18 Aug 2026

Jüngste Aktualisierungen zum künftigen Wachstum

Recent updates

Narrative-Update • Jun 24

AV.: Retirement Savings Scale And Mixed Broker Views Will Shape Medium-Term Path

Analysts have inched their blended price target for Aviva higher to about £6.93 per share, a move underpinned by the recent mix of target tweaks from Morgan Stanley, JPMorgan and Berenberg, alongside relatively stable assumptions for discount rate, growth and future P/E in valuation models. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Aviva reflects a mix of optimism and caution, with price targets ranging from about £6.80 to £8.00 per share and ratings spanning Buy, Neutral and Equal Weight.
Narrative-Update • Jun 05

AV.: Retirement Savings Position And Direct Line Synergies Will Support Medium Term Upside

Narrative Update on Aviva Analysts have nudged the price target on Aviva slightly lower to around £7.15 to £7.65, reflecting a mix of views that balance JPMorgan's recent cut to £7.15, Berenberg's new £8.00 Buy initiation, and Deutsche Bank's modest lift to £7.65 as they weigh Aviva's position in the growing pool of UK retirement savings assets against more cautious sector views. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Aviva presents a mixed picture, with some analysts leaning positive on growth opportunities in UK retirement savings and others more cautious on execution and valuation.
Narrative-Update • May 13

AV.: Dividend And Buyback Policy Will Underpin Balanced Medium Term Execution Risks

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Aviva higher to about £6.86 per share, supported by a slightly increased price target to £7.65 and updated assumptions on discount rate, profit margin and future P/E. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Aviva shows a mix of optimism on valuation and caution on execution, which helps explain why fair value estimates and price targets sit close to each other around the mid £6 to £7 range.
Narrative-Update • Apr 27

AV.: Dividend And Buyback Policy Will Support Measured Medium Term Outlook

Analysts have nudged their 12 month price target for Aviva up by £0.05 to £7.65, citing updated assumptions around profit margin and a slightly higher future P/E multiple as key drivers of the revision. Analyst Commentary Analysts making bullish adjustments to their models are using the small uplift in the 12 month price target to reflect what they see as a modestly stronger outlook for Aviva's profitability and valuation multiples.
Narrative-Update • Apr 12

AV.: Dividend And Buyback Policy Will Support Measured Medium Term Outlook

Analysts have nudged their price target for Aviva up to £7.65 from £7.60, citing a slightly higher assumed future P/E multiple and firmer profit margin expectations, even as revenue growth assumptions are moderated. Analyst Commentary Recent research points to slightly stronger confidence in Aviva's ability to support a higher valuation, reflected in a modest increase in the assumed future P/E multiple and price target to £7.65.
Narrative-Update • Mar 09

AV.: Dividend And Buyback Returns Will Support Bullish Medium Term Outlook

Analysts have trimmed their price target on Aviva to £6.70 from £6.90, reflecting updated expectations around revenue growth, profit margins, and a higher assumed future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts still see valuation support around the £6.70 target, suggesting the stock is closer to what they view as fair value after recent adjustments to revenue and margin assumptions.
Narrative-Update • Feb 22

AV.: Neutral Sector Views And Trimmed Outlook Will Shape Medium Term Returns

Analysts have trimmed their price targets for Aviva from around £6.90 to about £6.70 per share, reflecting a more cautious stance on European insurers while keeping assumptions such as fair value and discount rates broadly unchanged. Analyst Commentary Recent research has become more cautious on Aviva, with price targets clustered just below £6.75 and ratings sitting around the middle of the scale rather than clearly positive or negative.
Narrative-Update • Feb 07

AV.: Medium Term EPS Ambitions And Softer Sector Views Will Shape Returns

Analysts have trimmed their price targets for Aviva to a range around £6.70 per share, reflecting updated views on fair value, discount rates and future P/E, as well as more cautious sector outlooks from recent research. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates have converged around price targets close to £6.70 per share, with ratings generally sitting in the middle of the range rather than firmly positive or negative.
Narrative-Update • Jan 22

AV.: Medium Term Earnings Targets And Softer Ratings Will Shape Balanced Return Profile

Narrative Update on Aviva Analysts have trimmed their average price targets on Aviva to around £6.79 from about £6.84. This reflects recent cuts to Street targets in the £6.70 range as they factor in updated views on growth, margins and fair value.
Analyseartikel • Dec 12

Investors Still Waiting For A Pull Back In Aviva plc (LON:AV.)

