Shopify Inc.

NasdaqGS:SHOP Stock Report

Market Cap: US$119.1b

Shopify Future Growth

Future criteria checks 4/6

Shopify is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 20.1% and 17.3% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 19.4% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 17.8% in 3 years.

Key information

20.1%

Earnings growth rate

19.37%

EPS growth rate

IT earnings growth16.3%
Revenue growth rate17.3%
Future return on equity17.82%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated12 May 2025

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Buy One, Sell The Other: Post Amazon Pre-Shopify Earnings Reviews

May 05

Returns Are Gaining Momentum At Shopify (NASDAQ:SHOP)

Apr 23
Returns Are Gaining Momentum At Shopify (NASDAQ:SHOP)

Shopify: Why Holding The Line Still Makes Sense Amid Market Uncertainty

Apr 19

Shopify Inc.'s (NASDAQ:SHOP) 28% Cheaper Price Remains In Tune With Revenues

Apr 05
Shopify Inc.'s (NASDAQ:SHOP) 28% Cheaper Price Remains In Tune With Revenues

Shopify: Don't Overthink The Buying Opportunity

Mar 30

Shopify: The Price Of Perfection

Mar 21

Shopify's Growth Story: Direct-To-Consumer Enabler For Independent Brands

Feb 18

Shopify Inc. (NYSE:SHOP) Stocks Shoot Up 26% But Its P/S Still Looks Reasonable

Feb 14
Shopify Inc. (NYSE:SHOP) Stocks Shoot Up 26% But Its P/S Still Looks Reasonable

Shopify: Raising My Price Target On Accelerating Growth

Feb 12

Shopify Should Beat Q4 Earnings, But Tariff Risks Are A Concern

Feb 04

Shopify: Outperforming Even My Most Bullish Expectations

Jan 13

Shareholders Should Be Pleased With Shopify Inc.'s (NYSE:SHOP) Price

Dec 30
Shareholders Should Be Pleased With Shopify Inc.'s (NYSE:SHOP) Price

Growing Top-Line One Merchant At A Time: Shopify - Initiating With A Buy

Dec 24

Is Shopify (NYSE:SHOP) A Risky Investment?

Dec 14
Is Shopify (NYSE:SHOP) A Risky Investment?

Shopify Stock Is A Black Friday Beneficiary That Faces Key Test In Q4

Dec 10

Shopify: Wait For The Buy Zone

Nov 22
author-image

Narrative update from Goran Damchevski

Nov 18Shopify is executing on its core business and growing above my 18% estimates.

Can Shopify Re-Rate Higher After The Q3 2024 Earnings Outperformance Rally?

Nov 12

Shopify: One Of The Best E-Commerce Platforms But Too Expensive

Oct 28

Estimating The Fair Value Of Shopify Inc. (NYSE:SHOP)

Oct 18
Estimating The Fair Value Of Shopify Inc. (NYSE:SHOP)

Shopify: More Upside Ahead, But Look For Exits Soon (Rating Downgrade)

Oct 16

Shopify: There Is A Light At The End Of The Tunnel (Rating Upgrade)

Oct 03

How Shopify Is Disrupting Lending And Driving Massive Stock Growth

Sep 27

Shopify: Optimistic Guidance Drives A Sharp Rise In Stock Price

Sep 13

Shopify Continues Increasing Operating Income

Sep 06
author-image

Expanding Global Reach And Product Suite Positions Company For Robust Revenue Surge

Sep 02 Shopify's expansion in international markets and product ranges is significantly growing its global market share, promising higher revenue.

Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Shopify Inc.'s (NYSE:SHOP) 36% Share Price Surge

Sep 01
Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Shopify Inc.'s (NYSE:SHOP) 36% Share Price Surge

Shopify's Unseen Advantage: Strong Earnings In A Weak Consumer Environment

Aug 22

Shopify (NYSE:SHOP) Posted Healthy Earnings But There Are Some Other Factors To Be Aware Of

Aug 20
Shopify (NYSE:SHOP) Posted Healthy Earnings But There Are Some Other Factors To Be Aware Of

