Carrefour Valuation

Is CA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: CA (€14.44) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€29.47)

Significantly Below Fair Value: CA is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CA?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

CA key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.3x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA7.5x
PEG Ratio0.8x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does CA's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for CA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average46.4x
BJ BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings
21.2x6.5%US$11.2b
DG Dollar General
12.3x7.4%US$17.5b
CENCOSUD Cencosud
31.2x36.9%CL$5.7t
8267 Aeon
120.9x19.3%JP¥3.2t
CA Carrefour
11.4x14.5%€9.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: CA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.4x) compared to the peer average (46.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does CA's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Consumer Retailing Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a10.4%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a10.4%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: CA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.4x) compared to the European Consumer Retailing industry average (15.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CA's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CA PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio11.4x
Fair PE Ratio15.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: CA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst CA forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€14.44
€17.08
+18.3%
12.8%€22.00€13.00n/a17
Oct ’25€15.46
€17.21
+11.3%
11.5%€22.00€14.00n/a17
Sep ’25€14.58
€17.14
+17.6%
11.9%€22.00€14.00n/a17
Aug ’25€13.84
€17.14
+23.9%
11.9%€22.00€14.00n/a17
Jul ’25€13.40
€17.78
+32.8%
12.1%€22.00€14.00n/a17
Jun ’25€14.99
€18.34
+22.3%
12.7%€23.00€14.00n/a17
May ’25€15.79
€18.81
+19.1%
11.1%€23.00€14.00n/a16
Apr ’25€15.88
€18.98
+19.6%
11.0%€23.00€14.00n/a16
Mar ’25€15.36
€19.04
+24.0%
11.1%€23.00€14.00n/a16
Feb ’25€15.72
€19.68
+25.2%
10.0%€23.00€15.00n/a16
Jan ’25€16.57
€19.94
+20.4%
9.9%€23.00€15.00n/a16
Dec ’24€17.30
€19.88
+15.0%
10.2%€23.00€15.00n/a16
Nov ’24€16.90
€19.77
+17.0%
10.6%€23.00€15.00n/a15
Oct ’24€16.29
€20.21
+24.1%
9.3%€23.00€17.00€15.4615
Sep ’24€17.29
€20.41
+18.1%
9.0%€23.00€17.00€14.5815
Aug ’24€18.40
€20.28
+10.2%
8.8%€23.00€17.00€13.8415
Jul ’24€17.36
€20.07
+15.6%
10.5%€23.00€15.00€13.4015
Jun ’24€17.14
€19.93
+16.3%
11.2%€23.00€15.00€14.9914
May ’24€18.86
€20.00
+6.0%
10.4%€23.00€16.00€15.7914
Apr ’24€18.63
€19.82
+6.4%
9.4%€23.00€17.00€15.8814
Mar ’24€18.08
€19.71
+9.1%
10.4%€23.00€15.50€15.3614
Feb ’24€17.44
€19.86
+13.9%
10.0%€23.00€16.50€15.7214
Jan ’24€15.64
€19.60
+25.3%
10.9%€23.00€16.00€16.5715
Dec ’23€16.65
€19.88
+19.4%
11.7%€24.00€16.00€17.3016
Nov ’23€16.19
€19.97
+23.3%
12.2%€24.00€15.50€16.9016
Oct ’23€14.22
€20.88
+46.9%
9.9%€24.00€16.50€16.2916

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


Discover undervalued companies