When close to half the companies in the United Kingdom have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 15x, you may...
Narrative-Update • Nov 10

AV.: Improved Margins Will Offset Slower Revenue And Support Dividend Growth

Analysts have modestly increased their price target for Aviva to £6.84 per share, citing stronger profit margins and a positive outlook, even though revenue growth has been slower. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst updates on Aviva reflect a balanced view of the company’s prospects, highlighting both improved valuations and areas of potential concern for investors.
Narrative-Update • Oct 27

UK Pension Shifts And Changing Ratings Will Influence Market Performance

Narrative Update: Aviva Analyst Price Target Revision Analysts have raised their price target for Aviva to £6.87 from £6.23. They cite incremental improvements in revenue growth projections and stable profit margins as key factors supporting the upward revision.
Narrative-Update • Oct 13

UK Pension And Digital Trends Will Reshape Market Dynamics

Aviva's analyst price target has been raised from £6.72 to £6.82 per share as analysts incorporate improved profit margins and a slightly lower discount rate into their updated forecasts. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst activity has highlighted a divergence of opinion regarding Aviva's prospects, with both upgrades and downgrades influencing sentiment.
Narrative-Update • Sep 19

UK Pension And Digital Trends Will Reshape Market Dynamics

Aviva's price target has been revised upwards to £6.72, reflecting accelerated earnings growth led by capital-light businesses, improved sector positioning, and higher shareholder return prospects despite some views of the shares as fairly valued at current levels. Analyst Commentary Expectations for accelerated earnings growth, with a significant portion (70%) coming from capital-light business streams, supporting stronger cash generation and improving quality of earnings.
Narrative-Update • Sep 04

UK Pension And Digital Trends Will Reshape Market Dynamics

Analysts remain positive on Aviva due to its growing capital-light earnings streams and solid operating momentum, though neutral ratings and sector valuation considerations have kept the consensus price target unchanged at £6.64. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are raising price targets on expectations that over 70% of Aviva’s earnings will be from capital-light streams, improving the company’s quality and growth potential.
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Neues Narrative • Mar 02

Acquisition Of Direct Line Will Yield £125 Million In Cost Savings And Unlock Capital Benefits

Strategic focus on capital-light portfolios and acquisitions set to enhance growth, net margins, and shareholder returns with reduced capital requirements.

Gewinn- und Umsatzwachstumsprognosen

LSE:AV. - Zukünftige Analystenschätzungen und Finanzdaten der Vergangenheit (GBP Millions)
DatumUmsatzGewinneFreier CashflowBargeld aus operativen TätigkeitenDurchschn. Anz. Analysten
6/30/202630,7725594,8595,047N/A
3/31/202629,7256631,0531,242N/A
12/31/202528,677767-2,754-2,563N/A
9/30/202526,4696818331,023N/A
6/30/202524,2615944,4194,608N/A
3/31/202523,5006146,3466,527N/A
12/31/202422,7396338,2728,445N/A
9/30/202422,6969533,5343,798N/A
6/30/202422,6531,273-1,204-849N/A
3/31/202422,1181,154-2,143-1,790N/A
12/31/202321,5821,034-3,082-2,732N/A
9/30/202319,8202732,7512,994N/A
6/30/202318,057-4898,5848,719N/A
3/31/202317,134-78712,18412,301N/A
12/31/202216,211-1,08515,78415,883N/A
9/30/202217,397-56311,01611,108N/A
6/30/202218,582-426,2486,333N/A
3/31/202217,6221043,1803,277N/A
12/31/202116,662249112220N/A
9/30/202117,682439-958-857N/A
6/30/202118,702628-2,029-1,935N/A
3/31/202122,273969-2,324-2,208N/A
12/31/202025,8441,310-2,620-2,482N/A
6/30/202029,5102,1084,5204,650N/A
3/31/202036,2332,281N/A5,309N/A
12/31/201942,9552,454N/A5,968N/A
9/30/201941,4702,399N/A3,634N/A
6/30/201936,5422,301N/A1,300N/A
3/31/201929,4071,908N/A3,351N/A
12/31/201822,2711,515N/A5,401N/A
9/30/201825,6531,320N/A6,522N/A
6/30/201829,0341,125N/A7,643N/A
3/31/201832,0881,270N/A7,692N/A
12/31/201735,1411,415N/A7,741N/A
9/30/201735,5271,269N/A8,105N/A
6/30/201735,9121,123N/A8,469N/A
3/31/201738,032871N/A6,608N/A
12/31/201640,151618N/A4,747N/A
9/30/201636,610570N/A3,904N/A
6/30/201633,068521N/A3,061N/A
3/31/201627,027692N/A3,908N/A
12/31/201520,985862N/A4,755N/A

Analystenprognosen zum zukünftigen Wachstum

Einkommen vs. Sparrate: AV.Das prognostizierte Gewinnwachstum (26.7% pro Jahr) liegt über der Sparquote (3.6%).

