Lynas Rare Earths Limited

ASX:LYC Stock Report

Market Cap: AU$10.0b

Lynas Rare Earths Future Growth

Future criteria checks 5/6

Lynas Rare Earths is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 63.2% and 37.1% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 63.7% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 15.3% in 3 years.

Key information

63.2%

Earnings growth rate

63.66%

EPS growth rate

Metals and Mining earnings growth10.1%
Revenue growth rate37.1%
Future return on equity15.25%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated25 Jul 2025

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Here's What's Concerning About Lynas Rare Earths' (ASX:LYC) Returns On Capital

Jun 24
Here's What's Concerning About Lynas Rare Earths' (ASX:LYC) Returns On Capital

The Consensus EPS Estimates For Lynas Rare Earths Limited (ASX:LYC) Just Fell Dramatically

Apr 30
The Consensus EPS Estimates For Lynas Rare Earths Limited (ASX:LYC) Just Fell Dramatically

Is Lynas Rare Earths (ASX:LYC) A Risky Investment?

Apr 25
Is Lynas Rare Earths (ASX:LYC) A Risky Investment?

Earnings Tell The Story For Lynas Rare Earths Limited (ASX:LYC)

Jan 20
Earnings Tell The Story For Lynas Rare Earths Limited (ASX:LYC)

There Are Reasons To Feel Uneasy About Lynas Rare Earths' (ASX:LYC) Returns On Capital

Dec 29
There Are Reasons To Feel Uneasy About Lynas Rare Earths' (ASX:LYC) Returns On Capital
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Mt Weld Expansion And Market Diversification To Propel Rare Earths Revenue Growth

Strategic asset management and production alignment position Lynas to maximize future margins, enhancing revenue and net margins as prices recover.

We Discuss Why Lynas Rare Earths Limited's (ASX:LYC) CEO Compensation May Be Closely Reviewed

Nov 20
We Discuss Why Lynas Rare Earths Limited's (ASX:LYC) CEO Compensation May Be Closely Reviewed

There Are Reasons To Feel Uneasy About Lynas Rare Earths' (ASX:LYC) Returns On Capital

Sep 26
There Are Reasons To Feel Uneasy About Lynas Rare Earths' (ASX:LYC) Returns On Capital

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

ASX:LYC - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (AUD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
6/30/20281,5144864924292
6/30/20271,40851846855012
6/30/202699725921328813
6/30/202553746-32111413
12/30/202448351-42079N/A
9/30/202447368-48257N/A
6/30/202446385-54435N/A
3/31/2024534142-523118N/A
12/31/2023604200-502200N/A
9/30/2023672255-356294N/A
6/30/2023739311-209387N/A
3/31/202385742210490N/A
12/31/2022975534230592N/A
9/30/2022948537252526N/A
6/30/2022920541274460N/A
3/31/2022761407218356N/A
12/31/2021601273163251N/A
9/30/2021545215169233N/A
6/30/2021489157175215N/A
3/31/20214088785116N/A
12/31/202032717-416N/A
9/30/2020316-1824N/A
6/30/2020305-192032N/A
3/31/2020334244867N/A
12/31/20193646876102N/A
9/30/20193647674103N/A
6/30/20193648372104N/A
3/31/2019358526092N/A
12/31/2018353214779N/A
9/30/201836437N/A99N/A
6/30/201837453N/A118N/A
3/31/201835939N/AN/AN/A
12/31/201734325N/A107N/A
9/30/201730012N/A71N/A
6/30/2017257-1N/A34N/A
3/31/2017235-2N/AN/AN/A
12/31/2016212-3N/A4N/A
9/30/2016202-49N/A4N/A
6/30/2016191-94N/A4N/A
3/31/2016182-88N/A-3N/A
12/31/2015173-81N/A-9N/A
9/30/2015159-100N/A-21N/A
6/30/2015145-119N/A-32N/A
3/31/2015130-254N/A-48N/A
12/31/2014115-390N/A-65N/A
9/30/201490-368N/A-84N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: LYC's forecast earnings growth (63.2% per year) is above the savings rate (3%).

Earnings vs Market: LYC's earnings (63.2% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the Australian market (11.1% per year).

High Growth Earnings: LYC's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: LYC's revenue (37.1% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the Australian market (5.7% per year).

High Growth Revenue: LYC's revenue (37.1% per year) is forecast to grow faster than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: LYC's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (15.3%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/07/26 16:56
End of Day Share Price 2025/07/25 00:00
Earnings2024/12/30
Annual Earnings2024/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Lynas Rare Earths Limited is covered by 36 analysts. 14 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Michael HarrowellAPP Securities Pty Ltd.
Mollie UrquhartBarrenjoey Markets Pty Limited
Dale KoendersBarrenjoey Markets Pty Limited