Shopify: Strong Returns Still Ahead, Buy Before It's Too Late

Aug 16

Shopify: Solid Value For Growth Investors

Aug 09

Shopify Q2 Earnings Preview: Don't Ignore The Enterprise Customer Tailwind

Jul 29

Shopify: The Market Leader Deserves A Premium

Jul 19

Revenues Tell The Story For Shopify Inc. (NYSE:SHOP)

Jul 16
Revenues Tell The Story For Shopify Inc. (NYSE:SHOP)

We Like These Underlying Return On Capital Trends At Shopify (NYSE:SHOP)

Jun 28
We Like These Underlying Return On Capital Trends At Shopify (NYSE:SHOP)

Buy Shopify Before The Rebound (Technical Analysis)

Jun 24
author-image

Large Brands and New Verticals to Push Revenues Higher But Cheap Ecomm Software Risks Remain

Jun 19Expanding the customer base with large brands via the Shopify Plus subscriptions is a profitable way to grow the business.

Shopify: Beyond The Short-Term Noise, A Long-Term Growth Story, Buy

Jun 06

Shopify: The Powerhouse Of Next-Generation Commerce

May 20

Shopify: Multiple Compression Should Matter In Coming Years

May 06

Shopify Direct Sales Should Win As Amazon Shifts Toward 'Pay To Play' Model

Apr 29

Shopify: Aggressive Expansion Path

Mar 25

Shopify: Way Too Cheap For What's Coming

Mar 17

Shopify: Disappointing Free Cash Flow Guidance, An Opportunity For Growth Investors

Feb 23

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NasdaqGS:SHOP - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/202715,9192,6323,1963,09218
12/31/202613,1041,8832,4572,43946
12/31/202510,8757961,9321,96642
3/31/20259,3791,6101,7281,745N/A
12/31/20248,8802,0191,5971,616N/A
9/30/20248,2121,3831,4321,449N/A
6/30/20247,7641,2731,2871,304N/A
3/31/20247,413-2091,0511,082N/A
12/31/20237,060132905944N/A
9/30/20236,651-1,148549594N/A
6/30/20236,303-2,025125182N/A
3/31/20235,904-1,918-59-11N/A
12/31/20225,600-3,460-186-136N/A
9/30/20225,245-3,208-1058N/A
6/30/20225,003-1,901168234N/A
3/31/20224,827182313375N/A
12/31/20214,6122,915485536N/A
9/30/20214,2103,410458489N/A
6/30/20213,8532,452507537N/A
3/31/20213,4481,609615646N/A
12/31/20202,929320383425N/A
9/30/20202,457196183232N/A
6/30/20202,080-6758113N/A
3/31/20201,728-132-107-39N/A
12/31/20191,578-125871N/A
9/30/20191,417-127-3127N/A
6/30/20191,296-781060N/A
3/31/20191,179-73-636N/A
12/31/20181,073-65N/A9N/A
9/30/2018952-66N/A19N/A
6/30/2018854-52N/A10N/A
3/31/2018760-42N/A2N/A
12/31/2017673-40N/A8N/A
9/30/2017581-46N/A-4N/A
6/30/2017509-46N/A3N/A
3/31/2017444-40N/A17N/A
12/31/2016389-35N/A14N/A
9/30/2016329-33N/A12N/A
6/30/2016282-28N/A11N/A
3/31/2016241-23N/A12N/A
12/31/2015205-19N/A16N/A
9/30/2015170-17N/A15N/A
6/30/2015145-17N/A13N/A
3/31/2015124-20N/A4N/A
12/31/2014105-22N/A-1N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: SHOP's forecast earnings growth (20.1% per year) is above the savings rate (2.8%).

Earnings vs Market: SHOP's earnings (20.1% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the US market (14.2% per year).

High Growth Earnings: SHOP's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: SHOP's revenue (17.3% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (8.4% per year).

High Growth Revenue: SHOP's revenue (17.3% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: SHOP's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (17.8%).

Discover growth companies

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/05/12 06:31
End of Day Share Price 2025/05/12 00:00
Earnings2025/03/31
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Shopify Inc. is covered by 82 analysts. 46 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Harshit GuptaAccountability Research Corporation
Richard KramerArete Research Services LLP
Rocco StraussArete Research Services LLP