Drax Group (DRX) Stock Overview
Engages in renewable power generation in the United Kingdom. More details
| Snowflake Score | |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 1/6 |
| Future Growth | 2/6 |
| Past Performance | 1/6 |
| Financial Health | 6/6 |
| Dividends | 3/6 |
DRX Community Fair Values
Create NarrativeSee what 36 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.
Analyst Price Targets
Drax Group plc Competitors
Price History & Performance
| Historical stock prices | |
|---|---|
| Current Share Price | UK£8.48 |
| 52 Week High | UK£9.38 |
| 52 Week Low | UK£6.14 |
| Beta | 0.66 |
| 1 Month Change | -1.03% |
| 3 Month Change | -2.92% |
| 1 Year Change | 32.40% |
| 3 Year Change | 44.51% |
| 5 Year Change | 94.58% |
| Change since IPO | 49.82% |
Recent News & Updates
Narrative Update • Apr 29
DRX: Neutral Stance As Battery Agreements And Buybacks Support Future Returns
Analysts have edged their average price target for Drax Group up by £0.50 to £9.50, reflecting recent downgrades to more neutral ratings. They still acknowledge long term value opportunities and current fair pricing after the share price rally.Narrative Update • Apr 15
DRX: Neutral Outlook As Battery Expansion And Buybacks Shape Future Returns
Analysts have nudged their price targets for Drax Group higher to about £9.50 per share, reflecting slightly stronger revenue assumptions and a modestly lower discount rate. Recent rating changes suggest the stock is now viewed as more fairly valued after its recent share price move.Recent updates
Narrative Update • Apr 29
DRX: Neutral Stance As Battery Agreements And Buybacks Support Future Returns
Analysts have edged their average price target for Drax Group up by £0.50 to £9.50, reflecting recent downgrades to more neutral ratings. They still acknowledge long term value opportunities and current fair pricing after the share price rally.Narrative Update • Apr 15
DRX: Neutral Outlook As Battery Expansion And Buybacks Shape Future Returns
Analysts have nudged their price targets for Drax Group higher to about £9.50 per share, reflecting slightly stronger revenue assumptions and a modestly lower discount rate. Recent rating changes suggest the stock is now viewed as more fairly valued after its recent share price move.
Narrative Update • Mar 31
DRX: Rich P/E Leaves Little Protection If Long Term Projects Disappoint
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Drax Group slightly higher, with the implied price target moving from about £7.35 to roughly £7.42. Recent research highlights incremental improvements in profit margin assumptions and valuation multiples, even as near term revenue expectations remain cautious.Narrative Update • Mar 17
DRX: Future Returns Will Rely On Execution Risks At Rich P/E
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Drax Group modestly higher, alongside a raised price target to £9.50. This reflects updated assumptions on discount rates, revenue trends, margins and future P/E after recent downgrades that frame the shares as more fairly priced on current information.Narrative Update • Mar 03
DRX: Neutral Stance As Battery Agreements And Buybacks Shape Future Returns
Analysts have nudged their price target on Drax Group higher to £9.50 from £9.00, reflecting updated views on revenue trends, margins and future P/E, even as recent research updates describe the shares as fairly priced with a more neutral stance. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Drax Group points to a more balanced view, with higher price targets sitting alongside rating cuts to neutral stances.Narrative Update • Feb 17
DRX: Future Returns Will Depend On Rich P/E Amid Softer Margins
The analyst price target for Drax Group has shifted modestly, with the updated fair value estimate moving from £6.80 to about £7.02, as analysts factor in a slightly higher discount rate, softer revenue and margin assumptions, and a higher expected future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent research highlights a more cautious tone around Drax Group, with some bearish analysts questioning how much upside remains after the latest fair value adjustment.Narrative Update • Feb 03
DRX: New Low Carbon Contract Will Support Earnings With Sustainability Trade Offs
Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Drax Group from £8.24 to £9.29, citing updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue trends, profit margins, and a higher future P/E multiple. What's in the News Drax Group signed an agreement with the Low Carbon Contracts Company for a low carbon dispatchable contract for difference covering all four biomass units at Drax Power Station from April 2027 to March 2031, with a strike price of £109.90/MWh in 2012 real terms (Key Developments).Analysis Article • Jan 28
Are Drax Group plc (LON:DRX) Investors Paying Above The Intrinsic Value?
Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Drax Group fair value estimate is UK£7.10 Current share price...
Narrative Update • Jan 20
DRX: New Low Carbon CfD Will Support Higher Long Term Profitability
Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Drax Group from £10.63 to £11.20, citing updated assumptions that combine a slightly lower discount rate with a higher profit margin outlook, while still factoring in a revenue decline and a largely unchanged future P/E multiple. What's in the News Drax Group signed an agreement with the Low Carbon Contracts Company (LCCC) for a low carbon dispatchable Contracts for Difference (CfD) covering all four biomass units at Drax Power Station for April 2027 to March 2031, with a strike price of £109.90/MWh in 2012 real terms (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Jan 05
DRX: Future Returns Will Rely On Lower-Priced Low Carbon Contract
Analysts have trimmed their price target on Drax Group slightly to reflect revised assumptions, including a fair value adjustment to £6.80, updated revenue and profit margin expectations, and a lower future P/E estimate. What's in the News Drax has signed a low carbon dispatchable Contract for Difference with the Low Carbon Contracts Company covering all four biomass units at Drax Power Station from April 2027 to March 2031, with a strike price of £109.90/MWh based on 2012 real prices (Key Developments).Analysis Article • Dec 25
Insufficient Growth At Drax Group plc (LON:DRX) Hampers Share Price
With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 7x Drax Group plc ( LON:DRX ) may be sending very bullish signals at the...Narrative Update • Dec 14
DRX: Future Returns Will Depend On Lower-Priced Low Carbon Contract
Analysts have marginally trimmed their price target on Drax Group, citing slightly weaker revenue growth and profit margin expectations that outweigh a modest uplift in future valuation multiples. This reduces fair value by around £0.04 per share to approximately £6.85.Narrative Update • Nov 24
DRX: New CfD Agreement Will Drive Up Power Generation Profitability
Analysts have raised their price target for Drax Group from £8.12 to £8.24. They cite slight improvements in discount rates and revenue projections, despite a more conservative outlook on profit margins and future valuation metrics.Narrative Update • Nov 09
DRX: New Biomass Contract Will Drive Power Generation Momentum Forward
Analysts have slightly reduced their price target for Drax Group, lowering the fair value estimate from £8.39 to £8.12. This change is based on adjustments to expected growth rates and financial metrics.Narrative Update • Oct 26
Dividends And Share Buybacks Will Shape Returns Amid Shifting Policy Risks
Drax Group Analyst Price Target Sees Marginal Adjustment Analysts have made a slight downward revision to Drax Group's price target, adjusting it by a few pence. Minor changes to the discount rate and future profit assumptions influenced their updated valuation.Narrative Update • Oct 12
Government CfD And Renewables Will Drive Growth Amid Pellet Risks
Analysts have revised their price target for Drax Group downward, lowering the estimated fair value from £8.58 to £8.39 per share. This change reflects updated outlooks on the company's profitability and growth prospects.Narrative Update • Sep 04
Government CfD And Renewables Will Drive Growth Amid Pellet Risks
Analysts maintain a positive outlook on Drax Group due to anticipated value creation from UK grid intermittency, upcoming share price catalysts, and a possible £200M share buyback extension; however, the consensus price target remains unchanged at £8.58. Analyst Commentary Expectation of increased value creation for Drax as grid intermittency rises in the UK power sector.Analysis Article • May 26
Drax Group (LON:DRX) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...Analysis Article • Mar 13
Broker Revenue Forecasts For Drax Group plc (LON:DRX) Are Surging Higher
Drax Group plc ( LON:DRX ) shareholders will have a reason to smile today, with the analysts making substantial...
New Narrative • Mar 02
Investments In FlexGen And BECCS Will Impact Future Earnings, But Policy Risks Persist
Strategic investments in flexible generation and energy solutions are set to enhance post-2027 earnings and revenue through expanded capacity and efficiency.Analysis Article • Jan 20
Should You Investigate Drax Group plc (LON:DRX) At UK£6.30?
While Drax Group plc ( LON:DRX ) might not have the largest market cap around , it received a lot of attention from a...Analysis Article • Dec 20
Is Now The Time To Put Drax Group (LON:DRX) On Your Watchlist?