Ertrag vs. Markt: AV.Die Erträge des Unternehmens (26.7% pro Jahr) werden voraussichtlich schneller wachsen als der Markt UK (11.6% pro Jahr).

Hohe Wachstumserträge: AV.Es wird erwartet, dass die Erträge des Unternehmens in den nächsten 3 Jahren erheblich steigen werden.

Einnahmen vs. Markt: Die Daten reichen nicht aus, um festzustellen, ob die Einnahmen von AV. schneller wachsen werden als der Markt von UK.

Hohe Wachstumseinnahmen: Es liegen keine ausreichenden Daten vor, um festzustellen, ob die Einnahmen von AV. schneller wachsen werden als 20% pro Jahr.

Wachstumsprognosen für den Gewinn je Aktie

Künftige Eigenkapitalrendite

Künftige Eigenkapitalrendite: AV.Die Eigenkapitalrendite des Unternehmens wird in 3 Jahren voraussichtlich niedrig sein (18.5%).

Wachstumsunternehmen entdecken

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Unternehmensanalyse und Finanzdaten Status

DatenZuletzt aktualisiert (UTC-Zeit)
Unternehmensanalyse2026/08/21 18:18
Aktienkurs zum Tagesende2026/08/21 00:00
Gewinne2026/06/30
Jährliche Einnahmen2025/12/31

Datenquellen

Die in unserer Unternehmensanalyse verwendeten Daten stammen von S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Die folgenden Daten werden in unserem Analysemodell verwendet, um diesen Bericht zu erstellen. Die Daten sind normalisiert, was zu einer Verzögerung bei der Verfügbarkeit der Quelle führen kann.

PaketDatenZeitrahmenBeispiel US-Quelle *
Finanzdaten des Unternehmens10 Jahre
  • Gewinn- und Verlustrechnung
  • Kapitalflussrechnung
  • Bilanz
Konsensschätzungen der Analysten+3 Jahre
  • Finanzielle Vorausschau
  • Kursziele der Analysten
Marktpreise30 Jahre
  • Aktienkurse
  • Dividenden, Splits und Aktionen
Eigentümerschaft10 Jahre
  • Top-Aktionäre
  • Insiderhandel
Verwaltung10 Jahre
  • Das Führungsteam
  • Direktorium
Wichtige Entwicklungen10 Jahre
  • Ankündigungen des Unternehmens

* Beispiel für US-Wertpapiere, für nicht-US-amerikanische Wertpapiere werden gleichwertige regulatorische Formulare und Quellen verwendet.

Sofern nicht anders angegeben, beziehen sich alle Finanzdaten auf einen Jahreszeitraum, werden aber vierteljährlich aktualisiert. Dies wird als Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) oder Last Twelve Month (LTM) Daten bezeichnet. Erfahren Sie mehr.

Analysemodell und Schneeflocke

Details zum Analysemodell, mit dem dieser Bericht erstellt wurde, finden Sie auf unserer Github-Seite; außerdem bieten wir Leitfäden zur Nutzung unserer Berichte und Tutorials auf Youtube an.

Erfahren Sie mehr über das Weltklasse-Team, das das Simply Wall St-Analysemodell entworfen und entwickelt hat.

Metriken für Industrie und Sektor

Unsere Branchen- und Sektionskennzahlen werden alle 6 Stunden von Simply Wall St berechnet. Details zu unserem Verfahren finden Sie auf Github.

Analysten-Quellen

Aviva plc wird von 33 Analysten beobachtet. 8 dieser Analysten hat die Umsatz- oder Gewinnschätzungen übermittelt, die als Grundlage für unseren Bericht dienen. Die von den Analysten übermittelten Daten werden im Laufe des Tages aktualisiert.

AnalystEinrichtung
Ivan BokhmatBarclays
Larissa Van DeventerBarclays
Carl LofthagenBerenberg