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Drax Group plcLSE:DRX Stock Report

Market Cap UK£3.0b
Share Price
UK£8.94
UK£9.68
7.6% undervalued intrinsic discount
1Y47.6%
7D4.3%
Portfolio Value
View

Drax Group plc

LSE:DRX Stock Report

Market Cap: UK£3.0b

Drax Group (DRX) Stock Overview

Engages in renewable power generation in the United Kingdom. More details

DRX fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation0/6
Future Growth2/6
Past Performance1/6
Financial Health6/6
Dividends3/6

DRX Community Fair Values

Create Narrative

See what 35 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.

Drax Group plc Competitors

Price History & Performance

Summary of share price highs, lows and changes for Drax Group
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceUK£8.94
52 Week HighUK£9.38
52 Week LowUK£6.02
Beta0.68
1 Month Change0.48%
3 Month Change-0.80%
1 Year Change47.61%
3 Year Change46.19%
5 Year Change121.24%
Change since IPO57.91%

Recent News & Updates

Recent updates

DRX: Neutral Stance As Battery Agreements And Buybacks Support Future Returns

Analysts have edged their average price target for Drax Group up by £0.50 to £9.50, reflecting recent downgrades to more neutral ratings. They still acknowledge long term value opportunities and current fair pricing after the share price rally.

DRX: Neutral Outlook As Battery Expansion And Buybacks Shape Future Returns

Analysts have nudged their price targets for Drax Group higher to about £9.50 per share, reflecting slightly stronger revenue assumptions and a modestly lower discount rate. Recent rating changes suggest the stock is now viewed as more fairly valued after its recent share price move.

DRX: Rich P/E Leaves Little Protection If Long Term Projects Disappoint

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Drax Group slightly higher, with the implied price target moving from about £7.35 to roughly £7.42. Recent research highlights incremental improvements in profit margin assumptions and valuation multiples, even as near term revenue expectations remain cautious.

DRX: Future Returns Will Rely On Execution Risks At Rich P/E

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Drax Group modestly higher, alongside a raised price target to £9.50. This reflects updated assumptions on discount rates, revenue trends, margins and future P/E after recent downgrades that frame the shares as more fairly priced on current information.

DRX: Neutral Stance As Battery Agreements And Buybacks Shape Future Returns

Analysts have nudged their price target on Drax Group higher to £9.50 from £9.00, reflecting updated views on revenue trends, margins and future P/E, even as recent research updates describe the shares as fairly priced with a more neutral stance. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Drax Group points to a more balanced view, with higher price targets sitting alongside rating cuts to neutral stances.

DRX: Future Returns Will Depend On Rich P/E Amid Softer Margins

The analyst price target for Drax Group has shifted modestly, with the updated fair value estimate moving from £6.80 to about £7.02, as analysts factor in a slightly higher discount rate, softer revenue and margin assumptions, and a higher expected future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent research highlights a more cautious tone around Drax Group, with some bearish analysts questioning how much upside remains after the latest fair value adjustment.

DRX: New Low Carbon Contract Will Support Earnings With Sustainability Trade Offs

Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Drax Group from £8.24 to £9.29, citing updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue trends, profit margins, and a higher future P/E multiple. What's in the News Drax Group signed an agreement with the Low Carbon Contracts Company for a low carbon dispatchable contract for difference covering all four biomass units at Drax Power Station from April 2027 to March 2031, with a strike price of £109.90/MWh in 2012 real terms (Key Developments).

Are Drax Group plc (LON:DRX) Investors Paying Above The Intrinsic Value?

Jan 28
Are Drax Group plc (LON:DRX) Investors Paying Above The Intrinsic Value?

