Carrefour SA

ENXTPA:CA Stock Report

Market Cap: €12.1b

Carrefour Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

Carrefour is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 2.7% and 0.4% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 1.1% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 12.1% in 3 years.

Key information

2.7%

Earnings growth rate

1.13%

EPS growth rate

Consumer Retailing earnings growth10.0%
Revenue growth rate0.4%
Future return on equity12.08%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated08 May 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Narrative Update • May 19

CA: Bullish Rating Shift And Dividend Timeline Will Mask Limited Upside

Analysts have nudged Carrefour's price target higher by €1, reflecting a slightly lower assumed discount rate and updated views from recent research that has become more positive on the stock. Analyst Commentary Recent research has become more constructive on Carrefour, with bullish analysts updating their views and adjusting assumptions that feed directly into valuation models.
Narrative Update • May 05

CA: Rating Shift And Dividend Plans Will Shape A Cautious Forward Outlook

Analysts have lifted Carrefour's implied fair value from about €15.00 to roughly €15.77, citing updated assumptions around revenue growth and future P/E. These assumptions align with recent price target increases and upgrades from research houses.
Narrative Update • Apr 20

CA: Downgraded Rating And Dividend Plans Will Pressure A Cautious Outlook

Analysts have nudged their Carrefour price target slightly higher to about €15, reflecting updated assumptions on discount rates, revenue growth and profit margins, even as recent Street research has turned more cautious on the shares. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research has become more cautious on Carrefour, even as the average price target edges up toward €15.
Narrative Update • Apr 06

CA: Cautious Ratings And Dividend Plans Will Shape A Measured Outlook

Analysts have adjusted Carrefour’s fair value estimate from about €14.23 to roughly €14.92, reflecting updated views on revenue growth, profit margins, the discount rate and future P/E, along with recent price target cuts and a downgrade highlighted in recent Street research. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research has highlighted a more cautious stance on Carrefour, with one downgrade and a reduced price target pointing to questions around how current execution and valuation line up.
Narrative Update • Mar 22

CA: Future P/E Compression Will Likely Follow Downgrades And Execution Risks

Analysts have trimmed their Carrefour price target by €1, citing recent downgrades and more cautious views on the shares, despite only modest tweaks to growth, margin and P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent research has highlighted a more cautious stance on Carrefour, with bearish analysts trimming price targets and taking a tougher view on the shares.
Narrative Update • Mar 08

CA: Lower Discount Rate And Margin Resilience Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have adjusted their Carrefour price target slightly higher from €18.0 to €18.5, reflecting updated views on revenue, profit margins and a lower assumed discount rate, even as recent Street research has included downgrades and price target cuts. Analyst Commentary Recent research has included some cautious views on Carrefour, including share downgrades and a €1 reduction in one price target.
Narrative Update • Feb 22

CA: Future P/E Compression Will Likely Follow Downgrades And Profit Concerns

Analysts have reduced their Carrefour price targets by €1 and reset expectations around revenue growth, profitability and future P/E. A slightly lower discount rate feeds into a more cautious, yet still €10, fair value estimate.
Narrative Update • Feb 07

CA: Taiwan Exit And Cautious Ratings Will Shape A Measured Outlook

Narrative Update on Carrefour Analysts have trimmed their Carrefour fair value estimate slightly to €14.23, reflecting modestly higher discount rate assumptions and softer expected revenue growth, while keeping long term profit margin and P/E inputs broadly unchanged. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Carrefour has tilted more cautious, with one major house moving to a more bearish stance and another trimming its price target by €1.
Narrative Update • Jan 24

CA: Higher Future P/E Assumptions Will Support Longer Term Upside

Analysts have adjusted their fair value estimate for Carrefour from €17.00 to €18.00, citing updated assumptions for discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and a higher future P/E multiple, even as some recent Street research has trimmed near term price targets. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts point to the updated €18.00 fair value estimate as a sign that their long term assumptions on earnings power and P/E potential still support upside versus more cautious near term target cuts.
Narrative Update • Jan 09

CA: Board Shifts And Taiwan Exit Will Shape A Measured Outlook

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Carrefour slightly lower, from €14.25 to about €14.23. This reflects updated assumptions around discount rate, revenue trends, profit margins and future P/E expectations.
Narrative Update • Dec 26

CA: Future Earnings Multiple Expansion Will Likely Prove Unsustainable

Analysts have raised their Carrefour price target to 10.00 from 9.30 previously, citing expectations of improved profitability and a higher future earnings multiple despite a softer revenue growth outlook. What's in the News Uni-President Enterprises Corp.
Narrative Update • Dec 11