It's common for many investors, especially those who are inexperienced, to buy shares in companies with a good story...Analysis Article • Nov 20
Drax Group plc's (LON:DRX) Earnings Are Not Doing Enough For Some Investors
With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 3.7x Drax Group plc ( LON:DRX ) may be sending very bullish signals at the...Analysis Article • Sep 24
Drax Group (LON:DRX) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...Analysis Article • Aug 31
What Is Drax Group plc's (LON:DRX) Share Price Doing?
Drax Group plc ( LON:DRX ), might not be a large cap stock, but it led the LSE gainers with a relatively large price...Analysis Article • Jul 29
Drax Group plc (LON:DRX) Surges 31% Yet Its Low P/E Is No Reason For Excitement
Drax Group plc ( LON:DRX ) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 31% after a shaky period beforehand...Analysis Article • Apr 24
What Does Drax Group plc's (LON:DRX) Share Price Indicate?
Drax Group plc ( LON:DRX ), is not the largest company out there, but it saw a significant share price rise of 22% in...Analysis Article • Apr 09
Here's Why Drax Group (LON:DRX) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...Analysis Article • Feb 07
Calculating The Intrinsic Value Of Drax Group plc (LON:DRX)
Key Insights Drax Group's estimated fair value is UK£5.25 based on Dividend Discount Model With UK£4.67 share price...Analysis Article • Dec 24
Drax Group plc (LON:DRX) Doing What It Can To Lift Shares
With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 10.1x Drax Group plc ( LON:DRX ) may be sending bullish signals at the...Analysis Article • Oct 24
Drax Group plc (LON:DRX) Shares Could Be 23% Below Their Intrinsic Value Estimate
Key Insights Drax Group's estimated fair value is UK£5.35 based on Dividend Discount Model Drax Group's UK£4.10 share...Analysis Article • Sep 20
Should You Investigate Drax Group plc (LON:DRX) At UK£5.20?
Drax Group plc ( LON:DRX ), is not the largest company out there, but it received a lot of attention from a substantial...Shareholder Returns
| DRX | GB Renewable Energy | GB Market | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | 5.2% | 5.3% | 1.5% |
| 1Y | 32.4% | 16.9% | 19.4% |
Return vs Industry: DRX exceeded the UK Renewable Energy industry which returned 16.9% over the past year.
Return vs Market: DRX exceeded the UK Market which returned 19.4% over the past year.
Price Volatility
| DRX volatility | |
|---|---|
| DRX Average Weekly Movement | 3.6% |
| Renewable Energy Industry Average Movement | 5.4% |
| Market Average Movement | 5.7% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in GB Market | 12.0% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in GB Market | 3.1% |
Stable Share Price: DRX has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the UK market.
Volatility Over Time: DRX's weekly volatility (4%) has been stable over the past year.
About the Company
| Founded | Employees | CEO | Website |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2005 | 2,974 | Will Gardiner | www.drax.com |
Drax Group plc, together with its subsidiaries, engages in renewable power generation in the United Kingdom. The company operates through four segments: Pellet Production, Biomass Generation, Flexible Generation, and Energy Solutions. The company provides renewable, dispatchable power, and system support services.
Drax Group plc Fundamentals Summary
| DRX fundamental statistics | |
|---|---|
| Market cap | UK£2.85b |
| Earnings (TTM) | UK£73.00m |
| Revenue (TTM) | UK£5.39b |
39.1x
P/E Ratio0.5x
P/S RatioIs DRX overvalued?
See Fair Value and valuation analysisEarnings & Revenue
| DRX income statement (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| Revenue | UK£5.39b |
| Cost of Revenue | UK£4.02b |
| Gross Profit | UK£1.37b |
| Other Expenses | UK£1.30b |
| Earnings | UK£73.00m |
Last Reported Earnings
Dec 31, 2025
Next Earnings Date
Jul 30, 2026
| Earnings per share (EPS) | 0.22 |
| Gross Margin | 25.43% |
| Net Profit Margin | 1.35% |
| Debt/Equity Ratio | 57.1% |
How did DRX perform over the long term?
See historical performance and comparisonDividends
3.4%
Current Dividend Yield140%
Payout RatioCompany Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/05/25 00:57 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/05/22 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Drax Group plc is covered by 27 analysts. 9 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Mark Hives | Barclays |
| Dominic Nash | Barclays |
| Dominic Nash | Barclays |