DRX: New Low Carbon CfD Will Support Higher Long Term Profitability

Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Drax Group from £10.63 to £11.20, citing updated assumptions that combine a slightly lower discount rate with a higher profit margin outlook, while still factoring in a revenue decline and a largely unchanged future P/E multiple. What's in the News Drax Group signed an agreement with the Low Carbon Contracts Company (LCCC) for a low carbon dispatchable Contracts for Difference (CfD) covering all four biomass units at Drax Power Station for April 2027 to March 2031, with a strike price of £109.90/MWh in 2012 real terms (Key Developments).

DRX: Future Returns Will Rely On Lower-Priced Low Carbon Contract

Analysts have trimmed their price target on Drax Group slightly to reflect revised assumptions, including a fair value adjustment to £6.80, updated revenue and profit margin expectations, and a lower future P/E estimate. What's in the News Drax has signed a low carbon dispatchable Contract for Difference with the Low Carbon Contracts Company covering all four biomass units at Drax Power Station from April 2027 to March 2031, with a strike price of £109.90/MWh based on 2012 real prices (Key Developments).

Insufficient Growth At Drax Group plc (LON:DRX) Hampers Share Price

Dec 25
Insufficient Growth At Drax Group plc (LON:DRX) Hampers Share Price

DRX: Future Returns Will Depend On Lower-Priced Low Carbon Contract

Analysts have marginally trimmed their price target on Drax Group, citing slightly weaker revenue growth and profit margin expectations that outweigh a modest uplift in future valuation multiples. This reduces fair value by around £0.04 per share to approximately £6.85.

DRX: New CfD Agreement Will Drive Up Power Generation Profitability

Analysts have raised their price target for Drax Group from £8.12 to £8.24. They cite slight improvements in discount rates and revenue projections, despite a more conservative outlook on profit margins and future valuation metrics.

DRX: New Biomass Contract Will Drive Power Generation Momentum Forward

Analysts have slightly reduced their price target for Drax Group, lowering the fair value estimate from £8.39 to £8.12. This change is based on adjustments to expected growth rates and financial metrics.

Dividends And Share Buybacks Will Shape Returns Amid Shifting Policy Risks

Drax Group Analyst Price Target Sees Marginal Adjustment Analysts have made a slight downward revision to Drax Group's price target, adjusting it by a few pence. Minor changes to the discount rate and future profit assumptions influenced their updated valuation.

Government CfD And Renewables Will Drive Growth Amid Pellet Risks

Analysts have revised their price target for Drax Group downward, lowering the estimated fair value from £8.58 to £8.39 per share. This change reflects updated outlooks on the company's profitability and growth prospects.

Government CfD And Renewables Will Drive Growth Amid Pellet Risks

Analysts maintain a positive outlook on Drax Group due to anticipated value creation from UK grid intermittency, upcoming share price catalysts, and a possible £200M share buyback extension; however, the consensus price target remains unchanged at £8.58. Analyst Commentary Expectation of increased value creation for Drax as grid intermittency rises in the UK power sector.

Drax Group (LON:DRX) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

May 26
Drax Group (LON:DRX) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

Broker Revenue Forecasts For Drax Group plc (LON:DRX) Are Surging Higher

Mar 13
Broker Revenue Forecasts For Drax Group plc (LON:DRX) Are Surging Higher
User avatar

Investments In FlexGen And BECCS Will Impact Future Earnings, But Policy Risks Persist

Strategic investments in flexible generation and energy solutions are set to enhance post-2027 earnings and revenue through expanded capacity and efficiency.

Should You Investigate Drax Group plc (LON:DRX) At UK£6.30?

Jan 20
Should You Investigate Drax Group plc (LON:DRX) At UK£6.30?

Is Now The Time To Put Drax Group (LON:DRX) On Your Watchlist?

Dec 20
Is Now The Time To Put Drax Group (LON:DRX) On Your Watchlist?

Drax Group plc's (LON:DRX) Earnings Are Not Doing Enough For Some Investors

Nov 20
Drax Group plc's (LON:DRX) Earnings Are Not Doing Enough For Some Investors

Drax Group (LON:DRX) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

Sep 24
Drax Group (LON:DRX) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

What Is Drax Group plc's (LON:DRX) Share Price Doing?