CA: Index Moves And Margin Outlook Will Shape A Measured Outlook

Analysts have modestly raised their price target on Carrefour from €13.98 to €14.25, citing a lower perceived risk profile, slightly better long term margin potential, and only a small reduction in expected valuation multiples. What's in the News Board meeting scheduled for November 12, 2025, to consider and approve the resignations of Mr. Eduardo Rossi and Ms. Flavia Buarque de Almeida, both representatives of Peninsula on the Board of Directors (company filing) Carrefour SA added to the Euronext 150 Index, potentially increasing visibility among institutional investors and index tracking funds (index announcement) Carrefour SA removed from an unspecified index, signaling a rebalancing that may affect passive ownership and trading volumes (index announcement) Valuation Changes Fair Value: Raised slightly from €13.98 to €14.25 per share.
Analysis Article • Oct 15

Carrefour SA (EPA:CA) Shares Could Be 38% Below Their Intrinsic Value Estimate

Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Carrefour fair value estimate is €21.05 Current share price of...
Narrative Update • Sep 12

Digital Transformation And E-commerce Will Drive Future Success

Carrefour's consensus analyst price target edged down slightly as a sharp rise in its forward P/E and a meaningful drop in projected revenue growth suggest weakening earnings prospects despite little change in fair value, now at €13.98. What's in the News Carrefour, Coopérative U, and RTG International have formed Concordis, a major European buying alliance, consolidating purchasing negotiations for over €125bn in combined turnover and aiming to enhance synergies, reduce costs, and improve supplier relationships.
Analysis Article • Jul 30

Is Carrefour (EPA:CA) A Risky Investment?

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...
Analysis Article • Jun 02

Carrefour SA (EPA:CA) Might Not Be As Mispriced As It Looks

When close to half the companies in France have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 16x, you may consider...
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New Narrative • Feb 23

Digital Transformation And E-commerce Will Drive Future Success

Strategic real estate optimization and operational model review focus resources on high-potential areas, enhancing future capital deployment and earnings.

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

ENXTPA:CA - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (EUR Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/202885,3701,1411,0324,3685
12/31/202783,4251,1901,1784,2358
12/31/202682,0001,1761,3704,6078
12/31/202583,8269772,4253,948N/A
6/30/202588,3243262,2033,891N/A
3/31/202587,6925252,3164,046N/A
12/31/202483,2499982,4894,200N/A
6/30/202484,6238372,7504,572N/A
3/31/202484,6668842,7754,611N/A
12/31/202384,7099302,8004,650N/A
9/30/202385,3071,0902,6054,536N/A
6/30/202385,9041,2492,4094,422N/A
3/31/202384,3991,3092,3734,321N/A
12/31/202282,8931,3692,3374,219N/A
9/30/202278,9851,1812,3374,070N/A
6/30/202275,0779932,3373,920N/A
3/31/202273,3439982,2073,791N/A
12/31/202171,6081,0022,0763,661N/A
9/30/202171,7969712,0513,625N/A
6/30/202171,9839392,0253,589N/A
3/31/202171,9698011,9653,492N/A
12/31/202071,9546631,9043,395N/A
9/30/202072,6025401,8023,339N/A
6/30/202073,2504161,7003,282N/A
3/31/202073,5832231,6113,265N/A
12/31/201973,916291,5223,247N/A
9/30/201973,76814N/A2,937N/A
6/30/201973,619-1N/A2,627N/A
3/31/201973,761-94N/A2,368N/A
12/31/201873,902-188N/A2,108N/A
9/30/201875,343-586N/A2,535N/A
6/30/201876,784-984N/A2,961N/A
3/31/201878,346-619N/A2,902N/A
12/31/201779,908-254N/A2,843N/A
9/30/201779,986252N/A2,791N/A
6/30/201780,063757N/A2,739N/A
3/31/201779,182772N/A3,022N/A
12/31/201678,301786N/A3,305N/A
9/30/201677,626845N/A3,090N/A
6/30/201676,950903N/A2,874N/A
3/31/201677,663940N/A2,846N/A
12/31/201578,376976N/A2,818N/A
9/30/201578,104995N/A2,867N/A
6/30/201577,8311,014N/A2,915N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: CA's forecast earnings growth (2.7% per year) is above the savings rate (2.5%).

Earnings vs Market: CA's earnings (2.7% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the French market (12.4% per year).

High Growth Earnings: CA's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: CA's revenue (0.4% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the French market (5.6% per year).

High Growth Revenue: CA's revenue (0.4% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: CA's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (12.1%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/24 02:09
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/22 00:00
Earnings2025/12/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

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Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Carrefour SA is covered by 35 analysts. 11 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Volker BosseBaader Helvea Equity Research
Marta DiazBanco de Sabadell. S.A.
Timothy AttenboroughBanco Santander