Aug 31
What Is Drax Group plc's (LON:DRX) Share Price Doing?

Drax Group plc (LON:DRX) Surges 31% Yet Its Low P/E Is No Reason For Excitement

Jul 29
Drax Group plc (LON:DRX) Surges 31% Yet Its Low P/E Is No Reason For Excitement

What Does Drax Group plc's (LON:DRX) Share Price Indicate?

Apr 24
What Does Drax Group plc's (LON:DRX) Share Price Indicate?

Here's Why Drax Group (LON:DRX) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

Apr 09
Here's Why Drax Group (LON:DRX) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

Calculating The Intrinsic Value Of Drax Group plc (LON:DRX)

Feb 07
Calculating The Intrinsic Value Of Drax Group plc (LON:DRX)

Drax Group plc (LON:DRX) Doing What It Can To Lift Shares

Dec 24
Drax Group plc (LON:DRX) Doing What It Can To Lift Shares

Drax Group plc (LON:DRX) Shares Could Be 23% Below Their Intrinsic Value Estimate

Oct 24
Drax Group plc (LON:DRX) Shares Could Be 23% Below Their Intrinsic Value Estimate

Should You Investigate Drax Group plc (LON:DRX) At UK£5.20?

Sep 20
Should You Investigate Drax Group plc (LON:DRX) At UK£5.20?

Shareholder Returns

DRXGB Renewable EnergyGB Market
7D4.3%2.8%-0.2%
1Y47.6%17.5%19.6%

Return vs Industry: DRX exceeded the UK Renewable Energy industry which returned 17.4% over the past year.

Return vs Market: DRX exceeded the UK Market which returned 19.7% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is DRX's price volatile compared to industry and market?
DRX volatility
DRX Average Weekly Movement3.3%
Renewable Energy Industry Average Movement4.6%
Market Average Movement5.6%
10% most volatile stocks in GB Market11.5%
10% least volatile stocks in GB Market3.2%

Stable Share Price: DRX has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the UK market.

Volatility Over Time: DRX's weekly volatility (3%) has been stable over the past year.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
20052,974Will Gardinerwww.drax.com

Drax Group plc, together with its subsidiaries, engages in renewable power generation in the United Kingdom. The company operates through four segments: Pellet Production, Biomass Generation, Flexible Generation, and Energy Solutions. The company provides renewable, dispatchable power, and system support services.

Drax Group plc Fundamentals Summary

How do Drax Group's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
DRX fundamental statistics
Market capUK£3.00b
Earnings (TTM)UK£73.00m
Revenue (TTM)UK£5.39b
41.2x
P/E Ratio
0.6x
P/S Ratio

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
DRX income statement (TTM)
RevenueUK£5.39b
Cost of RevenueUK£4.02b
Gross ProfitUK£1.37b
Other ExpensesUK£1.30b
EarningsUK£73.00m

Last Reported Earnings

Dec 31, 2025

Next Earnings Date

Jul 30, 2026

Earnings per share (EPS)0.22
Gross Margin25.43%
Net Profit Margin1.35%
Debt/Equity Ratio57.1%

How did DRX perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Dividends

3.2%
Current Dividend Yield
140%
Payout Ratio

Does DRX pay a reliable dividends?

See DRX dividend history and benchmarks
When do you need to buy DRX by to receive an upcoming dividend?
Drax Group dividend dates
Ex Dividend DateApr 23 2026
Dividend Pay DateMay 15 2026
Days until Ex dividend11 days
Days until Dividend pay date11 days

Does DRX pay a reliable dividends?

See DRX dividend history and benchmarks

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/02 11:38
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/01 00:00
Earnings2025/12/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Drax Group plc is covered by 27 analysts. 9 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Mark HivesBarclays
Dominic NashBarclays
Dominic NashBarclays